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>> No. 99923 Anonymous
10th September 2024
Tuesday 6:29 pm
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These two are creating austerity 2.0 and it's going to be fucking awful.
Expand all images.
>> No. 99924 Anonymous
10th September 2024
Tuesday 7:40 pm
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At least they look silly in their hi-vis jackets.
>> No. 99925 Anonymous
10th September 2024
Tuesday 9:39 pm
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>The government spends huge amounts of money each year on our behalf. In 2022–23, UK government spending was almost £1,200 billion, or around £17,000 per person. This was equivalent to around 45% of GDP.

https://ifs.org.uk/taxlab/taxlab-key-questions/what-does-government-spend-money

If the government spend £1,200 billion every year why are Labour freaking out about a £22 billion black hole? At that sort of scale isn't it pretty much a rounding error?
>> No. 99926 Anonymous
10th September 2024
Tuesday 10:17 pm
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>>99925

£22bn works out to about £770 per household. It's a very significant amount of money, even if it seems small relative to the vast overall budget. That gap of £770 per household has to be filled, one way or another.

By comparison, the entire police budget is just over £17bn. Schools and defence are about £55bn each. "Making tough decisions" is a political slogan, but it's also a basic reality of managing an economy. It's very easy to absolutely wreck an economy through lots of small decisions that seem individually inconsequential. The mini-budget that sent the markets into pandemonium and sank Liz Truss included "only" £45bn of unfunded tax cuts.
>> No. 99928 Anonymous
11th September 2024
Wednesday 2:58 am
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>>99925

>£17,000 per person

Why is it I don't feel like I'm getting my money's worth?
>> No. 99929 Anonymous
11th September 2024
Wednesday 6:46 am
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>>99928
Roughly 20% is going on healthcare, 10% on education, 25% on benefits (including the state pension), 5% on defence, 4% on law and order and 4% on transport. I think the other big one is debt interest. I'm also sure we spend about as much subsidising Scotland as we do on defence.

This is before all the bumper public sector pay rises.
>> No. 99933 Anonymous
11th September 2024
Wednesday 10:15 am
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Here are some graphs.

... I was going to leave the post at that, but nah. The top one is 2022/23 real terms spending. The middle is spending and GDP. I think it's interesting that our spending is going up ever so slightly more slowly than our GDP. I'm no economist, but I would imagine that does give us some wiggle room.

I assume that "social protection" is all the different bennies lumped together, which to me seems somewhat dishonest, because really there is quite a lot under that umbrella. The bottom is the most recent breakdown I can find (I didn't look very hard) in easy to understand coloured bar format, instead of the confusing TV static nerds call "numbers", from 2017.

I would hazard a guess that the pension budget has gone up significantly compared to the others since then. Possibly by as much as £22bn.
>> No. 99935 Anonymous
11th September 2024
Wednesday 12:49 pm
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>>99933

Another chart.

Running a developed country is expensive, but running a welfare state with an increasingly old and sick population is really expensive.
>> No. 99959 Anonymous
12th September 2024
Thursday 9:34 pm
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Another graph.
>> No. 99960 Anonymous
12th September 2024
Thursday 9:57 pm
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>Ministers did not carry out a specific impact assessment on the withdrawal of the winter fuel payment from the bulk of pensioners, such as the potential effect on illness and death rates among older people, Downing Street has said.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2024/sep/12/no-winter-fuel-payments-impact-assessment-was-carried-out-no-10-admits

I imagine if it was the Tories doing this they'd have been called cruel and evil.
>> No. 99962 Anonymous
12th September 2024
Thursday 10:19 pm
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>>99960

However many codgers it kills off, it won't be enough. Until the boomers hurry up and die, things can only get worse. I hope Starmer secretly accepts this reality.
>> No. 99963 Anonymous
13th September 2024
Friday 6:12 am
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>>99962
You'll be old one day. Don't fall for divide and rule.
>> No. 99964 Anonymous
13th September 2024
Friday 7:31 am
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>>99963

Yes, and by then I'll be living in a country that is poorer than Romania.

The boomers are our rulers, or at least were. They were the dominant electoral coalition that gave us austerity and took the triple lock. They racked up levels of debt that we've never seen in peacetime, debts that we'll still be struggling to repay when I'm long dead. They banged on about "having paid tax all their lives", while glibly ignoring the fact that they have received many times more in pensions and other benefits than they ever paid in tax.

Thanks in part to the passage of time and in part to a certain novel virus, the old are losing their stranglehold on electoral power, but they still control most of the wealth.

Yesterday, Lord Darzi's report revealed the fact that children spend longer on NHS waiting lists than adults. Children are more than twice as likely to live in poverty than pensioners. That's the country we have become - a country where sick children wait for treatment in cold houses with bare cupboards, a country where children are literally robbed of their futures by their own grandparents.

Blaming the super-rich is a fantasy, because there just aren't very many super-rich people. There are 55 British citizens with a net worth of over $1bn. Their collective net worth is less than the assets in the University Superannuation Scheme. There are millions of millionaires who don't think of themselves as such - quite ordinary upper-middle-class people who've paid off the mortgage and have a good pension. The greedy capitalists who have asset-stripped Britain don't live in Monaco, they live in the nice houses down the road.

A reckoning is coming, whether we want it or not; a reckoning with the fact that what was done to this country wasn't imposed by a faceless elite of rich people, but by our parents and grandparents. Their pension funds are the majority shareholders in our privatised utilities. They're the prime beneficiaries of the house price bubble, not some shadowy offshore property empire. They're the people who turned up at every local planning meeting to object to anything being built anywhere; they are the anti-growth coalition, because they consistently prioritised the view out of their window over people having places to live and work.

If we want to meaningfully increase public expenditure, we can't just raid the ultra-wealthy, because there are so few of them that it wouldn't touch the sides. We have to start turning the screws on the merely comfortably-off, because collectively they've got most of the wealth. Abolishing the Winter Fuel Payment is - hopefully - just the opening salvo.

There's a whole other rant about the absolute necessity of mass immigration to stop our demographics from collapsing, but I'll save that for another time.
>> No. 99965 Anonymous
13th September 2024
Friday 8:00 am
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>>99964
>took the triple lock

This is where I stopped reading. If you're bringing up the introduction of a 2.5% underpin to the meagre state pension as a lead example of evil and greed then I know the rest of your post will be a load of half-baked juvenile bollocks, which you're mindlessly parroting because you read it on Twitter.
>> No. 99966 Anonymous
13th September 2024
Friday 10:53 am
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>>99965

>meagre state pension
>meagre

Lad. Look at the graphs.
>> No. 99967 Anonymous
13th September 2024
Friday 11:47 am
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>>99966
>The UK devotes a smaller percentage of its GDP to state pensions and pensioner benefits than most other advanced economies.

https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/sn00290/

>UK pension the lowest of advanced nations, says OECD

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-42236328

The state pension is absolute peanuts. Spending increasing on the state pension because there's more old people ≠ the state pension itself is generous.
>> No. 99969 Anonymous
13th September 2024
Friday 1:45 pm
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>>99967

Problem is that it's universal, and pensioners are already, as a demographic, loaded. It's dishonest to claim the universal pension need be more generous because of a minority of pensioners who are poor. The majority of pensioners are getting it on top of a private pension and considerable assets. It's a very small number of people, proportionally, who need targeted help.
>> No. 99970 Anonymous
13th September 2024
Friday 2:10 pm
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>>99964
>If we want to meaningfully increase public expenditure, we can't just raid the ultra-wealthy, because there are so few of them that it wouldn't touch the sides.

This is an absolutely absurd position. If you narrow your criteria for "wealthy" strictly to British billionaires that live inside the UK, then yes, you'll boil down to a list of fifty or so (though those individuals do own in the hundreds of billions combined, it's a digression).

Taxing wealth, though, includes all those people who have a meagre net worth of £650 million, like Rishi Sunak, for example, of which there are far more. There are currently around 2.6 million millionaires in the UK, with a net worth beyond what most of us will ever see in their lifetime.

Taxing wealth would also include all those people that own assets in the UK, but that don't live in the UK. We routinely tax assets that are owned by non-residents, though not nearly enough, and we could easily increase those taxes.

According to the World Inequality Report from 2022, the bottom 50% of the British population owned less than 5% of country's wealth in 2021, which is to say you could raise taxes on half of our population and barely have an effect, because it not touch 95% of the wealth that actually exists in the country. The idea that taxing wealth "wouldn't touch the sides" just isn't true; even worse is the idea that the real money comes from squeezing our "comfortable middle" even harder. That's not even wrong, that's the opposite of the truth.
>> No. 99975 Anonymous
13th September 2024
Friday 5:52 pm
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>>99970

>There are currently around 2.6 million millionaires in the UK

That's my entire point. A wealth tax that would bring in a useful amount of revenue couldn't just target a tiny elite of people who are obviously very rich, but would have to apply to a large number of quite ordinary people who don't look exceptionally wealthy, most of whom are pensioners.

"Tax the rich" as a populist slogan means something like "we could solve all our problems painlessly if this tiny elite just paid their fair share". "Tax the rich" as a practical political and economic strategy means taxing doctors and dentists and accountants, which is vastly more controversial.
>> No. 99976 Anonymous
13th September 2024
Friday 5:57 pm
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>>99967

Yes, now compare how much tax is paid by median earners.
>> No. 99977 Anonymous
13th September 2024
Friday 6:05 pm
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>>99975

>taxing doctors and dentists and accountants, [...] is vastly more controversial.

Is it, though? I think most people are well aware those kinds of jobs are rolling in money and could afford to pay a bit more. If you look at the likes of consultants who can burn both ends working for the NHS as well as doing private on the side, many are earning in the multiple hundreds of thousands.
>> No. 99978 Anonymous
13th September 2024
Friday 6:20 pm
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>>99977

The problem in a nutshell:


>> No. 99979 Anonymous
13th September 2024
Friday 6:24 pm
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>>99978
If I'm ever wrongfooted on national television by the intellectual titan that is Richard Burgeon, please shoot me in the head immediately. Thank you, both.
>> No. 99980 Anonymous
13th September 2024
Friday 6:52 pm
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We give the doctors the pay rise they're after and then we take it off them in tax. There we go, I've fixed the economy.
>> No. 99983 Anonymous
13th September 2024
Friday 9:53 pm
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>>99979
Tbf it was Fiona Bruce who hoisted the noose he'd tied around his own neck. The politician didn't really pick up on it.
>> No. 99991 Anonymous
15th September 2024
Sunday 11:07 am
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>>99975

You were talking about taxing pensioners rather than wealthy people, because there are so few billionaires to tax. It was a confused post, to say the least.

>"Tax the rich" as a populist slogan means something like "we could solve all our problems painlessly if this tiny elite just paid their fair share".

Only if you're being wilfully obtuse about it. There is a "tiny elite", depending on how you choose to define it. If the top 1% of a given population owns nearly a quarter of the wealth of a country, as it does in the UK, that would be about 670,000 people. Whether these numbers qualify as a "tiny elite" seems immaterial; it is a massive disparity that can be (and has been historically been) controlled with taxation. This would solve a great number of problems.

There's also a lot of confusion between wealth and income, since most people's sole source of income is their salary.
I think it's a combination of that confusion and the extreme top-end inequality of wealth ownership that leads to nonsense exchanges like the one you find in >>99978. The audience member is in the top 5% of earners, but he is almost certainly no where near the top 5% of the country's wealthiest.

>"Tax the rich" as a practical political and economic strategy means taxing doctors and dentists and accountants, which is vastly more controversial.

This controversy can be addressed by taxing wealth rather than income. I think most people readily accept that hard and/or highly technical work should be rewarded with a good salary, but there's been a great effort to conflate income with wealth. Beyond a certain threshold, more money is earned simply by owning stuff. The reality is that most professionals, even highly paid ones, do not belong to that highest bracket of the country's wealthiest.
>> No. 99992 Anonymous
15th September 2024
Sunday 2:55 pm
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>>99991

>I think most people readily accept that hard and/or highly technical work should be rewarded with a good salary, but there's been a great effort to conflate income with wealth.

It's not a conflation - the vast majority of wealth is just income accumulated over time. Most of that top 1% are just people on high incomes who are approaching retirement age. In practice, taxing wealth means taxing those hard-working professionals twice. That has real, complex and usually unexpected consequences.

The biggest factor behind the reduction in the number of GPs is an obscure tax rule that most people are completely unaware of. There's a lifetime limit on the amount of tax-free pension contributions you can make, which currently stands at £1,073,100. Many doctors will hit that limit well before reaching retirement age, at which point their marginal tax rate suddenly and dramatically increases. Unsurprisingly, a large proportion of those people think "fuck it, I might as well retire".

When people say "tax the wealthy", most people wouldn't imagine that there's any connection between our existing strategy of taxing the wealthy and their inability to get an appointment with their GP, but that's exactly the case. It's also a key driver behind the wider issue of early retirement that happened post-pandemic.

This is what Labour are talking about when they keep talking about "making tough choices". When we talk about "the wealthy" and "highly skilled professionals who deserve to be rewarded for a lifetime of hard work", we're talking about the same people.

https://www.bmj.com/content/381/bmj.p1450

https://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/CBP-8626/CBP-8626.pdf
>> No. 99993 Anonymous
15th September 2024
Sunday 3:54 pm
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>>99992
If we said, "Go ahead and retire, and we'll keep taxing you anyway, you big millionaire", they would still be very well-off but we would also have money to train replacement doctors.
>> No. 99994 Anonymous
15th September 2024
Sunday 5:00 pm
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>>99992
>It's not a conflation - the vast majority of wealth is just income accumulated over time.

It absolutely is a conflation, because as I mentioned in my post, "income" is commonly understood as "salary". However, in order to break into - and I repeat this fact with emphasis to make sure it's getting through - the top 1% of people that own nearly a quarter of the total wealth of the country, you need to have assets which pay you in such a way that have very little to do with being a GP.

We are talking about people that do things like, owning commercial property that large companies rent out offices in, private property to rent out to families, ownership of land, ownership of shares which pay dividends. This is a world away from being a doctor, dentist, or an accountant.

Acquiring income-generating assets is something that is simply not an option for the overwhelming majority of people, indeed the majority of the public struggle to buy and pay off a single home. Even the professional class you're describing will only be able to get their hands on so many assets even after an entire career of pulling a high salary. It is basically unrelated to a wealth tax, because the majority of wealth is owned by so few.

Your bizarre, sleight-of-hand argument seems to ignore the fact I'm talking about direct taxation based on someone's net worth. You also seem to be under the assumption that tax operates on the raw count of taxpayers, but it's a percentage. A well designed wealth tax would likely not even need to touch a great deal of the population, because half the country owns about 5% of the assets.
>> No. 99995 Anonymous
15th September 2024
Sunday 6:05 pm
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>>99992
>There's a lifetime limit on the amount of tax-free pension contributions you can make, which currently stands at £1,073,100. Many doctors will hit that limit well before reaching retirement age, at which point their marginal tax rate suddenly and dramatically increases.

You've conflated two things here. The annual allowance and the lifetime allowance, with the latter not existing anymore.
>> No. 99996 Anonymous
15th September 2024
Sunday 6:08 pm
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>>99992
>Most of that top 1% are just people on high incomes who are approaching retirement age.
No, they're not. They're mostly landowners. More than 10% of land in England and Wales remains unregistered, despite registration being compulsory since at least 2003. It remains unregistered because it hasn't been bought, sold, or transferred in that time. A significant amount of that is either owned by institutions or in vehicles such as family trusts, and therefore hasn't been transacted on in decades and won't be for decades more to come.

Notice how in that chart you've posted, the median wealth figure is in many cases less than half the mean. That suggests a very skewed distribution of wealth.
>> No. 99997 Anonymous
15th September 2024
Sunday 8:54 pm
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>>99994

Getting into the top 1% requires a personal wealth of about £1.4m, which would be entirely typical for a doctor reaching retirement - a pension pot of about a million quid, plus a house worth about £400k. When we talk about wealth, we're mostly talking about pensions and houses.

Wealth is much less concentrated than it used to be; a hundred years ago, the top 1% had a 60% share of wealth.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-48759591

https://ifs.org.uk/articles/distribution-household-wealth-uk
>> No. 100005 Anonymous
15th September 2024
Sunday 10:55 pm
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>>99997
>which would be entirely typical for a doctor reaching retirement - a pension pot of about a million quid

You don't have a pot of money with the NHS pension. Nobody is claiming a doctor is a millionaire because they have an annual pension of ~£50k a year.
>> No. 100016 Anonymous
17th September 2024
Tuesday 12:27 pm
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I think there will be an inevitable u-turn once the first pensioners start dying from a cold snap. I don't disagree with scrapping the universal entitlement to the winter fuel allowance but maybe making it more generous, than pension credit only, would be better.

Also the government should scrap the triple lock and use the money saved to set up the National Care Service. I know the money saved won't cover the billions needed but will be something to start with.
>> No. 100017 Anonymous
17th September 2024
Tuesday 12:33 pm
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>>100016
You just know some petulant cow will freeze to death on purpose just to protest about having to pay to stay alive.
>> No. 100018 Anonymous
17th September 2024
Tuesday 7:52 pm
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>‘I’m selling 35 of my 65 rental homes – this is only the beginning under Labour’

>For many fed-up landlords, the Renters’ Rights Bill is the final straw David Coughlin has been a landlord for two decades, but now aged 54, he has decided it’s time to drastically downsize his portfolio and switch careers. For him, the decision to downsize has been four years in the making. First it was the introduction of Section 24, which abolished mortgage tax relief, then high interest rates, and now the Renters’ Rights Bill – dubbed the biggest overhaul of rental law in over 30 years.
>Mr Coughlin said: “It’s all making people think it’s a good time to get out of the market. Some of my properties have gone up by £10,000 in value over the past year, and Savills expects rents to rise 20pc over the next five years – it’s still an attractive market. “But very few long-standing portfolio landlords are keen to keep all their private rental properties occupied. This is because it is about to become much more difficult to evict a tenant if you want to sell your property.”
>Under the new bill, tenants will be able to miss three months’ rent before a landlord can take action to possess their property, a change from the current two-month threshold. Section 21, otherwise known as “no-fault” evictions, will also be banned completely by next summer. This means landlords will need to rely on Section 8 for evictions, a piece of legislation beleaguered by court delays which reached 55 weeks on average last year.

>Mr Coughlin has 65 properties himself, and has built a business out of helping other landlords sell or trade their portfolios. He is planning to halve the number of his properties, selling up to 35 of them and only keeping hold of the least leveraged properties with the best tenants and energy performance ratings. Once he has downsized his portfolio, the plan is to turn his skills to property development instead. He said this was because “the Government supports the latter and is strangling the former”. He has seen the number of portfolio landlords coming through his door to sell and exit the market accelerate. In fact, his agency recently had its best week of landlords contacting them to sell in over 12 months. Supply to the rental market has stalled over the past eight years. Meanwhile, rents have continued to climb.

>Property portal Zoopla says rents have risen by 30pc over just the past three years, exacerbated by the lack of new stock coming onto the market. Kate Faulkner, chair of the government advisory body Home Buying & Selling Group, said before the changes to mortgage rate relief in 2016, rents used to rise by 2pc a year. “Then-governments started interfering and rents started to rise faster and stock began to deplete.” Another big worry for landlords is the cost of upgrading their stock. The new legislation will apply the Decent Homes Standard to all private rental homes. It already applies to the social sector. Landlords will need to investigate “hazards”, such as damp and mould, excess cold, and severe pest infestations, within 14 days and fix them within a further seven days. If they do not, they face fines of up to £7,000 from the council.
https://archive.is/ASxy4

How could this be allowed to happen - what will happen if all the landlords decide to sell-up?
>> No. 100019 Anonymous
17th September 2024
Tuesday 8:52 pm
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>>100018
Labour really should have considered the consequences of their plans to free up housing. All those houses being freed up; it's just not right.

Also, I know you post these ragebait articles a lot, but I would absolutely buy a Telegraph if they published a follow-up article about the skeletons of his starved children being gnawed at by foxes.
>> No. 100020 Anonymous
17th September 2024
Tuesday 9:31 pm
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>>100018

YOU CAN'T EVEN CHARGE SOMEONE £1200PCM FOR A DAMP RAT-INFESTED HOVEL ANY MORE IN CASE IT OFFENDS A LESBIAN. IT'S POLITICAL CORRECTNESS GONE MAD.
>> No. 100021 Anonymous
17th September 2024
Tuesday 9:33 pm
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>>100018
I guess it depends who buys them up. As it stands, 43% of landlords only own one property and make up 20% of the rental market whereas the 18% of landlords who own more than five properties make up 48% of the rental market.

I wouldn't be surprised if we start seeing large commercial landlords. Weren't Lloyds aiming to own 50,000 rental properties by the end of the decade?
>> No. 100022 Anonymous
17th September 2024
Tuesday 10:03 pm
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>>100019
>All those houses being freed up

It's not actually going to do anything for housing stock, we have a chronic housing shortage. One upside might be that leaseholds rise but the argument on leasehold v renting isn't as compelling as people think.

>>100021
It does seem like a market ripe for consolidation. I imagine there's a lot of room for efficiencies if most of the rental housing in the country was managed by in-house property managers rather than some shady office taking a substantial share of the rent for fuck-all.

McLandlord's might also have the means and incentive to also make more efficient use of housing plots and start tearing down terraced houses for multi-story flats.
>> No. 100025 Anonymous
18th September 2024
Wednesday 7:09 am
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>Keir Starmer has declared more free tickets and gifts than other major party leaders in recent times, with his total now topping £100,000 after recent support for his lifestyle from Labour donor Waheed Alli.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2024/sep/18/keir-starmer-100000-in-tickets-and-gifts-more-than-any-other-recent-party-leader

Am I imagining things, or did Starmer repeatedly make the point that Labour wouldn't indulge in cronyism and favouring supporters/chums like the Tories did?
>> No. 100028 Anonymous
18th September 2024
Wednesday 12:40 pm
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>>100025
>Starmer has previously insisted his acceptance of hospitality is related to his security requirements of not being able to go into the stands, saying: “If I don’t accept a gift of hospitality, I can’t go to a game. You could say: ‘Well, bad luck.’ That’s why gifts have to be registered. But, you know, never going to an Arsenal game again because I can’t accept hospitality is pushing it a bit far.”

"Sorry guys, got to sell out my values so I can go watch my team play. Come you Yids!"
>> No. 100029 Anonymous
18th September 2024
Wednesday 12:56 pm
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>>100028
Remember, it's not bad when our side does it.
>> No. 100032 Anonymous
18th September 2024
Wednesday 2:22 pm
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If Corbyn's party gets off the ground and becomes essentially the left wing UKIP (and by estension, Corbyn himself becomes the lefty Savile) we could be looking at some really interesting times in politics over the next few years. Starmer and the crew are apparently attempting a speedrun of reversing the biggest poll lead they've ever had and completely reversing their fortunes, so a split in the lefty vote as large as the split in the rightoid vote would have dramatic impacts.

We might even see a Lib Dem government. And then we'd see just how un-principled and generic a government can truly be.
>> No. 100038 Anonymous
18th September 2024
Wednesday 8:52 pm
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>>100032
>If Corbyn's party gets off the ground
Since when does he have his own party?
>> No. 100039 Anonymous
18th September 2024
Wednesday 9:08 pm
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>>100038
He's looking to form a party with the pro-Palestine Muslim independent MPs called Collective. He's muscling in on Galloway territory.
>> No. 100040 Anonymous
18th September 2024
Wednesday 10:29 pm
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>>100032
>attempting a speedrun of reversing the biggest poll lead they've ever had
I'm not into politics or owt but even I can see such statements have become trite. Seems said after every election regardless of affiliation.
>> No. 100043 Anonymous
19th September 2024
Thursday 6:10 am
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>>100040
The massive fuck up was telling everyone the budget is going to be awful well in advance of the budget. If you don't give people details other than saying its going to get worse before it gets better then they'll fill in the blanks with their imagination.

It's six weeks to the budget and it was the end of August when Starmer said to prepare for hard times and pain. It's unsurprising that we're getting almost daily speculation that he's going to cut the single person council tax discount, that he's going after pensioners free bus passes, that he's raising capital gains tax, that he's going to cut pension tax relief or cap how much tax-free cash you can take at retirement, that he wants to stop you being able to smoke in beer gardens, that they're going to hike fuel duty, etc.
>> No. 100046 Anonymous
19th September 2024
Thursday 11:24 am
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I guess we're going to see AI generated images for every political issue now. I'm almost looking forward to seeing what mental people end up creating with image generators.

>>100043
It's the textbook strategy though, you do all the painful things early into the Parliament and entrench the idea that it's all the fault of the last government. Something Labour is going to have to do if it wants to see 10 years of painful restructuring.

The difference this time is how fast things are moving - but maybe they're just boiling the frog and we don't know it yet.
>> No. 100047 Anonymous
19th September 2024
Thursday 11:46 am
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>>100043
They’ve told us to prepare for the worst so we will be relieved when it’s not actually that bad. It’s all a ploy to manage our expectations. Things will be, maybe not great, but easily survivable.
>> No. 100048 Anonymous
19th September 2024
Thursday 11:50 am
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>>100047
If they're prepared to clamp down on smoking outside pubs who knows what other Draconian nonsense they're dreaming up right now?
>> No. 100049 Anonymous
19th September 2024
Thursday 2:31 pm
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>>100043
>he's going to cut the single person council tax discount
This tax discount is the only thing keeping me off of Housing Benefit.
>> No. 100050 Anonymous
19th September 2024
Thursday 9:56 pm
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At his current rate of unforced errors, Starmer will attend next year's Defence & Security Equipment International to a backdrop of mass protests, only to shoot himself in the dick with a plasma rifle while attempting to spin it around on his finger like a cowboy.
>> No. 100052 Anonymous
19th September 2024
Thursday 10:28 pm
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>>100050
I saw him getting bollocked on the news and doing that exasperated smile when absolutely everyone is out to get you, and it made me wonder: could he at some point become a left-leaning Liz Truss? Will he go down in history as basically just a laughing stock?
>> No. 100054 Anonymous
19th September 2024
Thursday 10:56 pm
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>>100052

The trouble with Liz Truss is that she wasn't just a mong, but nobody even voted for her to begin with. Starmer might be making a lot of people mad right now but he has a massive majority, and that means he's pretty much free to do what he wants for the forseeable future at least.

I think it's all going to come down to the budget.Either there's some good news in there or some secret sauce they've been keeping secret, something that will at very least make people say "okay fair play to them they seem to have a plan". If there isn't and it's just more cuts on top of tax hikes, they might be in actual trouble, because at this point even the business ghouls are saying what the country needs is plain and simply investment more than anything else.
>> No. 100055 Anonymous
19th September 2024
Thursday 11:45 pm
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>>100054

It doesn't really matter what people think of Labour today, it matters what they think in 2029. Nobody will really remember the 2024 budget by then. It makes perfect political sense to rip the plaster off ASAP.
>> No. 100060 Anonymous
22nd September 2024
Sunday 6:14 am
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>Keir Starmer has suffered a precipitous fall in his personal ratings since winning the election, according to a new poll for the Observer that comes before his first Labour conference as prime minister.

>The latest Opinium poll reveals that Starmer’s approval rating has plunged below that of the Tory leader Rishi Sunak, suffering a huge 45-point drop since July. While 24% of voters approve of the job he is doing, 50% disapprove, giving him a net rating of -26%. Sunak’s net rating is one point better.

>In a troubling assessment of the government’s opening months, only 27% think it has so far been a success, while 57% think it has not been successful. Even a third (32%) of those who voted for Labour at the last election believe the government has not been a success in its opening two months. Labour is seen as focusing too much on the government’s fiscal position when the public want them to focus on growing the economy.

>James Crouch, head of policy and public affairs at Opinium said: “While the prime minister might have a world-beating new wardrobe, voters are refusing to wear his government’s austerity drive. Not only do the public feel worse off than they did before the election, but concerns that Labour has focused too much on government finances rather than growth have almost wiped out their lead on the economy. Much of the blame for this tone is being directed at Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves, who now have approval ratings on a par with Rishi Sunak.”

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2024/sep/21/honeymoon-over-keir-starmer-now-less-popular-than-rishi-sunak
>> No. 100061 Anonymous
22nd September 2024
Sunday 8:20 am
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>>100060
That's dreadful. However, I take some issue with trying to declare a government a successs or failure after two-and-a-half months of power, although I'm not as blithely confient that it "doesn't really matter" as >>100055 . The Conservative's constant reinvention (AKA, intercine bloodletting and favourable coverage from the usual suspects) allowed them to repeatedly break with the past in a manner Starmer might find more difficult when he's still PM in 2029. If only by then are he and his government starting to ease up on the politics-as-Pain-Olympics way of doing things, he might be in more trouble than he anticipated. Because, and I'm sure no one here needs reminding, the only reason Starmer has his gigantic majority is because the UK voting system is an archaic nightmare. One that only needs a few percentage points to swing against Labour to make life very difficult in a hypothetical future parliament.

>>100052
I don't think it could go that wrong for Starmer. Unless my prediction of a Soviet-style collapse occurs under his watch, he isn't enough of a reckless ideologue to have a disaster on the scale of Liz Truss's. He might end up being seen as unworthy of respect, feckless and plainly unready for high political office, but in a John Major-y way. Just a chap who was holding the parcel when the music stopped and not much else. Of course, maybe next year Starmer gets his poltical Second El-Alamein and from then on it's hit after hit, but that's reading tea leaves right now.
>> No. 100062 Anonymous
22nd September 2024
Sunday 8:49 am
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>>100061
I reckon a lot of it is about managing expectations. Maybe certain people hold Labour to a higher standard than the Tories, but I think many were voting in the hope that things would actually get better for once and instead we're being prepped for a fresh round of austerity. Things would probably be worse under the Tories, but "things are going to get less worse, not better" isn't what people believed they were signing up for.

It also doesn't help that they've announced cuts are coming while he's raking in shitloads of freebies. He's sounding ridiculously out of touch when he's talking about the struggle of having to accept a hospitality box when he goes to watch Arsenal, no doubt funded by those who'll want something in return, because he's no longer able to sit in the stands like a commoner.

Different cheeks of the same arse.
>> No. 100063 Anonymous
22nd September 2024
Sunday 3:14 pm
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I think the media is definitely giving Labour a rougher time than it did when Cameron and Osbourne came in, but it's as much about party bias as it is about sheer overwhelming dissatisfaction and disillusionment with government in general. There's definitely a bit of double standard at play, but it's not just that.

On the one hand yeah, Kier is about right to get all the nasty stuff out of the way early on when he has a better position to do so, but he has definitely failed to anticipate just how unhappy the public in general are right now. This isn't an ordinary change of government, under these circumstances he needed to be absolutely squeaky clean and make sure there wasn't even a speck of dirt for the media to pick up on. He's failed pretty spectacularly at that.
>> No. 100082 Anonymous
25th September 2024
Wednesday 10:26 am
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It's so bizarre hearing Starmer making fun of the Labour Party in 2019. Not only was he a senior figure in the shadow cabinet at the time, many of the the same Labour members who were fighting for that manifesto and attending that conference just did so again for your Labour Party a few weeks ago. Compound that with what the heckler was saying, "does that include the children of Gaza too?", a not totally unfair question given the circumstances, and he struck a very creepy figure in those moments, in my opinion.
>> No. 100083 Anonymous
25th September 2024
Wednesday 10:51 am
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>>100082
He also wants to release the sausages, the absolute maniac.
>> No. 100086 Anonymous
25th September 2024
Wednesday 7:20 pm
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>Sir Keir Starmer will warn of a "shared struggle" ahead but say there is "light at the end of the tunnel" for the country, in his first speech to the Labour Party conference as prime minister.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c0e1gjexyxno

>PM suggests £20,000 accommodation donation was for 'son to find somewhere for GCSE revision'

https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/keir-starmer-donation-son-gcse-housing-acoommodation-prime-minister-b1183972.html

We're all in this together.
>> No. 100099 Anonymous
27th September 2024
Friday 11:34 am
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>>100086
I don't think I buy this story. His son needed a place to study during the election campaign and Starmer accepted someone offering space for this. £20k is the supposed rental value. It's a little suspect but I'm not sure what the right way to handle it would be.

The same with the box seat to watch Arsenal play. He couldn't use his season ticket for security concerns so he accepted Arsenal upgrading him to a private box.
>> No. 100102 Anonymous
27th September 2024
Friday 9:52 pm
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>Keir Starmer was given a further £16,000 worth of clothes by the Labour peer Waheed Alli, which was declared as money for his private office, the Guardian can reveal.

>The donations, comprising £10,000 in October 2023 and £6,000 in February 2024, bring the total amount in gifted clothes to £32,000. These latest gifts were not previously known about as they were described as being “for the private office of the leader of the opposition”.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2024/sep/27/peer-gave-keir-starmer-more-clothes-worth-16000-declared-as-money-for-private-office
>> No. 100103 Anonymous
27th September 2024
Friday 10:04 pm
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>>100102
If Starmer's wardrobe is worth £32,000 he should be going way more jazzy and ostentatious. I expect three-piece velvet Savile Row suits at the very, very least.
>> No. 100104 Anonymous
27th September 2024
Friday 10:53 pm
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>>100103
It must tear him up inside to know he could introduce a new round of austerity while dressed like this, but his spads won't let him.
>> No. 100119 Anonymous
28th September 2024
Saturday 9:35 pm
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>> No. 100120 Anonymous
28th September 2024
Saturday 9:35 pm
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>> No. 100121 Anonymous
28th September 2024
Saturday 9:36 pm
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>> No. 100126 Anonymous
29th September 2024
Sunday 1:23 am
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Her what resigned is one of them TERFs so it's fine we don't need her.

Annoyingly it's still the TE part people consider a problem rather than the RF. But on the whole at least, fuck her.
>> No. 100127 Anonymous
29th September 2024
Sunday 1:31 am
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>>100126
It is quite funny that Keir bent over backwards to accommodate her on her one big issue only for her to throw a hand grenade at him the first chance she got. Et tu, evangelist christian korean youtuber?
>> No. 100128 Anonymous
29th September 2024
Sunday 7:42 am
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>>100126>>100127
She kind of has a point on this though.
>> No. 100131 Anonymous
29th September 2024
Sunday 12:43 pm
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>>100128
She does, but historically she's been fractionally allied with the parts of the Labour party that has wanted to freeze pensioners and slash benefits since at least 2014. If you believe she's really resigning for her stated (good) reasons then you're a very trusting individual indeed.
>> No. 100138 Anonymous
1st October 2024
Tuesday 9:05 pm
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>Labour used “economically illiterate” analysis paid for by water companies in order to argue against the nationalisation of the sector in England, the Guardian can reveal.

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2024/sep/29/labour-water-industry-analysis-argue-against-nationalisation
>> No. 100139 Anonymous
1st October 2024
Tuesday 10:52 pm
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>>100126
Whose 'we'?

Would

>>100138
>The letter, sent by the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra)
>Matthew Topham, the lead campaigner at We Own It, said: “Keir Starmer’s government is at a crossroads: it can protect households and our waterways or it can protect shareholders. Treasury officials have rather made it clear that it is the continued privatisation at Thames Water which poses a risk to the finances of other water companies and could spark a Liz Truss-style borrowing crisis.”

Why are reporters administratively illiterate? The letter would've been drafted by some bod on 30k and cleared by someone on 50k - NOT the Labour Party which, I am told, isn't the Civil Service. It's likely never even getting a glance by an economist or the Minister and will be (if you're cynical) recycling lines from the last government barring a proper steer otherwise.

I'm not questioning that Labour Ministers won't make a massive spending commitment during a Spending Review and will reflexively try to plug a hole using investors. You won't see any commitment until next spring unless the Chancellor is willing to put her neck out - and even then she likely would announce it at the end of the month. But this just picks at low-hanging fruit for a 'gotcha' headline. Also I dislike when campaigners cherry pick.

Complain box ticked
>> No. 100140 Anonymous
5th October 2024
Saturday 5:28 pm
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https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cy4301n3771o
>Nearly £22bn pledged for carbon capture projects
I regret to inform you that while there is no money left for anything but investment, the investment money has been allocated towards increasing our national stock of magic beans.
>> No. 100141 Anonymous
7th October 2024
Monday 10:29 am
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Am I supposed to care or have an opinion on this Sue Gray thingy?
>> No. 100142 Anonymous
7th October 2024
Monday 11:51 am
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>>100141

I don't know exactly why nor care that much, but the press have clearly been gunning for her ever since she did that report about the covid parties. I suspect she has tread on the wrong establishment toes at some point down the line and thus she became another line of attack. It was quite short sighted of Kier to give her the job because it was obvious that's what would happen, really.

I take all that to mean she's probably very good at her job. Too good. But it's still far too boring to give a fuck about.
>> No. 100143 Anonymous
7th October 2024
Monday 6:00 pm
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>>100140

Carbon capture boils my piss. There are a few cases where it could be used in a difficult industry to decarbonise sure but the money is better spent most of the time in carbon-free energy projects.
>> No. 100144 Anonymous
7th October 2024
Monday 8:13 pm
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>>100143
This. Outside of a few very specific industrial applications, which only really make sense if said industry is located right next to the thing that's emitting carbon dioxide, carbon capture and storage is a meme. Even moreso than tidal energy.

Obligatory reminder: Do not take seriously any tidal project that doesn't at least hint at solving the "turbines giving up after about five minutes at sea" problem.
>> No. 100145 Anonymous
8th October 2024
Tuesday 3:38 am
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>>100142
I thought the press were fairly soft on her until recently, but in fairness I start from the position that if you write a report like that you should recuse yourself from moving into a party-political role to avoid the appearance of a conflict of interest, and the press letting you and your party get away with that as something of a failure. I'd attribute her recent fall to Labour's own internal politicking: A bunch of career climbers didn't cling on through the Corbyn years just to be told that they can't have the top job because it's going to a former civil servant who hasn't submitted a hostile briefing against you-know-who in her life. Well, with him out of the way and with infighting as your only skill, you've got to brief against someone - why not her? That still gets the press going for her, but out of laziness rather than bad blood.
>> No. 100146 Anonymous
8th October 2024
Tuesday 1:00 pm
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I know people keep saying it's a genius move to do all the unpopular stuff while the next election is five years away but, realistically speaking, are they going to turn this around or will the disapproval continue?
>> No. 100147 Anonymous
8th October 2024
Tuesday 1:18 pm
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>>100146

I like to think it's all Wes Streeting playing the pieces off against each other, waiting for the right moment to stick the knife in and take the Iron Throne for himself.

Well, maybe not him personally but I can definitely see it being a problem for this government in general. Like otherlad says, they're a bunch of backstabbing careerists who got where they are by throwing the previous leadership under the bus. It won't be at all surprising if they can't make it five years without tearing each other apart from within- You can see why Kier has to take such a strong approach to discipline, he knows full well he can't trust a single one of the slimy fucks underneath him.

Anyway the worst thing about those charts is that it demonstrates Theresa May was the best PM we've had in the last decade.
>> No. 100148 Anonymous
8th October 2024
Tuesday 1:49 pm
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>>100147
Was she actually a bad PM? Everything from Brexit onwards is a little bit of a blur.

All I really remember is that she was constantly undermined on Brexit, tried to bring in social care reform and that she was a bit awkward. I find the last point a little endearing.
>> No. 100149 Anonymous
8th October 2024
Tuesday 3:16 pm
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>>100148
She was Home Secretary before she was Prime Minister, and Home Secretary is a job which pretty much just consists of embracing every single hard-right reactionary talking point, so I never liked her. But she did mellow out as PM. I remember the death tax or whatever they wound up calling it, which I massively supported, but it lost her a lot of votes. She was also asked what sort of Brexit she supported and she said “a red, white and blue Brexit is the best Brexit for Britain” or whatever, which was an insult to the intelligence of anyone who isn’t such a colossal mong that they’d oppose selling houses to pay for social care.
>> No. 100155 Anonymous
9th October 2024
Wednesday 2:20 pm
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Austerity bad!

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2024/oct/08/reeves-to-press-ahead-with-capital-spending-plans-despite-rising-debt-costs

Borrowing billions bad!
>> No. 100161 Anonymous
11th October 2024
Friday 9:48 am
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If the Tories weren't about to elect a clown as their leader I imagine this could get much worse.
>> No. 100162 Anonymous
11th October 2024
Friday 3:31 pm
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>>100161

That'd still put Labour on a majority of 110. The Tories are getting shagged up the arse by FPTP - if they move to the right to take votes from Reform, they lose votes to the Lib Dems and vice versa. It isn't clear how they can dig their way out of that hole, even if Labour implode.
>> No. 100163 Anonymous
11th October 2024
Friday 7:06 pm
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>>100162
>The Tories are getting shagged up the arse by FPTP
That's a shame.
>> No. 100164 Anonymous
11th October 2024
Friday 9:34 pm
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>>100161

That's almost entirely the over 60s suddenly face heel turning, I am sure. Who'd have thought the olds would get so outraged when Labour finally got tough on benefits?

>No not like that!

Fucking pricks.
>> No. 100165 Anonymous
11th October 2024
Friday 11:07 pm
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>>100164
The sooner they get rid of that silly third limb of the triple lock that effectively guarantees that the richest generation just get richer, the better. I get making sure it keeps up with inflation, so that its value isn't eroded. I get making sure it keeps up with wages, so that the olds aren't excluded from the prosperity of wider society, even if the basis for that is questionable. But the 2.5% is just a straight-up transfer.

Here's an idea for you. Tie the state pension to in-work benefits such as the UC Standard Allowance. If you're going to increase the pension, you'll also have to give more money to younger people who aren't working. If you want to argue that the scroungers are getting too much, well then you're going to have to cut the pension. Nobody gets what they want unless both sides get what they want.
>> No. 100166 Anonymous
12th October 2024
Saturday 5:14 am
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>>100164
>That's almost entirely the over 60s suddenly face heel turning, I am sure.

Looking at their data and comparing it with July:

- The number of 35 to 44 year olds saying they'd vote Labour has fallen from 43% to 30%.
- The number of those 65+ saying they'd vote Labour has fallen from 33% to 22%.

It's been falls across the board, you can't blame all your woes on pensioners.
>> No. 100167 Anonymous
13th October 2024
Sunday 9:21 pm
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Labour’s poll lead ends after 934 days

https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/labours-poll-lead-ends-after-934-days/
>> No. 100168 Anonymous
13th October 2024
Sunday 10:46 pm
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>>100167

Remember that bit about the Tories getting bummed by FPTP?
>> No. 100171 Anonymous
15th October 2024
Tuesday 9:05 am
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Cuts for pensioners but free weight loss injections for unemployed fatties!

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cjd54zd0ezjo
>> No. 100172 Anonymous
15th October 2024
Tuesday 11:10 am
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>>100171

Well It's not quite as ambitious as my plan to put fatties to work on giant treadmills so they generate power while they lose weight, but I suppose it's a start.
>> No. 100173 Anonymous
15th October 2024
Tuesday 11:39 am
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>>100171
We got some serious fucking problems in this country yet all people want to do is ridicule any ideas to address them. Shame.
>> No. 100175 Anonymous
15th October 2024
Tuesday 12:26 pm
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>>100173
Let's wait and see the outcome of the trial, but surely giving fat doleys Ozempic is going to do fuck all to address the factors which lead to an unhealthy lifestyle. It's a sticking plaster to treat a symptom, not the cause.
>> No. 100176 Anonymous
15th October 2024
Tuesday 12:31 pm
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>>100175
Obesity is tremendously self-perpetuating. Once you're 25 stone it can feel preposterous to imagine anything else for yourself. As you rightly say, let's wait and find out, but calling it a "sticking plaster" isn't really doing that.
>> No. 100177 Anonymous
15th October 2024
Tuesday 1:25 pm
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>>100176
>calling it a "sticking plaster" isn't really doing that.

If someone has trauma they need therapy. Giving them medication doesn't address the underlying issues. This is no different.
>> No. 100178 Anonymous
15th October 2024
Tuesday 1:32 pm
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>>100177

A big part of the obstacle to weight loss is mental. If somebody has a big of medicine that gives them a head start and makes them feel a bit better about themselves, I would say it stands to reason they are more likely to succeed in continuing to lose weight and keep it off.

