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It's looking very likely that the vote on impeachment will be driven by the Democrats and Republicans looking ahead to coming elections, both presidential and in the senate and house of representatives.
Many republicans will be scared of voting against Trump as their voters may see it as a betrayal against the cause. However there are signs that many republicans would turn coat against him as they're seeing him as too much of a liability.
Democrats will probably vote against Trump, but it's not out of the question that some would feel that a likeable Democrat Presidential candidate would have much better chances against Trump than against a more moderate Republican candidate who might emerge out of the wreckage of an impeachment.