/pol Live RSS feed for /pol en /pol/res/25331.html#25446>>25445

If he tries it it will be a massive cock up, The IDF has fucked up every time it's deployed since they struck syria. They'll kill some muslims and wind up commiting another Strategic own goal. Worse It'll be a cock up with out the Yanks backing him up, Bibi has been extra cuntish of late, possibly because he's plugged into the right wing echo chamber, "Obama's weak, an empty suit, Black, etc." and has decided He can get away with anything, he specifically made moves to establish his Dominance, and threw a hissy fit when he wasn't Kow Tow'd to.

Objectively it would be political suicide for him to launch a strike. But he may honestly believe that the Yanks can be manipulated into bombing iran, or that he could get away with a surgical strike.

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A successful strike wouldn't do much for Bibi's approval rating, since he already has the warmonger vote. But a messed up one could topple his government. A war definitely would.

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Simon never left. He is just ....... silent.

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The incentives of AIPAC and the republicans may not totally align with Bibi's plans. Bibi Might not manage to launch the attack, The lunatic far right in Israel is strong but not all powerful. The Iran revolution could be a slow burner like the previous revolutions.

The incentives are there, but there's a lot of chance involved. I am sure that The US won't wind up attacking Iran either way.

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> Most of the Attack Iran posturing I've seen tends to admit that Manpower is a bit short, and so merely recommend bombing everything, the air force ofcourse is totally on board with this idea.
How very American.

Your predictions are pretty specific. You been down Ladbrokes yet?

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The key player is Israel, The American Military know they aren't going to be able to invade iran successfully and the resistence to doing so would be strong, with the exception of the Air Force, which is full of religious nutters. I'm guessing Bibi tries an Airstrike in October ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/October_surprise ) and dares the Yanks to let him get Away with it while the far right screeches at Obama to go bomb Iran in support of Israel. Most of the Attack Iran posturing I've seen tends to admit that Manpower is a bit short, and so merely recommend bombing everything, the air force ofcourse is totally on board with this idea.

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Simon will be back shortly. I can feel it.

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> I'm guesing there'll be something to set it off in december.
If this turns out to be the case, then war with Iran would be muhc more difficult and potentially impossible, right? Seems there's no way sufficient forces could be liberated from Iraq/Afghanistan to invade Iran before December. Also, that's only 4 months away. The fearmongering would have to be in full force at the moment, and we're only seeing a trickle.

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>The man whose best idea of a date was a dash through the backstreets of Brixton and whose best idea of a justification for mistakes in the Bible was "they're only contradictions if you're a Jew".
I liked having him around too. Not just because I agreed with most of what he said, but because people would type out comedy gold like this in reply to him. I can't stop laughing.

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>It says that he'll sort out the 10p tax rate
That's what you wanted to hear, but he didn't say that at all. He said he'd stop ignoring party members and not repeat such errors of judgement in the future.

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Precisely, hence

>>25432

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Politician...believe...I don't understand.

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And do you believe it?

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It says that he'll sort out the 10p tax rate, globalisation and the NHS. Sounds pretty good to me.

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It's amazing how some people can use so many words but say absolutely nothing

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