Let's not spiral off on that tangent again but I sense a lot of the same unspoken puritanism that makes people so irrational about vapes and smoking. If it gets people started, if it reduces the burden on the health service, and it is born out by evidence that it has a positive impact, it shouldn't be dismissed.
>> No. 100179 Anonymous
15th October 2024
Tuesday 2:37 pm
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>>100178

Ozempic works. Everyone who is overweight or obese and starts taking Ozempic loses a lot of weight quickly. Practically everyone who takes it gets much healthier in all sorts of ways - so much so that there's a serious debate about whether it might make sense for everyone to take a GLP-1 agonist like Ozempic, even people who aren't overweight. It's a properly revolutionary class of drugs.

If the problem is that a lot of people are too fat to work and/or so fat that they're getting seriously ill, then the widespread prescribing of Ozempic is an absolute no-brainer. I have a feeling that a lot of people don't actually care about the health of the country, but just like having an underclass that they can sneer at.
>> No. 100180 Anonymous
15th October 2024
Tuesday 6:57 pm
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>>100177
I've heard so many sodding people say this as if being obese was not primarily a physical problem. Yeah, not knowing when to knock the biccies on the head and only eating fried food can have a psychological component, but being so fat it's dibilitating, or even just quite portly, is not always some kind of freudian cry for help or the malformed expression of past trauma. My granddad's heart didn't explode because granddma' left him back in the 1970s, it was because since then he'd eaten nothing but fry-ups and curries.

Is the opinion that obesity is really a psychological condition some kind of massive overcorrection since everyone now knows it's okay to be mentally ill? The vox pops on the news were saying it as well.
>> No. 100181 Anonymous
15th October 2024
Tuesday 8:36 pm
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>>100180

At the most basic level, yes, it's about calories in versus calories out, but that's a bit like trying to solve an engineering problem with only physics formulas in your head. Essential, but not enough by itself.

It might seem wanky to talk about "food environments" but it really does matter in terms of human health. Utlimately, we're pragmatic creatures making choices within a certain set of limitations. I'm a health nut by most standards, but I'll eat a bacon sandwich if that's all that's available within a certain time or level of effort. The same goes for multiple criteria; we may be willing to trade off nutritional value for the sake of familiarity, enjoyment, satiety, whatever else.

This matters not just for practical reasons, but psychological ones, as well. You're right that not all overweight or obese people consume too much due to trauma, but there's a sliding scale of will that can be compromised by our mental state. If you've ever eaten a nutritionally poor, or even just a "good enough" meal after a stressful day, then you'll understand what I mean.

If your life is generally stressful, or you have been affected by trauma, imagine yourself in the kind of food environment that allows for easy, quick, dense calories. What may have once been expressed as alcoholism, drug use or other bad habits can also come out as overeating. Adverse childhood events (often abbreviated to ACEs) have been shown to be well-correlated with obesity in children. I would probably say this is just a new behaviourial expression of the same traumas that kids have always unfortunately experienced, but calories in versus calories out doesn't help those for whom food is one of the very few comforts of life: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8192341/
>> No. 100182 Anonymous
15th October 2024
Tuesday 8:36 pm
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>>100180

At the most basic level, yes, it's about calories in versus calories out, but that's a bit like trying to solve an engineering problem with only physics formulas in your head. Essential, but not enough by itself.

It might seem wanky to talk about "food environments" but it really does matter in terms of human health. Utlimately, we're pragmatic creatures making choices within a certain set of limitations. I'm a health nut by most standards, but I'll eat a bacon sandwich if that's all that's available within a certain time or level of effort. The same goes for multiple criteria; we may be willing to trade off nutritional value for the sake of familiarity, enjoyment, satiety, whatever else.

This matters not just for practical reasons, but psychological ones, as well. You're right that not all overweight or obese people consume too much due to trauma, but there's a sliding scale of will that can be compromised by our mental state. If you've ever eaten a nutritionally poor, or even just a "good enough" meal after a stressful day, then you'll understand what I mean.

If your life is generally stressful, or you have been affected by trauma, imagine yourself in the kind of food environment that allows for easy, quick, dense calories. What may have once been expressed as alcoholism, drug use or other bad habits can also come out as overeating. Adverse childhood events (often abbreviated to ACEs) have been shown to be well-correlated with obesity in children. I would probably say this is just a new behaviourial expression of the same traumas that kids have always unfortunately experienced, but calories in versus calories out doesn't help those for whom food is one of the very few comforts of life: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8192341/
>> No. 100183 Anonymous
16th October 2024
Wednesday 10:01 am
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We'll be seeing a lot more train and car induced suicides in the near future.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c98y09n8201o
>> No. 100184 Anonymous
16th October 2024
Wednesday 10:23 am
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>>100183
If they were any good at getting people jobs I might think this was a good idea.
>> No. 100185 Anonymous
16th October 2024
Wednesday 10:38 am
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>>100183

That very much depends on whether it's support or "support". We don't really talk about the fact that the JobCentre have basically given up on actually helping people to get jobs. Claimants are generally either ignored or hounded, but rarely asked "what can we do to help you get into work?".
>> No. 100186 Anonymous
16th October 2024
Wednesday 11:32 am
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>>100183

Bit excessive. You can still do that if and when they're well enough again.

We're obviously not talking about patients with a bit of depression, but according to the article, people with serious mental illnesses. They're not in a place in their lives where getting a job should be a top priority.

One of my English teachers in school was in and out of mental health treatment for years, with leaves of absence that would sometimes last almost the whole year. She was schizophrenic and was on strong medication every day to keep her from hearing voices. She eventually retired when she was about in her late 40s because she was too mentally ill. I guess my point is, from a certain level of mental illness, you're not going to be a productive member of the workforce for a significant length of time in one go, and getting a job isn't going to improve your mental health, and could even worsen it. So why not leave people like that alone. Yes, they cost all of us money. But just think if that was you.
>> No. 100187 Anonymous
16th October 2024
Wednesday 11:41 am
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>>100183
I went through an employment coaching program once. I cried in an open office and asked to go out onto the balcony for fresh air - they refused because they apparently thought I would jump. We went out onto the street in the end and continued the meeting there, but they advised me to claim a higher grade of ESA and DLA.

I the proceeding 15 years, the thought of having to go through that again is troubling but I'm not sure if it's simple fear of change or genuine concern and lesser ability to maintain my mental health under working pressures. I hesitate to say I could probably do some self employed manual labor while living in comfortably poor - selling a rabbit hutch here and there - but I'd need council tax support at minimum.

My lapsed housing benefit experiment is going okay by the way; down some savings but it looks like I could go a few years before needing to reclaim.
>> No. 100188 Anonymous
16th October 2024
Wednesday 11:43 am
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>>100185

Because they know there's fuck all they can do, really. It's been like this for so long now we've just come to accept it, but at the end of the day, the job market is tilted so heavily in favour of the employer that the natural result is vast swathes of people who are all but unemployable. Employers can afford to be picky, they can hire people who should be doing better jobs for minimum wage entry level roles. So the people who are just barely qualified and capable of doing minimum wage entry level roles in the first place don't even get a look in.

On a fundamental level, there are more people looking for jobs, than there are jobs going in the economy. Every vacancy will get dozens of applications, and against such competition, people who don't have much experience and have been long term unemployed for whatever reason, simply don't stand a chance unless they get a lucky break. The government knows this but acts as if it can just push those people harder and they will magically become employable, as if employers will just give people jobs out of the goodness of their heart and all those people are doing wrong is they're not sending enough applications out. It's absurd.

No amount of "support" will fix it, whether it's real or not. I don't know what would.
>> No. 100189 Anonymous
16th October 2024
Wednesday 2:52 pm
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>>100188

That might be true in some parts of the country, but it's certainly not reflective of the national picture.

I live in a depressed part of the north west with persistently high rates of unemployment and poverty. There are also constant vacancies for a lot of unskilled work. If you're willing to work in a care home or a warehouse or a factory, you can get a job starting tomorrow, even if you've got no qualifications.

They aren't good jobs obviously, but they're jobs, they're available to basically anyone and they generally pay a little bit above minimum wage. It's fair enough if someone is physically or mentally unable to cope with that kind of working environment, but that's a very different problem to a complete lack of available work. I absolutely don't want to tar everyone with this brush, but I know that some people just think "I'd rather sign on than do that - not a totally unreasonable position, but a very different problem to there not being enough jobs.

Speaking from experience, there's a third category of long-term claimants who the government can really do a lot to help at fairly low cost - people who are, for entirely understandable reasons, too discouraged or scared to even try.

A lot of people are absolutely miserable on the dole and feel stuck, but they're not confident that they could stick at a job and they're terrified of losing their benefits. If they try it and it doesn't work out, then they're not even back to square one - Universal Credit is paid in arrears, so they'll go into debt while they're waiting five weeks for their first payment. If someone has been through the work capability assessment process and been assigned as having Limited Capacity for Work, they're rightly worried that if they try a job, it'll be held against them as proof that they are actually capable of work. I've spoken to people who are just too skint to pay for bus fare to work until they get their first pay packet - you used to be able to claim a small grant if you started a new job to cover things like travel and clothes, but the Tories cut it.

Under the last government, the benefits system became totally adversarial - all stick and no carrot. Perhaps it was ideology, perhaps it was just a lack of resource, but the idea of helping people get back into work just went out of the window. The default attitude was that everyone on benefits was just a scrounger who needed to be menaced or punished until they bucked their ideas up. Anyone who has been on the receiving end of that knows that it's completely counter-productive - you're just not equipped to take chances on things if you're living in constant fear of destitution.

Get rid of the waiting period on new UC claims, or at least allow people to pause their claim for a few months while they try a job - if it doesn't work out, you can sign back on like nothing happened. Give jobseekers a bus pass like pensioners get. Start a subsidised scheme so that people can rent a bicycle or moped. Let people claim housing benefit and council tax benefit at the full rate for their first month or two of employment, so they aren't worried about becoming homeless if things go tits up. Give people a small grant to buy a suit for an interview or a set of PPE. Make it clear that the JobCentre actually want you to find a job and take away the fear that they're constantly trying to trip you up and land you with a sanction.
>> No. 100190 Anonymous
16th October 2024
Wednesday 3:29 pm
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>>100189

It is true, though. The numbers are roughly ~2 million unemployed people, and an estimated ~450,000 vacancies for jobs currently. There's a surprisingly large number of economically inactive people who don't have a job, but aren't considered unemployed, too, but that's another argument if you want to look into how they actually measure these numbers.

Those unskilled jobs you are talking about are always available because they have a high turnover, people will do them for as long as they can stomach it, but they will invariably jump ship at the first chance they get to do something less demanding. Which works fine for the employers because there's always somebody else to take the place of the workers who leave. That's why they never have to increase the wages or improve the conditions, they can more or less treat those workers as expendable because they can recruit another at a moment's notice. This is a feature, not a bug, that's what the term systemic unemployment means. It's also the material basis why people are not incorrect to point out that immigration negatively impacts wages.

It's a complex issue but the broader overall picture, when you zoom out, is that supply and demand push/pull is squarely weighted tin favour of the employer. The bargaining power of the prospective labourer, who needs to work in order to be able to put the heating on this winter without sinking even deeper into debt, is much lower than that of the employer, who is free to set more or less whatever terms they wish because they know people will have to take it.

That's not to say there aren't exceptions. On the opposite side of that you do have workers like the train drivers, who must be commended for the fact they have run their unions like a medieval guild and fiercely guard entry into the profession. They are in many respects artificially restricting the supply of labour so that they have the bargaining power to demand better pay and conditions. If you ask me, turnabout is fair play, that's just doing the same thing in reverse as what business owners are doing when they support policies that increase the labour pool and weaken the bargaining power of workers.

But TL;DR all of this is, to me, why the "free market" just isn't the optimal solution. It never has been and never will be. Torylad can come in and start bleating on about how it's better than having queues for food in East Germany or whatever other strawman whataboutism bollocks he wants to, but our economy could be doing so much better if the government took a more proactive approach, with a long term strategy, instead of leaving it up to the market and hoping these multinationals will just pour enough investment in for things to work themselves out.
>> No. 100191 Anonymous
16th October 2024
Wednesday 3:45 pm
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>>100189
>>100190

I should add on to this to be clear- Under the Tories, at least, it absolutely was ideologically driven. It was ideologically driven to the point of shooting themselves, and the country, in the foot.

Making benefits more punitive is just one more thing that further weakens to bargaining power of a prospective employee- The reason they made is all stick and no carrot, and constantly pushed the narrative of welfare queens turning down jobs so they can stay on the dole, is a cover for their true objective. Suppress wages. They didn't want the Job Centre to support you to get a job, they wanted you to be desperate and willing to do anything.

This is one of the reasons why anyone regardless if you are a bleeding heart lefty liberal or a conservative yourself should despise what they did to this country over their term. They wanted to make this country into a sweatshop, essentially. A low wage economy that's cheap to do business in. Which, in turn, means you're going to get less back on your tax returns, because income tax is the most effective way to tax a business if you think about it. Corporation tax is full of so many loopholes it's impossible to get them to pay their share, but nobody's dodging income tax, are they.

So when we look at the state of the country's finances, and we ask who's to blame, that's a huge part of it.
>> No. 100192 Anonymous
16th October 2024
Wednesday 10:55 pm
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I'd just like to repost my opinion about how to massively improve the job market overnight: ban recruitment companies. All jobs, everywhere in the country, need to be registered with the Job Centre, and everyone should be able to browse every single job. No more "you can't see details of any jobs until you give us your CV and let us sell you to prospective employers", no more jobs that are only advertised on LinkedIn, no more recruiting internally without advertising the job anywhere. You don't have to hire the people who will come applying if you still want your corrupt boys's club, but you do have to let them know about the jobs. There's bound to be something out there for most people.

>>100189
These are also brilliant ideas. And if I can be really utopian, I would like to make companies pay to train employees to do a job, if they can't fill a job within 12 months, say. The news regularly has companies complaining that they can't hire anyone to programme their AI, but if you say, "I will do it if you teach me how", they don't want to know. They insist on getting someone who knows already, with absolutely zero outlay of their own. It makes me so angry.
>> No. 100193 Anonymous
16th October 2024
Wednesday 10:58 pm
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>>100192
This, also compensation must be advertised. If you're going to grossly underpay people, you should be made to publicly wear that as a badge of shame.
>> No. 100194 Anonymous
16th October 2024
Wednesday 11:36 pm
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>>100192

They tried to do that with the apprenticeship levy. The money is there for employers to take on workers at a heavy subsidy, and it's use it or lose it so in theory the incentive is there too- But companies still don't care, and when they do care, they do it just for cheap labour where they hire somebody on for the fixed term and then boot them after the apprenticeship. Often they'll train people up via apprenticeship, and make it sound really promising through the adverts, to do a job that they'll realise six months down the line, they hire people with no skills or experience to do anyway, and no prospects of advancement.

In theory though I absolutely agree, as somebody who didn't go to uni this has been a massive chip on my shoulder my entire working life. I am capable of doing plenty of things, I have had experience in a pretty surprising variety of fields because I had a four year head start at actually working compared to people who went to uni, but employers simply aren't willing to teach people to do jobs. They want an employee to just come along and be able to just do it 100% from day one.

I don't quite agree with agencies- Yes they're parasites in the same way as estate agents, middlemen who exist for no good reason in theory, but over the course of my many jobs I've found them incredibly helpful. It takes a lot of the tedium out of job searching to just chuck your CV over to some Gemma From HR type and let her do the legwork for you. I think that's one of the tricks a lot of struggling unemployed people haven't figured out- But then, they probably don't have a very good CV for Gemma to work with I suppose.
>> No. 100195 Anonymous
18th October 2024
Friday 1:14 pm
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>Changes to disability benefit assessments are set to come into force soon as Rachel Reeves reportedly pushes ahead with plans to shave £3 billion from the welfare bill ahead of Labour’s upcoming Budget.

>The previous Conservative government announced in 2023 that the Work Capability Assessment (WCA) would be reformed, with the qualifying criteria being significantly overhauled. According to research from the Department of Work and Pensions (DWP), the changes will mean around 450,000 fewer people will be considered to have limited capability for work.

>Labour recommitted to the plans in its election manifesto, saying the WCA is “not working” and needs to be “reformed or replaced”. Previous estimates from the Office for Budget Responsibility show the measure would save £3 billion over the next four years, figures understood to already be factored into Treasury spending assumptions. It is not yet clear if the new government’s plans for WCA will take a different form, with the DWP saying they still plan to release more details.

>However, the government should not make these changes “in haste”, warned experts from living standards think-tank the Resolution Foundation in its ‘Cutbacks Ahead’ report. They said the reform will mean around 450,000 people whose health prevents them from working will see a benefit cut of up to £4,900 a year.

>Its research shows only around 3 per cent of those affected (around 15,400 people) would move into work, with the rest still unable to work while also nearly £5,000 worse off. It is forecast the measure will raise about £1.3bn a year for the Treasury by 2028/29.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/dwp-wca-assessment-changes-pip-disability-latest-b2631496.html

Red Tories.
>> No. 100196 Anonymous
18th October 2024
Friday 2:01 pm
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>>100195

The most frustrating thing about all this is, even if you don't take issue with the ethical aspect of the fucking Victorian poorhouse approach to hounding these people into work, that it's really illogical from a savings point of view. It's making tiny savings from a pool of money that's already a tiny fraction of the budget.

It's like when people go on a diet and instead of cutting out the Snickers and two bags of crisps after lunch every day, they decide they'll cut back from putting two sugars in their cuppa to just one.
>> No. 100197 Anonymous
21st October 2024
Monday 11:37 am
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https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c98y09n8201o

>Job coaches could visit mental health patients when they are in hospital to help them get back to work, the government has said.

>Trials of employment advisers giving CV and interview advice in hospitals produced "dramatic results", Work and Pensions Secretary Liz Kendall told the BBC.

Imagine ending up in psychiatric care and they send a dozy twat from the local job centre to force you to work on your CV.
>> No. 100198 Anonymous
21st October 2024
Monday 11:45 am
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>>100197
Scroll up.
>> No. 100199 Anonymous
21st October 2024
Monday 12:10 pm
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>>100197

>The figure has fallen marginally from the May to July period, but it remains at close to a decade-high after rising during the pandemic. "There is clear evidence we are really struggling with health problems," Kendall added.

And why is that? Why are we struggling so much? Instead of dancing aroun the issue can we get somebody to actually address the elephant in the room just once? The fact that most modern jobs are enough to drive anyone mental, and doing them week in week out for the kind of shit pay we do them for is depressing in and of itself? How so many parts of the country are the kind of bleak post industrial wasteland where Threads is starting to feel like a hopeful vision of the future?

I really think you might get more people back into work if you address that.

>She also urged employers to “think differently” about workers with mental health conditions to offer flexibility to support and retain workers with health problems.

Oh I'm sure that'll tell 'em yeah. Modern workplaces treat mental health the exact same way as health and safety. Just like how they give you a high vis jacket so you can't sue them when you get injured on the job, they give you your six weeks of free CBT with some unqualified knobhead over Zoom, because they have to do that to cover their own arse when they sack you for having too much time off.

Why the fuck would they do anything to support and sustain mentals when they can just employ somebody healthy, because we have a huge surplus of unemployed people for them to chose from?

>Kendall also told the BBC job centres would be transformed by merging them with the national careers service and using AI.

Ha ha ha ha ha fuck sake.
>> No. 100240 Anonymous
24th October 2024
Thursday 2:59 pm
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https://www.gov.uk/government/news/government-crackdown-on-single-use-vapes

TL;DR Single use vapes banned from 1st June next year.

I'm one of the vape evangelists and even I can get behind this one. Disposables are a huge fucking waste. First sensible thing this government's done.
>> No. 100257 Anonymous
25th October 2024
Friday 2:06 pm
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>Landlords and shareholders face being hit with tax rises at next week’s budget after Sir Keir Starmer suggested they are not “working people”.

>The Prime Minister said those who earn extra income from property and investments are not covered by Labour’s manifesto pledge to protect “working people” from paying more.

>His remarks come amid widespread expectation that Ms Reeves will use the Budget to increase capital gains tax on profits from the sale of shares. Landlords will face record stamp duty bills next year if the Chancellor goes ahead with unwinding property tax breaks introduced by the Tories.

>Cabinet ministers have also suggested that anyone who earns more than £100,000 a year is not considered a working person, and so is not covered by the guarantee.

https://www.I need to find an archive link for this.co.uk/politics/2024/10/24/landlords-and-shareholders-face-tax-hikes-starmer-working/
>> No. 100258 Anonymous
25th October 2024
Friday 2:57 pm
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>>100257

>Cabinet ministers have also suggested that anyone who earns more than £100,000 a year is not considered a working person

How the fuck do they think somebody earns £100K. 90 percent of the time anyway.
>> No. 100259 Anonymous
25th October 2024
Friday 3:08 pm
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>>100258
The standard salary of an MP is £91,346. They've got a habit of thinking that whatever they're on should be just below whatever tax rises are being implemented.

You can almost guarantee the 60% tax trap will vanish if MP salaries reach £100k in two or three years.
>> No. 100260 Anonymous
25th October 2024
Friday 3:30 pm
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>>100257
>Landlords will face record stamp duty bills next year if the Chancellor goes ahead with unwinding property tax breaks introduced by the Tories.

Looking forward to seeing this cost passed on to renters.

>He would not say what level of savings Sir Keir considered to be small, only that it was more than would be required by families to get out of “difficulty”.

I thought I was fine but that's a pretty fucking low-bar isn't it? Realistically what is 'get out of difficulty' money - I'd say 10k for something like fixing a roof but that's being generous.

>>100258
My assumption is that's total household i.e. a lot of families with two working parents are about to get shafted on childcare.
>> No. 100261 Anonymous
25th October 2024
Friday 3:48 pm
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>>100260
>I thought I was fine but that's a pretty fucking low-bar isn't it?

It's not like they don't have form for this. A single pensioner should lose the winter fuel allowance if their income goes £1 above £11,343.80.
>> No. 100262 Anonymous
25th October 2024
Friday 3:57 pm
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They call him two tear keir because he makes you shed exactly two tears for the poor souls making just £100,000 a year in a country with an average household income of £34,500.
>> No. 100263 Anonymous
25th October 2024
Friday 4:06 pm
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If median earnings is 35k, two average earners are on 70k combined. Anyone on 100k is considerably above the average, so I don't know why you lot are squawking about this like it's penny pinching from hard up paupers.

They're not the upper crust by any means but you have to understand the distribution. "Tax high earners more" is all well and good but if you're only talking about the very top that's a vanishingly small number of people compared to the people who are merely earning a good bit above the average. We absolutely should tax them more but even then it won't bring as much as you'd like. If you want to actually rake in significant tax, then soz Mr Upper Middle Class, it's you who's going to have to pay your share.

You have already reaped the rewards of this country's fine educational establishments and infrastructure in order to ascend to the heady heights of Waitrose shopper, and you're more than willing to pay a tenner for some fairtrade organic renewable keenwah, but when the country needs you to chip in you plead poverty.

Realtalk though, we need to tax assets more, not earnings.
>> No. 100264 Anonymous
25th October 2024
Friday 4:22 pm
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>>100263
I think you're missing the point. The issue isn't that Labour are potentially taxing people who earn over £100k more, it's pledging they aren't going to raise taxes on working people and then coming out with some nonsense about how those earning that much don't count as working people.

There's no need for this disingenuous nonsense. I thought they were making a big deal about the grown ups now being in charge, but they're behaving just as duplicitous as the Tories.
>> No. 100265 Anonymous
25th October 2024
Friday 4:30 pm
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>>100259

I'm not saying don't tax people more who earn more. Very generally speaking. But what this insinuates is that if you earn more than £100K a year, it was by dodgy means, in any case not with honest work.

The gross median income in the UK is now around £30K. Fine, so £100K affords you a much nicer lifestyle than £30K. That's a given. But £100K isn't rich. You'll live many times more comfortably than the average income earner, but you're not the kind of rich where higher taxes don't mean anything to you. Give or take, you'll have £5,500 take-home. Again, you're doing pretty well for yourself at that point. But if you've got a mortgage, wife, and small kids, then it's not like you'll have more money than you'll know what to do with.

What Labour are doing here is not fiscal responsibility, it's good old lefty class struggle. You get punished for having it better, and eight times out of ten, unless you're born into money, the Aristocracy or whatever other kind of generational wealth, it is the result of your own hard work.
>> No. 100266 Anonymous
25th October 2024
Friday 4:32 pm
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>>100258
Ownership, mostly.

As of 2002, £100K household income would put you firmly in the top decile, and £100k individual income would put you in the top 3% of taxpayers, which realistically puts you in the top 2% of the overall population. The sort of people who complain are the sort of people who post the meme about the guy in the bar buying all the drinks unironically.
>> No. 100267 Anonymous
25th October 2024
Friday 4:45 pm
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>>100265
>But what this insinuates is that if you earn more than £100K a year, it was by dodgy means, in any case not with honest work.
In fairness, if you're a policitian, the people you come into contact with on those earnings are lobbyists and SpAds, where "not with honest work" would be a fairly accurate summary.
>> No. 100268 Anonymous
25th October 2024
Friday 4:52 pm
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>>100264

>some nonsense about how those earning that much don't count as working people.

Yeah well what do people earning over 100k do, eh? Sit and push bloody buttons on their computers all day innit. Never done day's proper work in their lives. Quid error demonstration, matey.

Based Khmer Starmer putting all the glasses wearers in work camps.
>> No. 100269 Anonymous
25th October 2024
Friday 6:08 pm
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What if I earn under 100k but don't do much work at all? The nation holds its breath for an answer.

>>100262
>>100263
Why are you pretending we don't live in a low-wage economy? Yes, the average wage in this country is shit. It shouldn't be the big meaty bar we use to shaft the other crabs.

We had a similar outbreak in my trade union recently where people complained about losing access to a workplace canteen with 'comrades' trying to act up because these people would have to bring a lunch in like they do.
>> No. 100270 Anonymous
25th October 2024
Friday 6:21 pm
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>>100269

It's not "shafting the other crabs", the money has to come from somewhere, and that's where the largest share of taxable income is. You are just imagining there's an equivalent sum of money to be taxed off of somebody even better off than you.

I am reminded of a quote, but I can't remember who it's by, probably HH Asquith or some old timey cunt like that, about how when the country needs money to spend it passes the hat around, and all the hard worn northerners who know the value of money very well put in their coppers, but when it reaches the well off bakers and city folk of London there's an uproar.

I mean just look how deluded this cunt is.

>>100265

>What Labour are doing here is not fiscal responsibility, it's good old lefty class struggle.

I can't honestly tell if this is serious. You could be editor of the Mail with hyperbole like this.
>> No. 100271 Anonymous
25th October 2024
Friday 6:34 pm
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>>100270
No, I'm imagining a workable tax system that allows for growth while generating its revenue from growth. '100k a year' and 'savings above a rainy day fund' are not the beginnings of a tax policy.

>bakers

In fairness they do need the dough.
>> No. 100272 Anonymous
25th October 2024
Friday 7:50 pm
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>>100270

>I can't honestly tell if this is serious. You could be editor of the Mail with hyperbole like this.

You don't have to work for the DM to be a bigot.
>> No. 100273 Anonymous
26th October 2024
Saturday 9:53 am
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At first I was like...

>Labour’s Rachel Reeves attacked the proposal of an increase in National Insurance today by describing it to opposite number Rishi Sunak as a “manifesto-breaking, economically damaging and unfair tax on jobs”.

>Before the Prime Minister’s statement, Reeves made clear Labour’s opposition to the policy, saying: “The Prime Minister and the Chancellor’s plans to increase National Insurance will hit workers and business hard – at the worst possible time. The British Chamber of Commerce describe it as a ‘drag anchor on jobs growth’. The Federation of Small Businesses state that if this hike happens, fewer jobs will be created.”

https://labourlist.org/2021/09/rachel-reeves-attacks-national-insurance-hike-as-unfair-tax-on-jobs/

But then I...

>Employers' National Insurance hike to raise £20bn

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c9wrkngvyx4o
>> No. 100274 Anonymous
26th October 2024
Saturday 10:12 am
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>>100273
It's good to see that in power Labour are capable of changing for the better. Honestly if the Chamber of Commerce and the Federation of Small Businesses recommend against anything besides self-immolation and boofing mysterious white powders, do the opposite.
>> No. 100275 Anonymous
26th October 2024
Saturday 10:25 am
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>>100274
How is increasing employer's national insurance a good thing?
>> No. 100276 Anonymous
26th October 2024
Saturday 10:44 am
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>>100275
Well, I just explained that. If I had to go further I'd say raising £20 billion in public money while not effecting people's take home pay is a win-win.
>> No. 100277 Anonymous
26th October 2024
Saturday 10:49 am
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>>100276
If it costs companies more to employ people then they'll be less likely to increase salaries or recruit more people.
>> No. 100278 Anonymous
26th October 2024
Saturday 12:21 pm
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>>100276
You might want to look at how expensive employing people is already. The rule of thumb is the 75-100% rule on top of their wage which is already punishing in a country with low productivity.

But also it's a nonsense tax. There's little reason to have a second stealth income tax with different rates that increases the administrative burden on industry and confuses thick people, especially when it has a regressive cap and has just become a fund to be raided by the government with associated bennies paid via taxation and borrowing. I say little reason because it works as a nice handwave sometimes when a Chancellor doesn't want to say she's increasing income tax or the business rate at the cost of fucking over the hospitality and construction industries because it's such a blunt instrument.

Imagine if instead we had a government that said 'right lads, we're going to simplify the tax code and while things will go up it will also mean you don't have to mess about.' Then for their next magic trick they could sort out council tax valuations and provide carve-outs on stamp duty so the treasury isn't actively making the broken housing market worse.
>> No. 100279 Anonymous
26th October 2024
Saturday 12:29 pm
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>>100278

>'right lads, we're going to simplify the tax code

Has any government ever succeeded at that?
>> No. 100280 Anonymous
26th October 2024
Saturday 12:53 pm
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>>100277

Yeah that's why we should have kept the minimum wage at £4.70 or whatever it was in 1995 and everything would be doing tickety boo.

You know what's most annoying about the present situation? Seeing all the conservatives dickheads scathingly attack everything Labour does as thought they've gone full fucking Maoist, when it's the most tentative, tiny baby steps of changes.For the last four months we've heard nothing but RED TORIES TED TORIES RED TORIES, and as soon as they announce anything that can even remotely be considered lefty in spirit, the kind of cunt who reads the telegraph actually believes that means they're full fucking Marxist-Leninists.

It's mental. Everyone needs to get a grip on reality.
>> No. 100281 Anonymous
26th October 2024
Saturday 1:52 pm
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>>100280

Half the electorate don't care about public services as long as their taxes don't go up. The other half passionately cares about public services as long as their taxes don't go up.

We think of Telegraph and Guardian subscribers as being on opposite ends of the political spectrum, but both demographics are dominated by older, wealthier people. Whether they know it or not, they're engaged in a silent conspiracy to shape society in their interests. That conspiracy is the reason why people can say "someone earning £100k isn't rich" or "BtL landlords are working people" with a straight face. Reeves and Starmer see straight through it, which is why everyone is losing their shit.

>>100279

Estonia, but they're highly atypical for all sorts of reasons.
>> No. 100282 Anonymous
26th October 2024
Saturday 1:55 pm
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>>100278

Sometimes I wonder about low productivity figures because in my workplace it's almost entirely the fault of the two directors having too much say and too few planning skills. Nuggets of genius like 'let's plan to run multiple of these things all day tomorrow when we only the have the components to run one'.
I wouldn't be surprised if it's a UK phenomenon generally.
>> No. 100283 Anonymous
26th October 2024
Saturday 2:04 pm
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>>100278
>The rule of thumb is the 75-100% rule on top of their wage which is already punishing
This sounds like a fudged figure. If it's costing you ten-of-thousands of pounds to find an employee who is willing, literate and numerate then you're doing something hopelessly wrong. Especially, as I've been told on numerous occasions, most vaccancies never even get advertised publically. Even accounting for a loss of produtivity while the new starter gets to grips, and on the job training, I feel as if you only reach this number by including all the wages for everyone who works on finding a new employee in some way.
>> No. 100284 Anonymous
26th October 2024
Saturday 2:16 pm
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>>100278
There was a guardian article defending national insurance a little while ago when Hunt suggested abolishing it and it's stuck in my head ever since because it never actually advances a serious argument for them. Instead we get: "it was good in 1911", "they've got 'national' in the name", "they create solidarity because everyone pays them", and "unlike income tax they're not redistributive in principle" (somehow apparently a good thing!!)
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/mar/07/the-guardian-view-on-national-insurance-these-taxes-embody-a-solidarity-we-still-need

It really did finalise my view that NICs are indefensibly stupid - and that the guardian will print any old nonsense.
>> No. 100285 Anonymous
26th October 2024
Saturday 2:26 pm
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>>100283
I think that's the sustained cost, recruitment is extra. Think of the cost of office space, equipment, admin support, fraction of a manager, employer's NI, pension matching, all that bobbins means the salary you see in the ad isn't nearly the whole cost of adding an employee.
As a small employer, hiring someone is scary. And what if they're shit?
>> No. 100286 Anonymous
26th October 2024
Saturday 3:11 pm
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>>100279
A recent one was to pin the AIA (a deductible from taxable profits for making investments) to a figure so businesses could plan year-to-year rather than having an evolving rate.

What always holds back tax reform though is that the public at large is financially illiterate and it's not very sexy for the effort involved. So around the world you just end up with creaking behemoth tax codes overtime that are held together by plasters.

>>100280
Seems like everyone is a Tory in your world.

>>100283
You're not reading this right. The 75-100 rule refers to the additional expense an employer can expect on-top of an employees wage which all adds up for them but which you never see outside of things like pensions contributions. Obviously these costs are pernicious if you're in an industry that uses large amounts of workers with tight overheads where most of your expenses are staffing (hospitality).
>> No. 100287 Anonymous
26th October 2024
Saturday 3:37 pm
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>>100286

>Seems like everyone is a Tory in your world

If it walks like a Tory, talks like a Tory, it's probably a fucking Tory. But I will grant you, a lot of Lib Dems don't realise they are Tories.
>> No. 100288 Anonymous
26th October 2024
Saturday 4:43 pm
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>>100285
>And what if they're shit?
Then it's probably your fault because you process only attracted shit candidates.
>> No. 100289 Anonymous
26th October 2024
Saturday 4:56 pm
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>>100288

IT is lousy with fuckwits, because it's basically impossible to tell if someone knows what they're talking about unless you're a subject matter expert. Outside of a few specific areas, there aren't really any qualifications or certifications that truly demonstrate competency. Competent people often look like they don't do anything because they quietly make sure that everything works, while incompetent people often get an undeserved reputation because they're constantly running around fighting fires and saving the day. It's a really pernicious problem and I imagine it applies to all sorts of other skilled work.
>> No. 100290 Anonymous
26th October 2024
Saturday 5:18 pm
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>>100289
It's not that hard to find someone competent. If you find yourself hiring incompetents, then the problem isn't that there are too many incompetents or that they're too hard to distinguish. The problem is that you're not attracting the competent people.

I sometimes hear tech employers complaining about this, and then I go and look at their job adverts and they've got more red flags than Beijing during Party Congress.
>> No. 100291 Anonymous
26th October 2024
Saturday 5:39 pm
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>>100290
I don't follow this either. I don't work in IT but even on my end there's been plenty of people we shouldn't have hired but who managed to work the interview process. It's very hard to construct an interview method that is impervious to selecting bad candidates and simultaneously isn't so overly complicated that nobody ever completes the application form.

It's also true that there's a limited number of people who on paper tick all the boxes for a job. Especially the old problem of experiance. But taking a chance on someone who might be great is prohibitively expensive when it goes wrong. You might treat this as an employer problem but it's one that impacts the whole of society and is exacerbated by the skills gap in critical industries and the 'not being a cunt' gap in others if you want to staff a restaurant.
>> No. 100292 Anonymous
26th October 2024
Saturday 8:13 pm
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>>100291
>It's very hard to construct an interview method that is impervious to selecting bad candidates and simultaneously isn't so overly complicated that nobody ever completes the application form.
It doesn't need to be impervious to selecting bad candidates. It just needs to be good enough at selecting good enough candidates. Companies often over-engineer their processes trying to make sure they select the best candidate from those on offer, but really you're fine as long as the person you hire is good enough.

It's very rare that someone has an interview process that selects for bad candidates over good candidates. More common is that the organisation's entire hiring process and outlook causes good candidates to filter themselves out. I was recently at an event, and someone from a small tech company was talking about how there's a skills shortage and they're finding it hard to get good candidates. I looked them up, and sure enough they were advertising for a senior engineer - 4 days a week in the office, mandatory unpaid on-call, minimum pension match, no perks, and a £40k salary. Of course they weren't getting any good candidates making those demands for such a derisory package.
>> No. 100293 Anonymous
26th October 2024
Saturday 8:52 pm
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Checkmate, Marxists.
>> No. 100294 Anonymous
26th October 2024
Saturday 9:16 pm
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>>100293

Technically though, if you've got enough properties that it's actually a 50-hour work week for you to manage them, which it well could be, then why not transfer them into a limited company. You can then employ yourself as the manager. You'll probably save tax that way too. And you've turned yourself from a buy to let leech into a working person in gainful employment.

Checkmate, Lefties.
>> No. 100295 Anonymous
26th October 2024
Saturday 9:28 pm
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>Commonwealth leaders have agreed the "time has come" for a conversation about reparations for the slave trade, despite the UK's desire to keep the subject off the agenda at a two-day summit in Samoa.

>A document signed by 56 heads of government, including UK Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer, acknowledges calls for "discussions on reparatory justice" for the "abhorrent" transatlantic slave trade. The statement says it is time for a "meaningful, truthful and respectful conversation". Sir Keir said there had been no discussions about money at the meeting, and that the UK is "very clear" in its position that it would not pay reparations.

>For the UK and others, they can say their position isn’t changing and also point to a range of other topics – trade, climate change and security for instance – that, they argue, the Commonwealth offers a vital forum for. However, the prime minister did appear to leave the door open for further discussions about some form of reparatory justice, saying the "next opportunity to look at this" would be at the UK-Caribbean forum.

>Frederick Mitchell, the foreign minister of the Bahamas, said leaders hoped to come up with a "comprehensive report" on the issue at that forum, to be held in London next March. He told BBC Radio 4's Today programme he expected the UK would eventually pay financial reparations to Caribbean countries. Challenged on whether the wording of the joint statement was too vague, he said: "Behind the language is an attempt to go in a particular direction."

>Diplomats have said they expect reparatory justice to be a central focus of the agenda for the next Commonwealth summit in two years’ time. Last year, a UN judge said the UK likely owed more than £18tn in reparations for its role in slavery in 14 Caribbean countries. One person who supports reparations is the incoming Commonwealth secretary general, Shirley Ayorkor Botchwey, who was appointed on Friday. She is currently serving as Ghana's foreign minister, and has also backed the drafting of a Commonwealth free trade agreement, according to AFP.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c207m3m0xpjo

Okay then, which one of you two has the £18tn we borrowed from the Caribbean?
>> No. 100296 Anonymous
26th October 2024
Saturday 9:57 pm
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>>100295

I say we go and ask the Italians if they want to compensate us for that time the Romans invaded us.

Seriously, if all countries asked reparations of each other for all the times in increasingly distant history that they got invaded, colonised, enslaved or whatever else, then before long we'd all be broke.

Didn't Poland ask Germany just recently to pay reparations for WWII?

It's like asking your bully from school 20 years later at the reunion to pay you back for all the wedgies he gave you and the sweets he took from you.
>> No. 100297 Anonymous
26th October 2024
Saturday 10:01 pm
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>>100295
This is potentially a very stupid question, but is the Caribbean actually worse off because of the slave trade? Otherwise wouldn't they be a load of no mark countries like Vanuatu and New Caledonia?
>> No. 100298 Anonymous
26th October 2024
Saturday 10:24 pm
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>>100297

>but is the Caribbean actually worse off because of the slave trade?

I guess it depends on who you ask. It probably wasn't that popular with the actual slaves.
>> No. 100299 Anonymous
26th October 2024
Saturday 11:17 pm
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>>100295
I don't support reparations until there's no more racism. The purpose of reparations is to redress the balance, to redistribute the profits of slavery back to the descendants of the slaves. Once reparations have been paid, we should be all square and able to put the controversy behind us. If we can't do that, there's no point in paying them. But if we paid reparations today, then we would no longer need positive discrimination tomorrow. We would no longer need to reserve places at Eton and Oxbridge for people from minority backgrounds, because society would be all fair and we would have finally moved on from the legacy of racial evil. But people are still racist, especially in the modern way where innocuous things like a slight preference for tennis over basketball will snowball into tennis being on TV every year and basketball not being. For as long as the British Basketball League is less popular than Wimbledon, society is still unequal in ways that slavery reparations will not fix. And this means that black people will still get a worse deal out of life, and they will still be angry that society does not treat them fairly, even if they receive reparations. So why waste the money?
>> No. 100300 Anonymous
26th October 2024
Saturday 11:23 pm
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>>100297

It's not my most well studied area of history but as far as I know there basically wouldn't be any countries there if not for the slave trade. There would just be a bunch of little tribal villages like Papua New Guinea or whatever. If you want to be a pedantic cunt you could argue Afro-Carribean people are the colonisers.

It's all a grift, because even if we did pay reparations, whose pockets would that money end up in? Certainly not the average Jamaican povvo, you can guarantee that.
>> No. 100301 Anonymous
27th October 2024
Sunday 1:34 am
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>>100300
>If you want to be a pedantic cunt you could argue Afro-Carribean people are the colonisers.
That's not pedantry, that's just contrarian-ing yourself into being a complete div.
>> No. 100302 Anonymous
27th October 2024
Sunday 1:38 am
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>>100296
>I say we go and ask the Italians if they want to compensate us for that time the Romans invaded us.
Why? The Italians aren't living in a country and an economy built upon the looted wealth of the Romans. That all fucked off when the empire split in two and both halves collapsed. By contrast, a significant amount of the wealth from Britain's involvement in the slave trade is still kicking around today in some form or another.
>> No. 100303 Anonymous
27th October 2024
Sunday 5:44 am
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>>100302
So it's the bastard Normans we need to go after.
>> No. 100304 Anonymous
27th October 2024
Sunday 3:23 pm
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>>100303

> the bastard Normans

Yes. Everybody named Sinclair has to pay.
>> No. 100305 Anonymous
27th October 2024
Sunday 7:56 pm
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>>100302
>The Italians aren't living in a country and an economy built upon the looted wealth of the Romans

Lad, they literally have a murder-colosseum in their capital that still generates revenue today.
>> No. 100306 Anonymous
27th October 2024
Sunday 8:00 pm
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>>100305

https://fortune.com/europe/2022/07/26/how-much-is-the-rome-colosseum-worth-deloitte-report/

>The Colosseum contributes around 1.39 billion euros (around $1.4 billion) a year to Italy’s GDP from tourism and related activities, in addition to employing around 42,700 full-time staff, according to a new report out this week by financial services company Deloitte.


They are clearly in a position to pay us back. That's just one ancient Roman ruin. Imagine how much all of them across Italy generate in annual revenue.
>> No. 100307 Anonymous
27th October 2024
Sunday 9:15 pm
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a-rs6dqemTY
>> No. 100308 Anonymous
27th October 2024
Sunday 9:39 pm
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>>100307
>Mike Amesbury's the name, leaving voters out cold is the game

From what I've seen of this, some bloke started on an MP and got battered for it. Instead of the matter being settled he's ran off crying to the police and you can hear the women in the video telling everyone who he is and making sure that they record his face.

There ought to be a law in this country about being a grass.
>> No. 100309 Anonymous
27th October 2024
Sunday 10:07 pm
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>>100307
Honestly I suspect most MPs watching that felt their hearts swell with pride and joy, given the amount of mouthy arseholes they have to deal with. It's not always without good reason, but some people are just cunts to MPs because they're thick and they don't know how anything works. This comment got a laugh out of me as well, where do they find these people?
>He’s off to prison for a few years. Hit and kicked the victim. Disgraceful behaviour by an MP

Also this is officially the most exciting thing to ever happen in Frodsham, apart from maybe the time I scrambled up a really steep bit of Frodsham Hill even though I'm dead scared of heights.

