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>Hillary's popularity has been declining for years, Trump is on the way up. These are the trends right now. You see where this is going.
THIS LINE GOES UP, THIS LINE GOES DOWN, LET'S NOT THINK ABOUT THE CONTEXT FOR THAT OR CAUSATION OR ANYTHING, LET'S JUST CALL IT A TREND AND MOVE ON TRUMP 2016
>There are still people who aren't dedicated to one party or who vote Dem one election and Repub the next, if this weren't so there would just be one party that kept on winning, which obviously isn't the case. There are people you can sway.
If it was the same people casting votes every election, that would be correct. But it isn't.
>A non-combative, moderate establishment candidate like you think they ought to have, another Romney or McCain, simply isn't going to work, people have short attention spans while Mars and Earth align, people treat elections like reality TV, you need someone who can work with that, not some nice guy stiff who lets the media tread all over them.
>You're way too entrenched in your idea of what a politician "should" be, which seems to be a straight-laced moderate who has anything he says go through the committee grinder
Nope. Cruz and Walker, for example, are not moderates, non-combative or establishment approved, and yet they have a far, far better chance at success than Trump.
>As for Trump's shitposting on twitter you could well say the same about Obama, what was he doing shitposting on reddit (and shitposting in real life with memes and other childish nonsense) while we have multiple wars going on and a debt crisis? You honestly sound very out of touch, the internet is a major tool for ostensibly serious people now, it certainly helped the current president get elected.
Trump isn't ridiculous because he's on twitter, he's ridiculous because he's on twitter being a petty, narcissistic braggart. He has this problem when he's speaking in person too: half of his rally in Phoenix was just him making lame burns on all the people and companies who had distanced themselves from him for damage control. Although, at least when he's making vacuous boasts he's not talking about his actual policies, which are even more poorly conceived. I think the 35% import tariff is my favourite so far.
Trump would give the Democrats a landslide that hasn't been seen since 72. Any other candidate would stand a better chance than him.
Tell you what, build me a map that you think is a viable route to Trump winning the electoral vote:
While you're filling it in, keep the attached image in mind. Good luck!
There have been other primary contenders over the years, but she will be the first candidate in the general should she win, which is almost an inevitability. She's not a shoo-in because women will all vote for her, but the fact that she's a woman certainly won't hurt democratic turnout. Like it or not, the idea of being a part of the "historical movement" that elects the first black guy, woman etc. is a greater motivator among the democratic base than being someone who helped elect old white dude #43.