>>100308
He did have his hands in his pockets though, that's the thing. Then again if you're daft enough to give a drunk bloke at 2am stick, whether he's an MP or not, and keep your hands in your pockets, maybe you deserve a punch all the more.
>> No. 100310 Anonymous
28th October 2024
Monday 12:10 pm
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>Millions of passengers could face huge bus fare hikes if Rachel Reeves scraps the country-wide £2 cap on Wednesday.

>The Chancellor is expected to abolish the cost-of-living lifeline in order to save the Treasury £350million a year. But campaigners warn this would be a disaster.

>Worst-hit places could see fares jump by over £10 per journey, with critics saying that scrapping the cap would drive people off public transport. Leaked research at the weekend suggests that every £1 spent on the measure generates between 71p and 90p in benefits. This means it is "not financially sustainable" for taxpayers or bus operators analysis for the Department for Transport (DfT) concludes.

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/fury-2-bus-fare-cap-33980072

It's about time those who take the bus were taken down a peg or two.
>> No. 100311 Anonymous
28th October 2024
Monday 12:22 pm
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>>100310
Only people who earn over 100k can afford public transport anyway. Us working people must take advantage of alternative forms of transport like the private motorcar and long-term unemployment.
>> No. 100312 Anonymous
28th October 2024
Monday 1:58 pm
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>>100310
Remember when the Labour right's line was that we shouldn't renationalise railways because the money would be better spent on bus services, and poorer people use trains less than the bus?
I'm glad to see that was all good faith concern for the worst off and not just some old bollocks to save face while opposing a popular policy...
>> No. 100314 Anonymous
28th October 2024
Monday 3:15 pm
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>>100311

>Only people who earn over 100k can afford public transport anyway.

For longer journeys, you can still take a Megabus. Some of their routes are still reasonably priced. I just checked, Manchester to London is about 10 quid one-way. If you are going in the evening and don't mind arriving past midnight. Although, when you think about it, it seems a bit like those flights that are cheap because they're at very inconvenient times. Where your flight back goes at 4am or something.
>> No. 100315 Anonymous
28th October 2024
Monday 3:18 pm
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>>100314
Not really gonna help people with their commute to work, with local bus journeys now going up by 50%.
>> No. 100316 Anonymous
28th October 2024
Monday 3:21 pm
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>>100314

Why does the Megabus man have big tits?
>> No. 100317 Anonymous
28th October 2024
Monday 3:40 pm
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>>100315

No, not with their commutes, but at least you can go to London for 10 quid.

Or to a job interview if the job centre sends you further afield.

Admit it, you've always wanted to stock shelves in Congleton.
>> No. 100318 Anonymous
28th October 2024
Monday 3:54 pm
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>>100316
There's no need to body shame Megabus Sid.
>> No. 100319 Anonymous
28th October 2024
Monday 4:23 pm
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>>100318

I remember having a Megabus in front of me now and then when they still had him as the mascot, and after a few miles, it did kind of make you feel uncomfortable to have him looking at you the whole time.
>> No. 100320 Anonymous
28th October 2024
Monday 4:45 pm
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How about they take the free bus pass off pensioners? I bet that'd save more than putting fares up by a quid.
>> No. 100321 Anonymous
28th October 2024
Monday 4:59 pm
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>>100319
I wonder what it's like inside the Megabus. Would you be able to see those giant eyes over where the window should be?
>> No. 100322 Anonymous
28th October 2024
Monday 5:23 pm
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>>100321

>I wonder what it's like inside the Megabus

Presumably, an aroma of failed deodorant and sweaty feet, coupled with ten different Eastern European languages. And heaps of plastic- and travel bags to climb over in the aisle.
>> No. 100323 Anonymous
29th October 2024
Tuesday 5:05 am
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Oh, come on! Look at him! Imagine losing your job because you punched this bloke.

>>100321
>>100322
They're pretty nice. They're just coaches, the one I've used is about as pleasnt as a Pendolino, whilst being far cheaper and, at least the route I took way, way faster than any actual train, although to be fair I did want to go from west to east, which is obviously insane and not something a railway could ever be used for. Why would they be full of plastic and Eastern Europeans? Or lack overhead storage?
>> No. 100324 Anonymous
29th October 2024
Tuesday 6:18 am
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>>100323

To be fair, you don't just get Eastern Europeans on Megabuses. You also get Africans, hungover students and people who are talking to themselves.
>> No. 100325 Anonymous
29th October 2024
Tuesday 8:26 am
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>>100324
I don't know, mate. Maybe the Birmingham to Cambridge route is especially refined and my experiences are unrepresentative and usually the Megabus is a portal to all manner of nightmares. But you just sound like one of those Mailheads who thinks people who wear trainers need locking up. Why are they trying to move so fast, eh? What are they up to?!
>> No. 100326 Anonymous
29th October 2024
Tuesday 8:46 am
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In my experience Megabuses are also just coaches. Nothing like the horror stories you hear about American Greyhounds. Luck of the draw if one will be comfortable or not depending on what seat design they happen to have, same as Nat Express. I could just be unlucky but they do seem to break down a lot.
>> No. 100337 Anonymous
29th October 2024
Tuesday 7:40 pm
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>The minimum wage for over 21s, known officially as the National Living Wage, will rise by 6.7%, from £11.44 to £12.21 from April 2025. This year, it increased to £11.44 an hour, from £10.42.

>For 18 to 20-year-olds, the minimum wage will rise from £8.60 to £10. In April this year, the rate was increased from £7.49.

>Apprentices will get the biggest pay bump, from £6.40 to £7.55 an hour. Prior to this year, it was £5.28.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c5y37wqnvwxo

I agree with this measure, but it makes the decision to increase employers national insurance look like lunacy.
>> No. 100338 Anonymous
29th October 2024
Tuesday 8:47 pm
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>>100337

They need to make some kind of rule where when the minimum wage goes up, that other jobs which only pay a bit over minimum wage should go up proportionally too. Or maybe we need some kind of law about mandatory wage increases for length of service or something. This already overtakes the raise they gave NHS workers earlier this year for the lower bandings.

Obviously I am never going to be against raising the minimum wage but I left the NHS basically expressly because of this. The pension isn't great any more, there's scant few opportunities for training and progression any more. Why do such a stressful demanding job with few prospects, when I can walk into any other job for practically the same money?
>> No. 100339 Anonymous
29th October 2024
Tuesday 9:02 pm
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>>100338
Your CMB profile will suffer, for one.
>> No. 100340 Anonymous
29th October 2024
Tuesday 9:03 pm
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>>100338
I have a friend who used to be a doorman with a very similar mindset. When he started ~15 years ago he was on roughly double the minimum wage, but now many jobs advertised are either at minimum wage or close to it. It doesn't help that the market also became oversaturated due to the DWP sending loads of people without a job on the course to be qualified to be a doorman.
>> No. 100341 Anonymous
29th October 2024
Tuesday 9:51 pm
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>>100339

You definitely don't want to date nurses, m8.
>> No. 100342 Anonymous
29th October 2024
Tuesday 11:03 pm
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>>100323
>Imagine losing your job because you punched this bloke

I can understand it. I'd hit him.
>> No. 100347 Anonymous
30th October 2024
Wednesday 1:50 pm
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I’m not enjoying watching this Budget. Why are Labour women all so ugly? Tory psychopath ladies are always babes, but here I am watching Rachel Reeves with occasional shots of Bridget Phillipson. Yuck. I don’t enjoy being made to feel like a naughty schoolboy by frowning mong-voiced grumps.
>> No. 100348 Anonymous
30th October 2024
Wednesday 2:02 pm
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>>100347
https://x.com/richard_kaputt/status/1846636347207176553
>> No. 100350 Anonymous
30th October 2024
Wednesday 2:18 pm
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I'd forgotten how weird Rishi Sunak is.
>> No. 100351 Anonymous
30th October 2024
Wednesday 4:04 pm
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>>100350
He really bellows like a great statesman, but he smiles while he’s doing so because he just loves the fun of it all. He’s meant to be angry but he looks like he’s playing on the Be As Angry As Possible ride at Alton Towers.
>> No. 100352 Anonymous
30th October 2024
Wednesday 4:49 pm
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>>100348
Links to nu-Twitter still look like a porn site at a glance.
>> No. 100354 Anonymous
30th October 2024
Wednesday 5:15 pm
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>>100351

That's because he is. None of it matters for him. Currently he's doing that thing where you already handed in your notice and you can afford to just toss it off for two-four weeks, and suddenly it's the most fun your job has ever been because you no longer have to give a fuck.

Anyway what's the verdict then? I'm definitely working people, I wear a high vis and everything, so presumably it's loadsadosh for me, and double taxes with taxes on top for people who sit at a desk and do nowt. Right?
>> No. 100357 Anonymous
30th October 2024
Wednesday 5:39 pm
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>>100354
>Anyway what's the verdict then?

A whole lot of scaremongering over not much happening really.

The ones that don't seem entirely thought through for me are making pensions (and most payments from death in service schemes) count as part of your estate for inheritance tax and changing the rules on business/agricultural relief, but these seem to have gone mostly under the radar.
>> No. 100359 Anonymous
30th October 2024
Wednesday 6:25 pm
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All very sensible, the only one I can really object to is:

>A new tax on vapes of £2.20 per 10ml of e-cigarette liquid will kick in from October 2026.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cj0j2mj763do

Utterly bollocks. Being so much cheaper is part of the reason it's such a popular and effective alternative to cigs and smoking cessation aid. And this is no small tax- A flat £2.20 per 10ml pretty much triples the price of the liquid; but they've also applied it in a way that really leaves a lot of loopholes. There's no way it can cover making your own, and there's plenty of ways companies could just sell totally not for putting in your e-cig under any circumstance flavoured glycerin liquids.
>> No. 100367 Anonymous
30th October 2024
Wednesday 7:11 pm
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>>100359
That sort of legal fiction might work for your "sniff this to loosen up your ringpiece" liquids but it won't fly for this mainstream a product.


>> No. 100368 Anonymous
30th October 2024
Wednesday 7:21 pm
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>>100367

It's really the same thing, though. I suspect this will take several attempts for them to find a watertight way to tax it, I'll be very surprised if it goes through as is. Don't forget there's still people getting around the tax on actual tobacco by marketing rolling baccy as pipe baccy.
>> No. 100370 Anonymous
30th October 2024
Wednesday 7:29 pm
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Why does nobody see the bigger picture- We need to bring back smoking and bring it back big style, to solve the aging population demographic crisis.
>> No. 100371 Anonymous
30th October 2024
Wednesday 7:35 pm
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>>100368
I'm fairly sure more people are smoking counterfeit or smuggled tobacco than are rolling pipe tobacco. Of course they'll not reach 100% coverage. It's about what trading standards will allow to be openly sold in shops.
>> No. 100373 Anonymous
30th October 2024
Wednesday 7:58 pm
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>>100371

You'll find "technically pipe tobacco" in basically every corner shop, with the popular brands being Bayside and Fosters.

On the vaping side of things, the TPD banned bottles of e-liquid of more than 10ml, but everyone sells shortfills - big bottles of nicotine-free liquid, to which you add a 10ml shot of nicotine. Vaping devices are required to have a liquid capacity of no more than 2ml, but you'll find lots of shops selling disposables containing far more than legal limit.

My hope is that customs won't be particularly on the ball and it'll be easy to bring in untaxed liquid by post. My worry is that they will be quite on the ball and some genius will try smuggling in pure nicotine, which is incredibly dangerous for anyone who comes into contact with it.
>> No. 100392 Anonymous
31st October 2024
Thursday 4:06 pm
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Lads, apparently the bond market is shaken by the budget, and yields have increased sharply. Comparisons are being made to Liz Truss.

I don't know what this means or why it's bad. A bond yield is, apparently, how much an investor can expect to make back over the course of the bond they purchased. So it makes sense that would happen if we see a budget that increases government borrowing - they'll pay out more to bond owners, right?

It's not being explained why this is bad, though. Why would high bond yields 'crash the economy' a la Truss? Why should the government give a shit?
>> No. 100394 Anonymous
31st October 2024
Thursday 4:43 pm
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>>100392

>Why should the government give a shit?

Because government finances are being crippled by those increased borrowing costs.

In the financial year before the pandemic, the government spent £43bn on interest. In the most recent financial year, they spent £116bn on interest. That increase works out to just over £1,000 per year for every person in Britain, or just over £2,000 per year for every taxpayer. For every pound you pay in tax, 10p gets pissed up the wall on interest rather than going towards public services.
>> No. 100395 Anonymous
31st October 2024
Thursday 5:15 pm
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>>100392
If the government has to pay back more money to the people who buy bonds to incentivise them to give the government money (that’s really all bonds are, or at least the government ones: you give the government money and the bond is the promise that they’ll pay it back), then it will cost more taxpayer money in the future to pay off all the money bond-buyers are giving them now. That certainly is not ideal.

However, when the stock market does well, the bond market does worse, and when the bond market does badly, the stock market does well. So pension companies might eat a bit of shit for a while, but the stock market will presumably boom from all the people buying shares instead of bonds. And when people buy shares, that’s investment in business and it grows the economy. Exactly what we wanted to happen. So I agree that it should surely be a good thing. Where did you read this? If it was the Telegraph or somewhere, they might just be hating Labour again.
>> No. 100396 Anonymous
31st October 2024
Thursday 5:25 pm
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If the IMF is saying your budget's alright, it has to be hot air from some rich cunt who's up to their ears in whatever that will do badly from this.
>> No. 100397 Anonymous
31st October 2024
Thursday 5:28 pm
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>>100371

>I'm fairly sure more people are smoking counterfeit or smuggled tobacco than are rolling pipe tobacco.

One of my neighbours at my old flat was Polish and he would always bring loads of smuggled cigarettes back from Poland. I never understood how he kept successfully evading customs checks. This was pre-Brexit, so I guess maybe it was easier. But yeah. He always told me he wasn't selling them, just giving them away to friends and other people, but I had my doubts.
>> No. 100398 Anonymous
31st October 2024
Thursday 5:55 pm
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>>100397

You can get away with most stuff just by doing it and nobody noticing. A lot of the Slavs I have known will do stuff like that simply because they don't have the collective fear of getting caught that most polite and well adjusted Brits do. They know the chance is a lot less than people think, and if somebody does collar them, they just turn up the whole "Uhhhh prosinye uhh ne anglicky uhhh..." and there's a good chance they don't get in real trouble because who ever clocked on can't be arsed with the language barrier.
>> No. 100428 Anonymous
4th November 2024
Monday 2:13 pm
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>Sir Keir Starmer will raise university tuition fees for the first time in eight years, The Telegraph has learnt.

>This afternoon Bridget Phillipson, the Education Secretary, will announce the increase which will see tuition fees rise in line with the Retail Price Index inflation. The fee rise is expected to come into force from September 2025, meaning that it will affect A-level students who are currently applying to universities.

https://www.I need to find an archive link for this.co.uk/news/2024/11/04/raise-university-tuition-fees-2025-starmer/
>> No. 100429 Anonymous
4th November 2024
Monday 4:11 pm
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>>100428
It's not really a big increase, but using RPI instead of CPI is such a cunt move. If you're going to use RPI for tuition fees you should use it for everything else too, rather than arbitrarily picking a measure with a view to the sun it will raise.

I can only hope students get disproportionately angry about it and go off Labour for life. But then, Labour brought in the bastard fees in the first place and got away with it...
>> No. 100430 Anonymous
4th November 2024
Monday 4:14 pm
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>>100428

Difference is the Lib Dems specifically promised they wouldn't do that. Labour didn't. Technicality, but if you want to spin it to make her look bad, a technicality in her defence is also fair.
>> No. 100431 Anonymous
4th November 2024
Monday 4:16 pm
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>>100429

More people need to be in vocational education anyway. Getting everyone and their dog a degree hasn't improved anything in any meaningful way, if anything it's made lots of things worse.

Jack the fees up all they like, but they need to do more about getting business and industry to take apprenticeships seriously, and actually get employers to train staff for roles and promote internally, instead of expecting applicants to walk in off the street with 5 years experience for every job.
>> No. 100432 Anonymous
4th November 2024
Monday 4:26 pm
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>>100430
>Labour will be different. We have pledged to abolish tuition fees. And we mean it. I will be honoured to deliver this pledge in government.

https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/general-election-liberal-democrats-betrayed-students-tuition-fees-labour-a9238786.html

Might want to read Starmer's second pledge during the leadership campaign.
>> No. 100433 Anonymous
4th November 2024
Monday 4:53 pm
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>>100432

So are we on about Starmer or Rayner? It's old news that he's broken every one of the leadership campaign pledges, those are from 4 years ago. Leave the goalposts in place.

There's plenty of scope to rightfully and fairly criticise this government, such as the entirely regressive vape tax, which will hit working people the hardest no matter how you look at it and is arguably a huge blunder for public health. Why do you have to keep reaching for disingenuous ones?
>> No. 100435 Anonymous
4th November 2024
Monday 5:02 pm
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>>100433

>entirely regressive vape tax

I don't think so. A tax on vaping will help keep younguns from taking it up if they were previously non-smokers. Because let's not kid ourselves, it doesn't improve your health if you weren't previously a tobacco smoker. While there will still be a lower tax incentive for tobacco smokers to switch to vapes.
>> No. 100436 Anonymous
4th November 2024
Monday 5:16 pm
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>>100435
>I don't think

It doesn't matter what you think, it hits poorer people more, by literal definition it's regressive.
>> No. 100437 Anonymous
4th November 2024
Monday 5:19 pm
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>>100436

Yes but keeping smoking will hit them even harder. For which they apparently still have money.



I'm not a bigot, but...
>> No. 100438 Anonymous
4th November 2024
Monday 5:24 pm
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>>100437

Middle class uni ponces still have plenty of money to spend on uni too by the same token. Turn the thumbscrews. Pay your share you fucking Waitrose shopping train-commuting parasite.
>> No. 100439 Anonymous
4th November 2024
Monday 6:42 pm
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>>100438

Uni is something productive which benefits both the student and later society because they will have higher taxable income. Mickey Mouse degrees notwithstanding.

Smoking only costs the health system money and exposes one in two long-time smokers to the risk of dying prematurely from related illnesses. Add to that the risk of poverty from an inability to work. The government is right to tax the fuck out of it and make no exceptions for the poor.

Yes, you can have more lenient views on the issue. But I'm not wrong as such.
>> No. 100440 Anonymous
4th November 2024
Monday 6:52 pm
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>>100439

That's all well and good, but we are talking about vapes, not smoking.
>> No. 100442 Anonymous
4th November 2024
Monday 10:16 pm
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I don't want to sound like some awful Thatcherite, but why should the unis be bailed out by students and the government without having to give up anything in return? So far as I can tell it's a crisis largely resulting from (a) the government restricting student visas to fiddle immigration figures, which seems like a foreseeable risk, and (b) the unis deciding to take on huge piles of debt to play at being property developers in the 2010s, rather than resulting from it being fundamentally unreasonable to imagine £9k/year (plus the right to bilk foreigners) can cover the cost of actually teaching a domestic student and doing a bit of research.
I'm not so heartless as to say they should be left to go bust, but you'd think they'd have to take some hard medicine as an incentive to do better in future. If you were running a business (and many uni admin teams like to talk like they are...) and went broke, you'd be put into administration, not given a big handout and told to keep at it.
>> No. 100443 Anonymous
4th November 2024
Monday 10:53 pm
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>UK Foreign Secretary David Lammy has said the concept of reparations for former colonial nations affected by slavery "is not about the transfer of cash".

>In his first comments since 56 Commonwealth leaders signed a statement saying the time had come for a conversation about reparations, Lammy told the BBC that was not "the debate people are wanting to have". The UK government previously ruled out paying reparations for slavery and Downing Street said its position included "other forms of non-financial reparatory justice too".

>Lammy said the UK would instead look to develop relations with African nations through sharing skills and science. Lammy's remarks followed the discussion of reparations at a summit of Commonwealth leaders in Samoa in October. Amid growing calls from Commonwealth heads of government to pay reparations for the country's role in the slave trade, Downing Street had insisted the issue would not be on the table.

>But Sir Keir Starmer later signed a document calling for talks on "reparatory justice" alongside other Commonwealth leaders - though he said there had been no discussions about money at the meeting. Lammy said he believed developing nations would benefit as part of that through things such as the transfer of technical skills and science expertise from the UK.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics

Don't worry, lads. We're absolutely not discussing reparations, only we are. But we won't be paying money because we're transferring 'technical skills and science expertise' instead. Which isn't worth anything and should be absolutely how we approach issues of global development.

Fucking hell. I hope Kemi Badenoch tears Labour to ribbons over this wrong-footed policy of trying to win over the nebulous global south with goodies. There's no way this is going to end once we start chucking money around.

>>100428
I still don't get why we don't just call it a graduate tax and be done with it. I'm never paying the debt off anyway but at least if the government has it on the balance sheet then it's got income to show for it.

I'm fine with it I guess. British academia is a key asset of our economy despite getting a slither of funding they'd get elsewhere. We have our universities and the City of London, lose those and we've got nothing left.

>>100442
Every university in the country but-one is run as a charity. They partner with industry, get tuition fees and are fed research grants to generate revenue but fundamentally they are funded by and run in the interest of the state/society.

So yes, they probably should be bailed out. Not least as the fundamental problem is that international student numbers have fallen off a cliff after decades of the government telling them to generate revenue through international students and partnerships.
>> No. 100482 Anonymous
6th November 2024
Wednesday 8:58 am
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Why are we still awaiting a decision on the Lower Thames Crossing? The Dartford Tunnel is more of a national embarrassment than the average British motorist's inability to maintain a constant 50mph over the adjacent bridge.
>> No. 100555 Anonymous
8th November 2024
Friday 1:17 pm
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>Rachel Reeves has dealt another blow to farmers by preventing them from sharing their £1m tax relief with spouses or civil partners.

>The Chancellor capped the amount of agricultural assets a farmer can leave to their children tax-free at £1m under an inheritance tax raid announced in last week’s Budget. However, it has since emerged that farmers will not be able to transfer their £1m relief to their spouses – adding another layer of complexity to the controversial reforms.

>A Treasury document published alongside the Budget said: “Any unused allowance will not be transferable between spouses and civil partners.”

https://www.I need to find an archive link for this.co.uk/money/tax/inheritance/farmers-blocked-sharing-1m-inheritance-tax-relief-spouse/

She really has it in for farmers.
>> No. 100562 Anonymous
8th November 2024
Friday 8:00 pm
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What if we just got rid of all the government interference and whatnot and let capitalism do its thing? Eventually things ought to fix themselves, right?
>> No. 100569 Anonymous
9th November 2024
Saturday 1:28 pm
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>>100562
I think that's pretty much what happened in Somalia, and Russia in the early 1990s.
>> No. 100600 Anonymous
12th November 2024
Tuesday 4:06 pm
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I bought shares in a house builder before the budget because naively I thought the government might do something to promote house building like what they said. I'm now down 25%.
>> No. 100601 Anonymous
12th November 2024
Tuesday 5:22 pm
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>>100600

You're a rubbish capitalist then, the last thing anyone in Big House wants is more of them built. You should have known that would happen.
>> No. 100605 Anonymous
12th November 2024
Tuesday 6:03 pm
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>>100601
Where's Big House?
>> No. 100617 Anonymous
12th November 2024
Tuesday 8:43 pm
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>>100605

In the middle of Big Street.
>> No. 100699 Anonymous
24th November 2024
Sunday 2:46 pm
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>Cuts to the winter fuel allowance could force 100,000 pensioners in England and Wales into relative fuel poverty, government analysis has shown, as ministers come under mounting pressure over measures in last month’s budget.

https://www.theguardian.com/society/2024/nov/19/winter-fuel-payment-cuts-may-force-100000-pensioners-below-poverty-line

>A rise in people self-diagnosing with mental health problems is fuelling Britain’s worklessness crisis, Liz Kendall has said.

>The Work and Pensions Secretary said the change was one of a “combination of factors” behind spiralling rates of economic activity that are piling pressure on the UK’s welfare system. She also warned that Labour will strip people of their benefits if they refuse to engage with attempts to get them back to work, as part of a radical set of welfare reforms to be announced on Tuesday.

>Before the election, the Tories’ Mel Stride unveiled plans to tighten welfare rules to require an extra 400,000 people signed off long-term to prepare for a return to work. On Sunday, Ms Kendall pledged to deliver the savings proposed by the Tories, but stressed that this would be done through Labour’s own reforms.

https://www.I need to find an archive link for this.co.uk/politics/2024/11/24/liz-kendall-benefits-mental-health-welfare-worklessness/

Apparently the announcement on Thursday includes plans to cut £3billion from the amount being paid to those on disability and long-term sick benefits.
>> No. 100700 Anonymous
24th November 2024
Sunday 3:41 pm
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>>100699

Clue's in the name innit, they're called "Labour" not "Dolescum".
>> No. 100701 Anonymous
24th November 2024
Sunday 3:44 pm
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>>100699
If all the people who don't work are suddenly forced to go back to work, that will flood the market with labour and wages will be suppressed. Why not let wages go up instead? I hope someone asks MPs why they are so opposed to higher wages. I want to see them squirm.
>> No. 100702 Anonymous
25th November 2024
Monday 3:39 pm
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>>100700
The unemployed are workers victimised by poor economic management. We used to understand that, before government abandoned all responsibility for ensuring there was demand for labour and focusing instead on string-pushing "employability" schemes and sanctions.
See Labour's 1974 slogan: "There are a million good reasons to vote Labour - the unemployed!" (1 million unemployed was, at that time, an unthinkable postwar high. It's never come down below that, but we pretend the problem is an epidemic of laziness rather than an inevitable feature of how we run our economy.)
>> No. 100704 Anonymous
27th November 2024
Wednesday 2:41 am
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>>100702 Good news! You vill be able to spend lots of time vorking and earning a pittance, too, because you vill not haff to vorry about terrible distraktions like, porn, tobacco, or two for one meal deals (at least in Wales) as ve vill ban those things too, all for you! It's good for our health! Even as we cut £3 billion to ze people on ze disability benefits!
>> No. 100705 Anonymous
5th December 2024
Thursday 9:11 pm
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>> No. 100706 Anonymous
5th December 2024
Thursday 9:30 pm
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>>100705
>'Don't know' respondents squeezed.
All they needed was a hug.
>> No. 100707 Anonymous
5th December 2024
Thursday 10:32 pm
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>>100704
I don't really understand what this is meant to be. Nazi or Dutch person?

>>100705
Can't decide if it's better or worse that we're only five months out from the election and seeing these numbers. Actually, yeah, it is. I'd rather have four years to unfuck myself than four months or weeks.

One thing's for certain, if Labour keep claiming that the tasks facing them are insurmountable, people will believe them and look for a party with more ambition. Even if Labour think that's unfair, it's tough shit and they need to stop talking themselves out of a job ASAP. They are, in essence, trying to give themselves the same kind of cover the Tories were allowed post-Great Recession, only this time Joe Public is sick to the back teeth of being told to eat shit. I'm not really sure what policy actually bails them out. It's also no helped by the amount of people in the country going quietly mental in the comfort of their own living rooms. I heard a woman in a shop last week trying to organise, and I'm paraphrasing here, "a protest like the one with the truck drivers in Canada". All because our bankrupt council have brought in parking charges outside the supermarket. She was also telling a chap about how there's a "new kind of polio they're going to release". I probably sound hyperbolic, but it's not much better than Liberians eating each other's hearts to gain magic...

... I'm ending the post here. I realised I didn't actually know why cannibalism was practiced in the Liberian Civil Wars, and while trying to check I spent about an hour reading about cannibalism before remembering why I was doing so to begin with. Worse still I was supposed to be applying for jobs tonight.
>> No. 100708 Anonymous
5th December 2024
Thursday 10:36 pm
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>Sir Keir Starmer has set out six pledges which he says will allow voters to hold his government to account, in a major speech outlining his priorities.

It's like that thing where government's make increasingly specific legal offences because they've lost control of crime only with manifestos. At least we don't have an immigration target to absolutely smash this time around.

>In his speech at Pinewood Studios in Buckinghamshire, Sir Keir acknowledged there would be "trade-offs" and "difficult decisions" required to achieve his aims. But he said without priorities "you don't get anything delivered".
>Taking aim at the civil service, the PM said "too many people in Whitehall are comfortable in the tepid bath of managed decline".

He's going to massively cut funding for public services and then try to pass it off as civil servants needing to be efficient, isn't he?

>>100705
>If a general election was called tomorrow

Then you'd never have government raise taxes and cut freebies ever again? I'm sure if Tory/Reform voters see an opportunity you can just remind them how Thatcher polled.
>> No. 100709 Anonymous
6th December 2024
Friday 9:01 am
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>>100707
>if Labour keep claiming that the tasks facing them are insurmountable, people will believe them and look for a party with more ambition.

They've taken a very large gamble with the Budget because they've left themselves such a small cushion if things don't pan out. If growth is lower than forecasted or if the cost of borrowing goes up then more tax rises and spending cuts are likely, which will go down like a bucket of cold sick.
>> No. 100710 Anonymous
6th December 2024
Friday 12:21 pm
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>>100709
I would suggest that this is the hardest point for them as well, with the possible exception of a few months from now, when things will be the same but worse. Right now, they are taking all our money and promising to spend it on making things better, but it hasn’t been long enough for things to have noticeably improved. In another year or two, maybe things will all be a lot better. I doubt it, of course, because I have completely lost faith in the current political orthodoxy which hasn’t changed for 40 years, but things will probably be a little bit better and that might be enough.
>> No. 100711 Anonymous
6th December 2024
Friday 1:18 pm
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>>100709
>>100710
I'm wondering what is the actual tipping point here and if it's even within the control of mere mortals. Labour has given some us lukewarm goals and it makes sense for them to hedge but I'm not sure where the point is where we can say 'they've done it' or 'oh no it's all fucked'.

I agree with the idea that it will come down to the health of the London Stock Exchange in a year. Maybe that's a good thing if the 'tepid bath of managed decline' ends up meaning that we're an island of stability in world on fire or like in the Great Depression we'll be alright because the economy can't go lower than the floor.
>> No. 100712 Anonymous
12th December 2024
Thursday 12:54 pm
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>>100039
>He's looking to form a party with the pro-Palestine Muslim independent MPs called Collective.

They're focusing on the key issues facing the country..

Speaking against the proposals, Mohamed said he agreed there were health risks associated with first-cousin marriage and that forced marriage must be prevented.

"However, the way to redress this is not to empower the state to ban adults from marrying each other, not least because I don't think it would be effective or enforceable," the MP for Dewsbury and Batley said. "Instead, the matter needs to be approached as a health awareness issue and a cultural issue, where women are being forced against their will to undergo marriage. Instead of stigmatising those who are in cousin marriages or those inclined to be, a much more positive approach would be to facilitate advanced genetic test screening for prospective married couples... and more generally to run health education programs targeting those communities where the practice is most common."


https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/czend1y0xjko
>> No. 100714 Anonymous
12th December 2024
Thursday 5:40 pm
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>>100712
>>100712
>They're focusing on the key issues facing the country..

Yeah! Let's hear more from the mainstream leaders who can at least talk some sense into politics.

In an interview with The Spectator, Conservative Party leader Kemi Badenoch said: "Lunch is for wimps. I have food bought in and I work and eat at the same time. There's no time... sometimes I will get a steak... I'm not a sandwich person. I don't think sandwiches are a real food, it's what you have for breakfast." She added that she would "not touch bread if it's moist".

Asked about her comments, No 10 said Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer viewed sandwiches as a "great British institution". "I think he was surprised to hear that the leader of the opposition has a steak brought in for lunch.

"The prime minister is quite happy with a sandwich lunch." The spokesman added that Starmer "enjoys a tuna sandwich, and occasionally a cheese toastie".
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ckg8xdjexrvo

Really separating the wheat from the chaff.
>> No. 100715 Anonymous
12th December 2024
Thursday 11:01 pm
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>>100714
Gosh, she's such a character. She's mad... haha! "Lunch is for wimps", what does that mean? No, Mrs Badenoch, I'm serious, what does that mean? Are you making a joke that didn't quite travel, or is this the earnestly held opinion of a lunatic? It's actually rather important to know this before you don't become PM in four years.

Anyway, the only other person I know who hates "moist bread" is my mentally subnormal, racist, booze-addled uncle. I'm not saying he's as awful as Kemi Badenoch, but he's definitely in bad company.
>> No. 100716 Anonymous
13th December 2024
Friday 9:07 am
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>>100715
No, I’m completely with her. Fuck sandwiches. They’re vile. I want my lunch to be cooked food, and I am sick of people thinking this makes me some kind of stuffy dickhead. You wouldn’t eat food you hate just because twats have decided that happiness is somehow a moral failing (but only when you do it, of course - they will never deviate from their own eating habits because their habits are “correct”). It’s weird that it’s taken a fascist to speak truth to power like this, but Keir Starmer should not be taking the bait.

Quite how having a fried steak for lunch equates to “lunch is for wimps”, I confess I have no idea.
>> No. 100717 Anonymous
13th December 2024
Friday 9:33 am
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>>100716

A British man who became an unlikely social media sensation by sharing videos of “dry and bland” British lunches in China has died.

Known and adored as “Old Dry Keith” on the Chinese version of TikTok, middle-aged Keith Brown went viral for assembling his ordinary ham and tomato sandwiches and scrambled eggs on toast.

The seemingly mundane classic British meals were met with horror and curiosity from the millions of viewers they attracted and even began an online movement which saw Chinese nationals trying their own “dry lunch”.

An article written on the Chinese social media platform 36Kr said: “After watching a short video, viewers have changed from questioning the dry old man, understanding the dry old man, to becoming a dry old man. The old man is us, and the dry lunch is our dry life.”


https://www.the-independent.com/asia/china/old-dry-keith-sandwiches-china-tiktok-died-b2617921.html

https://www.vice.com/en/article/white-people-food-is-trending-in-china-thanks-to-this-guy/
>> No. 100718 Anonymous
13th December 2024
Friday 12:50 pm
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We're heading towards a recession. Turns out discouraging growth is a bad thing.
>> No. 100719 Anonymous
13th December 2024
Friday 1:21 pm
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>>100718
Those are some bitch numbers. A recession is two consecutive quarters of economic shrinkage, while your chart shows individual months, so you’d need six red bars in a row (or at least, bigger red bars most of the time) to get a proper recession. And they keep telling us that this is the tough part, and our businesses are in the same economy that we are, so surely it makes sense that it’s tough for business too. We’ve just got out of 14 years of the philosophy that things should only be tough for us and not tough for businesses, and maybe you don’t remember but I certainly do: it didn’t bloody work. I don’t even see the appeal of “growth” when it’s blatantly a grift to concentrate the nation’s finances in the hands of foreign hedge funds anyway. You could be right that things could stay shit, but if that does happen, I don’t think your chart will have anything to do with it.
>> No. 100729 Anonymous
16th December 2024
Monday 10:20 pm
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>UK businesses are cutting staff numbers at the fastest rate since the global financial crisis, according to a closely watched business survey blaming the government’s tax-raising budget.

>The latest snapshot from the purchasing managers’ index (PMI) survey, which is monitored by the Treasury and the Bank of England, showed employment levels fell in December at the fastest rate since 2009, excluding the period during the coronavirus pandemic.

>The survey of 650 manufacturers and 650 service sector companies showed a combination of softer demand, rising employment costs and squeezed profit margins led to a reduction in private sector headcount.

>“Economic growth momentum has been lost since the robust expansion seen earlier in the year, as businesses and households have responded negatively to the new Labour government’s downbeat rhetoric and policies,” said Chris Williamson, the chief business economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, which compiles the PMI survey.

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2024/dec/16/uk-businesses-cut-staff-budget-national-insurance-pmi-survey

ITZ
>> No. 100730 Anonymous
16th December 2024
Monday 10:48 pm
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>>100729
>businesses and households have responded negatively to the new Labour government’s downbeat rhetoric and policies
The first thing I thought of when I saw this was, "Won't that sort itself out in a few months?" Surely, if things get better, the government will pounce on this and trumpet their achievements from the rooftops. But now I'm thinking: just how long is this meant to take? When, in fact, can we start to expect the improvements? I don't feel like I'm losing money, not yet, so I can't be giving more money to the NHS and schools and roads and forced sterilisation of the underclass yet. So in that respect, it makes sense that I still can't see a dentist for free. But will the NHS be looking better in one year? Two years? Five years?
>> No. 100731 Anonymous
17th December 2024
Tuesday 12:45 am
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>>100730
>But will the NHS be looking better in one year? Two years? Five years?

Are you hearing any signals coming out of the spending review that sound good? Has the watering down the government missions to 'maybe we will achieve that which was going to happen anyway' not set your alarm bells off?

I don't want to ruin anyone's Christmas.
>> No. 100732 Anonymous
17th December 2024
Tuesday 7:20 am
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>>100730
It's reminding me a bit of 2010, when we were starting to see shoots of recovery after the financial crisis until Cameron and Osborne came in and decided to choke it off with austerity.
>> No. 100733 Anonymous
17th December 2024
Tuesday 6:16 pm
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In case you've missed it:

- The government have 'delayed indefinitely' the planned pension review, which was anticipated to lead to an increase in the minimum contributions under auto enrolment and remove the lower qualifying earnings band, because it'd lead to more costs to employers.

https://www.ft.com/content/d102526a-787a-42cb-b56c-d545d5ea81be

- The government have announced there will be no compensation payments to so-called WASPI women, despite heavily courting them during the election campaign.

https://www.theguardian.com/money/2024/dec/17/anger-greets-uk-government-decision-not-to-compensate-waspi-women

- Some local elections could be delayed by up to a year due to devolution plans, but as these are mainly in Reform strongholds the press are kicking up a stink.

https://news.sky.com/story/some-local-elections-could-be-held-off-next-year-under-devolution-plans-minister-suggests-13274768
>> No. 100734 Anonymous
19th December 2024
Thursday 2:55 pm
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Guys, lads, fellas', did you know that AI was a going to be a transformative opportunity? That's a Starmer promise is that.
>> No. 100735 Anonymous
19th December 2024
Thursday 3:02 pm
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>>100734

>was a going to be

Was. Yes. And look at us now. All we've really got is violence inciting chat bots. And pictures of people with dodgy hands and fingers.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cd605e48q1vo

>A chatbot told a 17-year-old that murdering his parents was a "reasonable response" to them limiting his screen time, a lawsuit filed in a Texas court claims.

>Two families are suing Character.ai arguing the chatbot "poses a clear and present danger" to young people, including by "actively promoting violence".
>> No. 100753 Anonymous
4th January 2025
Saturday 11:52 am
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>>100734
I found a rudgwicksteamshow.co.uk thread insisting that AI art is going to transform access to creative spaces for the severely disabled and the very poor. These posts are from two years ago and I wonder if their opinions have changed at all. I agree with the first opinion and the second one in theory but not in practice. What I don't agree with is the absolutist belief that 'the argument against AI art is ableist and classist' because this shuts down any concerns raised that fully-abled people can use the same tools to flood art sites with AI content a lot faster and make art by the disabled harder to find and be seen, make money off etc. This can be sorted out with AI filters on the search engines, but this is a problem that absolutist people are all to easy to ignore.

As for the second point, well, does it free up art spaces for the poor? When lots of AI sites use a credit system and you have [an incentive] to buy extra credits for the bot to fix basic problems like meat grinder hands?

Now, a bit of an abstract point, but the very first post even said the requirement that art needs effort is discriminatory. That's bunk. Even AI art is effort because you have to learn how to use the tools.

The real problem is people's preconceived prejudices about what counts as 'effort'. Usually it boils down to 'well done = effort' which is a problem if you are severely physically disabled and thus an increased learning curve. Quite obviously. But the absolutist implies disability is a barrier, when it's more like a large hill you have to work harder to get over or work around, because he fails to account for the long history of disabled people creating amazing art without AI tools.

He's probably smart enough to be aware of this, but he's not thought about what that means: AI art is not the massive it's cracked up to be, even if it does offer some very tangible help for the disabled.
>> No. 100756 Anonymous
4th January 2025
Saturday 12:39 pm
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>>100735
>violence inciting

To be fair, if AI is nowhere near as capable as it's been made out to be, that implies it's not very capable of inciting violence either.
>> No. 100757 Anonymous
4th January 2025
Saturday 1:12 pm
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>>100753

You raise some valid points, but what you have to remember is that the same is also true in reverse. Sure AI might not be all it's cracked up to be as this utopian tool that enables accessibility into art for the disabled or poor, but by the same token, that means it's also not the world ending apocalyptic devil machine that the porn mongers on Twitter the only kind of "artists" who are seriously concerned about it think it will be either.

Then we have to consider the other side of the argument on the parallele access, of like.. Who says you have to be disabled to benefit from it? Why can't just plain being a talentless moron qualify you to this kind of help? Similar to how the best argument for universal benefits is that it means nobody feels hard done by that their tax is going to pay for other people while they get nothing, the democratisation of art by AI tools can be viewed in a similar way.

Anyway personally I just enjoy the fact I can make sick profile pics for all my various online accounts without having to pay some cheeto encrusted furry artist who thinks they're entitled to charge me 70 quid for their low effort bollocks, and I am going to make absolutely no apologies for that. I have commissioned real art in the past, artwork for a couple of my musical endeavours, and I considered that to be worth every penny- But even then it was only economically viable to me by exploiting exhange rates to get an extraordinarily talented artist in Indoneasia to do the kind of work for £200 that a British or American artist of that calibre would want at least a couple of grand for.

Just like piracy back when DVDs and CD sales still mattered, innit. An AI generated piece of art is not necessarily a lost commission, and the only people trying to pretend it is are clinging to a sinking ship as it is.
>> No. 100759 Anonymous
4th January 2025
Saturday 2:13 pm
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>>100757

Not classlad, but a lot of the reaction to Generative AI is just middle-class Luddism. When machines sent millions of skilled manufacturing workers to the dole queue, it was a sad but unfortunate consequence of progress; when machines come for their jobs, it's an existential crisis.

The current trajectory is completely obvious - AI will do a lot of people out of their jobs, the only question is how quickly. We might not get superhuman intelligence any time soon, but that doesn't really matter in the short run. It turns out that writing a dull corporate report (or drawing a dull illustration for the cover of that report) isn't particularly difficult for computers.
>> No. 100760 Anonymous
4th January 2025
Saturday 2:33 pm
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>>100759

>Not classlad, but a lot of the reaction to Generative AI is just middle-class Luddism

Well, I am, and I agree pretty much entirely.

That's not to say I don't think it's a problem people will lose their jobs, even if I will enjoy immense schadenfreude at middle class suffering or acknowledge that the potential upheaval could have some very nasty fallout; it's just that I don't think there's any amount of regulation or counter-technology that will stop it. Bows and arrows against the lightning.

The other argument, that AI art/music/etc is crap and watering down our culture with "slop", is just plain not even an argument from my perspective because the vast, overwhelming majority of authentic, organic, free range human art is and always has been shit too. No matter how much weak minded wet wipes of the modern era seem to think otherwise, art stands alone from its artist. We don't know who painted the first figures in that cave in Sulawesi, but if we did, would it change the value of that work? They might have turned out to be a racist.

pic unrelated
>> No. 100761 Anonymous
4th January 2025
Saturday 6:02 pm
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>>100760
>The other argument, that AI art/music/etc is crap and watering down our culture with "slop", is just plain not even an argument from my perspective because the vast, overwhelming majority of authentic, organic, free range human art is and always has been shit too.

I don't know, lad. The results of even 'good' ai pornography is just off and everyone can see it, it's the same with google images being effectively ruined. The worst part of it is how it's all the same style and how like with deepfakes the entire debate is about moral hazard instead of why that is.

This ties into a broader question I've had in thinking about how good modern generative AI actually is as a tool too and I'm not sure if on balance I've become more productive thanks to new applications. Especially once I look under the bonnet at what's actually happening. I'm sure we've all had the experiance of trying to get something done but then having to spend ages getting the right prompts and doing QA because the thinking bit just isn't there and your model is buried under mountains of bad data with a focus on approximate responses that do well at tech demos.

To return to having a pop at Starmer, we've got this new technology but we're still in the hype phase where the limits of its applications are unknown but everyone is talking about how the next ChatGPT will code its successor without human input like its AGI. This is not a good look for a government to be basing future national prosperity on and there's a danger that rather than working with innovation we get the equivalent of a government in the 90s planning for a world where we all live in cyberspace instead of wonderous applications but where we're still just ultimately sitting at a computer all day having cunt-offs with exotic people from London to Yorkshire.
>> No. 100762 Anonymous
4th January 2025
Saturday 7:43 pm
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>>100761

The thing is it's very much a case of the classic computing adage, shit in, shit out. If it's trained on crap data it has crap results. On the other hand I've seen some very good AI porn that I would happily crank one out to, but that's because the person who showed me it was the kind of programming socks autist who personally trained their own model so that it would generate exactly the kind of thing they wanted; and then spent a lot of time experimenting with prompts and just plain old trial and error and then sifting out all the diamonds in the rough.

Which, again... Is very much what it's like finding good "real" art. As a music enjoyer that's basically how I spent a majority of my time in my early 20s- I'd be listening to stuff all day, but out of every dozen or so albums there would be maybe one where I thought "sick, this has some absolute bangers". Even with direction and recommendations from other humans on the underground metal forums and what have you of pre-social media/4chan/Rudgwick monopolised interwebs, most of it was trial and error, and that's most of the reason I haven't really listened to a lot of new music in a long while. It just takes a lot of work to sift the good from the bad.

That's a matter of taste as much as it is quality, and if we can ever come to anything like an objective measure of quality, then yeah, there's ways in which AI fails that test arguably a lot more consistently than actual humans. But then... Even then, I say that and the thought pops up in my mind of that one Marvel artist who is infamous for drawing characters in poses that keep their hands and feet out of the panel because he is both lazy and can't fucking draw.

Swings and roundabouts honestly. But yes, in terms of actual productivity... It's not going to be an absolute paradigm shift that spurs a third digital industrial revolution; however it would be foolish to ignore. It's kind of like those businesses who failed to adapt to modern IT stuff throughout the late 90s and 00s, they ended up outdated and struggled to keep up, and Ai is just another wave of that really. Unfortunately, we have to face up to the fact that the UK and particularly the public sector is guilty of being very slow to adapt in this regard. When I worked in the NHS we were still on XP well into the era of Windows 10, we were still using ancient green text terminal stuff for some processes.

I don't have a lot... Okay, any faith that Starmer knows what the fuck he is on about here but it is at least good he recognises something is afoot and we need to be abreast of it.
>> No. 100763 Anonymous
4th January 2025
Saturday 8:35 pm
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>>100761

Worth bearing in mind that image generation models are specifically trained to not generate pornography under any circumstances, so they have to be retrained on a shoestring by the kind of autists that >>100762 mentions. The release versions of Stable Diffusion and Flux have never seen genitalia, because anything explicit has been excluded from the training data. It's kind of wild that the protections put in place by a massive AI company can be circumvented by someone with an anime avatar and a Bad Dragon collection.
>> No. 100765 Anonymous
4th January 2025
Saturday 10:16 pm
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>>100762
> that one Marvel artist who is infamous for drawing characters in poses that keep their hands and feet out of the panel because he is both lazy and can't fucking draw.
You are thinking of Rob Liefeld, if you were looking for someone who knew his name.

Anyway, I hope I've posted this before but I will post it again just in case: AI is going to be complete shit for a few years, just like how the Internet didn't matter when all it had was Space Jam's website and a worse version of Microsoft Encarta, but at some point something revolutionary will be invented and then everything will be daijobou. Everyone just wants to be able to say they've been here since the start, so they're insisting the revolutionary thing is already here, when it patently is not.

Also, most jobs nowadays are pointless busywork because we've already abolished all the real jobs at least once. I saw some statistic a few years ago about how in 1900, almost no jobs were sales jobs, because most people made things or provided a proper service. Once machines started making our bicycle wheels for us, the people who used to make bicycle wheels needed something else to do, and they all became bicycle wheel salesmen. If AI can replace all the salesmen, Excel monkeys and meeting-wankers, all that will happen is the humans will be awarded something even duller to do. My IT job has been largely reduced to opening doors and accepting deliveries now, and that's before AI has even fucked us over. AI can't go out in the rain to meet the Amazon man, so that soul-destroying shit that I do will not be going anywhere. I'm just never, ever going to be able to become rich, because all the wealth will be further concentrated than it is even now, in the many-fingered hands of the four or five corporations who make all the AI tools in the world.
>> No. 100770 Anonymous
5th January 2025
Sunday 12:52 pm
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>>100765

>My IT job has been largely reduced to opening doors and accepting deliveries now

When are you next taking on?
>> No. 100822 Anonymous
9th January 2025
Thursday 9:58 am
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>Liz Truss has sent a cease and desist letter to Sir Keir Starmer demanding that he stops claiming she crashed the economy, it can be revealed.

>In the letter, a copy of which has been seen by The Telegraph, lawyers acting on behalf of the former prime minister argue the statement is “false and defamatory”.

>The lawyers even suggest that the assertions from Sir Keir before the July general election contributed towards Ms Truss losing her battle to be re-elected as the MP for South West Norfolk.

https://www.I need to find an archive link for this.co.uk/politics/2025/01/09/truss-starmer-cease-and-desist-letter-crashed-economy-claim/
>> No. 100823 Anonymous
9th January 2025
Thursday 1:46 pm
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>Economists have warned that the rising costs could lead to further tax increases or spending cuts as the government tries to meet its self-imposed rule not to borrow to fund day-to-day spending.

>The pound fell by 0.9% to $1.226 against the dollar on Thursday and borrowing costs rose further. The pound typically rises when borrowing costs increase but economists said wider concerns about the strength of the UK economy had driven it lower. The government generally spends more than it raises in tax. To fill this gap it borrows money, but that has to be paid back - with interest. Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic advisor at asset manager Allianz, told the BBC's Today programme the rise in borrowing costs means that how much interest the government pays on its debt goes up and "eats up more of the tax revenue, leaving less for other things". Mr El-Erian added that it can also slow down economic growth "which also undermines revenue. So the chancellor, if this continues, will have to look at either increasing taxes or cutting spending even more - and that's going to impact everyone," he said.

>The government has said it will not divulge anything on spending or taxes ahead of the official borrowing forecast from its independent forecaster due in March. At the end of last year, revised figures showed the economy had zero growth between July and September. It was the latest in a series of disappointing figures, including a rise in inflation in the year to November with prices rising at their fastest pace since March. In December, the Bank of England said the economy is likely to have performed worse than expected in the last three months of 2024. At the same time, it held interest rates at 4.75% citing "heightened uncertainty in the economy".

>Globally, there has been a rise in the cost of government borrowing in recent months sparked by investor concerns that US President-elect Donald Trump's plans to impose new tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico and China would push up inflation. The cost of government borrowing in the US has seen a similar rise to that of the UK. "It may be a global sell-off, but it creates a singular headache for the UK chancellor looking to spend more on public services without raising taxes again or breaking her self-imposed fiscal rules," said Danni Hewson, head of financial analysis at AJ Bell.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c1404j3xmxdo

You lot seem confident that you know everything, how do we fix this? Seems like we've got poor growth, high-cost of borrowing, persistent inflation, a lacklustre and haemorrhaging skills base, public services burning through any money they get for day-to-day costs along with low consumer and investor sentiment within a global climate that is uncertain at best but likely entails a cut in global demand and a rise in our commitments overseas.
>> No. 100824 Anonymous
9th January 2025
Thursday 4:49 pm
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>>100823
That’s the biggest question going; if anyone had the answer and was able to prove it, we wouldn’t be in this mess. But that’s not much of a reply, so I will tell you how I would fix it:

Invest in green technologies and make us the world leader in renewable energy. All the countries that are doing well at the moment are countries which have something that they’re the best at, that you can’t get anywhere else. So we need to be the best at something. As it stands, a lot of our economy consists of us doing things that nobody really needs - bartenders, customer services, office drones, jobs which really you could teach to almost anyone. This means that a dozen other countries, most notably China and India, can do it too for much less money, so who would buy these things from us? We need to have a monopoly on something, and then we could charge whatever we wanted and get rich again. If you want German engineering in your car, you need a German company to provide it. If you want to mass-produce things, China is very nearly your only option. We need to be the only option for something, and I think green technology is something everyone will need, very soon. There are, of course, already things that we lead the world in (music, arms dealing and financial shadiness), and a lot of people in those industries are perfectly rich. So I’m definitely right. The only question is, what should we be the best at? I’d love a South Korean smartphone and a Turkish barber, but you’d be wasting your time if you tried to sell me a South Korean haircut and a Turkish smartphone. So if we pivoted the whole country towards military weaponry and tax-efficient skulduggery, that would be an easy win for the economy. But I would rather we make something good, and that’s why I would rather we went for green technologies instead.

What we need most fundamentally, however, is more guidance from those in power. The hands-off approach of Reagan and Thatcher has had its day; we now need someone to tell us what to make. And that’s something no government seems willing to face.
>> No. 100825 Anonymous
9th January 2025
Thursday 5:16 pm
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>>100823
If I was in charge I'd build a load of shit. Shitloads of infrastructure. I'd be telling people if they want a job then now is the time to learn one of these trades, because there's gonna be shitloads of jobs and shitloads of training.

I'm not 100% what infrastructure we need, but we'd be getting a lot more of it.
>> No. 100826 Anonymous
9th January 2025
Thursday 7:44 pm
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>>100825

The thing is we've hardly built anything since the 70s, so no matter what we build, we couldn't go far wrong. Build more railways and motorways, pass sweeping anti-NIMBY legislation to get it through. More nuclear plants as well as more renewables. Get us not just of gas and oil, but with a resilient and redundant supply so we can sell excess and rely on it to absorb market shocks. Build loads more hospitals and schools just about everywhere.

Yes, all this stuff would cost money, but what governments since Thatcher have forgotten, and what we were touching on in the American class consciousness thread, is that they are always money well spent. They pay for themselves, not just because having more roads is better but purely by virtue of the fact it's employment and gets lots of people earning and into skilled trades- and those people then go on to spend that money. That's the important bit.

It's actually just a really pretty simple picture when you zoom out to the properly bigger picture scale. Our economy is slowly suffocating because we refuse to give it any stimulus, and it's a self perpetuating cycle where people feel more hard up so they spend less so there's less growth so the economy is worse so people... The best time to turn it around would have been fourteen years ago when credit was dirt cheap, but it'll only get more expensive the longer we leave it.
>> No. 100827 Anonymous
9th January 2025
Thursday 8:54 pm
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>>100822
She's unhinged.

https://x.com/trussliz/status/1877334108453413020
>> No. 100828 Anonymous
9th January 2025
Thursday 10:35 pm
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>>100824

> If you want German engineering in your car, you need a German company to provide it. If you want to mass-produce things, China is very nearly your only option. We need to be the only option for something, and I think green technology is something everyone will need, very soon.

Problem is, China is already the gloabal leader in green technology. We're really a bit late to the party. If we devoted arguably huge resources to it, in a country that has left most of its manufacturing behind, we could maybe still become a regional leader in green technology in the context of Europe, if that, but in the greater scheme of things, that race has been run. And we'll probably never be able to compete with an economic giant like China. Certainly not on cost or price point, and not on supply capability either.

https://www.japantimes.co.jp/commentary/2024/10/22/world/china-green-tech-superpower/
>> No. 100829 Anonymous
10th January 2025
Friday 10:32 am
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>It is "absolutely right" that Chancellor Rachel Reeves' trip to China go ahead as planned, a cabinet colleague has said. Opposition parties had called for Reeves to cancel the three-day visit, aimed to boost trade and economic ties, after the pound fell to its lowest level in over a year, while UK borrowing costs hit their highest for 16 years. But Culture Secretary Lisa Nandy said the chancellor should take seriously the UK's relationship with China, the world's second largest economy.

>Reeves has previously committed to only one fiscal event a year - where she can raise taxes - which would likely be in a Budget in the autumn. If she needs more money before that, a squeeze on spending is more likely. On 26 March the government's independent forecaster will put out its latest projections for the economy and will say whether the chancellor is likely to meet her fiscal rules.

>A spending review, which sets government department spending, will follow in June. "The Treasury has come forward and tried to reassure markets by saying we've got fiscal rules and we're definitely going to stick to those, but it's becoming clearer and clearer that that's going to be very difficult," Sir John Gieve said. He said it would require difficult decisions in the spending review and then the Budget. "The choice she's going to face... is can I raise borrowing - and the increase in interest rates that's happened now, if it continues, will decrease her scope for doing that within her rules - or do I increase taxes again, or do I actually institute some very severe reductions and squeezes on public services."
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c5y7kr5p4lko

I think I've seen this episode. The UK will kowtow to China but not see a penny of investment because of some offense, at home there'll be no choice but to cut spending while the opposition chases its tail and we continue face crisis by doing nothing like a rabbit in the headlights.
>> No. 100830 Anonymous
10th January 2025
Friday 11:39 am
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>>100829
This is the sort of economic stuff I don’t understand. Why do we need Rachel Reeves to go over to China to sell Rolls-Royces and Charli XCX albums? That’s basically what she’s doing. We don’t have anything to offer that the Chinese don’t already know about, and she’s not going there to ask how to run an economy; she just wants people to buy our stuff. A trip like this is probably better than nothing, but I must be massively underestimating some potential benefit of it, because it looks to me like HSBC couldn’t get a celebrity to do their adverts so they’re sending a mid-tier politician that no Chinese person has heard of instead.
>> No. 100832 Anonymous
10th January 2025
Friday 12:02 pm
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>>100830
With sales/business development it helps to keep in regular contact with people you want to do business with so you have an edge over your competitors.
>> No. 100833 Anonymous
10th January 2025
Friday 12:10 pm
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>>100830

The Chinese own billions of pounds worth of British businesses and real estate. If we want to keep that investment coming, we need to convince them that the grown-ups are in charge and we won't do anything daft to jeopardise the stability of the pound. That's doubly true if we want them to invest in a bunch of infrastructure that will take years to build and decades to pay off. It's a thing we should be doing, I'm just not convinced that Rachel Reeves is up to the job.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/china-now-owns-ps143bn-in-uk-assets-from-nuclear-power-to-pubs-and-schools-b1841056.html
>> No. 100834 Anonymous
10th January 2025
Friday 12:22 pm
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>>100833

>China now owns £143bn in UK assets, from nuclear power to pubs and schools

So... are those Red Panda pubs any good?


But seriously, I'm not so sure it's a good idea to "keep that investment coming", because by doing so, we are increasingly putting ourselves at the mercy of foreign entities. Which can't be in the country's interest in the long run.
>> No. 100835 Anonymous
10th January 2025
Friday 1:04 pm
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>>100824
The plug has been pulled on green technology for now. It's not just that China has enough solar panels to blanket Eurasia but investment has completely dried up while everyone is looking to cut environmental regulation to generate growth because Meghan from Hartlepool read some articles on facey about it (if we don't listen to her then she'll vote).
https://www.gtreview.com/news/americas/six-big-us-banks-pull-out-of-net-zero-banking-alliance/

>>100830
If it was just shifting about British goods then we'd send Jonathan Reynolds with a suitcase full of jams and Scotch. From my view the problem we've got can be seen as two-fold:

1. The UK is begging for FDI and without it nothing gets built and businesses don't expand. Chinese investment always comes with strings attached and the Beijing government is generally opposed to British interests but they have currency inflows they simply can't get rid of fast enough.
2. China is equally in trouble as it has fallen into a doom-loop of exporting over-production to the rest of the world, it's trying to rejig the economy away from property (and hopefully spark consumption but I suspect they'll just run off a cliff before that happens) and how it retaliates to US and wider world tariffs is not as easy as it looks. The US won't talk to China so there's an opportunity for someone to be a middle-man and try to stop the global economy imploding or for trade wars to escalate between US-China-EU that might ruin us.

I'm not sure I've ever been this pessimistic on the economy, lads. I've always been recklessly bullish but I see a few years of hurt coming our way.

>>100834
Where else is the money going to come from?
>> No. 100872 Anonymous
12th January 2025
Sunday 7:52 pm
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I HATE THE GOVERNMENT AND I WISH THEY WOULD ALL GET ARSE CANCER.

t. Party member.
>> No. 100873 Anonymous
12th January 2025
Sunday 8:12 pm
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>>100872
Which party?
>> No. 100874 Anonymous
12th January 2025
Sunday 9:03 pm
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>>100873
Labour, obviously. Wouldn't really count for much if I was the last UKIPper in Berlin, would it?
>> No. 100876 Anonymous
12th January 2025
Sunday 10:24 pm
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>A former Labour MP has been arrested during a paedophile sting only months after he was suspended from the political party due to serious allegations.
>In May last year, Caplin was suspended because of undisclosed "serious allegations", which he denies. Video footage of the arrest has been posted online and a man wearing a black trench coat and a red cap can be seen, being held by police officers.
https://www.lbc.co.uk/news/former-labour-mp-arrested-during-paedophile-sting-months-after-suspended/

Of all the times for a former defence minister to be a fucking carpet-bagger.

>>100874
Don't speak so soon, if you join now you could be running your own ministerial department in 2029.
>> No. 100877 Anonymous
13th January 2025
Monday 12:26 am
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>>100876
UKIP will be struggling to run a three-legged race by 2029.
>> No. 100878 Anonymous
13th January 2025
Monday 12:39 am
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https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/jan/12/mainlined-into-uks-veins-labour-announces-huge-public-rollout-of-ai

>Artificial intelligence will be “mainlined into the veins” of the nation, ministers have announced, with a multibillion-pound investment in the UK’s computing capacity despite widespread public fear about the technology’s effects.
>The government plan features a potentially controversial scheme to unlock public data to help fuel the growth of AI businesses. This includes anonymised NHS data, which will be available for “researchers and innovators” to train their AI models. The government says there would be “strong privacy-preserving safeguards” and the data would never be owned by private companies.
>Technology companies including Microsoft, Anthropic and OpenAI welcomed the plan as Starmer said the “AI industry needs a government that is on their side”. Regulators will be told to “actively support innovation”, setting up a potential clash with people who believe regulators’ primary role should be to protect the public from harm.
>Starmer has instructed every member of his cabinet to make AI adoption a top priority and said: “Artificial intelligence will drive incredible change in our country. From teachers personalising lessons, to supporting small businesses with their record-keeping, to speeding up planning applications, it has the potential to transform the lives of working people.

Oh, good, we're going to become world leaders in a hype-driven industry by whoring our public data to massive America based mutli-nationals, then buying products created from that data from those companies. If you've got any concerns about this, don't worry! Four people in a cupboard at Ofcom HQ will be on the case, so roll on our completely insane list of make 'em up promises that wouldn't amount to a hill of beans even if they did make the slightest fucking sense.
>> No. 100879 Anonymous
13th January 2025
Monday 9:07 am
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>>100876
>a man wearing a black trench coat and a red cap

Fucking hell, it might have been more discreet to get 'PAEDO' tattooed on his forehead.
>> No. 100880 Anonymous
13th January 2025
Monday 10:20 am
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>>100878
I've seen China be praised for doing exactly this - using 'AI' to focus on backend optimising infrastructure and logistics rather than frontend creating consumer shite for the hype train.
>> No. 100881 Anonymous
13th January 2025
Monday 2:44 pm
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>>100878
I get the feeling a lot of AI technology is just previous meme technologies and existing ideas, rebranded with today’s buzzword. What happened to Big Data? Surely most of these plans are things we could have done anyway.

Keir Starmer has also said that the miracle of AI will allow public-sector employees to spend less time on the administrative stuff and more time actually doing productive things. But the administrative workers and the stuff-doers are different people. Unless we train the old administrators to actually drive more buses and build more train lines, nothing is going to speed up at all.
>> No. 100882 Anonymous
13th January 2025
Monday 3:18 pm
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>>100881

>But the administrative workers and the stuff-doers are different people.

One of the biggest problems in the NHS is that this isn't the case. Years of tabloid headlines complaining about bureaucratic waste have left the NHS as the most under-managed large institution on earth. It's absolute madness that we've got consultant surgeons on £120k managing their own diaries and writing letters to GPs, but we don't need AI to fix that, just the secretaries that they all used to have.
>> No. 100883 Anonymous
13th January 2025
Monday 5:57 pm
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>Chancellor Rachel Reeves will remain in her role "for the whole of this Parliament", Downing Street has said, as she faces criticism over the falling pound and rising government borrowing costs.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c897vw5w7p8o
>> No. 100889 Anonymous
13th January 2025
Monday 10:05 pm
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>>100878
I'd laugh if modern medicine now takes a strange twist and you end up with Americans being prescribed cups of tea and packets of wotsits because they only have our data. Bedouins being told that they just need to get more sunshine, and maybe a trip to shagaluf.

>>100881
>Keir Starmer has also said that the miracle of AI will allow public-sector employees to spend less time on the administrative stuff and more time actually doing productive things. But the administrative workers and the stuff-doers are different people. Unless we train the old administrators to actually drive more buses and build more train lines, nothing is going to speed up at all.

We're already using AI tools in the lukewarm bath brigade and yeah it's alright but believe me when I tell you that we're not going to run out of things to do anytime soon. You also have a frankly utopian conception of what bobbies do all day. My prediction is it'll be like that internet fad where we'll get all these new applications arrive but somehow end up doing more bullshit as a result.

The problem if anything with AI is that it's almost tailormade for the things you're not allowed to use it for. You can't even make a killbot out of one because the wokies think that ED-209 was more murder-prone than the usual examples of American policing.
>> No. 100892 Anonymous
14th January 2025
Tuesday 7:15 am
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>> No. 100893 Anonymous
14th January 2025
Tuesday 7:49 am
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>>100874
It's not obvious, because I don't know why someone who hated the first Labour government in fifteen years would continue paying them to keep doing what they're doing.
>> No. 100975 Anonymous
22nd January 2025
Wednesday 1:22 pm
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>Blow to Reeves as UK borrowing unexpectedly jumps

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cpwxzpqrnjko

So how fucked are we?
>> No. 100978 Anonymous
22nd January 2025
Wednesday 3:08 pm
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>>100975
On the surface, I would say not really. But if the Liz Truss method doesn’t work, and taxing people and spending more money to save the country doesn’t work, and the current situation is unpalatable, then it does look like we’re out of options to improve things and we are categorically and inevitably super-fucked.
>> No. 100987 Anonymous
22nd January 2025
Wednesday 7:08 pm
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>>100978
Why couldn't the government have stuck a couple hundred billy in the S&P?
>> No. 100988 Anonymous
22nd January 2025
Wednesday 9:49 pm
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>>100987
"Fiscal headroom" is just code for how many scratchcards the country can buy.
>> No. 100991 Anonymous
22nd January 2025
Wednesday 10:34 pm
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>>100987


>> No. 101001 Anonymous
24th January 2025
Friday 2:46 pm
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UK businesses cut jobs at fastest pace since 2009 bar the pandemic, survey finds

UK businesses are cutting jobs at the fastest pace since the financial crisis, excluding the pandemic, as rising costs reignited stagflation fears in the British economy at the start of the year, according to a closely watched survey.

The S&P Global flash purchasing managers’ survey on Friday indicated that the rate of job losses in January and December was the highest since the global financial crisis in 2009, outside of the onset of Covid-19 in 2020. The survey also indicated that cost burdens on business rose at the fastest pace in more than a year and a half. Many businesses passed on higher costs to consumers resulting in the fastest increase in average price charged since July 2023.

Chris Williamson, economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said the survey’s results “add to the gloom about the UK economy, with companies cutting employment amid falling sales and concerns about business prospects”. He warned that inflationary pressures had “reignited, pointing to a stagflationary environment which poses a growing policy quandary for the Bank of England”.
Lower employment was attributed to hiring freezes and the non-replacement of voluntary leavers in the wake of rising payroll costs, according to the survey.

Many businesses suggested the Labour government’s decision to raise employers’ national insurance, which takes effect in April, had resulted in cutbacks to recruitment plans, while others cited the impact of a post-Budget slump in business confidence.


https://www.ft.com/content/fac2efcf-ac9c-4625-8ff6-0d9fdf4ca8a9

We are so fucked.
>> No. 101004 Anonymous
24th January 2025
Friday 3:56 pm
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>>101001

There has been a record jump in the number of UK businesses in critical financial distress, according to insolvency specialists.

Businesses in the most distress include those in hospitality, leisure and retail, but the construction industry is also facing challenges.

Insolvency experts Begbies Traynor said a company can be considered to be in critical financial distress if it has an outstanding county court judgment of more than £5,000 or faces a winding up petition.

While there is often a jump at the end of the year of companies in critical financial distress, the report found a sharp increase of 50% from September to December last year, taking the number of businesses in this category to 46,583. The record jump, since Begbies Traynor started collecting such data in 2004, was up from 31,201 the three months before.


https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c9vmrpdrk4eo
>> No. 101020 Anonymous
26th January 2025
Sunday 9:39 am
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Red Tories gonna Red Tory.
>> No. 101021 Anonymous
26th January 2025
Sunday 5:48 pm
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>>101020
She's right. If the depressed, 24 year old uni dropout, who lives with his parents down your street would just get a night shift at the local Tesco, this whole economy would right itself overnight.
>> No. 101022 Anonymous
26th January 2025
Sunday 6:25 pm
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>>101021
>DWP blocked researchers from discussing ‘shocking’ data on ESA suicide attempts in ‘unique’ report
>https://www.disabilitynewsservice.com/dwp-blocked-researchers-from-discussing-shocking-data-on-esa-suicide-attempts-in-unique-report/

It'd save hundreds of millions in UC payments every year, evidentally.

Funny thing is that this is exactly what I've been telling myself about my own ESA claim - that for the better of the country I should be forced to either work or kill myself - only now that I'm strugging through the UC process I'm re-experiencing just how distressing that reality can be and I'm not even circling the drain yet.
>> No. 101023 Anonymous
26th January 2025
Sunday 6:32 pm
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>>101021
Haven't the supermarkets announced thousands of job cuts, in part down to the budget?
>> No. 101025 Anonymous
26th January 2025
Sunday 7:00 pm
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>>101022
Don't burden yourself with that kind of thinking. For me, that's the pinnacle of "toxic masculinity", that kind of needless martyrdom for a group, idea or system that couldn't give a fuck about you.

>>101023
A Labour spokesperson says you're doing Britain down and a member of the "anti-growth coalition". Probably a queermosexual too, according to the Labour spokesperson.
>> No. 101026 Anonymous
26th January 2025
Sunday 7:07 pm
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>>101023

Lots of businesses are cutting staff, mostly in retail and hospitality services. Naturally they will want to blame the budget, but really I think it's hard not to see it as part of a much bigger wider trend. Even the government is in denial about that though- The high street has been dying for years, while online shopping and leisure activities that don't involve simply going to your nearest town centre and spunking money on tat are taking over.

A lot of our assumptions about the economy are plain and simply outdated and we are rapidly approaching the tipping point where we can't just pretend it's all hunky dory and things will sort themselves out. The world itself, not just the economy, has changed, and a lot of business owners don't know what to do to adapt, if even there is anything they can do and they aren't just in denial over the fact they are facing obsolescence.

Like the bloke I heard on the Radio 4 phone in yesterday, going on about how the government needs to "do more about" the big online retailers and cut those salt of the earth Ye Olde Shoppe keepers like him some slack. That's not going to fix anything. We have bigger problems.
>> No. 101034 Anonymous
26th January 2025
Sunday 8:55 pm
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>>101022

I don't know if it makes you feel any better, but I feel guilty that I'm well enough to hold down a menial job and don't have to go through that ordeal any more. The country is buggered and the number of people on sickness benefits is a symptom, not a cause.

>>101023
>>101026

The budget definitely didn't help, because it disproportionately increased the cost of low-paid workers. The minimum wage and the thresholds on national insurance have both gone up, so businesses with lots of minimum-wage staff (and particularly lots of part-time staff) are trying to minimise headcount as much as possible.

Sainsbury's are cutting 3,000 staff, after a previous round of 1,500 redundancies. I think it's quite revealing that they're doing that by closing their cafes and hot food counters - it looks like they're trimming back all the non-essentials to compete with the discount supermarkets. I think it's less to do with competition from the internet and more that the country is just getting poorer.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cvged0x5ykxo
>> No. 101036 Anonymous
26th January 2025
Sunday 9:16 pm
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>>101034

>it looks like they're trimming back all the non-essentials to compete with the discount supermarkets. I think it's less to do with competition from the internet and more that the country is just getting poorer.

You're not wrong but those are sort of one and the same. They are intertwined in that as people get poorer the big players like Amazon who can absorb more costs and provide a product at the lowest possible margin, while still raking it in through volume, will invariably snuff out the smaller traditional retailers who rely on less efficient supply chains and don't have the same economies of scale.

But the fact is it's a snake eating its own tail and nobody anywhere wants to actually face this fact, to the point it feels like you're going mad. Businesses are doing worse because everyone's getting poorer, but the reason everyone's getting poorer is because employers aren't fucking paying them. It's a completely self-fulfilling prophecy at this stage because businesses have got comfortable with it and settled into an unsustainable model, and now they don't want to change.
>> No. 101047 Anonymous
31st January 2025
Friday 10:53 pm
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>AstraZeneca has scrapped plans to invest £450m in expanding a vaccine manufacturing plant in Merseyside, blaming a reduction in government support. The pharmaceutical giant announced its decision just two days after Chancellor Rachel Reeves set out Labour's plan to go "further and faster" to boost economic growth.

>AstraZeneca said that after "protracted" talks, a number of factors influenced the move, including "the timing and reduction of the final offer compared to the previous government's proposal".

>On Wednesday, Reeves named AstraZeneca as one of the "great companies" as she set out her plans to kickstart economic growth, saying she was "determined to make Britain the best place in the world to invest".

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c1we943zez9o

Reeves has the reverse-Midas touch.
>> No. 101048 Anonymous
31st January 2025
Friday 11:52 pm
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>>101047

>waaaah we don'#t want to build our big factory because the government isn't paying for half of it for us any more

When will these scroungers pull themselves up by the bootstraps and pay their own way eh?
>> No. 101092 Anonymous
6th February 2025
Thursday 7:20 pm
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>Labour has launched a series of adverts with Reform-style branding and messaging as the party seeks to combat the rise of the rightwing party.

>The Facebook adverts include a series from a group called UK Migration Updates boasting about how many people the government has deported. The adverts do not display the Labour logo and are in a similar shade of blue to that used by Reform UK.

>The party has also set up a Facebook group called Protect Britain’s Communities designed to highlight the government’s record on crime and antisocial behaviour. The page also does not display any Labour livery but sports a large union flag.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/feb/06/labour-launches-ads-in-reform-style-livery-to-boast-about-deportations
>> No. 101093 Anonymous
6th February 2025
Thursday 8:11 pm
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>>101048 Looks like these big companies can't even keep their own timetables (what the fuck) https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/feb/06/how-patronising-rail-bosses-face-anger-over-plan-to-hide-train-departure-times
>> No. 101130 Anonymous
13th February 2025
Thursday 1:47 pm
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>Rachel Reeves's online CV exaggerated how long she spent working at the Bank of England.

>The Chancellor left the financial institution nine months earlier than she stated in her LinkedIn profile. This means she spent five and a half years working at the bank - including nearly a year studying - despite publicly claiming to have spent a decade there.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c77r05nx11po

>On the professional networking site LinkedIn, the Chancellor of the Exchequer claimed to have worked as an economist at Halifax Bank of Scotland (HBOS) immediately before becoming an MP.

>One of those who challenged it was a retired former colleague, Kev Gillett. In a public post on LinkedIn, which he asked followers to share, he wrote: "Back in 2009 Rt Hon Rachel Reeves worked 3 levels below me. Just facts. She was a Complaints Support Manager at LBG/HBOS. Not an Economist. #factcheck."

>In fact it emerged that she had worked in a managerial role within the bank's complaint handling department and her LinkedIn profile was updated to remove the claim.

>Gillett also made another claim about Reeves's time at the bank from 2006 to 2009, writing that she: "Nearly got sacked due to an expenses scandal where the 3 senior managers were all signing off each others expenses."

>Labour's imminent victory in last summer's general election prompted a post on a private Facebook group for former HBOS employees that BBC News has seen asking if anyone remembered Reeves. One former employee replied: "the expenses dept certainly do!"

>Several others made reference to Reeves being investigated over her expenses spending.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ckg75jr5284o

Will Starmer have the balls to get rid of her?
>> No. 101131 Anonymous
13th February 2025
Thursday 3:23 pm
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>>101130

I think her head has been on the chopping block for a while now. You just can't play the "sack the chancellor" card carelessly, best to wait for an opportune moment.

I think if anything she was put there in the first place as a bit of ablative armour. Go into the election with a nice safe non-committal platform of nothing, test the waters once you get in, then if it goes tits up (like it appears to be), you can boot them and try a different approach. We can only hope they see sense and get someone in who's willing to splash the cash a bit, because that's definitely what the electorate (and the economy) is crying out for.
>> No. 101132 Anonymous
13th February 2025
Thursday 3:55 pm
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>>101130
Honestly it does a lot to humanise her in my opinion. I really couldn't care less about the wellbeing of Halifax's expenses accounts and if you're not fibbing on your CV, what's wrong with you? Unfortunately I'm the most enlightened human being on Earth and I still dislike her politics enough to not really want her in post, even with the full knowledge Starmer's not going to bring back John Mcdonnell and give him a free hand.

Christ, that's a thought. If not Reeves then who? The Labour right mostly seem to be idiots, liars and political wet blankets. And those are just the ones Starmer has already made ministers.
>> No. 101133 Anonymous
13th February 2025
Thursday 8:21 pm
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>>101131
>>101132
Considering the government's doing a spending review and this was needed even before the election, I'm unsure on how much you can say either way. So far the major move of Starmer's government has been to remove a subsidy, raise a tax and pay civil servants more.

For the same reason I see there being no fucking way that he can sack her at the moment.
>> No. 101181 Anonymous
21st February 2025
Friday 8:57 am
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>A rise in self-assessment and capital gains tax receipts gave the UK’s public finances a smaller than expected £15.4bn lift in January.

>The surplus is still the highest since records began in 1993 and is a reversal of December’s slump, when the public finances slid to a £17.8bn deficit. However, in a blow to the chancellor, Rachel Reeves, last month’s figure came in below the predictions of City economists and the government’s independent forecaster, the Office for Budget Responsibility, who had expected a surplus of £20bn.

>Reeves needs a more substantial boost to the public finances to stay within the government’s fiscal rules, which put limits on the annual deficit and the level of debt by the end of the parliament. Reeves is due to make her spring statement to the House of Commons on 26 March, when she is likely to revise some spending plans to stay within the budget constraints.

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/feb/21/rachel-reeves-given-smaller-than-expected-15bn-tax-boost-to-uk-finances

Austerity isn't working. The solution is to double down.
>> No. 101182 Anonymous
21st February 2025
Friday 12:29 pm
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>>101181
I thought surpluses were incredibly rare and all governments were always spending more than they make? If we have a surplus, then firstly, isn’t that amazing news? And secondly, can’t she spend it on improving our lives, as is the purpose of taxes?
>> No. 101183 Anonymous
21st February 2025
Friday 12:40 pm
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>>101182
Ah, here we go. The BBC website explains that January is the month when self-assessed taxes all come in, so there’s a surplus every January but not in other months. The fact that it’s a lower surplus than expected means that we’re probably going to have to borrow more in all the other months, but they’re reporting on it now because economists are concerned. Right.
>> No. 101184 Anonymous
21st February 2025
Friday 1:44 pm
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>>101182

Remember Starmer, bring us the interest, inflate away the debt.

I think the issue nowadays is we've cocked up the whole balance of interest rates and inflation and all that so now we can't sustainably borrow more than we make and have it magically work out because of money shrinkage.

But either way we should be spending more now and deal with the consequence later, things are fucked.
>> No. 101185 Anonymous
22nd February 2025
Saturday 9:22 pm
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>A leaked letter reveals that the prime minister urged ministers to take constituents’ views on immigration seriously, saying politics had ‘lost its way’

https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/keir-starmer-working-class-voters-immigration-tdjs3c7dk

Labour ministers need to be told that poor people are human too...
>> No. 101186 Anonymous
22nd February 2025
Saturday 10:39 pm
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>>101185

Non-paywalled link:

https://archive.is/CScgp
>> No. 101187 Anonymous
23rd February 2025
Sunday 12:16 am
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>>101185

Saw a lot of liberal lefty types tutting and moaning about this but it's a rare example of something I kind of approve of from Starmer. Even if it is probably just a deliberate "leak" for the optics. Together with the way he's actually showing some backbone on Ukraine I am actually perhaps warming to him.
>> No. 101206 Anonymous
24th February 2025
Monday 2:30 pm
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AMESBURY'S THE NAME, DECKING CUNTS IS THE GAME.

Do you reckon Reform will win the by-election?
>> No. 101207 Anonymous
24th February 2025
Monday 2:32 pm
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>>101206

Depends, is there football on?
>> No. 101210 Anonymous
25th February 2025
Tuesday 1:26 pm
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Isn't cutting the aid budget to fund defence an own goal when we're trying to counter Russian influence in Africa, prevent mass migration and make friendly with the global south?

I don't want to sound like an armchair general but it was quite well established during the War on Terror years that hard power suffers without the softy bits. We specifically had the Fusion Doctrine as a term for bringing strategic effect to the UK and it's quite in line with trying to counter authoritarianism if we want to win a new cold war.
>> No. 101211 Anonymous
25th February 2025
Tuesday 4:50 pm
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>>101210
It's probably more tangible. I doubt there's the evidence to say "for every £1 on the aid budget you stop 1 Somalian from crossing the Channel in a dinghy" whereas if you spend that £1 on defence we can get more tanks and stuff that makes cool explosions.
>> No. 101212 Anonymous
25th February 2025
Tuesday 5:16 pm
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>>101211

There are definitely groups out there that try to model the effects of aid. Off the top of my head there's:
* Development economists, see people like Abhijit Banerjee and Esther Duflo, who are known for running randomised controlled trials of aid programmes
* Open Philanthropy, and other organisations which specifically evaluates charities in terms of cost-benefit analysis
* The entire field of health economics tries to justify money spent in terms of DALYs (disability-adjusted life years) recovered, starting in the 1990s with the Global Burden of Disease study led by the World Bank / World Health Organization

Funding for emergencies tends to be harder to measure, but the effects of the USAID cuts are being documented and estimates are being made. I expect papers will start appearing in journals about it before the end of the year. UNAIDS has attempted to model how many deaths there'll be if the PEPFAR programme is stopped indefinitely, and we can expect more like this : https://www.unaids.org/en/topic/PEPFAR_impact

I'm inclined to agree with >>101210, as well as being brutally inhumane, it looks terrible optically. There would have been plenty of scope to say, "we're cutting down on the useless programmes, but keeping the important disease, poverty, and hunger reduction stuff", but they haven't done so. The funding pause alone is having a devastating effect.
>> No. 101213 Anonymous
25th February 2025
Tuesday 5:48 pm
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>>101212
It’s a move to pander to Trump. If we increase funding for the armed forces, that’s just common sense as it stands at the moment. If we give more money to the army and also stop funding lesbian wheelchair sex changes for Islamists or whatever the MAGA lot think we’re doing, that could get Trump to send soldiers to Ukraine for us, and that would save us far more money in the long run.
>> No. 101214 Anonymous
25th February 2025
Tuesday 6:03 pm
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>>101210

Kind of, but in many places the West has realistically already lost that fight, and the money wasn't going towards the noblest causes a lot of the time. Look at the amount of money USAID put into funding media outlets for instance, and it becomes pretty clear that it was as much a propganda agency as an aid organisation.

Opinions on the war in Ukraine throughout the global south range from indifference to support of Russia. Despite Russia being the clear and objective aggressor, nobody is on our side. What have we been doing wrong all these years that resulted in that? That's something our governments need to have a think about. China and Russia didn't get all their support with troll farms alone. Our aid could be considered a pretty literal sunk cost in that respect, I think, because no matter how much money we throw at it, it's not going to rehabilitate our image in Africa or the Middle East. May as well spend it on a few more tanks and fighter jets.

The broader strategic issue we are going to have when facing China (and let's be real Russia are just China's XL bully) is that our governments surrendered the ability to meaningfully affect basically anything to the corporations and the markets. The idea behind globalisation was supposed to be that when everyone is beholden to the markets, there will be no more wars because by design, the market's unfeeling impartial hand would overrule the petty whims of soverign states. Making a handful of global elites monstrously wealthy was just a welcome secondary consequence, naturally.

I believe there were some leaders and thinkers back in the 70s and 80s who may even have earnestly and naively believed in that aim, but it what's clear is that it hasn't worked. We need to wake governments back up to the idea that they can just do stuff, like put a big tax on rich people and use it to build a couple of aircraft carriers (and maybe some new schools and hospitals I dunno) and hell, while we're talking fantasy nonsense that will never happen, maybe we can even have publicly owned organisations to design and build that stuff here too, instead of outsourcing it all to a company who then outsource it to China anyway.
>> No. 101216 Anonymous
25th February 2025
Tuesday 10:53 pm
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>>101214
>Look at the amount of money USAID put into funding media outlets for instance, and it becomes pretty clear that it was as much a propganda agency as an aid organisation.
>Opinions on the war in Ukraine throughout the global south range from indifference to support of Russia. Despite Russia being the clear and objective aggressor, nobody is on our side. What have we been doing wrong all these years that resulted in that? That's something our governments need to have a think about

I mean it's literally that we failed to properly fight a propaganda war and even gutted funding for the BBC's international outreach that was then filled with Russian and Chinese programming provided for low-cost or free entirely. Remember that we ourselves had Chinese propaganda pages in a national newspaper such is the state of us.

In my mind it's not exactly a hard fight to win given we're up against autocracies, have an overwhelming cultural advantage and by global standards we're less likely tell you that the clouds are actually sky-sheep. It's just that the west in general has become criminally incompetent and short-sighted.
>> No. 101217 Anonymous
27th February 2025
Thursday 5:53 pm
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Donald Trump's almost 80, no spring chicken to be sure. Are we sure he'll survive a tongue bath as intense as the one Starmer is sure to be giving him?
>> No. 101231 Anonymous
3rd March 2025
Monday 10:50 am
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>>101217
Real talk everyone (not just the person I'm replying to, I was on the main page and got azy) but how much of Trump's will is likely to go ahead after he dies, and how likely is the damage he's causing to the NATO relationship actually going to be permanent, given that the next Democrat president who gets in is likely to reverse this?
>> No. 101232 Anonymous
3rd March 2025
Monday 11:03 am
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>>101231
He’s not going to die for a while yet. Those who aren’t wanted here aren’t wanted elsewhere, as my mum likes to say about awful old people who never die. But I am already coming to the conclusion that this is all just a replay of his first presidency, a dizzying onslaught of outrage and horrors, which ultimately turns out to be much less apocalyptic than it feels. We all think he’s a Russian stooge, but apparently he’s been signing more sanctions and continuing to punish them behind the scenes. It’s certainly not the best way to go about international diplomacy, but I bet that in 2029, NATO will still exist and America will still be in it.
>> No. 101233 Anonymous
3rd March 2025
Monday 11:13 am
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>>101231
After 4 years Europe will be seeing the results of paying a lot more for defence and Ukraine will probably collapse not long after he leaves office. The first will be a win that the US will be happy with and the second sticks the US on a course anyway while they're busy dealing with a debt crisis.

Assuming we don't get a third term Trump or Vance/Jr as President.
>> No. 101234 Anonymous
3rd March 2025
Monday 11:16 am
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I miss the days when the President of the United States was an old man with dementia and the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom was a free use butt slut. Things seemed simpler then.
>> No. 101235 Anonymous
3rd March 2025
Monday 11:36 am
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>>101231

Thing is you have to sort of look past Trump and realise that even though they try their best to make it seem like it, the big decisions of a global superpower are far too important to be left to one bloke whose attitude might wildly differ from the bloke before him every four years.

Somewhere behind the scenes, the different factions have been fighting over all of this for a long time and the course they are on now is one that they would likely have ended up on anyway with or without Trump. They might have been more diplomatic about it and managed it a bit better otherwise, but this path has been set in motion for a while. The faction that was in favour of the USA being the "leaders of the free world" has largely given up the fight it seems, and the country is as a whole going to retreat from the global stage to focus on putting out (or making worse as it may be) the many fires it has internally.

That doesn't mean NATO is going to collapse overnight or that suddenly we all will be living under Putin or Xi's boot, in fact for Europe it might well end up being a good thing, at least it's hard to argue the US has ever made decisions that favour our interests anyway. I will resist the urge to go on a tangent about how the Iraq war was really all about undermining the Euro, but consider it.

But one thing I am fairly sure of is that there has been a real change; one term of Trump was enough that the "sensible people" thought they could just ride it out and then go back to normal. Two terms of Trump mean they have to sit up and listen and come to terms with it. Think of it like with Brexit- After the referendum, many thought they could mitigate the damage and kick the real impacts into the long grass. After 2019 that was no longer really possible and even people like Kier had to change their tune.
>> No. 101247 Anonymous
4th March 2025
Tuesday 2:50 pm
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So we're going to war. Good thing most of us are above conscription age.
>> No. 101248 Anonymous
4th March 2025
Tuesday 3:18 pm
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>>101247
Yeah, I'd definitely shoot myself in the foot if I had to share a dugout with one of you moaning cunts.
>> No. 101249 Anonymous
4th March 2025
Tuesday 4:49 pm
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>>101247
I wouldn’t mind being conscripted for cyberwarfare. Sit in a room with a computer, same as I do anyway, while also learning new skills with a high-paying job in six months once we’ve marched on Moscow and dug Putin out of the permafrost to be executed like Saddam Hussein.
>> No. 101250 Anonymous
4th March 2025
Tuesday 5:12 pm
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And who are we going to war with, anyway? Is it Trump?
>> No. 101254 Anonymous
4th March 2025
Tuesday 6:59 pm
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>>101250
The shit I'd do to Vance and Musk's corpses would make that Ghaddafi video look like something off CBBC.
>> No. 101261 Anonymous
4th March 2025
Tuesday 9:45 pm
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>>101249
>once we’ve marched on Moscow and dug Putin out of the permafrost to be executed like Saddam Hussein

And he would've gotten away with it if only he hadn't watched the new season of Ludwig on BBC iPlayer.
>> No. 101269 Anonymous
5th March 2025
Wednesday 2:09 am
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>The Treasury has earmarked several billion pounds in draft spending cuts to welfare and other government departments amid expectations the chancellor's room for manoeuvre has all but been wiped out. The department will put the proposed cuts to the Office of Budget Responsibility (OBR), the official forecaster, on Wednesday ahead of the Spring Statement later this month.

>Sources said it was evident that "the world has changed" since the Budget last October, when the OBR indicated that Chancellor Rachel Reeves had £9.9bn in headroom against her self-imposed borrowing targets. The OBR's forecast, which will be published alongside the Spring Statement, is likely to see that disappear because of global economic headwinds and changes to the UK's long-term economic performance.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c1lpjqg2mp5o

Don't tell HMRC but I honestly wouldn't mind paying a bit more tax with the way things are going. £20 a month to run public services, £20 to keep Vlad down. It feels very justified.
>> No. 101270 Anonymous
5th March 2025
Wednesday 2:54 am
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>>101269
Less bennies, more war. Nice to see that Labour has its priorities in order.
>> No. 101271 Anonymous
5th March 2025
Wednesday 6:50 am
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>>100709
>They've taken a very large gamble with the Budget because they've left themselves such a small cushion if things don't pan out. If growth is lower than forecasted or if the cost of borrowing goes up then more tax rises and spending cuts are likely, which will go down like a bucket of cold sick.

I fucking told yas. There's no point the government saying "the world has changed" since last October because they left themselves practically no headroom in case things didn't go as planned. There's always shit happening. They should have prepared for this.
>> No. 101272 Anonymous
5th March 2025
Wednesday 9:59 am
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>>101269
"Change" my arse.
>> No. 101297 Anonymous
5th March 2025
Wednesday 11:33 pm
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I dunno but it always seemed to me the economy was doing really well when we were at war in Afghanistan and Iraq. Maybe there's something to it.
>> No. 101301 Anonymous
6th March 2025
Thursday 12:34 am
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>>101297
I think there is. When Russia invaded Ukraine, it became one of the most sanctioned countries on the face of the planet, an international pariah on a par with North Korea, and the government spent all its money on warmongering, and their economy grew by 5%. Any Western country would kill for 5%, and we don't even have sanctions to worry about. I can't explain why wars are so good for the economy, but they clearly are.
>> No. 101302 Anonymous
6th March 2025
Thursday 12:49 am
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>>101301

> I can't explain why wars are so good for the economy, but they clearly are.

That seems to apply even when your country is the one getting bombed to shit.
>> No. 101321 Anonymous
7th March 2025
Friday 1:26 pm
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>>101302 Civil war for the greater good then?
>> No. 101322 Anonymous
7th March 2025
Friday 1:49 pm
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Which side will the Vietnamese be on?
>> No. 101323 Anonymous
7th March 2025
Friday 2:41 pm
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>>101322
>> No. 101370 Anonymous
13th March 2025
Thursday 6:47 am
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What do we think the Spring statement has in store for us? The press speculation I've seen so far is more cuts, reducing the ISA allowances and increasing car tax.
>> No. 101371 Anonymous
13th March 2025
Thursday 8:59 am
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>>101370
Right-wingers are obsessed with fucking children and animals, and anything scatological.
>> No. 101372 Anonymous
13th March 2025
Thursday 9:03 am
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Spotted in the wild.
>> No. 101373 Anonymous
13th March 2025
Thursday 10:28 am
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>>101372
I'm simultaneously confused about what they mean by that, and irritated they got the (shit) nickname wrong.
>> No. 101374 Anonymous
13th March 2025
Thursday 11:15 am
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>>101373
What's the best nickname for him? I like 'Queer Harmer' because apparently he's a transphobe.
>> No. 101375 Anonymous
13th March 2025
Thursday 11:22 am
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>>101374
No, you dingus. The nickname is "Two-Tier Keir", not "Two-Tier Starmer", for reasons I hope are obvious for anyone with a key stage ,1 or above, reading level.
>> No. 101376 Anonymous
13th March 2025
Thursday 11:27 am
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>>101375
Okay, but that's not what I asked?
>> No. 101377 Anonymous
13th March 2025
Thursday 11:53 am
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>>101301
In an "optimum" war (Iraq I & II or Afghanistan don't really count, that was just the economy working "normally") you're forced to use your productive capacity. In peacetime people think you're nuts to suggest just giving people a job, even when there's work that clearly needs to be done. The idea of the government paying for everyone on the dole to become a carer or a builder sounds like madness - but the idea of the government paying everyone on the dole (and several people who're gainfully employed in other services, forcing us to ration those) to pick up a gun and shoot Germans is our national founding myth.
People are productive capacity, and in peacetime it's worth letting some people rot and leaving some capacity idle, because it gives room for future expansion, because it satisfies treasury brain, and because it keeps workers disciplined - if you're too bolshy about wanting a pay increase you can be pushed out and replaced by someone desperate to get away from their work coach. In a real war, that goes out the window, and economic activity consequently expands even if it's mostly in producing things that are useless outside the context of the war.
>> No. 101378 Anonymous
13th March 2025
Thursday 12:34 pm
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>>101374
I have always been eager to see more of those protests from farmers about the inheritance tax thing, just because I like “Keir Starmer the Farmer Harmer”.
>> No. 101379 Anonymous
13th March 2025
Thursday 5:02 pm
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>The UK’s technology secretary, Peter Kyle, has asked ChatGPT for advice on why the adoption of artificial intelligence is so slow in the UK business community – and which podcasts he should appear on.

>Now, New Scientist has obtained records of Kyle’s ChatGPT use under the Freedom of Information (FOI) Act, in what is believed to be a world-first test of whether chatbot interactions are subject to such laws.

>https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/technology/revealed-how-the-uk-tech-secretary-uses-chatgpt-for-policy-advice/ar-AA1AQCBh

... Well it's not like ChatGPT can be any worse informed than a Labour cabinet minister am I right? Eh? That one's gonna show up in Alexi Sayle's Imaginary Sandwhich Bar but you'll know he stole it off me.
>> No. 101380 Anonymous
13th March 2025
Thursday 5:43 pm
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>>101379
>These records show that Kyle asked ChatGPT to explain why the UK’s small and medium business (SMB) community has been so slow to adopt AI. ChatGPT returned a 10-point list of problems hindering adoption, including sections on “Limited Awareness and Understanding”, “Regulatory and Ethical Concerns” and “Lack of Government or Institutional Support”.

It notably didn't ask why and how on Earth a bike shop or a cafe-bar is supposed to use a jumped up chat bot to improve their business, which is the main problem. It's almost as if there aren't really many use cases for generative AI and it's potential has been massively overstated by people who stood to make unimaginable sums of money from it... but no, that can't be it.

There really are some zero watt bulbs in this government.
>> No. 101381 Anonymous
13th March 2025
Thursday 5:59 pm
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>>101380

Small firms spend four days per month battling red tape

Over half of smaller business owners (55 per cent) say their company’s growth is being held back by the amount of time they have to dedicate to business administration, according to new research from the Federation of Small Businesses (FSB).

The findings show that a small business owner spends over 33 hours every month on internal business administration – that represents almost a quarter of an individual’s working hours. In addition, the average small business sees around 70 hours of employee time tied up in business admin alone.

Two-thirds of smaller businesses (67 per cent) say the administrative burden is preventing them from focusing on their business’ primary purpose. The study reveals that three-quarters of business owners (76 per cent) spend more time than they would like on business compliance, tackling issues ranging from tax, employment law issues and insurance to dealing with workplace pensions, accounting tasks or health and safety issues.


https://www.fsb.org.uk/resources-page/small-firms-spend-four-days-per-month-battling-red-tape.html
>> No. 101382 Anonymous
14th March 2025
Friday 10:47 am
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Is scrapping NHS England a good thing or not? I don't know enough to have an informed opinion on this.

I can't imagine making 10,000 redundant when everything is already in the shit is ideal.
>> No. 101383 Anonymous
14th March 2025
Friday 11:52 am
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>>101382
I would imagine that a significant number of NHS England staff will end up at DHSC.
>> No. 101384 Anonymous
14th March 2025
Friday 12:01 pm
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>>101382

It seems like a blunt tool to tackle something that really needs a bit more nuance, but I say it as somebody who spent a long time working in the NHS- The management structure definitely needs a shake up. Stuff like procurement for IT systems or new equipment or building works is too often a neverending saga of incompetence and wasted money. There's often a complete lack of joined up thinking, and you have neighbouring trusts fighting where they should be co-operating. You have planned changes to services taking literal decades, then going nowhere and being scrapped, with god knows how much money spent on the committee in charge of the proposal in the meantime.

I don't know if scrapping NHS England is at all the right move, and it seems like it would be another situation where the devolved administrations in Scotland and Wales basically get to do things better because they didn't have Westminster fucking with them. That and it still leaves plenty of corrupt over-paid useless dosser cunts in place on the executive boards of trusts up and down the country, those fuckers are bent as a nine bob note I am telling you. But something does need doing.

If it was up to me, and I was determined to do something about it in the least Bolshy way possible, I would probably get some ruthless consultant firm in to specifically target the middle and upper management across each trust, strip out all the redundancy and chancers. Then loosen up a lot of restrictions trusts operate under (cut that red tape, we love cutting a bit of red tape don't we?), reform Agenda for Change and the pay banding system, make it easier for trusts to hire competent staff at market wages, allow trusts to start doing more to train and develop existing staff instead of relying on the supply of graduates and foreign labour... There's a lot you could do.
>> No. 101386 Anonymous
14th March 2025
Friday 10:25 pm
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>>101382
I'm in the minority but I feel a little queasy at the idea of cutting a delivery body that was designed to keep Ministers from directly shaking up health service. It had the job of being told 'government wants this' and then they worked out how to deliver it - the problem being that it generally meant slower technocratic reform and (allegedly) had duplication with DHSC which of course hated it with every fibre of its being. But it still tried to do a lot over its lifetime with ever declining resources toward things like patient choice and setting up a cancer drug fund, with a lot of those Working People® now being painted as jobsworths.

Everyone now assumes the government will try to devolve a lot of this function down to local authorities which I see going well.

>>101383
Worst case scenario is they'll end up like DExEU where they go into a weird limbo of tying up loose ends, applying for jobs or getting transfers and some (but not all) may get a week or two sitting on their arse. Even in a cap/reduction the civil service has a turnover rate and it's a lot easier to get a job when you already have your foot in the door from experiance, knowing the game etc. Then there's academia and consulting.

The bigger problem is that they had this sprung on them for headlines. It's also not just NHS England but also DHSC who are each getting steep staffing cuts which might lead to some bitter episodes of two people fighting over a job.
>> No. 101387 Anonymous
15th March 2025
Saturday 8:12 am
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>A million people face having their ­benefits reduced under an overhaul of the welfare system that means only the most severely disabled will qualify.

>Cost-cutting reforms due to be ­announced next week are set to deny payments to many people with mental health conditions and those who ­struggle with washing, dressing themselves and ­eating. The changes to eligibility criteria have been estimated to hit about a million people and are set to be applied to new claims and reassessments of ­existing claimants.

https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/one-million-britons-disability-benefits-cut-s5kj0z7fc
>> No. 101388 Anonymous
15th March 2025
Saturday 9:39 am
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>>101387

Mixed feelings on this one, and I say this as someone who used to be a UC claimant with LCW. There has been a huge increase in the number of PIP claimants, far above what we'd expect based on the level of disability. I don't think it's unfair to suggest that at least some people are being coached or bending the truth to get on PIP, because the basic UC personal allowance is ridiculously stingy, particularly for people under 25.

If the government actually follow through on this bit:
>Some of the savings will be spent on raising the basic rate of universal credit and a £1 billion package of employment support.
then these changes might be a net positive. Unfortunately, I don't have much confidence that they will.

I think that the JobCentre has essentially forgotten how to help people get back into work; a decade of austerity plus the shock of COVID has really gutted the service, exacerbated by high levels of staff turnover. We really need a massive investment in tailored employment support, but Reeves has painted herself into a corner with her fiscal rules and doesn't seem to have the courage to say "we're going to borrow £20bn over the next five years to actually fix the DWP, but that's a good long-term investment".

Important to note that they haven't proposed any changes to UC yet, so there's no need to worry right now if you're only getting UC and not PIP.
>> No. 101389 Anonymous
15th March 2025
Saturday 12:57 pm
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>>101388
My friend looked into PIP for her frail pensioner boyfriend; I think I've mentioned them both here before. She currently has a well-paying job and an excellent life, but she also gets anxiety which can keep her indoors for weeks on end, so she could lose her job and her life could fall apart at any point. She technically qualifies for PIP, but she doesn't claim it. As she told me, the rules for claiming it are that you have to answer each question "based on your worst day", so even if you're fine right now (like she is), she should answer the questions like she's cowering under a duvet and ignoring her phone because she's afraid to speak to her friends. And this all makes perfect sense to me. However, she also said that once you qualify for PIP, you don't have to apply for it again for two or three years. Again, if you need it because you're really disabled, that makes sense. But society seems to have a huge number of people like my friend, who might need PIP for two months but only have the option of either never getting it or getting it for 36 months, in 34 of which she won't need it. If she claimed it, she'd get tens of thousands of pounds of taxpayer money that she doesn't need, and the system wouldn't even let her give it back.
>> No. 101392 Anonymous
15th March 2025
Saturday 6:14 pm
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>>101388
>I think that the JobCentre has essentially forgotten how to help people get back into work
I've said it before and I'll say it again; I want a free bus from the job center (or somewhere local, easily accessable), taken somewhere, handed a hammer and told to start hitting stuff.
Don't make me jump through hoops. Don't give me a super secret method to avoid it by which I can feel clever for figuring out. Just give me a bare minimum training and supervision so I can use some energy in a passingly productive manner, without having to sink in the regular societal system.

I could probably do something like that for a while, 5 hours a day 3 days a week for 3 or 4 months. After that I don't know.
>> No. 101393 Anonymous
15th March 2025
Saturday 6:18 pm
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>>101387
I've been avoiding commenting on this but felt I might as well since I have some insight.
I work for the DWP (which automatically makes a few posters here dislike me) but I work within a department who recovers incorrectly paid money, rather than pay it out. Maybe I'll be even more disliked now I've stated I recover incorrectly paid taxpayer money so it can be put back into the pot.

From my day to day work I come across a lot of people on benefits who I wonder if they even have the motivation to seek employment. As always there are the legit claimants who have just been dealt a shitty hand in life and have no alternative.

I've had to speak to claimants who get twice as much money than what I'm paid complaining I have the audacity to ask for them to repay more than £5 a month towards an overpayment that runs into the thousands. I've seen people repeatedly claim UC, take out an advance and close the claim only to then do the same a few weeks later and keep doing this. I've seen people getting PIP and LCWRA for stuff everyone has (Feeling a bit shit in the morning, bad back, etc)
I regularly have to take payments for advances where the claimant will pay off half of their remaining balance just to get a new one, effectively only getting half of it since they're paying an existing one off while getting more into debt. Oh and this advance is for a fridge, washing machine or bed. The usually item and often times I can scroll through their 5+ year old UC claim/s and see they've already had advances for this same item before a year ago.

The benefits system does need an overhaul since as it stands I do feel like many people take advantage of it. A lot of people really need to just live within their means and focus on the basics rather than wanting.
As much as people hate it, the Civil Service also needs to be overhauled since there is a lot of useless cunts who somehow have not been shown the door. At the same time it's also under immense strain. A UC case manager will have case load of around 2000+ claimaints to look after for example. They will never clearly their work queue by the end of the day so some things get left and forgotten.

Sage because I'm rambling now, hate away benefits lad.
>> No. 101394 Anonymous
15th March 2025
Saturday 6:37 pm
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>>101393
>Sage because I'm rambling now, hate away benefits lad.
On the contrary, I'd like to hear more.

>A lot of people really need to just live within their means
I've been reminded a few times here that my situation as a single person on benefits is significantly different to that of a family, but I still struggle to understand how people can go into debt while on benefits. The only other people I know who're supporting children while claiming live horrendously outside of their means, as though they still live in fucking London. If it's not Netflix and Disney it's fucking Unber Eats, god forbid fucking a monthly subscription for boxes of cyrstals for fuc-
>> No. 101395 Anonymous
15th March 2025
Saturday 6:44 pm
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>>101388

>I think that the JobCentre has essentially forgotten how to help people get back into work

A large part of that is plainly because there simply aren't the jobs out there to get people into. We've repeated the point multiple times, but as of the latest figures available, there's something like 1.8m people unemployed and looking (not including the further 5m-ish people who are merely "economically inactive"), but only 870,000 job vacancies going.

Those numbers don't add up no matter how blindly you are devoted to the neoliberal market gods. The DWP is simultaneously the office tasked with Getting Britain Working, at the same time as the department that has to keep people housed and fed because of the objective reality that there is no work for those people to do. It's completely kafkaesque how this is simply never even mentioned. Never once will you hear a politician hint at it, nor an interviewer even ask the question. As much as I do think the JobCentre are a set of gormless wankers, it doesn't help that we are somehow expecting them to square this impossible circle.

That's why all of it rings so completely hollow- Are they even actually going to cut anything? When I think back on it in retrospect, this is the exact fucking same shit we were kicking back and forth in 2011. Did dead disabled people pile up in the streets then? Or is this all just a giant political soap opera where nothing ever actually happens and the system chugs along exactly as it always has?
>> No. 101396 Anonymous
15th March 2025
Saturday 7:02 pm
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>>101393
>>101394

>live within their means

In principle I agree, as a responsible working citizen who's paid tax all my life and only claimed legitimate benefits when I was out of work and all that. But I think it also has to be asked, how far can that be pushed? What happens when somebody's "means" are objectively beneath the absolute bare minimum cost of living in the modern day United Kingdom? It's hard enough nowadays working full time.

My feeling is that it's one of those situations where a lot of the fraud and waste is really driven by necessity than plain laziness or malice, and would be reduced if the system simply made it easier and gave more adequate payment in the first place. A bit like legalising drugs makes it easier to control and police them.

I have never understood housing benefit and all that stuff, because any time I have applied for the bennies in my life I have found I am entitled to the basic JSA and that's your lot, fuck off. It seems almost as if even to get those things at all you have to blag the system a bit. Almost seems like that's a feature and not a bug. Not unlike how to get a job you have to put a few white lies on your CV. Know what I mean?
>> No. 101397 Anonymous
15th March 2025
Saturday 7:41 pm
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>>101395

You make a fair point, but I do think you're being slightly too pessimistic. The last ONS data showed 819,000 vacancies, versus less than 500,000 in the five years following the financial crisis. The labour market overall is still fairly tight by historical standards, although there are strong regional disparities. The number of vacancies doesn't accurately reflect the total demand for labour in an economy, because vacancies can stifle growth and vice-versa - a business might be in a position to expand and create more vacancies, if only they could fill their current vacancies.

I think the problem is substantially about the kinds of jobs that are available. When I was a lad, there were loads of jobs that were poorly paid, but didn't require much in the way of qualifications and were basically a bit of a doss. Even during a recession, I had loads of mates who left school at 16 and got those sorts of jobs - shop assistant, office junior, data entry clerk.

When I look at the jobs listings in my area today, those jobs have all but disappeared. There are tons of vacancies for people with very specific qualifications and experience, although a lot of them really aren't very well paid (especially the huge number of vacancies in healthcare and education). There are a decent number of vacancies that aren't fussy in terms of qualifications or experience, but pay near enough minimum wage and are properly gruelling - labourer, order picker, care assistant. I can totally understand why someone might look at a job market like that and feel that the bottom rung of the career ladder is completely out of reach, particularly if they're in poor physical or mental health.

I'm really not sure how to bridge that gap. The current growth in unemployment and economic inactivity is economically unsustainable, so we're fucked if we can't reverse that trend.
>> No. 101398 Anonymous
15th March 2025
Saturday 8:00 pm
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>>101394
>On the contrary, I'd like to hear more.
Ask away, I'll try to answer.

As for how they get into debt. Often times its arrears. Council tax and utilities. If a claimant is in arrears then there is a good chance they are having a deduction towards them so thats less UC for them. I also see fines to the courts and child maintenance in there too.

Advance abuse is also a problem as stated. That advance is an interest free loan but some claimants will treat UC as a bank and take one out as soon as they can. There are ways to abuse it which can be investigated and tracked but often times they make so many claims and the case manager is snowed under with work they do get away with it. In the mean time they rack up thousands of pounds worth of debt.

My department recovers overpayments among other things. So if a claimant "forgets" to report they are living elsewhere while having their rent paid or if a kid is no longer living with them. Sometimes its backdated pay of other benefits which would be taken off UC pound for pound like carer's allowance. Sometimes the claimant just ignores the journal messages requesting ID and other documents to show they're entitled and suddenly get an overpayment for all the UC they've claimed for years etc.

The DWP can only take up to 25% of the standard allowance of a claimant for debt and loan recovery which include advance deductions. This will be changing to 15% in April and even then, they can just call up and ask for it to be reduced due to hardship. Unless the DWP is allowed to take a "harder" approach to this for people on benefits then they will be stuck with that debt for a long time, usually just increasing it rather than decreasing.

The thing is these debts are pursued forever, it's not like commerical debt where after 6 years you can't legally be pursued for it (or something along those lines, not my area) so eventually these people will be having deductions from their pensions, all the while complaining and swearing blind they never had these debts since they'd be decades old at that point

Other side of things is borrowing from elsewhere. Family and friends or credit cards, etc
I get people want to have a life and have possessions etc but that should be the motivation to seek employment.

>>101396
It varies from area to area but often times I do agree the bare minimum of UC isn't enough. I refer people to food banks and charities all the time and I often get some muppet who would rather denounce the DWP and starve than step foot in a food bank.

I'm all for UBI too but it would be full to the brim of fraud.
>> No. 101399 Anonymous
15th March 2025
Saturday 9:13 pm
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>>101397

>When I was a lad, there were loads of jobs that were poorly paid, but didn't require much in the way of qualifications and were basically a bit of a doss [...] When I look at the jobs listings in my area today, those jobs have all but disappeared. There are tons of vacancies for people with very specific qualifications and experience

I know the number of vacancies isn't an exact science by any means, people are always leaving and swapping into new jobs and so on meaning it's a sort of rolling average rather than hard number. But when you take it in consideration of this exact factor you are describing here too, it can only paint a picture in my head that there's even fewer realistic opportunities for the current crop of unemployed people to fill.

If there's 800,000 vacancies nationally, how many are in, say, Middlesbrough? And then how many of that number are for some hyper specific kind of vacuum cleaner nozzle repair technician, or industrial dog spunk fertility analyst, or the guy who operates that crane thing on BT vans to get to the top of a pole. How many of the dolies in Middlesbrough JobCentre are going to have the specific nozzle repair/dog spunk/crane thing qualification to match those jobs.

In my dad's youth you could basically walk into any place off the street and as long as you had a bit of willingness and weren't a complete idiot, you could learn the trade as you went along. And similar to what one lad was saying in the other thread, most trades aren't rocket science. But we've arrived at a point in society where we treat them like they are, and only somebody who's spent their entire childhood and early adulthood training for that specific role is suitable. It's weird when you actually think about it.
>> No. 101400 Anonymous
15th March 2025
Saturday 9:28 pm
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>>101394
>If it's not Netflix and Disney it's fucking Uber Eats
I think this is a core question in the whole philosophy of the benefits system. I often wonder what you do on benefits if you need a haircut, say, or some new clothes. These are fundamental enough things that I support benefit payments covering them, but you don't need them every week. So when do you get the payment? Does the weekly dole cover a theoretical weekly haircut, giving us a nation of perpetually sharply-coiffed jobseekers? That would be ludicrous, walking past the Job Centre each day and seeing people who look like they're in A Flock of Seagulls. But if benefits never included haircut money, then over time we'd start seeing Cousin It at the Job Centre instead, which would be equally perverse.

And where do we get off telling people what they can and can't spend their money on anyway? Perhaps someone somewhere is willing to starve to fund their haircut habit, and surely that would be okay. Of course, you could give people a tiny sum beyond the cost of food and housing and trust them to budget accordingly and save up for their haircuts, but we all know this country is full of people who are hopeless at doing that, and not all of them have jobs. I don't think there is any way to square this circle that won't enrage at least some people.
>> No. 101401 Anonymous
15th March 2025
Saturday 9:49 pm
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>>101400

A single claimant on Universal Credit gets £90.79 a week (paid monthly). They'll get their rent and council tax paid for, but otherwise they have to cover all of their living expenses. You can survive on that amount of money, barely, but it's no kind of life.

If you can convince the DWP that you have a sufficiently severe illness or disability, you can get up to £184.30 a week in Personal Independence Payments, on top of your Universal Credit. If anyone is wondering why so many people are now officially classed as disabled, there's a very large part of your answer.
>> No. 101402 Anonymous
15th March 2025
Saturday 10:13 pm
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>>101401
>They'll get their rent and council tax paid for
Another thing I've heard is that if you claim housing benefit, you can claim more in places where rents are higher. That sounds fine, again, but if you live somewhere expensive and then you lose your job, you won't have to move into the ghetto and the government just pays for your expensive house. I don't know the specifics, but I remember being outraged by this, as a resident of somewhere cheap and shitty that I paid for myself.
>> No. 101403 Anonymous
15th March 2025
Saturday 10:35 pm
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>>101402
It all comes down to the local housing allowance rate.
It's capped at either the LHA or your actual rent. It's whatever is lowest.
So your rent may be £2000 a month, but if the LHA is £500, you're just getiing £500.
You can check areas here https://lha-direct.voa.gov.uk/Search.aspx
>> No. 101404 Anonymous
15th March 2025
Saturday 10:39 pm
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>>101403
Thank you very much; that was brilliantly helpful.

Sounds like this infuriating scandal is true as well.
>> No. 101405 Anonymous
16th March 2025
Sunday 6:27 am
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To the shock of absolutely no-one, Labour are already starting to back-pedal on the proposed PIP changes:

Ministers are considering abandoning plans to freeze some disability benefits, the BBC understands.

Initial reports had suggested Personal Independence Payments (PIP) would not rise in line with inflation for a year, but many usually loyal Labour MPs have voiced strong opposition in meetings in No10, as well as to party whips and ministers.

The eligibility criteria for PIP will be tightened with the government expected to cut billions of pounds from the welfare budget, but dropping the freeze could avoid a potentially damaging vote in the Commons.


https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cy9dgwe1q27o
>> No. 101406 Anonymous
16th March 2025
Sunday 6:30 am
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>>101404

I'm not sure it's a scandal, just a difficult circle to square. If benefits don't cover real rents, then the inevitable result will be an even bigger wave of homelessness than we're currently experiencing. Conversely, the inevitable result of our current policy is that cities like London are being hollowed-out of lower earners - only the very poor and the very rich can afford to live there. I don't think there's a good answer, just a range of difficult compromises.
>> No. 101407 Anonymous
16th March 2025
Sunday 4:19 pm
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>>101404

I have to raise the question: If we have Right to Buy for council tennants to buy their properties, why don't we have housing benefit that covers your mortgage? You are only eligible if you are renting. That means our housing benefit system is really nothing more than a giant transfer of wealth and assets to landlords.

The two bed rate would cover my mortgage twice over. Why does som buy to let twat else get their mortgage paid for them by the government, via renting it out to a doley, when I have to go to work 40 hours a week for fuck all? Why is the government giving landlords such generous bennies?
>> No. 101408 Anonymous
16th March 2025
Sunday 4:35 pm
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>>101407
UC claimants who have a mortgage get this instead.
https://www.gov.uk/support-for-mortgage-interest/what-youll-get

Not exactly great is it.
>> No. 101409 Anonymous
16th March 2025
Sunday 6:48 pm
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>>101400
>over time we'd start seeing Cousin It at the Job Centre
A friend once took me into the job center, disheveled and dirty faced with an enormous mass of head and beard hair. The JS agent looked at me and asked "How long have you been in the UK?" I answered "All my life". We had a good laugh that I apparently looked like a jolly foreigner.

>where do we get off telling people what they can and can't spend their money on anyway?
Mate, probably where we realise benefit claimants haven't earned that money. It's not really theirs. Don't get me wrong I'm a long term claimant myself, but the only other people I know who're also claiming appear to disrespect that - they're buying new sofas, new TVs, excessive food (fuck, my own father stuffed his fucking cupboards from a foodbank instead of buying it, the cunt. And he's still got most of it unused, years later).
They shouldn't be able to buy new stuff so readily as they're doing, and I saying that from the position of someone who's slept on a wonkey sofabed for 4 or 5 years. Infact everything in my home (but this computer) is second hand at best. I'm eating fucking lentils every day, can't face to wear new clothes or even cut my fucking hair because I don't deserve it.

I wish they'd respect their cash more, starting by changing the commonly used terminology from 'entitled to' to 'elegible for' benefits.

Fuck me, it's about time I stop shitting up another decent thread.
>> No. 101410 Anonymous
16th March 2025
Sunday 7:07 pm
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>>101409

>I'm a long term claimant myself

>I saying that from the position of someone who's slept on a wonkey sofabed for 4 or 5 years

So you think it's okay to sponge off the rest of us indefinitely as long as you don't spend it on anything nice? As one of the people who is funding your lavish lifestyle I think you should therefore listen to me when I tell you to stop being such a fucking spanner.

You are entitled to those bennies because it's part of the social contract that we may all expect the same safety net if/when we need it, and it shouldn't be subject to some petty DWP tyrant poring through your bank statement to see what you did with it. You might be an absolute write off, but it's not all about you, is it.
>> No. 101411 Anonymous
17th March 2025
Monday 12:35 pm
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>>101409
>can't face to wear new clothes or even cut my fucking hair because I don't deserve it.
Terrible mindset to have.
>> No. 101412 Anonymous
17th March 2025
Monday 7:12 pm
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They had Dianne Abbott on Radio 4 this morning. Somebody at the BBC just does it for a laugh I swear, any time Labour do anything controversial they rub their hands together with glee and go "Perfect, let's get Dianne Abbot on Today, she'll say something thick!"

I don't know if she did because I turned it over, I don't hate the woman on principle but her voice is very grating.

Later on they had a nice posh middle class woman who sounded like a character from a fucking Jane Austen novel to talk about how the benefit cuts would affect her, which is obviously very bad indeed because you see she's one of the good benny scroungers isn't she? The government is obviously doing something wrong because when they target benny scroungers it's supposed to be those ugly norhtern ones in trackies.

Now I am reading all the Guardian op-eds savaging Starmer's government for this like they weren't alongside the rest of our foetid gutter press helping to sink the knife in Corbyn's back.

Middle class people are such fucking hypocrites.
>> No. 101413 Anonymous
17th March 2025
Monday 7:20 pm
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>>101412
>Later on they had a nice posh middle class woman who sounded like a character from a fucking Jane Austen novel to talk about how the benefit cuts would affect her, which is obviously very bad indeed because you see she's one of the good benny scroungers isn't she?

This is what has always annoyed me about Jack Monroe. She was a posho LARPing as a povvo and the likes of the Guardian lapped up her year of slumming it that she became a poster child for it. They'd never in a million years have given her a cooking column if she was called Shannon and brought up on a council estate.
>> No. 101414 Anonymous
17th March 2025
Monday 7:47 pm
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>>101413
>They'd never in a million years have given her a cooking column if she was called Shannon and brought up on a council estate.
Well the cooking instructions for turkey dinosaurs and fish fingers are right there on the back on the box, don't need no newspaper column for that.
>> No. 101415 Anonymous
17th March 2025
Monday 8:41 pm
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>>101414

Posh people like to pretend they're better, but really they just buy Picard nuggets poulet and bâtonnets poisson for twice the price of Birds Eye.
>> No. 101416 Anonymous
17th March 2025
Monday 11:44 pm
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This community has numerous longstanding issues with people who talk properly and have good jobs.
>> No. 101417 Anonymous
18th March 2025
Tuesday 5:22 am
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>>101412
You know you can be well spoken and skint, yeah? Especially given how poor and lacking in opportunities some of our finest rural peripheries are. While I'd say it's certainly beneficial if you can mask as middle class when trying escape skintdom in a society as class obsessed as ours, it's a very Pol Pot-esque outlook to say that someone's social and economic standing is determined by their asthetic qualities in the way you are stating.

Just further evidence of .gs being a hive of counter-revolutionary thought! It saddens be greatly.

>>101415
I'm sorry to say that the middle classes are certainly better cooks than the working class. I'm not blaming the individuals themselves for this (well, not much anyway), but I've seen plates of brown you people couldn't imagine, and prime cuts of meat so overcooked and unseasoned they test one's belief that there can be goodness in the world. If it weren't for The Hairy Bikers I'd probably be living on shoddy fry ups and the dreariest approximations of cottage pies and spag' bol' you could conceive, assuming I was actually bothering to cook at all.

You're probably going to tell me that your mum is the finest cook who has ever lived. This is despite her food budget of a sixpence a month and having lost her hands in the Falklands, which were eaten by penguins after an Exocet knocked her unconscious. Sorry, I've got a bit jazz with this so I'll stop now.
>> No. 101418 Anonymous
18th March 2025
Tuesday 11:11 am
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>>101417

>You know you can be well spoken and skint, yeah? Especially given how poor and lacking in opportunities some of our finest rural peripheries are.

Of course, but that really doesn't have anything to do with the point being made, which was about how the media, and our culture more broadly, views and treats those groups and their circumstances so differently. The point is- Radio 4 clearly cares about those aesthetic qualities, don't they.

Don't make me go on the whole rant about how class is intrinsically different from other descriptors that we tend to call "identity" these days, the difference being class is a product of material conditions and not an immutable feature at birth. Somebody with a posh enough accent to go on Radio 4 at least grew up wealthy, even if they pissed that advantage up the wall and ended up as a professional skiver.

>I'm sorry to say that the middle classes are certainly better cooks than the working class.

Certainly the case once, but nowadays is only a very loose connection. I've seen first hand, the only people who still seem to buy a halfway decent variety of fresh food are newcomer immigrants. Everyone else seems to eat mostly the same shit regardless if they live in a detached house with two German cars out front, or if they are a doley in a council dump.

I suspect cozzie livs narrowed the gap a lot too, as lower middle class people try to save where they can to maintain the two holidays a year and payments on their PCP as their mortgage goes through the roof. A lot of that crowd are really just working class in denial and a lot of debt, these days.
>> No. 101431 Anonymous
19th March 2025
Wednesday 8:37 pm
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>Rachel Reeves will announce the biggest spending cuts since austerity at next week’s spring statement after ruling out tax rises as a way to close her budget deficit.

>The chancellor will tell MPs next Wednesday that she intends to cut Whitehall budgets by billions of pounds more than previously expected in a move which could mean reductions of as much as 7% for certain departments over the next four years.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/mar/19/reeves-to-reveal-biggest-uk-spending-cuts-since-austerity-in-spring-statement
>> No. 101432 Anonymous
19th March 2025
Wednesday 11:47 pm
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>>101431
What, exactly, are the benefits of this? It's not going to grow the economy. It's not going to increase tax receipts. The money we save isn't going to be spent on fixing anything. I guess we won't have to pay back as much in 10-20 years, but if the economy is smaller in 10-20 years as a result, then the amount we repay as a proportion of our GDP will be the same.

Maybe we can spend the money instead on building factories to build drones and missiles for Ukraine, and that will create skilled jobs while also boosting our global profile and stopping Russia, but that would be a good thing for the country so it must be impossible somehow.
>> No. 101433 Anonymous
20th March 2025
Thursday 6:22 am
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>>101432
I believe with Labour it's a dogged belief of showing how "the grown-ups are now in charge" and they think this makes them look sensible and responsible.
>> No. 101435 Anonymous
20th March 2025
Thursday 7:44 am
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>>101432

The government is in £2.7tn of debt and spends £74bn a year on interest. They're right at the limit of what they can borrow without completely panicking the bond markets and facing immediate increases in borrowing costs. They're pushing through some fairly big (and fairly sneaky) tax increases, but that isn't enough. It's a stark choice between massive tax increases or smaller tax increases and some spending cuts.
>> No. 101436 Anonymous
20th March 2025
Thursday 7:53 am
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>>101433
It's insane how poorly thought out Labour strategy is. UK politics is fairly fickle, so maybe the carrot comes later and they're bargining no one will remember their first year in government being stick after stick. However, ratfucking parents who need SEND for their children, yet more inaction on social care and then this retrograde austerity push are no small measures. Abolishing NHS England and cutting the civil service aren't going to live terribly long in people's minds (unless your job's going), but Labour are otherwise committed to doing material harm to Britons all so they adhere to their own made up "fiscal rules". But to what end?! I'm completely at a loss as to what Labour's long term strategy actually is. Fouling up the country even further and making your own party incredibly unpopular is either a mistake or malign.

Personally, I think this is just what happens when people of no particular intellect and absolutely zero ideology are in power. Say what you will about neo-liberalism, at least it's an idea, I don't think I can give this Labour government even that much credit. Most of these people held up "shoddiness and unprofessionalism" as some of the great sins of Corbyn's time as leader, but what else would you call their time in government so far? They don't even seem willing to try and spin their shit ideas into anything worthwhile.

I suppose what I'm saying is that I agree with you. Sorry for wasting everyone's time, I'm just upset is all.
>> No. 101447 Anonymous
20th March 2025
Thursday 4:46 pm
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>>101435

They need to go after the big fish, frankly. It's political anathema to our current crop of politicians but it's really what has to be done. You don't even have to be a massive lefty to see it. Our taxation rates nowadays are, comparatively, the lowest they've been since the black and white days.

You can argue we don't want to go back to the mental times of taxing people 90% and I will even agree; but we can still increase them by a bit. There's plenty of room between where we are now, and that.

Businesses and the top rate earners are clearly capable of paying more, and wouldn't be hurting as a result. We continually see profits increasing but they scream and cry like having to pay 50p more to their minimum wage slaves and a bit more NI is going to put them out of business. Small businesses might have tight margins sure, but the big ones definitely don't, It's bullshit and the government should be tackling it.

People up and down the country continuously say they wouldn't mind paying more tax if it means we actually sort shit out.
>> No. 101448 Anonymous
23rd March 2025
Sunday 1:19 am
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I'd love to read some big book structurally analyzing how the UK got to be the way it is. Especially the incestuous relationship between a dismal press and a worse-year-on-year crooked, incompetent government. Edgerton's good, but it's more a grand history of how the long-gone nation of 'Britain' wasn't actually that bad and the UK Plc that followed under Thatcher was only possible because of the things it built up, rather than a contemporary analysis of how following her the administrators of UK Plc stripped all the copper wire out of the walls, raided the pension funds, and appointed blithering dunderheads as their successors.
The last decade or so of British politics has been a rapidly escalating pisstake, like something you'd see in a country on the verge of collapse, or maybe in the middle of one like 90s Russia. The only reason I'd not bet on Britain coming apart is that somehow, miraculously, the once unified and competent SNP have caught the same disease and spun themselves to pieces through their own series of avoidable blunders.
Blair targeting single mothers was something to despair about, a big credible win by a figure at least a few people liked followed by some pain he'd foreshadowed in the vaguest terms, an unfortunate outcome of a democratic process. Starmer winning just as big a seat count on a lower count and % than Corbyn's dismal loss, against the Tory membership's unloved second and only choice because the banks veto'd their first one, then his chancellor rushing to put the boot into the disabled in ways no journalist forewarned? Sure, whatever. You're not even pretending anymore. Lenin was a mushroom.
>> No. 101449 Anonymous
23rd March 2025
Sunday 2:43 am
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It's pretty simple, the government will do some steep cuts into the non-immediate-growthy bits for the first year and then once the ship is stabilised the government will crack on with investment from 26/27. That's been the position since they've got in and literally how they structured the spending review, remember how they allegedly first looked at the books and said it was all nonsense?

The global economy will look better in a couple years and we won't be eaten alive by the bond markets. In the meantime the money will flow into the bits like AI so we're hopefully in a position to fly. And if everything is fucked anyway in a year or two then maybe the IMF won't demand everyone's first-born son because there's fuck all chance the domestic market will be paying the bills.

>>101447
>Our taxation rates nowadays are, comparatively, the lowest they've been since the black and white days.

No they're fucking not. This is a bigger lie than 75% of the adult population working being a scandal.

And look into those 'small businesses' while we're at it. Highstreet my arse, I had no idea that being the 80th carbon-copy hairdresser or fried chicken shop in a sleepy commuter town was so profitable.
>> No. 101450 Anonymous
23rd March 2025
Sunday 7:35 am
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>>101449
>once the ship is stabilised the government will crack on with investment

They're about to announce more cuts next week because the cuts announced in October haven't worked as they planned.
>> No. 101451 Anonymous
23rd March 2025
Sunday 8:31 am
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>>101448

On the destruction of and general uselessness of the British press, James Curran's work is invaluable.
>> No. 101452 Anonymous
23rd March 2025
Sunday 8:52 am
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>>101449

"Taxation rates" and "tax burden as a proportion of GDP" really aren't the same thing are they. I suspect you know that.
>> No. 101453 Anonymous
23rd March 2025
Sunday 12:47 pm
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>>101449
>Highest tax burden since the 1960s
The government had lots of money in the 1960s and built lots of nice new things for everyone. Go ahead and look; they're still there now.
>> No. 101454 Anonymous
23rd March 2025
Sunday 1:30 pm
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>>101453
>> No. 101455 Anonymous
23rd March 2025
Sunday 2:55 pm
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>>101449
>AI
If that's the plan it really is over.
>> No. 101460 Anonymous
24th March 2025
Monday 8:47 am
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>>101455
It's so over.
>> No. 101461 Anonymous
24th March 2025
Monday 9:51 am
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This government is a far bigger disappointment than I even expected. Nobody was naive enough to think they'd come in to sweep away decades of Tory under-investment with a bold soc-dem package of strategically targeted taxes to bring in cash to repair our crumbling public services and infrastructure, much less a wild leftist redistribution of our radically unbalanced wealth inequality.

But this is just completely imaginatively bankrupt, devoid of ambition, it's the governmental equivalent of taking a swig out of a can of Fosters that's been there since last night and realising somebody docked out a fag in it.
>> No. 101466 Anonymous
24th March 2025
Monday 12:20 pm
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>>101461
I'm a fan of the part where they've given public sector workers large pay rises but have then instigated cuts which will make a fair amount of them redundant because there isn't the money to pay them.
>> No. 101467 Anonymous
24th March 2025
Monday 1:13 pm
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>>101466

I wouldn't call any of their payrises large, but I agree with your broader point yeah. Then again, if there's less workers to pay, perhaps they can pay the ones that are left a bit better, surely?

Yeah, I know, not likely. Doesn't concern me any more though, I am no longer one of them. Just annoyed I can't cash out my NHS pension and put it in an ISA or something, because otherwise it's going to be such a pittance that it feels like I wasted my money paying into it all those years.

Are public sector pensions deliberately set up like that to prevent people leaving on sunk costs, now that I think about it?
>> No. 101468 Anonymous
24th March 2025
Monday 3:55 pm
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>>101467
>Are public sector pensions deliberately set up like that to prevent people leaving on sunk costs, now that I think about it?

Generally speaking, public sector wages are less competitive than the private sector but the trade-off is that the pensions are more generous.

My experience of working in the public sector, around a year within a finance department in the NHS and stints with a couple of local authorities, is that a fair amount of roles are created to essentially stop people ending up on the scrapheap because they wouldn't be able to cut it in a job where wasting money actually matters.
>> No. 101475 Anonymous
25th March 2025
Tuesday 5:05 pm
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>>101461
You've got me thinking back to this: https://www.persuasion.community/p/the-abject-misery-of-the-uk
It's hard not to feel its conclusion has been validated. It was no longer possible to be disappointed in the Tories, so we let Labour in on a disappointing manifesto and they proceeded to underperform even that.
>> No. 101479 Anonymous
25th March 2025
Tuesday 10:48 pm
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>>101475

It consequently brings me a great amount of secret pleasure to complain about how this entire article is just an unnecessarily drawn out reference to a Bill Bailey bit about Kinder Eggs.
>> No. 101480 Anonymous
26th March 2025
Wednesday 9:41 am
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>>101479

Sam Kriss is Russell Brand for ageing Vice readers. His loquaciousness is ultimately a veneer covering the fundamental vacuity that is PARKLIFE!.
>> No. 101482 Anonymous
26th March 2025
Wednesday 2:43 pm
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>>101480
As an aging, former, Vice reader I looked this Mr Kriss chap up. He writes for The Spectator, so deserves immediate execution, but is correct when he says people should stop making Alien films. People are complex like that.
>> No. 101483 Anonymous
26th March 2025
Wednesday 6:14 pm
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So what was the actual point of today's spring statement?
>> No. 101484 Anonymous
26th March 2025
Wednesday 6:36 pm
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>>101483
"Fuck doleys and the disabled."
>> No. 101485 Anonymous
26th March 2025
Wednesday 7:33 pm
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>To end the use of asylum hotels was a promise made by the Labour Party in its manifesto last summer. Instead, the number has gone up by 8,000 with 38,000 “mainly illegal immigrants now in those hotels”, according to Mr Philp, costing taxpayers around £2 billion a year.

>The trouble for the Tories is that even if Labour seem determined to catch up with them in mishandling the asylum crisis and charging taxpayers for the privilege, their own record on the issue is truly abysmal. And so it allows Labour MPs to simply turn the focus back on Conservative failures, such as the fact that Mr Philp was part of a “Government who presided over a situation where, at its height, there were 56,000 people in more than 400 hotels”, according to Dame Angela.

>For taxpayers, it seems there is simply no respite, whomever might be in power. Research from the think tank Institute for Public Policy Research has found that the cost of each asylum seeker to the public purse had increased by 141 per cent from £17,000 to an eye-watering £41,000 between 2020 and 2024, leading to accusations of profiteering against companies contracted to acquire hotel accommodation for migrants. This amounts to a bill of a staggering £5.5 million every single day.

>And we have been warned by the newly formed quango, Office for Value for Money, that because of “global instability”, migrant hotels will likely remain open for years to come. The quango has suggested, rather alarmingly, that one way to return expensive hotels to public use would be to house asylum seekers in the 18,000 social and affordable homes the Government has announced it would spend £2 billion to build.

https://www.I need to find an archive link for this.co.uk/news/2025/03/26/2-billion-migrant-hotels-are-here-to-stay-admits-labours-ne/

Absolute insanity.
>> No. 101486 Anonymous
26th March 2025
Wednesday 9:28 pm
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>>101485
Well, ultimately, that's absolutely right. If we had giant immigrant processing centres that we could house them all in, it would be cheaper in the long run and much more politically popular than paying for hotel rooms for every Tom, Dick and Abubakar who shows up and says in an Eritrean accent that they're fleeing the war in Congo. But we don't have those processing centres, so we would have to build them. That's a vote-loser among the average voting bozo. The Office for Value for Money are spot-on, but our housing crisis is so bad that we have to build houses for white British millennials first. We could just build both, but our economy is so bad that we can't afford to build both. So we try to build British houses for British people, but we can't afford to build any houses because we're pissing all our money away on expensive hotels. It's a vicious circle. The country is so fucked now that we literally can't do anything to fix it because some other bullshit is always in the way. We can't even get the immigrants to build the processing centres for a bargain price because plenty of them are genuine refugees who've had their hands cut off in a Syrian prison or whatever.
>> No. 101487 Anonymous
26th March 2025
Wednesday 11:39 pm
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>>101485
Have they considered just processing the asylum claims so they can get people out of the hotels and either into society or on a plane home?

Just a thought.
>> No. 101488 Anonymous
27th March 2025
Thursday 1:42 am
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>>101487
Spending taxpayer money on wages for more people to do that would get the exact same bold greentext treatment as paying to put them in hotels. Why pay to process asylum applications when we can't even pay to put new roofs on schools or keep paedos in prison?
>> No. 101489 Anonymous
27th March 2025
Thursday 3:55 am
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>>101487
>>101488
Has anyone ever considered that a lot of our problems might actually be that we've slowly eroded the ability of the bureaucracy to do things like this? Farming it all out to consultants certainly didn't work.

I'd like to see a government that does something beyond comments on tepid baths, endless changes of leadership, threats to throw people out of a job and go so long on a pay freeze that wages in Central London jobs literally start to rise because of the minimum wage. If you had an employer like that in the private sector then they'd soon go bust is all I'm saying.
>> No. 101490 Anonymous
27th March 2025
Thursday 3:38 pm
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>>101489

Public sector productivity collapsed at the start of the pandemic and still hasn't recovered. Across the whole of the public sector, we're getting about 8% less output for the same amount of input than in 2019. Nobody is entirely sure why, or how to fix it.

https://lordslibrary.parliament.uk/public-service-productivity/

https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/economicoutputandproductivity/publicservicesproductivity/bulletins/publicserviceproductivityquarterlyuk/julytoseptember2024#post-2019-estimates
>> No. 101491 Anonymous
27th March 2025
Thursday 4:15 pm
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>>101487
If you process the asylum claims then some people will wind up being granted asylum, which undermines the purpose of having a kafkaesque system that makes it effectively impossible to get refugee status and the universal rights of man that such a status entails (Thanks a bunch, United Nations!).
You're stuck as an asylum seeker and since the system is so horrible to interact with, a lot of people will be discouraged from applying at all. Well, in the wishful-thinking of politicians and civil servants, anyway.
>> No. 101492 Anonymous
27th March 2025
Thursday 5:38 pm
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>>101491
>lot of people will be discouraged from applying at all

Nah, I don't think they will.
>> No. 101493 Anonymous
28th March 2025
Friday 8:01 am
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A quarter of Britons now disabled

Both sides are likely to point to findings from an official survey, released on Thursday, that showed 16.8 million people in the UK now say they have a disability. The number has risen by 40 per cent in the past decade and 700,000 in the past year. For the first time, 25 per cent of people say they have a disability that has “substantial” and “long-term” effects on their ability to function in daily life. The rise is sharpest among those of working age, with 24 per cent in this cohort saying they have a disability, up from 19 per cent pre-Covid and 16 per cent a decade ago.

There are now more than ten million people of working age reporting a disability, including about a million under 25. This is addition to 1.2 million children under 15 reporting a disability. About 5.8 million people reported they have a mental health problem so severe it counts as a disability, up 400,000 in a year and two million on 2018-19 levels. Mental illness is cited by 48 per cent of working age people with a disability, up from up from 39 per cent in 2018, making it the single biggest problem.

Separate figures published on Thursday showed 4.5 million children were living in relative poverty, a record high and the third consecutive annual rise. About 44 per cent of them are in families in which someone is disabled.


https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/a-quarter-of-britons-now-disabled-jhjzwcvbs
>> No. 101494 Anonymous
28th March 2025
Friday 8:48 am
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>>101493
Get an AI to review receipts and invoices to confirm this money is being spent on care or adaptation costs. For millions of those chancers, it's obviously not. The DWP needs to puts its teats away. Either that or come up with an effective tax on the rich and put everyone excluding additional rate taxpayers on bennies. Seems to be currently headed that way by the backdoor regardless.
>> No. 101496 Anonymous
28th March 2025
Friday 9:01 am
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>>101493
I'm sure this will lead to a healthy discussion of how we can best support disabled people. And especially those with mental health issues. Rather than, say, telling a man with no arms that he has to work as a window cleaner.
>> No. 101497 Anonymous
28th March 2025
Friday 10:23 am
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>>101490

>Nobody is entirely sure why, or how to fix it.

I'm almost 100% certain it's a crisis of morale, and brain drain back to the private sector, because of shite pay. You would fix it by paying competitively with the private sector. I feel like this answer is really quite obvious.

This was slowly happening already before the pandemic, as a result of that ten year pay freeze (real terms pay cuts) but especially since the pandemic, where lots of public sector workers had too keep on going into work to keep the wheels of society turning while everyone else was living it up on furlough or getting cushy new WFH arrangements, they've quite understandably thrown in the towel.

"But the pensions!" Fuck off. Nobody does a job because of the pension.
>> No. 101498 Anonymous
28th March 2025
Friday 10:38 am
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>>101494

I feel incredibly conflicted about this.

On the one hand, I've got chronic mental health problems, I have been a UC claimant with LCW and I feel incredibly lucky that I don't have to deal with the indignities of the benefits system at the moment. When charities say that these changes could lead to hundreds of additional suicides, I believe them.

On the other, I grew up in a shit bit of Merseyside and I personally know a lot of people who can only be described as benefits cheats. They know the system inside-out, they know all the right boxes to tick and they aren't at all embarrassed about milking the system for everything they can get.

I don't really know how to reform a system that is simultaneously letting down a lot of people who really need help and is wide open to abuse by chancers. When I was claiming UC, I could have really benefited from PIP - I would have been able to afford private counselling rather than languishing on a waiting list and wouldn't have been constantly worrying about paying the bills. I didn't get PIP, because I made the fatal mistake of telling the truth. Meanwhile, I know loads of people who've got a brand new car on Motability despite having fuck all wrong with them, by their own admission.

Personally, I think that reforming the disability benefits system goes hand-in-hand with fixing health and social care. PIP wouldn't be nearly as much of an issue if people could get the treatment and support they needed from the government agencies that are supposed to provide it. You shouldn't need benefits to pay for a power wheelchair or a home carer, because those things should just be provided to people who need it.

I do also think that part of the problem is that the basic rates of benefits are so incredibly stingy. Having lived on the UC standard allowance, I know that it's no kind of life - you can just barely afford the essentials if nothing goes wrong, but if your fridge breaks you're fucked, if your electricity bill is a bit higher than normal you're going down to the food bank, it's just a constant state of crisis management. You're also constantly living under the threat that you could lose all of your income if you miss the bus for an appointment or forget to respond to a message in your UC Journal or break some rule that you weren't aware of. That's enough to send anyone a bit loopy, even if they were perfectly sane to begin with.
>> No. 101499 Anonymous
28th March 2025
Friday 11:12 am
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>>101498

I agree with you entirely, I struggled with this when my gran was taken into care - she had about 80 grand in the bank and a house, so she had to pay for her care, about £6k a month.

So she was better of than the vast majority of people, and could afford to pay, but at the same time her money was a combination of her and my grandad's lifetime of work and diligent saving. To see that drain away was quite disheartening, particularly when the lady in the room next to her may well have been paying nothing.

There was a panel to decide whether she was ill enough to warrant free care, but it was determined she didn't meet the criteria. Considering she couldn't get out of bed without the aid of two people, weighed 35kg and was in nappies because she couldn't use the toilet, it seemed a bit like the system was designed to save money rather than to be objective.

I think it's that the line is drawn so low - I think you qualify for free care if you have less than 25k or so in total assets, so any homeowner is out. In many cases in low earning families, your parents house might be the only path to homeownership or in my mum's case, not having to work until she's dead.

If gran was still alive now, this would be about the time we'd have to sell the house to pay for the bills. I'm fortunate to not have to worry about inheritance, and my mum will be fine because of that, but that's not really the point.
>> No. 101500 Anonymous
28th March 2025
Friday 11:14 am
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>>101494
This is basically a nonsensical idea. If someone can't prepare a basic meal (one of the qualifying criteria), buying nothing but shit you heat up in the microwave or mini oven is an "adaptation cost" that shows up as looking like a profligate wanker at Tesco's who doesn't know disabled people are supposed to subsist on beans and rice like a good peasant.
Moreover: 25% of people with a disability, half of which is a mental health problem, is not the same as 25% of people claiming PIP. Could it be that living in the worst governed first world country might be bad for one's mental health? I've always been fond of the theory that depression is an evolutionary adaptation to scarcity, and feeling anxiety in a country with no future is self explanatory: In both cases maybe being the first generation since the 1700s to see no real terms pay growth in 2 decades activates some natural inbuilt sense of being fucked. Which, if you're not loaded and not entitled to emigrate, you are.
>> No. 101501 Anonymous
28th March 2025
Friday 11:48 am
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>>101498

This is the thing, benefit reliance is basically a symptom of the fact our economy has been rotting from within for at least a couple of generations now. The jobs simply aren't there for a lot of people. If those people weren't cheating the system, what state would they be in instead?

On the front of the tin, benefits are a safety net designed to be there when you need it, but behind the scenes, they are the only thing holding vast chunks of the country from collapse. The current system of arcane requirements and loopholes is there in no small part to obfuscate this. It's one of those doublethink pantomime kayfabe things where you're supposed to know it but simultaneously act like it isn't the case.

Universal Credit even has "universal" in the name and sounds like a good start towards what we need. We should simplify everything and strip it all back to the basics- The only questions should be are you unemployed, and do you have independent means? Double the basic rate, but scrap everything else. Housing benefit, disability, anything, I don't give a fuck. It should be that simple, are you economically supporting yourself? Great. Are you not? Here's a grand a month, make do.

But for that to work at all we would need a stronger job market, with much higher wages at a baseline level, more local authority housing, all of the other social care systems to work properly. The fundamental contradiction in all of this that never goes addressed is that we no longer even aim for full employment, we have structural unemployment. Our benefits system was envisioned and implemented in the glory days when you could leave a job one day and walk into another the next; it was there to support people in exceptional circumstances like where a factory closes down and thousands of people suddenly need a job. But nowadays we have an economy where by design, there's about two million people ready and waiting to jump on any opening to stack shelves or clean toilets. When people say "there are jobs, people just aren't willing to do them", that is absolutely and categorically, 100%, I cannot emphasise it strongly enough, entirely untrue. The average job vacancy has something like 50+ applicants.

That's the part that they are failing to address, they always go at it from the wrong end, and while under Cameron and Osbourne it was certainly out of an ideological malice, throughout subsequent governments I suspect it's more just that they think it's the only lever they have available to pull. Same as the only thing the BoE can do for inflation is to tinker with The Interest Rates by a quarter of a percent at a time, they have simply surrendered too much power to The Market.

Cheers Thatcher.
>> No. 101502 Anonymous
28th March 2025
Friday 11:55 am
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>>101500
>Could it be that living in the worst governed first world country might be bad for one's mental health? I've always been fond of the theory that depression is an evolutionary adaptation to scarcity, and feeling anxiety in a country with no future is self explanatory: In both cases maybe being the first generation since the 1700s to see no real terms pay growth in 2 decades activates some natural inbuilt sense of being fucked. Which, if you're not loaded and not entitled to emigrate, you are.

I do feel that there are people out there who seem to get off on talking about how shit life in this country is. Don't get me wrong, they have a point but there's something about the frequency and manner in which they talk about it which leads me to believe they must get a kick out of it.

I think otherlad has a point. The elephant in the room is that regular bennies are so low that people have cottoned on to the fact they'll get more if they can claim disability benefits as well. You can't really blame them if they're able to get away with it and the alternative is struggling to survive. Cutting benefits feels misguided and like they're trying to find a simplistic solution to a complex issue which will end up wide of the mark.

There's too many factors at play to say the issue is squarely down to x so tackling this will fix everything. For example, many people in their twenties and below seem to have grown up so coddled and pandered that they haven't developed any real emotional resilience. They've been so shielded from failure and consequences that they struggle badly when confronted with something not going their way. They're then indulged and taught that it's acceptable not to be able to cope rather than to toughen up. It's a bit like when a toddler is on the verge of tears and they end up crying because their parents start fussing over them, when if they'd instead told them they were fine they'd be more likely to get on with things.
>> No. 101503 Anonymous
28th March 2025
Friday 1:22 pm
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>>101502
I personally speak doomfully about this country because I actually get a kick out of realising that things are better than I said. When I’m endlessly pessimistic, everything exceeds my expectations.

I think benefits are attractive because jobs don’t pay more than benefits a lot of the time. And wages are low because so many jobs are just busywork that doesn’t generate any value. If you got 15 grand a year from benefits, and that was enough to live on, but everyone with a job was making 40 grand minimum, anyone scheming to lose that much money would be mentally disabled basically by definition, because it’s such a dumb idea. But we can’t make wages go that high because nobody wants ants to buy what we’re selling, and the companies that do make lots of money can easily replace all their staff with people willing to work for less if we ever get uppity.
>> No. 101504 Anonymous
29th March 2025
Saturday 1:36 pm
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What's the structural reason we put up with being sold bullshit?
Why is the government getting away with cuts it didn't foreshadow pre-election? "Oh, economic circumstances have changed..." Or "The Tories lied about how bad the finances were" Are bollocks excuses: so far as they can be accepted, they just invite further challenge: why did the smartarses in Labour not foresee this? Economic circumstances always change and Tories always lie. Given those pieces of information, it would be expected for an honest party to put "btw, if growth in 2028 is lower than projected we'll feed cripples into a threshing machine" in their manifesto.
And that's one of the easy ones, before you get into something like junking manifesto promises on a whim. At some point it became unfashionable to hold politicians to account for being total bullshitters. It's a cliche that they're liars, but at least liars want to hide the truth. These people will say any convenient nonsense and say something else tomorrow, and apparently the press will just run with it instead of finding it utterly demeaning that they've got to pretend today's nonsense is all very serious and grown up.
>> No. 101505 Anonymous
29th March 2025
Saturday 2:40 pm
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>>101504

It's almost like the two of them have goals and interests which align with each other, but not the general public.
>> No. 101506 Anonymous
29th March 2025
Saturday 6:04 pm
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>>101504

People prefer bullshit to the truth, because the truth is completely unpalatable - that Britain is much poorer than we are willing to admit and that there are no easy solutions.

The government spends about £17,000 per year for every man, woman and child in Britain. National debt has increased from 35% of GDP in 2000 to over 100% today. We have the highest government debt interest costs in Western Europe. As a proportion of GDP, we have the eighth highest tax burden in the world. The proportion of the population who actually earn money and pay taxes is declining and their incomes are stagnant. The cost of providing the kind of public services that people expect is increasing much faster than the economy is growing; that's a catch-22, because a large part of the reason for that slow growth is the high tax burden.

Feeding the cripples into a threshing machine barely touches the sides. At best, it'll reduce government expenditure by about 0.4% by 2030.

Every economist in the country could give you a list of things that might actually make a dent in fixing the British economy, but they're all so politically radioactive that they barely get mentioned in polite society. Raise the state pension age to 75. Fully privatise the NHS. Re-join the EU on whatever terms we can get. Import a couple of million skilled workers from West Africa and build a new city in Kent the size of Birmingham that's jointly owned by the Qatari government.

If we aren't willing to do something of that magnitude - probably several things - then we're just managing the decline of the country. We're shuffling the deckchairs on the Titanic, because we just can't accept the fact that we're sinking.

Maybe a sufficiently brave and skilful politician could win an election on a manifesto that basically says "we're going to have to do a lot of things that most of you will absolutely hate, because it's the only alternative to everything getting slowly worse forever". I don't think that Labour or the Conservatives could produce someone with that level of bravery and skill; even then, I fear that the British electorate would just prefer whatever easy answer Jimmy Savile is offering that week.
>> No. 101507 Anonymous
29th March 2025
Saturday 6:37 pm
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>>101506

I'm sick of your shit.

>As a proportion of GDP, we have the eighth highest tax burden in the world.

Yeah and you know who's above us? Shitholes like Norway and Denmark.

>Every economist in the country could give you a list of things that might actually make a dent in fixing the British economy, but they're all so politically radioactive that they barely get mentioned in polite society. Raise the state pension age to 75. Fully privatise the NHS. Re-join the EU on whatever terms we can get. Import a couple of million skilled workers from West Africa and build a new city in Kent the size of Birmingham that's jointly owned by the Qatari government.

I know you are being hyperbolic in this paragraph but the only one of those which would conceivably do anythiNg good for the BrItish economy is rejoining the EU. The rest of them are all variants on the theme of extracting value from the taxpayer to hand it to private shareholders, and surplus labour wage suppression over productivity growth, that put us where we are in the first place.

If that's the kind of crack economists are smoking it's a good thing we are not listening to them.
>> No. 101508 Anonymous
29th March 2025
Saturday 6:43 pm
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>>101507
>Yeah and you know who's above us? Shitholes like Norway and Denmark.

I wouldn't mind a tax burden similar to Norway and Denmark if we actually had public services similar to Norway and Denmark.
>> No. 101509 Anonymous
29th March 2025
Saturday 7:49 pm
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>>101508
Denmark has some islands, but it's 6m people, Norway is about the same. These green and pleasant lands are a tiny bit more populated and a smidge more temperate for now. Orders of magnitude matter.
>> No. 101510 Anonymous
29th March 2025
Saturday 8:04 pm
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>>101507

>Yeah and you know who's above us? Shitholes like Norway and Denmark.

You know who pays those higher taxes? Normal people with normal incomes. Both Norway and Denmark charge 25% VAT. An average earner in Denmark pays just under half their salary in tax; the equivalent in the UK would be someone on a salary of £37,000 paying an extra £9,000 a year in tax, taking home just over £21k. Their rates of corporation tax are lower than ours, at 22% vs 25%. I'll say that again for emphasis - Norway and Denmark have lower rates of corporation tax than the UK.

Danes and Norwegians enjoy a higher standard of living than us because they live in much richer countries. Denmark's GDP per capita is 32% higher than ours; Norway's is 66% higher. They can afford to pay higher taxes and have better public services, because their economies are much more productive and they earn much more than us.

>I know you are being hyperbolic in this paragraph

No, I'm not being hyperbolic. The British economy is fucked. Absolutely and completely fucked. We're five years and a bit of bad luck away from a disaster on a scale of the Argentine great depression. The market panic that followed the Truss mini-budget wasn't a mad aberration, but a symptom of just how close we are to the precipice. The people who are willing to lend us money are having serious doubts about whether we'll still be a functioning economy in a decade's time.

There are three actual solutions to our current economic malaise - radically reduce the level of public services to meaningfully reduce government expenditure, radically reconstruct our built environment and our political economy to increase productivity, radically change our demographics through migration to improve our dependency ratio. We can do a bit of all three or loads of one, but those are our only actual options if we want things to improve. They are of course wildly unpopular, which is precisely why we're stuck with a stagnant economy, crumbling public services and spiralling costs to service our national debt.

We can hold our nose and take our medicine, or we can stay on the same path we've been stuck on since 2008. There is no cheat code to unlock an era of prosperity, just a list of hard choices and unpalatable compromises.
>> No. 101511 Anonymous
29th March 2025
Saturday 8:08 pm
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>>101506
Tax burden as a share of GDP and debt to GDP ratio are two measures with the same denominator: GDP. Could it be that we're not fucked because we tax too much, but because we grew too little? Could it be that perhaps not borrowing to invest when it was effectively free was a world historic blunder and that - whatever the costs - not investing is what's going to continue to clobber us?

Privatising the NHS and cutting taxes will do sweet fuck all. NHS plc will be run like Railtrack (Rest in Piss) and the water companies (Somehow still alive!?), run down with zero investment and eventually bailed out by state action. Our private sector is no more brave and entrepreneurial than our worthless public sector. It's a mutually beneficial system of stripping the copper wire out of the walls. The whole structure is rotten. Britain cannot be a low tax utopia or a social democratic paradise or even a vaguely functioning European state so long as that dilemma goes unsolved. Nobody in any sector is fit to lead anything, if we have to sell anything it should be the entirety of UK Plc - hand it over to JR Group or Singapore Airlines and see if they can make a go of it. Fiddling around the edges by selling this-or-that will just give you another foreign owned monopoly sucking up customer money and investing sweet fuck all in a fake regulated market.
>> No. 101512 Anonymous
29th March 2025
Saturday 8:21 pm
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>>101509
>Denmark has some islands
For now....

Also,
>>101506
>Maybe a sufficiently brave and skilful politician could win an election on a manifesto that basically says "we're going to have to do a lot of things that most of you will absolutely hate, because it's the only alternative to everything getting slowly worse forever". I don't think that Labour or the Conservatives could produce someone with that level of bravery and skill
Isn't this almost exactly what Labour did? They're fucking it up now because they are incompetent, but just going off what they've been saying, it certainly sounds very familiar.

My answer to the issues continues to be that we need to start making things that other countries actually want to buy. If we can export huge amounts of stuff, ideally at a price we can just set ourselves because nobody else can do what we do, that will fix everything. The tiny handful of people who already work in desirable industries, like financial services, software engineering and oil rigs, are proof of my theory. But to do this, we would need more government involvement, making those companies do what needs to be done and pay what needs to be paid. And "more government involvement" is seen as a massive no-no, interfering with muh free market and muh shareholder investment. As soon as we get a government that isn't lazy, and is ideally also competent, things will get better rapidly. So while you do sound like you know what you're talking about, everything you suggested goes completely against the guided economy that I believe is needed, so unfortunately I disagree with you too, you fat poo-face.
>> No. 101513 Anonymous
29th March 2025
Saturday 9:06 pm
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>>101511

>Could it be that we're not fucked because we tax too much, but because we grew too little? Could it be that perhaps not borrowing to invest when it was effectively free was a world historic blunder and that - whatever the costs - not investing is what's going to continue to clobber us?

I totally agree, but unfortunately we don't have a time machine. The opportunity to borrow near-limitless amounts of money at near-zero rates has passed. I think we should be investing more, but our options today are much more constrained, both due to the global macroeconomic picture and the lack of confidence in the British economy and polity.

My example of "build a new city in Kent the size of Birmingham that's jointly owned by the Qatari government" reflects the kind of deal-making that would be needed to secure big investments - we have to look at direct investments that give substantial control to the investor, because they reasonably assume that we can't be trusted to actually deliver. If you were a foreign investor looking at HS2 or Sizewell C, you'd be forgiven for thinking that the British government was actively trying to sabotage the project.

>NHS plc will be run like Railtrack (Rest in Piss) and the water companies (Somehow still alive!?), run down with zero investment and eventually bailed out by state action.

Perhaps I should have been clearer about fully privatising - no funny contracts, no public-private partnership, just hand it over to the receivers and let them sell whatever is worth buying to the highest bidder. That isn't an option I'd support, but in the long term I'm not sure it's worse than the status quo - a relentless slide towards a two-tier system in which the NHS becomes an option of last resort for those too poor to afford private care.

Despite near-constant efforts to reform the NHS, nothing has really managed to shift the fundamentals. The rapid growth in healthcare expenditure is affecting all our peer countries, so this isn't a uniquely British issue; what is unique is how monolithic and centralised our healthcare system is, and how comparatively poor our health outcomes are. Dwindling productivity means we're getting less and less for every pound we spend, fundamentally undermining the argument that the NHS could be fixed if we just threw even more money at it.

Maybe Wes Streeting is secretly a genius and will have sorted everything out by Christmas, I dunno.
>> No. 101514 Anonymous
29th March 2025
Saturday 9:30 pm
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>>101510

I don't know what your brain has been stewed in to come out with this set of opinions, where you are being earnest when you say the only set of options available to cuorse correct the sixth largest economy in the world is some radical Argentinian libertarian market experiment bollocks, but I have to say I think you are talking out of your arse.
>> No. 101515 Anonymous
29th March 2025
Saturday 9:36 pm
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>>101512

>Isn't this almost exactly what Labour did? They're fucking it up now because they are incompetent, but just going off what they've been saying, it certainly sounds very familiar.

Not really. Reeves rashly promised "not to increase tax on working people", which means she's now increasing employer NICs, which is pretty much the worst tax you could possibly choose to increase if you care about getting sick and disabled people back into the workforce.

I don't disagree that they're incompetent, but the front page of their 2024 manifesto read "We can stop the chaos, turn the page, and start to rebuild our country", which was really promising too much.

>As soon as we get a government that isn't lazy, and is ideally also competent, things will get better rapidly.

Where is that government going to come from? The Tories? Reform?

A managed economy might work for Singapore or China, but they aren't run by alternating teams of sexually incontinent toffs and trade union rejects. If I had any faith in our political class then I'd agree with you. Sadly, I think the best we can realistically hope for is a government with enough self-awareness to realise that they aren't up to the job. Shift as much as possible away from central government and towards local authorities, avoid meddling in things unnecessarily, simplify the planning system and other bureaucratic obstacles to growth and STOP GIVING NEW IT CONTRACTS TO FUJITSU. SERIOUSLY LADS, THIS IS JUST FUCKING EMBARRASSING.

https://www.computerweekly.com/news/366619440/Fujitsus-600m-plus-prize-with-His-Majestys-cash-cow-in-2025
>> No. 101516 Anonymous
29th March 2025
Saturday 9:41 pm
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>>101514
I'm not him (in fact, I am >>101512 so I have already disagreed with him) but I really don't think that
>radically reduce the level of public services to meaningfully reduce government expenditure, radically reconstruct our built environment and our political economy to increase productivity, [or] radically change our demographics through migration to improve our dependency ratio
counts as "some radical Argentinian libertarian market experiment bollocks". What would you suggest instead? I am confident that whatever you propose, it will be a rephrasing of one of those three options he gave us. My post, which I wrote before I read his one giving those options, is really just the second one he mentioned, for example. And so is >>101511, so hopefully that'll be the one Rachel Reeves goes with.
>> No. 101517 Anonymous
29th March 2025
Saturday 9:53 pm
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>>101513
I can tolerate saying we should let the NHS die and spend the money elsewhere, but I can't tolerate all the cliches around reforming it or it's supposed underperformance. The best solution to the NHS has historically been "to not fuck with it." NHS Scotland hasn't played with the reform merry-go-round the way NHS England did and it gets more or less the same results (actually, relative to other public spending, Health has been squeezed more since devolution) without pissing money up the wall trying to find some secret sauce reform that'll get you German healthcare on English spending levels. "Monolithic and centralised" has objectively worked brilliantly for controlling costs - Our spending per head on healthcare is low by Northern European standards! "More money isn't the answer" is always trotted out as the excuse, but "more money" always means a marginal increase on the pittance we're already spending - not hiking spending per head to the level of the countries we compare ourselves to. "More money isn't the answer* because the question is "how do we save money?", reform is the answer because, theoretically, it's not going to cost more money. (It'll just take money away from healing the sick and funnel it into some new wheeze where ChatGPT will make up prices for the NHS internal market based on supply and demand, then we can ressurect foundation hospitals...)
Our poor health outcomes are mostly unrelated to healthcare spending. The NHS didn't make everyone sit inside all day eating processed shit in some buy-to-let walker's damp former council house. Scrap the NHS if you want, but don't blame it for not spending money it doesn't have to solve problems outside it's control.
>> No. 101518 Anonymous
30th March 2025
Sunday 12:37 am
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When people talk about "fixing the economy", it usually seems like their envisioned end goal is for the entire country to end up looking like this. I dunno if I'm really into it.
>> No. 101519 Anonymous
30th March 2025
Sunday 2:02 am
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>>101518
Honestly, if it doubled my wages without also increasing prices, thereby fixing the economy as far as I'm concerned, I might well be okay with that.
>> No. 101520 Anonymous
30th March 2025
Sunday 11:42 am
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>>101519
Agreeing to live in a charmless concrete prison in exchange for accepting more money than you currently earn sounds a bit like being pranked and played for a fool to me.
>> No. 101521 Anonymous
30th March 2025
Sunday 12:04 pm
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>>101520
I guess it depends on where you currently live.
>> No. 101522 Anonymous
30th March 2025
Sunday 12:12 pm
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>>101521
Yes, the argument I'm making is pretty much extreme hyperbole as lots of people in this country already do live in conditions similar to that (and presumably would like more money), but I'm interested in hearing if people are particularly bothered about radical change made for the sake of improving the economy.
>> No. 101523 Anonymous
30th March 2025
Sunday 12:52 pm
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>>101522

The thing is if you want to "fix" or "improve" the economy, it depends on what your definition of a healthy economy is, and whom that fix benefits. Your/otherlads/I can't keep track argument is based in the ideological assumptions of basically flat out Thatcherite neoliberal orthodoxy, and that there can't possibly be another way.

But there can, we know there can, we have seen that there can; the only time living standards for the bottom half of society have significantly advanced and given us the historically exceptional standards of living we are still riding on the coat tails of today, was during the post-war consensus period. That was a period of massive, massive taxation, compared to today, but also a period of massive investment. And, look, it worked- If you are an ordinary working or middle class person, that's very likely the reason your gran and grandad even had indoor plumbing and central heating. It worked.

You can't just keep repeating the same platitude about how we can't afford anything and there's no alternative because the economy is broken and so on and so on, because it's not, there's loads of money floating about. It's just that the people who have it don't want to give any of it back to the society that enabled them to acquire it. It's one thing to say you are on the side of pragmatism and that non of our current crop of politicians have the spine to go out and tax wealth or assets or capital gains or whatever, but by the same token, nobody's going to have the backbone to sell the DWP to Amazon or whatever other "radical ideas" you are on about.

We can tax the people with the money and we can use it to repair the damage done by austerity. We can, because we've done it before. There's no reason we shouldn't do it again.
>> No. 101524 Anonymous
30th March 2025
Sunday 12:58 pm
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>>101518

We're a country of 70 million, not 1.4 billion. We're never going to approach that level of density unless we plan exceptionally badly.

If we're looking for an investment with a really high return, the obvious place to start is by connecting Oxford and Cambridge via Milton Keynes and Luton. It's just bonkers that if you want to travel between the two most important academic centres in the country, you have to take a massive detour on a train via central London or driving through Northampton or Watford.

We could build a rail line and a motorway to create a commuter corridor at no cost to the treasury, simply by buying up a few blocks of farmland along the route and selling it off to developers with planning permission for housing at 20x what we paid for it. Those developments wouldn't be hellish urban sprawl, but could be nice little towns with good transport links and plenty of green space. We'd ease chronic housing shortages in two of our most economically productive cities without fundamentally changing the character of either, while also halving the travel time between them and easing congestion.

Of course that's never going to happen, because someone in Wotton Underwood will complain that their view will be spoiled and an environmental survey will find thirteen newts near Cockayne Hatley.
>> No. 101525 Anonymous
30th March 2025
Sunday 1:00 pm
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>>101523
>Your/otherlads/I can't keep track argument is based in the ideological assumptions of basically flat out Thatcherite neoliberal orthodoxy, and that there can't possibly be another way.

I'm the "how would you feel about living in the British version of Chongqing" lad, and I absolutely do not hold that position, just to be clear.
>> No. 101526 Anonymous
30th March 2025
Sunday 1:05 pm
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>>101524
>Those developments wouldn't be hellish urban sprawl, but could be nice little towns with good transport links and plenty of green space

They could be, what makes you think they will be though? And yes, I'm trying to be a pain in the arse about this. Also you know that Britain is more densely populated than China, right?
>> No. 101527 Anonymous
30th March 2025
Sunday 1:33 pm
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>>101523

Public spending today is 44% of GDP and is expected to hit 45% of GDP by the end of the year. Over the course of the Blair government, spending increased from 35% of GDP to just under 40% of GDP. The numbers were similar throughout the 1950s. GDP was much lower then, so that share of GDP amounted to much less actual resources.

It simply isn't true that we could fix everything by spending more on public services, because we're already spending loads more on public services. The problem is that demand on public services is growing much faster than our ability to pay for them. We're spending a larger and larger share of our national income on public services just to stand still. That is ultimately unsustainable however you slice it and the only fix is to rebalance our income and expenditure.

In 1953, we spent about 2% of GDP on pensions. We're now spending over 8% of GDP. When the state pension was first introduced, the majority of the population didn't live long enough to claim it; now the average person will expect to live for 21 years after reaching state retirement age. We've seen similar increases in the cost of healthcare, social care and disability benefits. We are simply a much older and sicker society than we were in the post-war glory days, which means that there are far more people who need state support and far fewer working people to bear that cost.

That problem isn't unique to the UK and all of our peer nations are grappling with similar problems. If you Google "pensions crisis" or "healthcare crisis" and the name of pretty much any Western country, you'll get plenty of results. We're being hit particularly hard because we've made a succession of political choices that have severely constrained productivity and economic growth, so our dwindling number of workers make much less for every hour they work.

We can fix some of those constraints on growth, but those constraints exist because the electorate demanded them. Everyone wants more jobs, but nobody wants a new industrial estate or a dual carriageway to be built in their neighbourhood. Everyone wants their kids to be able to afford a house, but no-one wants the price of their house to fall. Rejoining the EU would boost GDP, but would also rekindle a vicious culture war that could lead to god knows what at a time when Reform are neck-and-neck with Labour and the Tories in the polls. Immigration is incredibly useful in rebalancing the demographics and creating more taxpayers, but it inarguably puts more strain on infrastructure and public services and it changes the character of places in a way that lots of people hate.

We have to grasp several of those nettles and do things that will piss a lot of people off, otherwise we are just trapped in an inescapable demographic and economic decline.
>> No. 101528 Anonymous
30th March 2025
Sunday 1:33 pm
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>>101526

>you know that Britain is more densely populated than China, right?

Come on now lad. When one of those is a country that covers half a continent but has most of its population centres along a few miles of coastline, and the other is an island. Absolutely valid comparison.
>> No. 101529 Anonymous
30th March 2025
Sunday 2:03 pm
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>>101528
Well, the original point I was replying to was that Britain could never assume a level of population and urban density which characterises China, so I pointed out that Britain is already more densely populated than China, so while a bit of an exaggeration, I don't think it's entirely unfeasible that the massive immigration and building advocated by some would lead to an environment resembling the original picture. Also, isn't our being a small island, as you pointed out, even more conducive to density?
>> No. 101530 Anonymous
30th March 2025
Sunday 2:08 pm
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Here's an illustrative example of the actual costs of a spending decision.

The cuts to disability benefits are expected to save about £5bn a year. I'm sure lots of people would say "I'd be happy to pay a bit of extra tax to help out the disabled", but I don't think most of them realise how much tax we're talking about. Split equally between all taxpayers, avoiding those cuts would cost about £135 each per year, in perpetuity. Keeping those benefits as they are might still be absolutely the right thing to do, but it's a much harder question when we put an actual number on it.

Of course we wouldn't actually distribute the tax burden like that, because the bottom half of the income distribution pay very little tax. If only the top half of taxpayers contribute, then it's £270 each per year. Even if you're earning a decent wage, £22.50 a month is a meaningful amount of money. I'm a bleeding heart liberal, but it'd sting a bit if I saw that as an itemised deduction on my payslip.

Let's say that we just stick a supertax on the top 1% of earners. Now we're asking those people to stump up £13,500 a year each. OK, they're minted, they can afford it, can't they? Well, someone in the 99th percentile of income tax payers takes home about £132,000 per year. They can obviously afford it in an absolute sense, but they're definitely going to notice a 10% cut to their income and it's definitely going to change their economic behaviour. I don't earn anywhere near that amount, but I think I'd be fucking livid if the government basically asked me to buy a brand new Kia Picanto every year for a complete stranger. No matter how conscientious I might be, I'd be sorely tempted to try and pull some strings or get creative on my tax return to try and get out of it.

That's one policy decision that amounts to just 0.42% of government spending. The Labour government's recovery fund to get the NHS back to where it was in 2019 is costing about £25bn, or £670 per taxpayer. Maintaining the triple lock this year will cost us all about £240 per year for the rest of our lives. A billion here, a billion there and pretty soon you're talking about real money. I think that underpins our current sense of distrust - people are paying loads of tax, but they can't really see what they're getting for the money. We all feel like we're running just to stand still, because that's the state of the national economy. The pie isn't really growing, so we're all getting very protective over our slice.
>> No. 101531 Anonymous
30th March 2025
Sunday 2:32 pm
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>>101527
Spending more on public services isn't a panacea, but it is (in theory) a necessity to improve our problems from "terminal decline" to "the same pressures felt by every first world country". Treasury brain got us into this mess, it's not going to get us out of it. Fundamentally, the way I'd turn things around would be to invert our current processes: Instead of asking what we can do with the money we have, ask what we need to do and then figure out how to pay for it.
But realistically I don't think our problems are fixable. I think you can draw up great plans to fix them, but I think that this country is institutionally incapable of carrying out those plans. Neither the public or private sector is up to it. Neither sector is even worth considering on its own: the private sector firms are mostly a series of unimpressive oligopolies or unproductive swindles and the public sector wouldn't turn a light on without bunging KPMG a consultancy fee first. It's a very comfortable arrangement for both so long as you're inside the tent pissing out, but it's not a good way of developing competent leadership.

I like to look at Japan a lot. Japan is also a dysfunctional country, but it's dysfunctional in very different ways to us. We can't build anything, they're so institutionally bought out by the construction sector that they can't stop throwing concrete into the sea. We're in a panic because our debt to GDP ratio is back where it was in 1960 (when both parties were in a bidding war over public housebuilding), they've been sailing along with a debt to GDP ratio of more than 200% for nearly 20 years. Like us, firms have been reluctant to invest, but unlike us they've mostly kept it as cash-on-hand so they're not on the verge of bankruptcy after throwing all their cash (and most of the pension fund) at shareholders. Like us, they've more or less enjoyed an ideological consensus for decades - but unlike us they've matched it with more or less one party government. Like us, they've endured a long period of economic stagnation, but generally speaking wage stagnation has been matched by price stagnation so going to the supermarket isn't a form of psychological torture.
>> No. 101532 Anonymous
30th March 2025
Sunday 2:32 pm
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>>101529

The Chinese population is a) huge and b) unbelievably heavily concentrated around the edges. The city of Chongqing has a population of 32 million. One city that sounds like a racist joke is somehow three times the size of London.

London points to why people and governments might choose high density, because it has big economic benefits. Large cities with lots of skilled people in close proximity are, as a rule, more productive. It's much easier for employers to find staff with the right skills and for workers to find the best job for them when there's loads of stuff going on nearby. Still, it's very much a sliding scale and we don't have to pick one extreme or the other.

Cambridge city council has a population density of 3,579 per square kilometre. The surrounding borough of South Cambridgeshire has a population density of 180 per km^2. The reason for that nearly 20-fold difference in density is pretty obvious - the green belt. As a point of policy, we've chosen to polarise the country into very high density and very low density areas, with a fairly arbitrary line in between. We have also pretty much stopped creating new high-density areas; the last proper new towns were designated in 1968. The Chinese are all crowded around the boom towns on the coast, but we're all crowded into the single-digit percentage of our land area that you're actually allowed to build on.

We can accommodate far more people while simultaneously feeling much less crowded if we just make use of the vast swathes of the country that are nearly empty. If you take an intercity train in this country, you're likely to pass through several stations that appear to just be in the middle of a load of fields. We could just, you know, grant some planning permissions and build a town around that station. Fuck, if we're really ambitious, we could build a new railway line running from a big city to the middle of nowhere. We've done it before and it worked fantastically, we've just lost the appetite for it.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Metro-land
>> No. 101533 Anonymous
30th March 2025
Sunday 3:13 pm
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>>101530
Also, we've maxed out the credit card, and there's no magic money tree.
>> No. 101534 Anonymous
30th March 2025
Sunday 4:03 pm
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>Confidence in the government will not improve unless they get their faces and ideas on online media platforms including YouTube, a group of Labour MPs has warned colleagues.

>The Labour Growth Group of about 110 MPs is working with leading podcasters and popular figures to help Labour backbenchers become influencers in their own right, amid concerns toxic narratives about the party’s agenda, its politicians and its policies are going unchallenged. The LGG is understood to be seeking to develop the new intake of MPs to ensure the future parliamentary Labour party contains politicians confident enough to express a variety of views to engage an array of audiences, and to prepare them for ministerial roles.

>Those involved are working with a popular British YouTuber with more than a million followers who has already provided a trial media clinic. The MPs were told they could only challenge internet creators – who are largely rightwing and male – by neglecting the Whitehall obsession with traditional “establishment media”.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/mar/30/labour-growth-group-social-media-youtube-tiktok

Hmmmmm.
>> No. 101535 Anonymous
30th March 2025
Sunday 6:37 pm
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>>101534

The only social media engagement I want to see from the Labour party is Emily Thornberry on OnlyFans.
>> No. 101536 Anonymous
30th March 2025
Sunday 8:08 pm
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>>101534
15 years ago I was a member of the Labour party and said that the person who allowed our MPs to have twitter accounts should be pushed down a well. This was after Diana Abbott, in her training to become mother of the house, had said something abhorrent or perhaps been accused of bullying her staff again, I don't think that I've been proven wrong.

>The MPs were told they could only challenge internet creators – who are largely rightwing and male – by neglecting the Whitehall obsession with traditional “establishment media”.
>The YouTube star who advised Labour MPs said they could better their chances at the next election if they focused on creating viral moments on typically anti-establishment new media platforms that people could refer back to in years to come.

When was the last time anyone saw a good well in this country?
>> No. 101537 Anonymous
30th March 2025
Sunday 8:36 pm
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>>101520
Chinese cities aren't THAT bad. Japan is much worse on the urban sprawl if you want a comparator and Labour is working hard to make sure we can all benefit from the era of total state surveillance.

There's a lot to bemoan China about, especially the squalor around the edges and the legacy of the hukou system, but realistically I think we'd all be quite happy at the idea of lifting a significant percentage of the planet's population out of poverty and becoming an engine of the world's renewable energy. Perhaps we could even have leasehold reform or at least a period of disorder where we kill all the landlords?

>>101531
>Treasury brain got us into this mess, it's not going to get us out of it.

Okay, Liz.

There's a confused view against institutions like the Treasury and OBR that is starting to emerge I reckon. If you push for things that are poorly planned and aren't going to work then the people tasked with handling the purse or with getting angry at bullshit are going to get angry at you. The correct thing to do is to push for sound decisions that are demonstrably good for the long-term budget forecast - as a country I think we should give it a try.
>> No. 101538 Anonymous
30th March 2025
Sunday 9:05 pm
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>>101536
I'd like to know who this YouTube star is who is secretly advising the government on how to become based and sissifyed. I probably won't know who they are because I only know about three YouTubers, but it would be so much fun to find out that Bald & Bankrupt is advising Keir Starmer on how to find a hotel room in Kyrgyzstan or whatever.
>> No. 101539 Anonymous
30th March 2025
Sunday 9:08 pm
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Oh. It's Gary Stevenson again. He really is everywhere now. Good for him, but I will be curious to see how this works out.
>> No. 101541 Anonymous
30th March 2025
Sunday 9:22 pm
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>>101537
The treasury doesn't do long term planning (a problem we recognised as far back as 1964!) and the OBR is a gimmick set up to institutionalise George Osborne. "Treasury Brain" isn't just a random slur against not letting you piss money away on tax cuts, it's an institutional feature of this country. You can be pretty mean about it if you like: Bugger all year-on-year spending. No tax cuts, no welfare, we've got to save our pennies. Treasury Brain would still fuck you by making you refuse to make capital investments "to save money". Treasury Brain will tell you that the only way to run a budget surplus in 2035 is to cut spending today, which is bollocks: The best way to run a surplus in 2025 was to run a bigger deficit in 2015.
>> No. 101542 Anonymous
30th March 2025
Sunday 11:39 pm
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>>101530

>someone in the 99th percentile of income tax payers takes home about £132,000 per year.

You illustrate the entirety of the problem in this one single line, really.

That's how unequal and top heavy our society is. Even a 99th percentile earner is only taking home £135k a year. Just actually think about that. Think how stageringly vertical that means our actual wealth distribution is.

We can't tax ordinary people because ordinary people are getting fuck all, and we can't tax the wealthy because the wealthy don't actually have income, they just have assets. If we want to do anything about it we need to tackle inequality. It's really that simple. Any good economist knows inequality is harmful to an economy. It's the classic case study of why America's roaring 20s turned into the Great Depression.

Anyone who does not begin and end the discussion on today's economy by addressing that elephant in the room can only be assumed to be a useful idiot at best.
>> No. 101543 Anonymous
31st March 2025
Monday 1:19 am
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>>101537
My point wasn't about China specifically, nightmarish Japanese sprawl would have illustrated it better in fact.
>> No. 101544 Anonymous
31st March 2025
Monday 2:39 am
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>The government will introduce legislation to Parliament this week to override independent guidance on how offenders from ethnic minorities should be sentenced. It comes after the Sentencing Council refused a request from Justice Secretary Shabana Mahmood to reconsider its new instructions for judges.

>The guidelines, which come into effect on Tuesday, external, say judges should commission reports for offenders from certain minority groups that look at their background and circumstances before deciding their sentence. It has prompted accusations of a "two-tier" justice system, with Mahmood arguing it "amounts to differential treatment" because pre-sentence reports were encouraged for some but not others.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c0m9n4m7w3jo

I refuse to believe that the optics and moral hazard of this weren't raised at the consultation phase. The Government is even trying to stop it.

>>101539
He'll be the next Russell Brand in no time. Don't vote because of inequality and so on.

>>101541
No that's going way too far, the Treasury looks after the public purse and does a largely thankless job of blocking absolutely bollocks from ever seeing the light of day. It usually works within the 5 year funding cycle (or whatever the government decides to operate on) but both it and the OBR do long-term fiscal sustainability analysis and long-term commitments like Net-Zero and infrastructure planning. The OBR especially has grown out of a gimmick into a serious influence on mood for a good reason as it turns out projections are pretty important and despite the government being able to set the bodies agenda (and various departments feeding it data) the OBR often ends up upsetting governments.

Periodically whatever interest group gets bumsore that up isn't down but there's a reason everyone has an equivalent to the Treasury. If you wanted to fix the problem you would look at the length of funding cycles or improve our politics so we're not terminally funding vanity projects and making disastrous decisions.
>> No. 101545 Anonymous
31st March 2025
Monday 9:53 am
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More than half of job centres are reducing support for people claiming universal credit due to a shortage of work coaches, according to a report from the public spending watchdog.

The National Audit Office said reasons for cutbacks included a lack of funding and challenges in recruiting and retaining staff.

It comes as the number of claimants being categorised as requiring support has risen from 2.6 million to 3 million in the space of a year.

The government said it was redeploying 1,000 work coaches to help, but a charity campaigning to end poverty said the shortage undermined plans announced in the chancellor's Spring Statement to get more disabled people into work.


https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cgm87z0dv3mo
>> No. 101546 Anonymous
31st March 2025
Monday 10:00 am
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>>101545
There's something ironic about the job centre facing staffing shortages.
>> No. 101547 Anonymous
31st March 2025
Monday 2:25 pm
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>>101539
>>101544

>Garynomics

They have already started to smear him. Daily Mail had a hit piece on him a bit ago. That means he's barking up the right tree in my books.

The really dangerous thing is that unlike Brand, who was a relatively intelligent but uneducated prole who accidentally sort of stumbled towards the right ideas, then went off the deep end, Are Gary seems to have a concrete strategy. He opens all of his appearances with his credentials, he gets it all up front so the middle class and boomer types feel they can take him seriously, then he code switches to speak in a much more layman friendly language. He consciously avoids using any expressly lefty jargon or academic terminology, which both avoids cheap shots, and avoids alienating the type of person who is centre or centre right but might have agreements with the premise.

His goal is not to advocate any particular lefty socialist ideology, he is not advocating to tax the rich to fund a bigger state, he is not bigging up a huge welfare system; he is focussing precisely on the link between wealth accumulation and asset price inflation. That's why he always repeats the same things. It's an economic link that you don't often see addressed, and his mission is to shift the discussion towards it.
>> No. 101548 Anonymous
31st March 2025
Monday 2:50 pm
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>>101544
If the treasury looks after the public purse and the public purse is empty, that would suggest to me that the treasury isn't doing a very good job even on its own terms. If it's spending time "blocking absolute bollocks" that impression is only reinforced: a department that wants to piss its budget up the wall shouldn't be stopped from doing so by the treasury. The Treasury's job ought to be to give them a budget, not to micromanage what they do with it. If the department fucks up royally, that's why ministers can be sacked and governments can be voted out! A track record like ours suggests they're not a very good 'no' man to senseless politicians either: We've had a lot of vanity projects and brainless money pits, and very few long term projects proceeding smoothly. Maybe we should chop and change HS2 again to save £50...
Everyone has some kind of finance ministry, but very few countries other than Britain have such a powerful one with such a lopsided focus on the short term and such a brain-dead approach to capital spending. If not the treasury, who decided the length of funding cycles?
>> No. 101549 Anonymous
31st March 2025
Monday 7:13 pm
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>>101547

https://x.com/DanNeidle/status/1906770071516582234
>> No. 101550 Anonymous
31st March 2025
Monday 7:28 pm
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>>101549

Of course, nobody ever talks out of their arse on TV. It's just not the done thing is it.
>> No. 101551 Anonymous
1st April 2025
Tuesday 1:59 am
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>Sir Keir Starmer has met with the creators of Adolescence for talks on how to prevent young boys being dragged into a "whirlpool of hatred and misogyny". The prime minister hosted a roundtable in Downing Street with co-writer Jack Thorne and producer Jo Johnson to discuss issues raised in the series, which centres on a 13-year-old boy arrested for the murder of a young girl and the rise of incel culture.

>Opening the meeting, which was first revealed by Sky News earlier this month, Sir Keir thanked the show's creators for the conversation they have started. The meeting came as the government announced Netflix had made the show free to watch in all secondary schools across the country to help pupils understand "the impact of misogyny, dangers of online radicalisation and the importance of healthy relationships".

>Sir Keir said there is "no simple solution" or "policy lever to be pulled", describing misogyny as "almost a cultural issue". He said the aim of the round table was to discuss "what can we do as a society to stop and prevent young boys being dragged into this whirlpool of hatred and misogyny".
https://news.sky.com/story/sir-keir-starmer-hosts-creators-of-hit-netflix-drama-adolescence-and-tells-them-hes-not-found-it-easy-viewing-13339287

This is a bit silly.

>>101548
The Treasury did not, I am told, cause the GFC or Covid. And if you follow some circles it deliberately tried to undermine Liz Truss.

It absolutely should have a role in approving departmental budgets, it's the one controlling the money supply and the stability of the pound. I don't understand why you would think it's a good idea to give departments a free reign over budgets - especially on projects that will entail multiyear funding cycles and won't pass the mustard of the very public green book.

>We've had a lot of vanity projects and brainless money pits, and very few long term projects proceeding smoothly. Maybe we should chop and change HS2 again to save £50...

Which is the issue with Parliament. HMT didn't cancel HS2 and didn't break it - in fact the NAO has even suggested putting HMT onto the board of megaprojects.

>>101550
Do you not feel a bit daft talking about someone this way?
>> No. 101552 Anonymous
1st April 2025
Tuesday 7:13 am
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>>101551
>This is a bit silly.

It's nothing new. I'm sure the previous government did the same about Mr Bates vs The Post Office.
>> No. 101553 Anonymous
1st April 2025
Tuesday 8:57 am
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>>101552

The problem is that the "issue" raised in Adolescence is a) completely fictional and b) politically convenient. There is no real-life case that even vaguely resembles this story.

Real-life murderers nearly always fit a tediously predictable profile. They have a long and escalating history of anger, impulsivity and violence. They usually have a history of contact with the police and/or a history of severe mental illness. Everyone around them worries that they're going to do something terrible and no-one who knows them is surprised when they eventually do. They aren't motivated by an ideology that can be reasoned with, but by much more basic behavioural issues.

Axel Rudakabana had been expelled from two schools for violent behaviour, was referred twice to Prevent and his own father had desperately tried to get the authorities to intervene. Kyle Clifford had been abusive throughout his relationship with Hannah Hunt and his brother was in prison for the murder of a stranger during a road rage incident. Valdo Calocane was schizophrenic, was not complying with treatment and had been repeatedly arrested, including for a serious violent incident six weeks before his murders. Jake Davison went to a special school, suffered from lifelong mental health problems, had an obsession with guns and his mother had been "begging the authorities for help" for a long time prior to his offence. I could go on like this all day.

It suits the government for people to imagine that Adolescence reflects reality, because it gets them off the hook. It suits them for middle-class parents to be worrying that their son might stab a girl because some gonk on YouTube talked them into it. It's all a convenient distraction from the obvious and systematic failures that get raised again and again and again at inquests.

In the real-life version of Adolescence, Jamie's teachers would have all been talking about how they were worried that something like this was going to happen. Eddie would have spent months or years ringing the GP and social services and the police and anyone else he could think of, begging them all to do something about his son.

We could have had a Mr Bates vs The Post Office for murder, but nobody wants to make or watch that programme and nobody wants to have the conversation that would follow.
>> No. 101554 Anonymous
1st April 2025
Tuesday 11:07 am
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>>101551
The Treasury may not have caused Covid, but it didn't stop the chancellor throwing £849,000,000 down the drain on eat-out-to-help-COVID. It undermined Liz Truss, but it did not undermine the equally-if-not-more ruinous David Cameron because he was a good boy who looked and acted the part of a proper PM as he knocked down load-bearing wall after load-bearing wall.
My argument on budgeting is more one of order-of-events: Departments should be given a budget by the treasury and then allowed to use that budget as they please. I do not oppose giving departments a fixed(ish) budget, I do oppose making them justify every penny to the treasury directly because that over-centralises power. If a department has to justify how they're spending money (and it should), it shouldn't be justifying it to the treasury. If nothing else then because the treasury's track record is wanting: remember PFI? That's the kind of stupid thing a minister might sign up to if we did things my way without proper scrutiny, and it'd be an excellent argument against that approach had we not done it anyway. Where was the withering scrutiny of our guardians of the public purse when the opportunity to temporarily hide debt off balance sheet cropped up?

"Parliament" includes our beloved chancellors, and I've never seen a chancellor give the impression the treasury was deeply reluctant to let him cut capital investment to meet a yearly budget target. I cannot accept that our track record shows the merit of having long-term economic management and capital expenditure handled under the same roof as yearly budgeting.
>> No. 101555 Anonymous
1st April 2025
Tuesday 11:38 am
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>>101553

Thank you, mate. You've articulated something there that I wouldn't have had the patience to. I grew up around violent people, several of which were family members and troubled friends, and what you say is true to my experience without exception.
>> No. 101556 Anonymous
1st April 2025
Tuesday 4:14 pm
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>>101551
>Do you not feel a bit daft talking about someone this way?

What way? Just by not immediately denouncing somebody because they made a factual error? No, that would be a bit daft.

I don't like Gary Stevenson because I agree with everything he says. I don't agree with everything he says. I like him because he's building a broad support base from the left and the right interested in examining wealth inequality, and he's doing it without any of the bullshit radlib identity politics bollocks the left has been mired in for my entire living memory. I might have been banging on about that stuff around here for the past fifteen years but somebody is at last taking it to a popular audience.

You can carry on being a contrarian with a chip on your shoulder because he shagged your bird while you were classmates at LSE, but I still like him.
>> No. 101557 Anonymous
1st April 2025
Tuesday 4:19 pm
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Have we though about consolidating our existing debt into one lower monthly payment?
>> No. 101558 Anonymous
1st April 2025
Tuesday 9:12 pm
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>>101554
No lad, the Treasury can't override the whims of politicians who ignore its advice and that actually appears close to what you want happening more often anyway. Which it will because departments are ultimately subject to the whims of their individual ministers who hold different priorities to the Chancellor.

>My argument on budgeting is more one of order-of-events: Departments should be given a budget by the treasury and then allowed to use that budget as they please. I do not oppose giving departments a fixed(ish) budget, I do oppose making them justify every penny to the treasury directly because that over-centralises power.

Do you understand how wasteful and corrupt that would be? If you give a department a chunk of money then it runs down its list of priorities but then it's not going to stop when it arrives at the nice to haves that don't have a strong evidence base. Especially when we know that departments struggle to evaluate and build their economic cases or to otherwise keep major projects under control. There isn't a question of departments marking their own homework, it doesn't work and the conversation of bidding for X budget will inevitably turn to Treasury asking why they want eleventy-billion pounds of funding which puts us back to square one.

>I cannot accept that our track record shows the merit of having long-term economic management and capital expenditure handled under the same roof as yearly budgeting.

The obvious solution is to extend capital expenditure over longer periods. That's pretty much it really. You'll still have the government mysteriously eager to have any projects/benefits land around election time but that's life.

>>101556
>he's doing it without any of the bullshit radlib identity politics bollocks the left has been mired in for my entire living memory

He's literally meeting the definition of a tedious ideologue. Something common with people who use the labels for right and left I'd add.

>>101557
How about we try raiding our savings. And the wife and kids too.
>> No. 101559 Anonymous
1st April 2025
Tuesday 10:04 pm
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>>101558

>How about we try raiding our savings.

The UK's financial net worth position is estimated to be negative £825 billion in 2023.

We could always sell Wales to Saudi Arabia. We'd get a few bob for Wales, surely?

https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/nationalaccounts/uksectoraccounts/bulletins/thenationalbalancesheetandcapitalstockspreliminaryestimatesuk/2024
>> No. 101560 Anonymous
1st April 2025
Tuesday 10:19 pm
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>>101558
>He's literally meeting the definition of a tedious ideologue

You've not going to like this argument, but: And what.

Our country is in a terminal decline as much because of short sighted economic policy, declining productivity, and no small amount of back luck, but every bit as much as that, because there is an absolute paucity of imagination and vision. 20 years of politicians who stand for precisely nothing haven't got us anywhere. I'd probably go so far as to say ideologues are exactly what we need right around now. They would at least get something, anything, done that isn't the status quo.

If we don't have a left wing ideologue, then I hate to tell you, but we absolutely are heading for a right wing ideologue. Look across the pond to see where we will realistically be in another ten-fifteen years. The only thing I care about is that this ideologue addresses the material reality of economic inequality, and nothing else. I don't care if they electrocute kittens for a hobby.
>> No. 101561 Anonymous
1st April 2025
Tuesday 10:21 pm
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>>101557
>> No. 101562 Anonymous
2nd April 2025
Wednesday 12:08 am
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>>101559
I've got an absolute certainty. Three thirty at Kempton.

>>101560
Nah, political ideology is the depth of hubris where you refuse to discuss the issues and try to blanket everything based on fitting into your neat pigeonhole. The same is true in the states really who are really further along for this left-right bullshit than we are and we saw it on the display with that Luigi chap where the right-wing talking heads found their audience weren't on their side anymore.

Try to step back and ask yourself if you can talk about the problem of inequality with your right wing ideologue strawman.
>> No. 101563 Anonymous
2nd April 2025
Wednesday 12:31 pm
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>>101558
If departments are incapable of evaluating the economic case for a project or keeping costs under control, that would again suggest a failure of our current way of doing things. I would submit that having to beg the treasury for every penny discourages being responsible: what you'll get is basically random and efficiency savings are just an argument to give you less money next time. The best way to protect your budget is to do things badly.
Departments already have to bid against one another for funding, with who gets what being a political decision. Departments shouldn't be "marking their own homework", someone should be doing independent analysis of whether a proposal is a good idea or a waste of money: it just shouldn't be the department concerned with trying to save money, because their incentives are skewed against doing anything. "Is this a good idea" and "should we be paying for this right now?" Are two different questions and for non-megaprojects (megaprojects start getting into "economic affairs" territory), if it's a good idea then responsibility for paying or not paying for it (out of an existing budget) should lie with the minister responsible, not the treasury. If a minister goes ahead with a project identified as a massive joke by the office for budgeting money, a subsidiary of DEA inc, that's why we keep an opposition party and a press around. (Ha! Now that is wishful thinking.)
Longer periods of capital expenditure help a bit, but they wouldn't do much about a failure to put each budget into a wider context. In my world, something like a successful Department of Economic Affairs would look at our long term financial position, economic situation, and long-term capital projects, and from that it could more or less cut out a budget in advance: how much can we borrow, and how much is going to be spent on those capital projects. Then the treasury would have the job of drawing up a budget in line with those requirements, with cabinet ministers begging the chancellor for money as-now. (But if everything is well managed, efficient and under budget, they can do what they like with the savings!) The treasury would not be able to cancel capital investments to make a short term budget work. If a long term project is going poorly, cancellation would be between the responsible ministry and the DEA.
That ought to get us looking more at "In 15 years we'll be glad we started building this today" and less at "that would make our deficit too large this year, sorry".
Now obviously the minister for economic affairs could try to sabotage things the way chancellors have in the past, but ideally the structure of the division should discourage either from wrecking things. Instead of one minister for both short term budgets and for long term economic management, always facing an incentive to trade the long term away to meet short term needs, you have two. They can now negotiate with one another, each responsible for only one area. The long term can finally say "no".
>> No. 101564 Anonymous
2nd April 2025
Wednesday 12:54 pm
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>>101563
I'm just going to copy and paste what you said but with better use of the return key.

If departments are incapable of evaluating the economic case for a project or keeping costs under control, that would again suggest a failure of our current way of doing things. I would submit that having to beg the treasury for every penny discourages being responsible: what you'll get is basically random and efficiency savings are just an argument to give you less money next time. The best way to protect your budget is to do things badly.

Departments already have to bid against one another for funding, with who gets what being a political decision. Departments shouldn't be "marking their own homework", someone should be doing independent analysis of whether a proposal is a good idea or a waste of money: it just shouldn't be the department concerned with trying to save money, because their incentives are skewed against doing anything. "Is this a good idea" and "should we be paying for this right now?" Are two different questions and for non-megaprojects (megaprojects start getting into "economic affairs" territory), if it's a good idea then responsibility for paying or not paying for it (out of an existing budget) should lie with the minister responsible, not the treasury. If a minister goes ahead with a project identified as a massive joke by the office for budgeting money, a subsidiary of DEA inc, that's why we keep an opposition party and a press around. (Ha! Now that is wishful thinking.)

Longer periods of capital expenditure help a bit, but they wouldn't do much about a failure to put each budget into a wider context. In my world, something like a successful Department of Economic Affairs would look at our long term financial position, economic situation, and long-term capital projects, and from that it could more or less cut out a budget in advance: how much can we borrow, and how much is going to be spent on those capital projects. Then the treasury would have the job of drawing up a budget in line with those requirements, with cabinet ministers begging the chancellor for money as-now. (But if everything is well managed, efficient and under budget, they can do what they like with the savings!) The treasury would not be able to cancel capital investments to make a short term budget work. If a long term project is going poorly, cancellation would be between the responsible ministry and the DEA.

That ought to get us looking more at "In 15 years we'll be glad we started building this today" and less at "that would make our deficit too large this year, sorry".

Now obviously the minister for economic affairs could try to sabotage things the way chancellors have in the past, but ideally the structure of the division should discourage either from wrecking things. Instead of one minister for both short term budgets and for long term economic management, always facing an incentive to trade the long term away to meet short term needs, you have two. They can now negotiate with one another, each responsible for only one area. The long term can finally say "no".
>> No. 101565 Anonymous
2nd April 2025
Wednesday 4:32 pm
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>>101562

The freer you believe yourself to be from ideology, the more deeply you are submerged in it, lad.
>> No. 101566 Anonymous
2nd April 2025
Wednesday 7:40 pm
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>>101565
The present UK government is a fine example of this.
>> No. 101577 Anonymous
3rd April 2025
Thursday 12:56 am
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>>101563
>>101564
>The best way to protect your budget is to do things badly

And that's where the NAO comes in and tells you off while realistically your business case will also fail next time if you dick about because it'll show in the evidence base that you're not getting a good ROI.

>it just shouldn't be the department concerned with trying to save money, because their incentives are skewed against doing anything

See I think this is an entirely cynical way of looking at the Treasury. They can and do pass projects that have the right evidence which they have down to a science and, well I don't know about you but I think certain Ministers should be absolutely nowhere near Departmental budgets. Yes we have our oligarchy but the problem is that ministers either sometimes won't have to worry about accountability (i.e. the previous government when it knew it was going out of office) or are highly susceptible to vanity projects/interests (Boris Johnson).

The problem is we're skint really. There is a legend that the Treasury once turned down supporting oil exploration in Saudi Arabia at a 50% cut of future revenue but we're hurting for cash, there was a political decision to embrace austerity when the markets said otherwise and right now money is tight and we've had jitters on the bond markets. The DEA isn't going to be able to change the reality that tough decisions have to be made for a limited pot of money.

>>101565
Not really. Political Ideology has morphed into some essentialist bullshit and it's easy to see in the way people approach it based on lies - left/right positions morph almost every election and the indicators pollsters rely on (hobbies, personality etc.) ignore the obvious that political allegiance is really best predicted by community. Which leads to the question of whether .gs is a healthy community.

This probably points to the fundamental problem we're getting infected by from the US where the whole thing boils down to us v them bullshit and magic answers to complex issues. A vanishing minority of people look at inequality in absolute terms and everyone who sits along that shouldn't be treated as part of a binary conversation. It's not like we need less extremists, we just need more meeting in the middle.
>> No. 101580 Anonymous
3rd April 2025
Thursday 2:01 am
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>>101577
I legitimately don't think you understand what a "political ideology" is. The suggestion that the "man on the street" has a coherent one based in genuine political theory and philosphy is plainly absurd. You also say, in the same sentence, that "political ideology has morphed into some essentialist bullshit" and "left/right position morph almost every election", which is quite the contradiction. I would also like some examples of the these morphing positions, because it sounds like you're conflating political parties and their leadership, both of which are obviously very changable, for "political ideology", which is rather less changable. If you still think ideologies change at the drop of an election, wouldn't that be an argument that there isn't much overt ideology involved in modern day politics, and that it's all become a race to the talking points with no consideration for the wider picture?
>> No. 101582 Anonymous
3rd April 2025
Thursday 2:27 am
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>>101577
>Not really.

Mirth. This is the point where you have been caught in over your head, demonstrating the point perfectly.

You don't even realise the ideology that has you tightly within its grasp. You consider it pragmatism, rationality, common sense. It is in fact one of the most dangerous ideologies of modern times that you hold dear.
>> No. 101593 Anonymous
3rd April 2025
Thursday 11:31 pm
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>>101580
I'm literally drawing from Verlan Lewis 'The Myth of Left and Right'.

>You also say, in the same sentence, that "political ideology has morphed into some essentialist bullshit" and "left/right position morph almost every election", which is quite the contradiction.

Nope. It's actually extremely easy to see at work once you live long enough. The US especially has shifted on multiple issues my favourite being Bush Jr. leading the Republican party in 2001 calling for a more humble US foreign policy. The left/right split is nonsense and back to your original point (remember that?) having your new talking head flapping about inequality does nothing to advance the debate and in reality he could just as well be a Libertarian with his single talking point.

>The suggestion that the "man on the street" has a coherent one based in genuine political theory and philosphy is plainly absurd

Who are you quoting? I never said man on the street. In fact I explicitly referenced right-wing talking heads getting surprised by their own audience.

>>101582
I'm not the one autistically chuckling to myself at half 2 on a Thursday morning m80.
>> No. 101595 Anonymous
4th April 2025
Friday 1:08 am
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>>101593
Republicans calling for a more humble US foreign policy has strong precedent. There's a reason that democrats lead the country into WW1 and to supporting us in WW2's European theatre. The cold war put that tradition on the back foot, sure, but if anything the anomaly is Democratic isolationism c. 2008. That cropped up, as you may recall, because Bush was just pandering to that isolationist wing of tbe Republican party in the primary and went on to start several foreign wars.
(Even then you're not really looking in-depth: America-first isolationism and anti-War internationalism are obviously different phenomena even if they lead to the same policy goal - you may as well say the distinction is meaningless because super-libertarian sexpats and anarcho-communist vegans both want to abolish the police! "Why? And then what?" Are important questions!)
>> No. 101596 Anonymous
4th April 2025
Friday 8:58 am
101596 Too much American shite in the UK politics thread btw, I don't like it.
>>101593
>back to your original point (remember that?)
No, you smug boob, because that was the first post of mine in relation to this discussion.

Again, you're conflating policies espoused by politicians and parties with ideologies. If I call my new political party The New Socialist Front, but all my policy proposals are things like more freeports, zero corporation tax, and privatising all schools, those ideas don't suddenly become left-wing ones, I've simply mislabled my political party.

"Man on the street" is in quoatation marks because it's an idiom.

>I'm literally drawing from Verlan Lewis 'The Myth of Left and Right'.
Okay, so, like, literally who even gives a shit? I haven't read it, but a review of it states:

>As they put it, “nearly all of the incessant talk about ‘liberal,’ ‘conservative,’ ‘progressive,” ‘left wing,’ and ‘right wing’ is a lot of sound and fury signifying nothing.” It is the American myth of the left and right.

Immediately I want to make it known to all that "sound and fury signifying nothing" is a phrase only dickheads use. More substantially, as best as I can tell the authors don't understand, or perhaps even means to address, political ideology outside of the very narrow mainstream US context. This seems to me to be akin to taking in a view of the horizon while looking at it through a keyhole, but again, maybe it's not their intention to speak upon politics outside of America. Either way, I do understand why you would wind up thinking ideology is fake if you're an American, who came of age during the Clinton or Bush years, watched hope itself turn to ash during Obama's time in office and have now had ten years of Democratic politicians telling you Trump is a turbo-fascist-planet-killer, while, in their actions, seemingly not really caring about that very same threat. What your excuse is, having presumably spent most of the 21st century in Blighty, I don't know.

Political ideologies are frameworks by which you can plan a political project. They aren't a perfect solution, they aren't immune to vice or villainy, presuming that's not already in-built. However, without a coherent vision for the kind of society you want to create, you're essentially rudderless and prone to doing and accepting whatever. This is why you end up with ostensibly centre-left politicians like Starmer and Reeves cutting disability benefits, or Joe Biden deciding, insomuch as old soup-for-brains decided anything, to take a hard line against immigration, despite previously holding a very different view.

>I'm not the one autistically chuckling to myself at half 2 on a Thursday morning m80.
Ah, yes, the mark of a true intellectual, calling people autistic and telling other adults they have a bedtime.
>> No. 101597 Anonymous
4th April 2025
Friday 4:23 pm
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>>101596

Cheers for backing me up m8lad.

Jokes on him anyway, I was up at 2:30 because I started work at 4, and I bet the only reason he hasn't replied yet is because he's still in bed, the layabout.
>> No. 101598 Anonymous
4th April 2025
Friday 8:06 pm
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>Britain becomes only G7 country unable to make new steel
https://www.I need to find an archive link for this.co.uk/business/2025/03/27/british-steels-chinese-owners-reject-500m-go-green/
>> No. 101602 Anonymous
5th April 2025
Saturday 8:17 pm
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>The Labour Party has suspended MP Dan Norris after "being informed of his arrest", a party spokesman has told the BBC.

>The suspension means Mr Norris, the MP for North East Somerset and Hanham, is also understood to have had the party whip suspended, meaning he is not able to sit as a Labour MP in the Commons. A Labour spokesperson said they could not comment further while the police investigation is ongoing.

>Norris, 65, was elected as the MP for North East Somerset and Hanham in 2024, defeating the Conservative MP Jacob Rees-Mogg.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/czx48gq0y77o

Jacob Rees-Mogg is going to win the by-election, isn't he?
>> No. 101613 Anonymous
9th April 2025
Wednesday 7:11 am
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>The government is considering nationalising British Steel as fears grow among ministers that the company's blast furnaces in Scunthorpe could run out of raw materials within days.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c7vnz4jy97no
>> No. 101614 Anonymous
9th April 2025
Wednesday 9:50 am
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>>101613
I’m sure China has plenty of raw materials going cheap at the moment.
>> No. 101615 Anonymous
9th April 2025
Wednesday 10:33 am
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>>101613
Do we really need to make steel in this country? I know that a lot of people are very worried for their job but I don't see why the government should take them over just to be left burning money and Network Rail being arm-twisted into buying its steel.

>The Reform UK leader Jimmy Savile and his deputy Richard Tice – himself a Lincolnshire MP - visited the works on Tuesday, with Mr Savile claiming there were "3 days to save British Steel" and the way to do that was to take it "into public ownership."

Sounds like they're only making plans for Jimmy.
>> No. 101616 Anonymous
9th April 2025
Wednesday 10:54 am
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>>101615


Yes we need to produce steel. It is one of those industries that you get caught with your trousers down in the event of a crisis if you don't have it.

China is deliberately flooding the market with cheep steel there is no reason to presume they wouldn't either up the price or limit it's export so that we have to buy Chinese products if everyone ends up just shutting down their own production. Once you've shut these industries down it is extremely difficult to start up again.

It is also one of those industries that the real value is in its capacity to provide for other industries. It is not dissimilar to infrastructure in that regard.

It also is of critical strategic military importance. Wars are lost because an inability to get access to steel.
>> No. 101617 Anonymous
9th April 2025
Wednesday 11:31 am
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>>101616
Can't we just take that subsidy money, build a strategic reserve and then make sure we're buying from suppliers other than China?
>> No. 101618 Anonymous
9th April 2025
Wednesday 12:31 pm
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>>101615

There's a huge amount of confusion about this topic, largely because no-one in politics or the media has a fucking clue about heavy industry.

In terms of the strategic issue of "what happens if a war breaks out", then having our own blast furnaces doesn't make a huge amount of difference - we don't have any iron ore mines either, so I don't think it makes much difference as to whether we're dependent on imports of iron ore or imports of commodity steel.

The UK makes just under six million tonnes of steel per year, but we export about eight tonnes of scrap steel. We'd actually be making more steel if we abandoned making virgin steel from iron ore and recycled our own scrap rather than exporting it to Turkey and China. The blast furnaces at Scunthorpe and Port Talbot can't do anything with most of that scrap - for that, we need more electric arc furnaces. The problem is that our dysfunctional energy market (where prices are pegged to the most expensive source of energy feeding the grid) means our electricity prices are high and incredibly volatile.

There's also a lot of confusion about what steel actually is. We tend to talk about it like it's all one thing, but there are thousands of different steel and alloy grades. They range from the lowest grades of structural steel used for things like rebar and RSJs, up to incredibly sophisticated duplex and maraging steels that go into fighter jets and nuclear reactors. The steel in your car might look bog-standard, but there are a huge variety of speciality grades, from the ultra-high strength steels used in the crash structures to wear-resistant grades used in the engine and gearbox.

British Steel (the company) only make the cheap, low-grade stuff, because their facilities are decades out of date. They're propped up by cushy contracts with the construction and rail industry, which were signed with a fairly generous amount of government "persuasion". We do make some speciality steel, but not much and not at British Steel. Sheffield Forgemasters make small but useful amounts of top class steel, which is why they were bought out by the MoD in 2021 when they were at risk of bankruptcy. British car factories have to import practically all of their steel, because there's nowhere in the UK that can make the grades they need in the quantities they need.

I think there's a case for maintaining steel production in the UK, but that's very different from the case for continuing to pour money into British Steel and their obsolete blast furnaces and working practices. The private sector is more than willing to build the electric arc furnaces and vacuum arc remelting plants that we need to make high-tech speciality steels that they could actually sell at a profit, but only if we can sort out our electricity grid. They need cheaper electricity, but they also need confidence about long-term pricing stability - you can't plan a long-term investment if you're just guessing at the cost of your largest expense.
>> No. 101619 Anonymous
9th April 2025
Wednesday 1:53 pm
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HE'S ONLY BLOODY GONE AND DONE IT LADS.

HAPPY DAYS ARE HERE AGAIN, THE SKIES ABOVE ARE CLEAR AGAIN!

WE'RE GETTING A THEME PARK! IN BEDFORD!
>> No. 101620 Anonymous
9th April 2025
Wednesday 2:29 pm
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>>101619
Is that how tall Keir Starmer is? Bloody hell. He won’t even get to go on any of the rides.
>> No. 101621 Anonymous
9th April 2025
Wednesday 3:21 pm
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>>101620
He's a 5'8" manlet.
>> No. 101622 Anonymous
9th April 2025
Wednesday 4:22 pm
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>>101621

They shrunk his wife for a Christmas card?
>> No. 101623 Anonymous
9th April 2025
Wednesday 5:43 pm
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>>101622
They shrink his wife for a Christmas card.
>> No. 101624 Anonymous
9th April 2025
Wednesday 5:49 pm
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>>101623
Surely they shrank his wife for a Christmas card?
>> No. 101625 Anonymous
9th April 2025
Wednesday 5:58 pm
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>>101624
Like that well known film, Honey, I Shrank the Kids.
>> No. 101628 Anonymous
9th April 2025
Wednesday 8:17 pm
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>>101625
It's not my fault the film's title is grammatically incorrect.
>> No. 101631 Anonymous
10th April 2025
Thursday 10:40 pm
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>Officials at the Cabinet Office - headed by Pat McFadden - are being told today that 2,100 of their 6,500 jobs will be cut or moved to other parts of government over the next two years. Along with other reforms, the Cabinet Office says the cuts will save £110m a year by 2028.
>The Cabinet Office supports the prime minister and co-ordinates the work of other departments which have more specific remits.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c62ggm3g8eyo

It seems a bit mental to cut the Cabinet Office who also handle elections, national risks and devolution. It seems like a lot of these changes are going on around the world at the minute where governments axe part of government to get small change and then find out that actually it costs more to lose them.
>> No. 101633 Anonymous
11th April 2025
Friday 12:29 pm
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The economy has grown by more than expected, by 0.5% instead of 0.1%: https://bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cj0zz357532o

This happened a couple of months ago too. And even when the growth predictions for this year were downgraded, growth predictions for future years were upgraded at the same time. Now, I am confident that economists are all frauds who don’t know anything, but could it be that Rachel Reeves is actually doing everything right?
>> No. 101634 Anonymous
11th April 2025
Friday 12:59 pm
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>>101633
The article suggests this is down to businesses rushing to do business with America before the tariffs kicked in.
>> No. 101660 Anonymous
18th April 2025
Friday 12:55 pm
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>Savile’s allies are trying to turn Reform into a more professional and efficient machine, by poaching senior staff from Conservative Campaign Headquarters (CCHQ). They have also held talks with Liz Truss on how to take on “the [Establishment] blob”; the former prime minister has given advice on how to engineer a major overhaul of the state, in a sign of how seriously Savile takes the prospect of power.

https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/Jimmy-Savile-reform-liz-truss-rupert-lowe-rhv6nvkg6
>> No. 101661 Anonymous
18th April 2025
Friday 3:00 pm
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>>101660
Maybe I'm just living in my London bubble but is there actually any chance at all of Reform breaking into the mainstream? At the moment they're doing an okay job of splitting the Conservative vote and might pull some wins at the May election but as with any third party I'm not sure if that says anything given the Tories are in their wilderness years with an ineffectual leader.

Or to look at it another way, I can see Reform pinching Tory votes but if it doesn't do seriously well on the 1st May then I see it imploding.
>> No. 101662 Anonymous
18th April 2025
Friday 3:22 pm
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>>101661
I'd say they're probably about as big as the Liberal Democrats at this stage. So there's an outside chance of a coalition, but no, Jimmy Savile is not going to be Prime Minister, ever. Reform are the #1 protest party in the country, but that really counts for very little. They will do well in the council elections because of how they work, but they could do everything perfectly for the next 20 years and still only have maybe 50 MPs in the House of Commons.
>> No. 101664 Anonymous
18th April 2025
Friday 4:28 pm
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>>101661
I think there's some polls which have them ahead of Labour now, but they're about level. I wouldn't say Reform are doing well, it's more the case than Labour and the Tories are both doing very badly so it depends on whether either of those two can get their shit together.
>> No. 101672 Anonymous
20th April 2025
Sunday 1:12 am
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I've noticed a lot of effort runs counter to market forces at the minute. Allow me to rant: I don't give a toss about the fate of the high-street or pubs and giving them special exemptions and subsidies isn't going to work because the problems remains that they're not getting the punters through the door. Which explains why decades of nurturing them hasn't reversed the trends towards boarded up pubs and high-streets dominated by chicken shops, hairdressers and those shops buying gold off of crackheads.

>But the mega-corporations!

Then give the CMA the teeth to counter them and stop with this bullshit about 'innovation' that's being pushed by the US because they don't like their companies getting fined. A sticky carpet pub isn't countering 'online extremism' and B&M isn't pro-consumer. The state support should instead direct people who are trying to make something different that can give what people want these days as well as trying to work out what can be done to foster this so-called 'local community'.

>>101664
My take is that you can go further with this to observe that Labour's biggest threat is from the Lib Dems who have managed to surge recently. Which begs the question of why countering Reform is taking up so much oxygen at the moment.
>> No. 101673 Anonymous
20th April 2025
Sunday 1:26 am
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>>101672
The core ideology of this country is centralisation. The idea of empowering local authorities or promoting local community runs directly counter to it. Decentralisation is only used rhetorically when it comes to privatisation, which inevitably winds up moving power 3 blocks down to a different part of the capital.

It's particularly interesting to observe on our irrelevant left-wing: it makes sense everyone with real power want things centrally controlled. It's a testament to the power of the idea that your average lefty also imagines (or imagined, before Starmer set out to demonstrate that Labour has always been irredeemable) the way to fix it is for a labour government to centrally demand socialism, rather than to empower local councils to deliver it themselves according to local conditions.
>> No. 101682 Anonymous
22nd April 2025
Tuesday 7:32 pm
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QUEER HARMER'S THE NAME
FLIP-FLOPPING ON WHETHER TRANSWOMEN ARE WOMEN IS THE GAME
>> No. 101683 Anonymous
22nd April 2025
Tuesday 10:17 pm
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>>101682
It really is shameless how Labour is using a legal judgement on the Equalities Act as a deflection of moral judgement and going beyond what the court even ruled on - which was specifically the definition used in the Equalities Act. I'm not sure this impresses either side of this as it's just cowardice.

And his 2024 statement that "only women have a cervix" is outrageous when there are women born without a cervix - a statement bordering on attaching the definition of a women to her ability to conceive.
>> No. 101684 Anonymous
22nd April 2025
Tuesday 10:37 pm
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I can't believe Herr Sturmer wants to bloody fucking execute all trans people in the gas chambers. As if starving all disabled people to death wasn't enough. I know I asked for an economically left but socially conservative Labour, I didn't want actual nationalist socialists. He's literally going to make it illegal to be gay next.

I am secretly really glad I can still be oppressed, I was terrified that electing a left wing government might mean I have to get a new act and maybe stop spending my entire life on twitter. Thank fuck.
>> No. 101685 Anonymous
22nd April 2025
Tuesday 11:27 pm
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>>101684
Does it make you feel big to post childish nonsense like this? Everyone who dislikes what's surely the least popular government in modern history (20% of the vote and dipping into third, just a year in?) is a hysterical child. It's all so obvious when you put it like that. Thank god we've got you, a clever, mature, very big boy who knows twittering is for birds and that socialism is whatever a Labour government does.
>> No. 101686 Anonymous
23rd April 2025
Wednesday 6:33 pm
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>>101685
Get a sense of humour mate. It's obviously a shitpost and you getting in a fettle about it is in itself childish. Pop the kettle on and settle down.

>>101683
"Women are adult humans who inherit XX chromosomes, one from each parent, and women with functional uteruses are capable of pregnancy and giving birth from puberty until menopause. That being said women who are born with 2 X chromosomes but are not born with a uterus, and or a cervix, and or the other parts that comprise womens genitals are also considered women also count as women." might not have been the catchy soundbite our politicians are expecting to come out with these days.
>> No. 101687 Anonymous
23rd April 2025
Wednesday 8:06 pm
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>>101686
>It's obviously a shitpost and you getting in a fettle about it is in itself childish

Been here long?
>> No. 101688 Anonymous
23rd April 2025
Wednesday 8:42 pm
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>>101686
>might not have been the catchy soundbite our politicians are expecting to come out with these days.

Which is why it's bad policy. And otherlad is right. /iq/ is your containment board.
>> No. 101690 Anonymous
24th April 2025
Thursday 9:44 am
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So what about that changing leccy to a regional pricing thing?

Sounds good to me. I am noticing a lot of media push against it which I can only assume is thanks to the Big Shareholder agenda, and as with anything nowadays, I am using that as my primary deciding factor that it's actually a good thing. Somebody wealthy doesn't want it so the chances are it's just a flat out unambiguous improvement over what we have now.

I am sure one of you has a more nuanced opinion and can write three or four good paragraphs about it. That's what I come here for. Any takers?
>> No. 101691 Anonymous
24th April 2025
Thursday 12:07 pm
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>>101690
In the UK it's ultimately being driven selfish attitudes and overcomplicates the system. The debate came to the UK in response to higher energy bills and the need to appease NIMBY homeowners but it just adds a layer of tariff zoning and demands that certain communities be subsidised by others at a time of scarcity.

This is treated as a magic panacea for dilapidated seaside communities but they already get bennies from the rest of the country and while Keith and Susanne (68, 65) might sign off on a windfarm for cheaper electric, they'll raise hell if someone tries to build heavy industry near them.

>Somebody wealthy doesn't want it

It's a shadowy cabal of renewable power and manufacturing.
>> No. 101692 Anonymous
24th April 2025
Thursday 12:41 pm
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I don't know what the fuss is about with regional pricing. It already exists. There are something like 14 tariff areas, and each supplier will typically charge a slightly different rate on any given tariff in each area.
>> No. 101693 Anonymous
24th April 2025
Thursday 1:00 pm
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>>101692

But the base price from which they derrove that is still pegged to the most expensive generation per unit at a given time. They're on about taking that way.

Won't somebody please think of the shareholders.
>> No. 101694 Anonymous
24th April 2025
Thursday 2:24 pm
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>>101693

That's the bit we need to address. Our current pricing mechanism essentially functions as an outrageously generous subsidy for everything that isn't natural gas. Those subsidies don't usefully incentivise the construction of new renewable generating capacity, because that's totally bottlenecked by planning and grid connection issues. As things stand, it's just a windfall for those who were lucky enough or corrupt enough to get a wind turbine or a solar farm built and connected to the grid, at the expense of the bill-payer.

If the government were actually serious about growth, they'd completely remove local authorities from planning decisions about electricity generation and transmission infrastructure, and hire Paul Milgrom to redesign the wholesale market. Spoiler: I do not think they are actually serious about growth.
>> No. 101695 Anonymous
24th April 2025
Thursday 3:31 pm
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Has there been any real benefit from privatising energy?
Or is it one of those things where, like the railways, you get into an endless argument where pro-privatisation people go "look at passenger numbers!" and expect you to not look too closely at how BR was doing before the early 90s recession, or at per-passenger subsidies shooting way higher than BR ever got after the disastrous experiment with track privatisation was ended because trains kept crashing, because ultimately it's just common sense that it worked. It must've worked. All the sensible people agree, it's just not sensible that it could be or could have been done differently...
(Until now, where in the case of the railways it's no longer common sense, although the people who wanted things changed earlier were wrong. Presumably.)
>> No. 101696 Anonymous
24th April 2025
Thursday 4:17 pm
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>>101695

I won't argue that privatisation is good, because all of those arguments rely on complicated and subjective arguments based on hypotheticals and imperfect comparisons to foreign markets. I will argue that privatisation is fundamentally unimportant; the average profit margins for domestic suppliers are only around 4%, so you just wouldn't see the impact on your bill if EDF or SSE decided to just run their business as a charity and take no profits.

The dysfunction in our electricity market is entirely due to how that market is regulated. The government simply refuses to allow the private sector to build the infrastructure that is needed to improve supply and bring down prices, and they are unwilling or unable to build it themselves. The government-imposed pricing mechanism for wholesale electricity compounds this dysfunction, by massively amplifying the costs of supply shortages. There are plenty of companies with big pots of money who desperately want to build more generators and pylons and substations, but they aren't allowed to because Keith and Susanne (68, 65) have a unilateral veto on any infrastructure anywhere near them. I am completely unconvinced that nationalisation would have any impact on this total inertia.

I can't comment on gas, as I don't know enough about the market.
>> No. 101708 Anonymous
26th April 2025
Saturday 12:35 am
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Sometimes I feel like I'm being overly harsh on the government or excessively pessimistic about our infrastructure, but then I remember that this is the fastest route between Manchester and Sheffield.
>> No. 101712 Anonymous
28th April 2025
Monday 8:39 am
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15 years ago today Gordon Brown called an old woman a bigot and changed the course of history.
>> No. 101713 Anonymous
28th April 2025
Monday 3:03 pm
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>>101712

Labour had been behind in the polls all along since late 2007. In fact, the only time that Labour were ahead during Gordon Brown's tenure as PM was a brief few months after Blair left office.

What it arguably did do was that it tanked any residual hope that he and Labour would have had.
>> No. 101714 Anonymous
28th April 2025
Monday 3:27 pm
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>>101712
Just one in a long line of people silenced for speaking the truth.
>> No. 101715 Anonymous
28th April 2025
Monday 3:54 pm
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Of course, this is why Starmer is gassing the trannos in the death camps isn't it, they have realised 15 years on they need to capture that boomer Mail reading socially conservative vote. Bigoted woman was an iceberg tip.

However, the Trans Question is a passing fad, bending over on it now when it's already becoming old hat won't won't be enough. Sooner or later, they will give in. They will make that Faustian bargain. Racist Labour is inevitable.
>> No. 101716 Anonymous
28th April 2025
Monday 4:02 pm
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>>101715
>Sir Keir Starmer will unveil a crackdown on immigration after this week’s local elections when Reform is expected to seize hundreds of seats.

>The white paper is expected to be published before May 19, when a summit between UK and European Union leaders resetting their relationship takes place. The Office for National Statistics will publish its latest net migration numbers on May 22.

>It will include a promise that bosses who break employment law, such as by not paying minimum wage, will be banned from hiring workers abroad. Existing workforces will also be required to train for roles often taken by workers on foreign visas.

>Another area where action is expected is on graduate visas. Yvette Cooper, the Home Secretary, has uncovered evidence that scores of foreign students who come to Britain on graduate visas then move across to health and social care visas, allowing them to remain in the UK for longer. Home Office officials have explored closing this loophole by setting a wage threshold for the types of jobs to which foreign graduates can switch.

>Tougher rules on migration are likely to renew the debate about any knock-on impact on economic growth, which Sir Keir has named as his top priority for office. Labour increased enforced returns of failed asylum seekers and foreign criminals in its first six months in government. The Home Office also started releasing photographs of deportation flights to communicate to the public that action was being taken.

https://www.I need to find an archive link for this.co.uk/politics/2025/04/27/starmer-plans-migrant-cuts-to-fight-reform/
>> No. 101717 Anonymous
29th April 2025
Tuesday 12:21 pm
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>>101715
A very marginal lefty theory I've been won over to is the idea that Labour are pandering rightwards on purpose because they want to encourage a hard right opposition and for elections to be fought on right wing talking points. Most rational thinking would suggest they should try to jam a new left-wing consensus in place - as Thatcher did for the right - even if circumstances require them to be more cautious. Triangulation is a joke that doesn't work. (See:2015, Scottish Labour's entire existence) Instead, Labour introduce measures even the Tories wouldn't and raise the salience of right wing issues by collaborating immigration crackdowns with The Sun. That's mad if you imagine the goal is primarily some kind of progressive politics, even very economically liberal progressive politics, but it's half-clever if the aim is merely to be in power: An alienated left or socially liberal contingent can be bullied into voting for a right-wing Labour party if the alternative is a hard-right Reform or Reform-Tory pact. Labour could govern as Conservatives indefinitely and the left would just have to lump it.
Which is all very clever except I suspect these people have built up enough bad will in their first year alone that lefties and liberals would cheer if Savile beat Starmer in his own seat.
>> No. 101721 Anonymous
29th April 2025
Tuesday 6:17 pm
101721 I know he's not PM anymore but I'm just whinging so whatever
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https://web.archive.org/web/20250429145548/https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/apr/29/phasing-out-fossil-fuels-doomed-to-fail-tony-blair-climate

Go on, tell me how great Sure Start was, do it, I dare you.

Fucking carbon capture. Why don't you "capture" a lead slug with your teeth, you sack of shit? The paper doesn't even say net zero won't work, just that the public don't like it enough, therefore it's not worth trying. Yeah, sorry everyone alive after 2050 A.D., we wanted to stop the planet turning into Venus 2.0, but it wasn't popular with swing voters in the Shires so we bet the farm on "small, modular, nuclear reactors" before forgetting we hadn't actually built any nor made any plans to do so, oopsie. Enjoy your gruel ration and remember not to go above ground without a stillsuit and a pair of welding goggles.
>> No. 101722 Anonymous
29th April 2025
Tuesday 6:38 pm
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>>101721
The gall of calling anyone else irrational while prioritising carbon capture as a way forward.
>> No. 101726 Anonymous
29th April 2025
Tuesday 11:54 pm
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>>101721
>>101722
But he's right? COP doesn't work and climate change has entirely lost momentum and gone into reverse. Nobody talks about a green revolution anymore and there's a lot to be said of the failure of the developed world to both deliver green growth but also we've both been mugged and used chicanery to mug ourselves by offshoring pollution.

>The paper doesn't even say net zero won't work, just that the public don't like it enough, therefore it's not worth trying.

The report specifically mentions that current tools won't work. In fact it's unusually strong on the 'we're fucked' angle from multiple lenses like the sheer madness of global air traffic or steel and cement manufacture, pointing out that we need CCS, SMRs to work and even with that we'll still be spending the next century building mitigation because it's too late is different wishful thinking. It even makes repeated mention of CCR which is a hip term to start bringing geoengineering seriously into the debate - and I suspect that and green finance reform are the real targets.

I also give it kudos for specifically targeting particular species within the ecosystem we now need to encourage which can be actually opposed to modern views on biodiversity.
https://institute.global/insights/climate-and-energy/the-climate-paradox-why-we-need-to-reset-action-on-climate-change
>> No. 101727 Anonymous
30th April 2025
Wednesday 12:01 am
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>>101721

I'm by no means an expert on all this stuff but it seems to me the big problem is nobody is really proposing alternatives, or the alternatives they are proposing are just inherently a bit dodgy sounding, and/or just plain seem like non-starters.

We have all this hot air (get it) about it constantly, but meanwhile, people still just have to get on with their lives, and nobody is giving them any serious means of changing how much of an impact they have. Loads of people might love an electric car but they cost a fortune. People would love solar panels but they live in a 5th storey flat or their landlord isn't willing to have the work done.

Meanwhile the people that can afford those things are ordering 12 litres of bottled water on their online shopping, without considering that it has to be shipped across the ocean and then taken on a truck to the distribution centre and then supplied to the retailer who then put it on the delivery van to take it to their house, in the best case scenario. As if they don't even have running water.

The moving parts we need to be joined up in tackling the problem just simply aren't.
>> No. 101729 Anonymous
30th April 2025
Wednesday 12:20 am
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>>101726
>climate change has entirely lost momentum and gone into reverse.
What? That's not true at all. Perhaps you didn't mean what I think you meant, but it sounds like you think we've won and everything will work out if we just keep doing what we're doing now. The UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change certainly disagreed with that in 2023:
https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/syr/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_SYR_SPM.pdf

Note how I casually said who the IPCC are, without just dropping a random acronym like you did four separate times in your post. It helps people to understand you and not misinterpret your words as something factually wrong.
>> No. 101731 Anonymous
30th April 2025
Wednesday 12:54 am
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>>101726
We don't "need" carbon capture. It's a meme. It doesn't fucking work and can't ever fucking work. It's a fig leaf promoted by Big Fossil as a distraction, like hydrogen but even less realistic.

Effectively the things that are likely to produce results are nuclear and grid-scale batteries. Really, we needed to have approved new nuclear stations around 20-30 years ago. Research into SMRs is good, but it's still a way off, and Fukushima fever isn't exactly helping. (No, fusion is also a meme, it's the energy sector's "year of the Linux desktop" in that it's been "about a decade away" since the 1970s.) There have been some promising advances with batteries, but the reality is that a Dunkelflaute when wind and solar are ineffective can last for days, and most of the battery installations that exist can only really sustain power for a matter of hours.

We're apparently installing a fuckload of pumped hydro, but I'm skeptical of that being able to function over an extended period - it's mostly used for balancing to "top up" capacity for a short time, to use up excess generation for a short time, or to "give me everything you have right now" like when England get knocked out on penalties (again) and National Grid have a matter of seconds to find about 2-3GW from somewhere.
>> No. 101732 Anonymous
30th April 2025
Wednesday 9:16 am
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>>101726
>Nobody talks about a green revolution anymore
This is such a Tony Blair Institute-pilled way of thinking. It's been months, guys, it's time to pack it in and admit defeat. Anyone planning on a scale measured by anything greater than weeks is an idiot and a rube, and probably lefty entryist too.
>> No. 101733 Anonymous
30th April 2025
Wednesday 9:49 am
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>>101729
>Perhaps you didn't mean what I think you meant
I read it as "action on climate change", not climate change itself.
>> No. 101738 Anonymous
30th April 2025
Wednesday 4:32 pm
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Lol.
>> No. 101820 Anonymous
11th May 2025
Sunday 1:32 pm
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>Care workers will no longer be recruited from overseas as part of a crackdown on visas for lower-skilled workers, the home secretary has told the BBC.

>Responding to the changes, the Liberal Democrats social care spokesperson Helen Morgan said the government was "tinkering around the edges yet failing to properly tackle the crisis in our social care". "Labour must step up and take proper action to address recruitment shortages including paying our care workers properly and rolling out a plan for career progression," she said.

>While Labour have been reviewing migration policy for months, many have suggested this week's crackdown was triggered by Reform UK's surge in the local elections, where it took the Runcorn and Helsby constituency off Labour and won control of 10 councils. Reform leader Jimmy Savile claimed "this new legislation is only happening because Reform is leading in the polls". Labour's plan was "doomed to fail", he argued as immigration was "not just about what numbers come in but who comes in and if they can assimilate".
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c626dyd8y8wo

What's going wrong with this government lately? It's not just that this policy is impossible to implement but somehow even Savile can start to ask the question of who honestly gives a fuck about Filipino healthcare workers coming in.
>> No. 101821 Anonymous
11th May 2025
Sunday 2:08 pm
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>>101820
Mediocre, incompetent people interested only in factional control of the Labour party are governing poorly, absent any real plan for what to do except gobbling up petty bribes. This government is a bad set of people with bad ideas governing badly. It's annoying, but it's no more complicated than that.
https://robinmcalpine.org/morgan-mcsweeney-is-shite/
>> No. 101823 Anonymous
11th May 2025
Sunday 2:25 pm
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>>101820
"The public are concerned about immigration, we need to show that we're doing something about it. This is something."

I wouldn't be surprised if the net migration figures out later this month exceed 1million.
>> No. 101825 Anonymous
11th May 2025
Sunday 9:25 pm
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>>101823

>we need to show that we're doing something about it

And that's the main issue, they want to show that they are doing something about it, not actually do something about it. Which is how basically every government since Thatcher has worked regarding immigration.

The Blair era at least sort of vaguely tried to argue "immigration is good for us overall", even if nobody ever actually took that idea seriously. It was just that in an age when everyone felt reasonably well off and public services were running more or less as they should, we were prepared to let it slide.

This was the entire grift, and I mean the entire grift, looking back on it, that the Tories relied on to stay in power from 2010 to 2014. Talk about immigration as a problem, blame Labour for immigration, while doing nothing about immigration. The current Labour party being a continuity Tory party makes this no surprise but it just fucking beggars belief how they haven't realised that the reason they are in power in the first place is that the grift no longer works.

No government is going to go against the will of a financial and business elite who want cheaper workers who won't unionise.
>> No. 101826 Anonymous
11th May 2025
Sunday 9:49 pm
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>>101825
I think most people would settle for the navy blowing up a few boats full of asylum seekers in the Channel.
>> No. 101827 Anonymous
11th May 2025
Sunday 10:03 pm
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>>101823
>>101825
Doing something about immigration isn't really to Labour's advantage. We could (and frankly given the state of the place, should) hit net emigration and a combination of press support, Tory collapse, and Labour fighting on issues they'll never have the lead over Reform on (like immigration) instead of on issues they should have the lead on (like the economy, if they weren't purposefully strangling it) will ensure reform support stays steady.

Labour could sit in the middle and govern as boring centrists, but instead they're going to track rightwards chasing reform, alienating their supporters and pushing national discourse right without gaining back a single reform voter.
Whenever Labour encounter the notion of an anti-immigration, economically left-leaning, socially conservative voter, they gladly concede on immigration and social conservatism, but they'll never concede on economics. Ed Miliband is too radical for them.
>> No. 101828 Anonymous
11th May 2025
Sunday 10:49 pm
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>>101827

Which is precisely the problem, it's a double bind that over the long term dooms them to irrelevance. For it to actually benefit them substantially they would have to pair the concession to socially right views with actually impactful economic stimulus and reform.

We can go around in circles on it until the cows come home but the real root issue they have to confront is the impact immigration has on the poorer and declining areas that were traditionally working class Labour strongholds. Maybe the talking heads can convince themselves that it's all hunky dory and those voters are only turning to the likes of Reform because they have been lied to by evil propagandists, but there is a real decay in those communities, and immigration pours fuel on the fire. For those communities, the present conditions are a perfect storm for populism to take hold.

In essence, those voters may be thick and easily misled, but they're not so thick that they can't tell when a party or government just plainly doesn't serve their interests. This is why the Tories would sacrifice anything and everything to buy off the grey vote. If Labour wants to survive, it has to meaningfully offer the proles a stake in the system. Otherwise it's going to speedrun losing the biggest majority they've had in decades.
>> No. 101831 Anonymous
12th May 2025
Monday 1:01 am
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I'd just like to interrupt everyone's sleep to let you know that I have decided Chris Philp will be the next Conservative leader. He's the oiliest, most revoltingly conniving Machiavellian psychopath in the entire party, and he's working his way up by going on TV to defend the most indefensible viewpoints his overlords give him. He even looks like he could play Patrick Bateman. I despise him so much, and whenever I feel such visceral hate towards a Tory MP, they always wind up in charge. He's Rishi Sunak without the competence; just pure used-car salesman all the way through. I don't know what his policies will be, and I'm confident he doesn't either yet, but at some point in the next five years, Chris Philp will make us all even angrier than we are at the current lot.
>> No. 101832 Anonymous
12th May 2025
Monday 7:07 am
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>>101827
Over the past several years, there is arguably not a single high-income country where a center-left party has managed to enact progressive policies and win re-election — with the exception of Denmark.

Since the Social Democrats took power in 2019, they have compiled a record that resembles the wish list of a liberal American think tank. They changed pension rules to enable blue-collar workers to retire earlier than professionals. On housing, the party fought speculation by the private-equity industry by enacting the so-called Blackstone law, a reference to the giant New York-based firm that had bought beloved Copenhagen apartment buildings; the law restricts landlords from raising rents for five years after buying a property. To fight climate change, Frederiksen’s government created the world’s first carbon tax on livestock and passed a law that requires 15 percent of farmland to become natural habitat. On reproductive rights, Denmark last year expanded access to abortion through the first 18 weeks of pregnancy, up from 12 weeks, and allowed girls starting at age 15 to get an abortion without parental consent.

All the while, the country continues to provide its famous welfare state, which includes free education through college (including a monthly stipend of about $900 for living expenses), free medical care and substantial unemployment insurance, while nonetheless being home to globally competitive companies like Novo Nordisk, the maker of the anti-obesity drug Ozempic. In 2022, Frederiksen won a second term, defying the anti-incumbent mood that has ousted incumbent parties elsewhere since the Covid pandemic. As part of her success, she has marginalized the far right in her country.

But there is one issue on which Frederiksen and her party take a very different approach from most of the global left: immigration. Nearly a decade ago, after a surge in migration caused by wars in Libya and Syria, she and her allies changed the Social Democrats’ position to be much more restrictive. They called for lower levels of immigration, more aggressive efforts to integrate immigrants and the rapid deportation of people who enter illegally. While in power, the party has enacted these policies. Denmark continues to admit immigrants, and its population grows more diverse every year. But the changes are happening more slowly than elsewhere. Today 12.6 percent of the population is foreign-born, up from 10.5 percent when Frederiksen took office. In Germany, just to Denmark’s south, the share is almost 20 percent. In Sweden, it is even higher.

These policies made Denmark an object of scorn among many progressives elsewhere. Critics described the Social Democrats as monstrous, racist and reactionary, arguing that they had effectively become a right-wing party on this issue. To Frederiksen and her aides, however, a tough immigration policy is not a violation of progressivism; to the contrary, they see the two as intertwined. As I sat in her bright, modern office, which looks out on centuries-old Copenhagen buildings, she described the issue as the main reason that her party returned to power and has remained in office even as the left has flailed elsewhere.

Leftist politics depend on collective solutions in which voters feel part of a shared community or nation, she explained. Otherwise, they will not accept the high taxes that pay for a strong welfare state. “Being a traditional Social Democratic thinker means you cannot allow everyone who wants to join your society to come,” Frederiksen says. Otherwise, “it’s impossible to have a sustainable society, especially if you are a welfare society, as we are.” High levels of immigration can undermine this cohesion, she says, while imposing burdens on the working class that more affluent voters largely escape, such as strained benefit programs, crowded schools and increased competition for housing and blue-collar jobs. Working-class families know this from experience. Affluent leftists pretend otherwise and then lecture less privileged voters about their supposed intolerance.

“There is a price to pay when too many people enter your society,” Frederiksen told me. “Those who pay the highest price of this, it’s the working class or lower class in the society. It is not — let me be totally direct — it’s not the rich people. It is not those of us with good salaries, good jobs.” She kept coming back to the idea that the Social Democrats did not change their position for tactical reasons; they did so on principle. They believe that high immigration helps cause economic inequality and that progressives should care above all about improving life for the most vulnerable members of their own society. The party’s position on migration “is not an outlier,” she told me. “It is something we do because we actually believe in it.”


https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/24/magazine/denmark-immigration-policy-progressives.html
>> No. 101833 Anonymous
12th May 2025
Monday 10:58 am
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>>101832
"Arguably" in the first paragraph is doing a truly spectacular level of heavy lifting.
Center left parties have generally abandoned progressive policies since the 1990s and been in horrible decline since 2008. Few win elections, and it should come as no surprise that those who do (a) rarely enact progressive policies and (b) rarely win re election. You're dealing with a vanishingly small sample size.

But all that's fluff for the real killer: The buried lede that net migration in Denmark is higher than it was in 2019. Insofar as they've been anti immigrant, they've failed. Do you really, seriously think "yes, but it's happening more slowly?" Is going to fatally wound reform?
(And frankly, I'd be surprised if the "more slowly" difference with Sweden/Germany emerged after the social democrats were elected, rather than being a structural difference. Germany was bringing in guest workers 50 years ago!)
>> No. 101834 Anonymous
12th May 2025
Monday 8:36 pm
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>>101828
>We can go around in circles on it until the cows come home but the real root issue they have to confront is the impact immigration has on the poorer and declining areas that were traditionally working class Labour strongholds

And how exactly do the social care workers hurt the working class and why do we need the government to demand 10 years, double taxation and 15 grand from immigrants to fix this? Can't we be a bit... nuanced about it?

Savile is right (!) immigration is about who comes in and how they assimilate. I doubt anyone cares about actual hard-grafting immigrants but what they do care about are established communities of poverty and people coming over to purely scam the system using criminal connections. In a lot of ways successive government have only undermined people who come here to work hard and integrate but provided gaping loopholes for gangs and family connections to exploit which is compounded by many communities up north getting stuck in dire inter-generational poverty.

And I like to screw ethnic women.
>> No. 101835 Anonymous
12th May 2025
Monday 8:51 pm
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>>101834

>And how exactly do the social care workers hurt the working class

Wage suppression. We could at least attempt to solve the shortage of care workers by paying better wages and offering better working conditions, but we'd rather import people from the Philippines and Nigeria to do those jobs on the cheap. That has a knock-on effect for demand for other kinds of labour by increasing the total supply.

It suits the government, it suits middle-class taxpayers, but it's a poke in the eye for people at the bottom end of the labour market.

See also the unjustifiable use of contrived "apprenticeships" to pay less than the minimum wage.
>> No. 101836 Anonymous
12th May 2025
Monday 9:33 pm
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>>101835
You can't pay higher wages because nobody has the money. Care companies aren't raking in billions while paying a pittance to their staff; they pay what they can and they know it's not enough. Where do you propose we get the extra money from? A better economy? A great way to improve the economy is to have more people, and the easiest way to do that is to say yes to all the people who want to come here. That would also improve working conditions, because if there are more carers to share the workload, the job would be easier because you'd only have to wipe half as many boomer bums on each shift.

Tackling immigration by tackling the number of care workers is moronic. If anything, a better idea would be to tackle the number of qualified professional immigrants, because then companies would have to train their British employees instead.
>> No. 101837 Anonymous
12th May 2025
Monday 9:36 pm
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>>101834
The problem with assimilation is that there's nothing to assimilate to. You can't really become English and Britishness is mostly Englishness with a few irrelevant cringing Scots and about half of Northern Ireland, who insist most strongly that they're British while being more culturally foreign to the average mainland Brit than people from the Republic.

That's not a fixed situation: You used to have Scottish unionists who were comfortable being both Scottish and British, we used to have all the common institutions of a real nation state, we used to be a single national economy rather than one big finance center and a bunch of towns mostly notable for having made something 100 years ago. "Britishness" was at its most coherent post-WW2 pre-Thatcher, and Thatcher wrecking the national economy while flag-shagging combined with Blair increasing immigration while co-ordinating with the papers to drive up anti immigration sentiment lead us directly to the incoherent mess we see today. National identity isn't some mystical woo, it's something political leadership can shape - but so far almost nobody recognises the problem. David Edgerton, a historian with no means of resolving the problem, and Gordon Brown, who recognised the problem on some level but offered pretty weak solutions (A national day!) and, like Blair, was caught between the desirability of a new coherent multicultural identity and the desire to appeal to the prejudices of a sort of bigoted woman so The Sun would back Labour.
>> No. 101838 Anonymous
12th May 2025
Monday 9:37 pm
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>>101835
We already have a care crisis. The demand is there, the market just isn't providing the right wages for someone to wipe an arse.

>>101836
>Care companies aren't raking in billions

Let's not get silly now.
>> No. 101839 Anonymous
12th May 2025
Monday 9:52 pm
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>>101838
Actually I want to go further. The care sector is booming in this country while everything else crumbles and it charges absolutely absurd fees because the sector knows it's dealing with wealthy vulnerable people. Even if you're parents are somewhat well off it's likely that to have a decent standard of living they will be spending it all at the end of life care and you might even be out of pocket for it.

And while the owners and shareholders make a fortune they deliberately exploit anyone caught in the gears with low-paying menial work that breaks their bodies and has them working around the clock. That hasn't changed with a shortage in care-workers because it's a market failure - a final 'fuck you' to millennials and our parents generation.
>> No. 101845 Anonymous
13th May 2025
Tuesday 11:02 am
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>>101836

> Care companies aren't raking in billions

They are raking in a profit of some small margin, presumably, though? That's the fundamental trouble here, turning something over to The Market which really has no business being... Well, a business at all. It's service. It shouldn't have to be profitable.

I'm not the lad you are replying to but you are playing that obvious silly buggers dishonest conservative misrepresentation thing. We've got the money, mate, we are the sixth largest economy in the word, we're not fucking skint and the narrative that we are is boring the piss out of me now.
>> No. 101846 Anonymous
13th May 2025
Tuesday 11:32 am
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Irrelevant tangent, but Scotland's failed National Care Service was basically drawn up by KPMG and people on secondment to the Scottish Government from KPMG because Sturgeon didn't care what it was so long as it gave her the headline and the claim to be the first to have established one. KPMG went with the idea that instead of councils doing social care, or an NHS-style national care service doing care, Holyrood would contract it out centrally through a list of preferred providers, most of which were coincidentally clients of KPMG. Then they'd slap the words "national care service" over it like a council-contracted Bus operator. Nobody in the social care sector liked it because it was an unworkable corrupt mess, but it dragged on for years and years under Sturgeon and Yousaf until Swinney finally gave up and killed it because there were a million other fires to fight and the leader who wanted the headline was long gone. Well, great, the care system didn't get worse - it's in exactly the same inadequate state it was when the proposal to make a national care service sprung up in the first place.

The whole saga really is an interesting insight into modern policymaking. You'd traditionally think a politician comes in with an idea and the civil service work on how to deliver it. Lol, no. A politician overhears a headline, the civil service sort of shrug, a private sector firm draws up an obviously self-interested system to channel public money into their pockets with less relationship to the original idea than the "national living wage", and the whole thing only mercifully collapses under its own weight because the headline-chasing politician's other disasters caught up with the party before the monstrosity could be passed into law... this time.
>> No. 101850 Anonymous
13th May 2025
Tuesday 1:07 pm
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>>101846

Makes me wonder if we will ever see a big change in the winds where this style of doing things falls completely out of favour as the repeated failures and inherent weaknesses and disincentives become harder and harder to ignore.

We've had it for so long now that it might feel like not merely the only way of doing things, but as much just a fundamental reality of the world, as inevitable and natural as the tides of the sea and the laws of gravity. But it's not. If Thatcher was able to make reforms that vast and sweeping, somebody else can do the same to her failed experiment's legacy.
>> No. 101851 Anonymous
13th May 2025
Tuesday 1:33 pm
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>>101850
Repeated governments have cracked down hard on consultants but they've also overseen a hollowing out of the civil service of the skills consultants provide so I'm sure we can predict what happens next.
>> No. 101852 Anonymous
13th May 2025
Tuesday 2:48 pm
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>>101839
>>101845
It's not a particularly massive margin. You can probably find care providers with a private owner who's worth a few bob, but they're not going to be obscenely wealthy, because the reality is that funding for care is pitiful, and even then the funding body is mostly hoping that they can supplement what the government gives them by selling your home. There may be a million-pound property on the line, but that isn't getting released until clogs are well and truly popped, and someone has to pay the bills in the meantime.

Many care providers can barely afford to pay the people they've got the wages they're paying them. They really can't afford to pay the right number of people the wages they're worth. And so the sector is chronically understaffed, and populated with people who can't be bothered.
>> No. 101856 Anonymous
13th May 2025
Tuesday 4:19 pm
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>>101852
When I worked in a care home, the big manager work silk shirts, big shiny watches and drove some sort of fancy car he was proud of (A BMW or something I don't know/care) and would conspicuously draw attention to them which led me to believe he was probably only just well enough off to afford the down payments, mortgaged to the hilt.
>> No. 101857 Anonymous
13th May 2025
Tuesday 4:29 pm
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>>101852

Theresa May had a credible plan to fix social care funding in her 2017 manifesto, but she got absolutely monstered for it. Everyone wants a properly funded social care system, but nobody wants to pay for it.
>> No. 101858 Anonymous
13th May 2025
Tuesday 5:11 pm
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UK jobs market continues to weaken

...the number of employers expecting to hire more staff in the next three months had fallen to a record low, excluding the pandemic.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c5yq3xndvv4o
>> No. 101859 Anonymous
13th May 2025
Tuesday 5:30 pm
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>>101856
There is a handful of really shit managers out there, I say this as a carer who has gone from home to home. However you can quite quickly suss out the good from the bad, and at this point I've had more good managers who actually give a shit than bad ones. The one I've ended up in now has a manager who prioritises residents and staff and is just as run down as the rest of us.
>> No. 101860 Anonymous
13th May 2025
Tuesday 6:12 pm
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>>101859
5 point check list on rating managers?

>The one I've ended up in now has a manager who prioritises residents and staff
Is that not a good thing? Priorotised over what?
>> No. 101861 Anonymous
13th May 2025
Tuesday 6:55 pm
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>>101860
Over shareholders, generally.
>> No. 101862 Anonymous
13th May 2025
Tuesday 9:53 pm
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>>101861
People hold shares in care homes? What the fuck.
>> No. 101863 Anonymous
13th May 2025
Tuesday 10:13 pm
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>>101860
Oh it's absolutely a good thing. By prioritising staff I mean they will work with staff regarding their schedules, you can easily change shifts and still have everybody working their contracted hours without having to go above and beyond and without having to rely on calling in agency. They also regularly check in with you to make sure you're doing ok, if you have any concerns, if you're burning out etc and ACTUALLY listen when you do say something is wrong and will work to fix/resolve whatever that may be, as well as some rewards for us throughout the year that gets us some bonus pay. While that all may seem like it should be a given it isn't and this is one of the better places I've worked at. We should still absolutely be paid more though, why am I getting minimum wage for end of life care?

And in terms of prioritising the residents, care should be delivered around them not around the staff/their wants, if that makes any sense, like staff wanting their jobs to be easier. I've worked in some poor care homes by comparison where communication has been absolute shit, they took no interest in resolving issues and didn't really care about the residents needs as long as boxes were getting ticked, so often they were miserable, and when nothing on a staff level is getting resolved you end up in toxic work environment pretty quickly. Then there's the penny pinching, cheaping out on things and guilt tripping people to work more or stay longer on shifts which leads a lot of us to burn out.

I know of one home somewhat local to me that I almost went to that had a recent change of managers and it resulted in 6 staff leaving. It's insane how one bad manager can affect the care people receive in a whole home.
>> No. 101864 Anonymous
13th May 2025
Tuesday 10:14 pm
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Care workers used to be paid a couple of quid above minimum wage. It's only really in the past couple of years, during which the proportion of foreign workers in care noticeably increased, where it's essentially become a minimum wage job.
>> No. 101865 Anonymous
13th May 2025
Tuesday 11:51 pm
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>>101862
Who did you think owned them?
>> No. 101866 Anonymous
16th May 2025
Friday 1:05 pm
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Starmer's net favourability ratings are now trailing Corbyn in 2019 (-45 vs -46) and there are polls saying 40% want him to resign and let someone else take over (against 37% wanting him to stay).

Smithers, I'm beginning to think Morgan McSweeney is not the brilliant tactician I thought he was...
>> No. 101867 Anonymous
16th May 2025
Friday 1:36 pm
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>>101866

I don't know how many times I can say this, but Britain is much poorer than people are willing or able to imagine. Our current level of prosperity is being propped up by unsustainable levels of debt and things will unavoidably get worse for at least a decade, probably longer. There is nothing that any government can do about this - there are no short-term fixes left in the locker, only painful long-term strategies that trade immediate consumption for future growth.

We will keep seeing a succession of leaders falling to rock-bottom favourability ratings within months of being elected, because the overwhelming majority of voters have impossible expectations. The favourability ratings of prime ministers has been continually declining since Cameron, because we have still not fully absorbed the degree to which we are still digging ourselves out from under the wreckage of the financial crisis and austerity. I fully expect that Reform will win the next General Election and I fully expect that Savile will face the same fate.
>> No. 101868 Anonymous
16th May 2025
Friday 2:48 pm
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>>101867
I'm not convinced our debt is in our top 5 problems. It's high, sure, but it's in the same ball park as France or Canada as a % of GDP.
But even if it is, Starmer's gone about cutting current consumption in the dumbest way possible. Bleakly, cynically, he should've hammered the people who didn't vote Labour in 2024 to slightly boost the living standards of those who did, then thrown the rest at investment for the long term, hoping that 35% of the vote will still be enough in 2029. Instead, he's hammering the people who voted Labour in 2024 without boosting the living standards of anybody, and without any spectacular outbreak of investment to suggest it'll have any long term payoff beyond guaranteeing that in 2034 we'll be lamenting the missed opportunities of the Starmer years, before things got even worse.

I think Reform would be smart enough to reward some of their supporters (and punish their opponents) from the public purse.
>> No. 101869 Anonymous
16th May 2025
Friday 4:23 pm
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>>101866
Well it's a good thing that there's not a general election on the horizon. I can see it working, ram through the unpopular/risky policies early and then by the election the public has either forgotten about them or they've worked out in the end.

Although we'll see what Starmer does with the reshuffle.

>>101867
We're doing alright actually. The economy is currently the fastest growing among the G7 and that's not a new development while the pound is being looked at as an island of stability again. We've got a lot of problems but that's nothing new.

Sunlit uplands, lads.
>> No. 101870 Anonymous
16th May 2025
Friday 4:44 pm
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>>101867
>The favourability ratings of prime ministers has been continually declining since Cameron, because..
Is a poll really representative enough?

>>101869
>Sunlit uplands, lads.
I wonder what Britains natural wealth is worth in terms of energy. Sunlit uplands, maintained forests inclusive.
>> No. 101871 Anonymous
16th May 2025
Friday 5:21 pm
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>>101867

Listen lad, if we are that poor, then I can't imagine how fucked the other 189 countries in the world who are poorer than us must be feeling right now. We are not "still digging ourselves out from the wreckage", because divs like you insist we can't afford to start digging, we must stick to the painful long-term strategy of slowly starving underneath the rubble.

Are things feeling squeezed right now? Of course they are, especially for the average pleb. But the businesses are still turning plenty of profits, they have plenty of cash they could invest in their workforce and their local communities; only they won't. The government still has plenty of flexibility and wiggle room, if it wasn't committed to its own self-imposed straight jacket, it could use to fund a little redevelopment here, a little strategic incentive there, only they won't.

We've got a million problems but the country being skint just plain and fucking simply is not one of them. We're not skint, it's just the people with the ability to make a difference are all selfish tight pricks.
>> No. 101874 Anonymous
18th May 2025
Sunday 4:29 pm
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So Starmer's trying to cosy us back up with the EU by the looks of it.

Probably the right decision economically, but is it really strategically wise to do so right now with Savile braying on the doors and polling in the Marianas trench?
>> No. 101875 Anonymous
19th May 2025
Monday 12:25 pm
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>>101869
>We're doing alright actually. The economy is currently the fastest growing among the G7
I'll believe it when the jobs come back.
>> No. 101876 Anonymous
19th May 2025
Monday 1:48 pm
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>>101874
It'd work if he'd clearly position himself as some kind of center-leftish leader. If he gave the impression of having some kind of belief or plan - even reheated "Britain as a young country" 90s Blairite optimism. You win against Reform by offering a preferable alternative, not by offering a lite version that people can enjoy before deciding whether to buy the full thing in 2029.

What won't work is trying to have it both ways, totally not aping Enoch Powell one day (goodbye left-liberal support) then doing trade deals with the EU the next (Or as Reform put it, with satisfying predictability: selling out our fishermen to the EU.) The moronic - sorry - optimistic McSweeney view is that the racism wins reform voters, the liberals and the left have nowhere else to go (and can fuck off anyway), and the trade deal improves the economy so you can buy everyone off a bit at election time. The reality is more like: the racism wins no reform voters while losing 2024 Labour voters, the trade deal gives reform something to hammer you with, and you're so unloved that people are openly talking about getting rid of you before we're half-way towards the next election.
>> No. 101877 Anonymous
19th May 2025
Monday 2:02 pm
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>>101876
>The reality is more like: the racism wins no reform voters while losing 2024 Labour voters

Does this mean that you plan on voting Lib Dem?
>> No. 101878 Anonymous
19th May 2025
Monday 2:11 pm
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>>101877
Haven't most recent elections been lost because supporters for one particular party don't have the motivation to go out and vote, rather than swinging to another party?
>> No. 101879 Anonymous
19th May 2025
Monday 5:17 pm
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>>101878
Not what I'm asking. Do YOU plan on voting Lib Dem at the next election or will you keep voting for Starmer anyway?
>> No. 101880 Anonymous
19th May 2025
Monday 5:33 pm
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>>101876

The 2029 election will be decided almost entirely on the mood of the country in the immediate run-up to the election. If it feels like the country is on an upswing, Labour will walk it; if the country still feels stagnant or declining, Reform are likely to win, albeit without a majority. The number of people who will positively vote for Reform is completely dwarfed by the number of people who will vote against whatever the status quo is on polling day.

The vast majority of voters aren't paying much attention and don't have very long memories. A deal with the EU four years ago will be completely forgotten about, but people will notice the difference if we eke out a little bit of extra growth and keep inflation down. Labour are cratering in the polls because it still feels like everything is going to shit, but they can just as quickly rebound if things feel like they're turning in the right direction.

For reasons of electoral demographics, the left is almost entirely irrelevant, because they're very heavily concentrated in extremely safe Labour seats. The straightforward brilliance of McSweeney is an utterly ruthless focus on winning seats, not votes - Labour won a huge number of seats at the last election by tiny margins, putting exactly enough resources into those seats to turn them red. Most of the work of winning those seats was a matter of detoxification, of making Labour a viable alternative to a failing Tory status quo. The work at the next election is entirely the inverse - making the Labour status quo seem a safer bet than the alternative.

If those ultra-marginal seats can be described as Labour constituencies, they are solidly Blue Labour. A majority of voters in those seats think that Enoch was right. McSweeney understands that the polls in 2025 tell you essentially nothing about the election results in 2029; the job for the next three years is entirely about setting the groundwork for the only poll that actually matters. Nobody who counts will remember what was in the news in 2025, but they will feel whether immigration is under control and whether the economy is improving.

>>101878

Swing votes from your closest opponents count double, because you're gaining a vote and they're losing one. Whether or not someone votes is generally much more habitual than who they vote for; it's generally much harder to motivate someone to vote than to flip the decision of a habitual voter who is undecided about who to vote for. Labour won basically the same majority in 2001 as they did in 1997 despite an unprecedented reduction in turnout, because most people thought that the country was basically fine and they weren't paying a lot of attention to politics.
>> No. 101881 Anonymous
19th May 2025
Monday 6:44 pm
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It's amazing the way Labour mythology has pivoted from "we need to win natural Tory voters from the ford-mondeo owning middle classes, so we should be right wing" to "we need to win back TRUE Labour voters (who like racism and nationalisation), not these middle class lefties, so we should be right wing and racist" since 2019. Just win back the voters Corbyn lost in 2019 (when he lost) and you've got a winning coalition now! It didn't win 2017 or 2015 or 1992... But...!
A Rorsarch electorate. You must always do what they want. Even when it polls 20%, that doesn't matter. If we lose, it's because we were too left wing, or because the left undermined us, and the solution is... (Answers on a postcard)
>> No. 101882 Anonymous
19th May 2025
Monday 7:26 pm
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>>101881
I feel like it's going under the radar that the Greens are massively pandering to the Asian vote and have realised they can gain a lot of votes by being very vocal about Palestine.

If the Asian vote is less secure for Labour they might as well start pandering to racists instead of Asians.
>> No. 101883 Anonymous
20th May 2025
Tuesday 12:35 am
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>>101882

They'll realise what a monkey's paw that can be soon enough. It's been an albatross around Labour's neck for long enough that it might do everyone some good if they take one for the team, so to speak.
>> No. 101884 Anonymous
20th May 2025
Tuesday 1:31 am
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>>101877
>>101879
I didn't vote for Labour in 2024, having generally voted Labour previously. I considered the current Labour leadership team to be a mix of nasty and useless people enacting a stupid strategy poorly.
You can be clever and say that's proof Starmer didn't need my vote and nothing I say matters, but it would be a cheap quip. We're all paying more attention than the average person, and the more the average person has seen of senior Labour figures, the less they like.
>> No. 101885 Anonymous
20th May 2025
Tuesday 2:32 am
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>>101881
People like to say that the tack to the right is "Labour abandoning their base" as if the voters in places like Durham and Northumberland that reliably voted Labour for decades and have voted Reform in droves in the local elections somehow were not part of the base.

In those recent local elections, among Reform voters there was one 2024 Labour voter for every three 2024 Reform voters. When it comes to 2024 Labour voters who voted for someone other than Labour in 2025, fully a quarter of them went to Reform. To dismiss these people as somehow "not real Labour voters" is some heady mix of revisionism, arrogance, and delusion.
>> No. 101886 Anonymous
20th May 2025
Tuesday 6:57 am
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>>101885
Everyone knows Labour are the party for students, teachers and council workers.
>> No. 101887 Anonymous
20th May 2025
Tuesday 7:54 am
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>>101886
Not sure that's true, but that's a sound enough coalition in any event. Better than being the party for landlords (Conservatives) and people who've had their brains broken by social media (Reform).
>> No. 101888 Anonymous
20th May 2025
Tuesday 11:45 am
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>>101885
>When it comes to 2024 Labour voters who voted for someone other than Labour in 2025, fully a quarter of them went to Reform.
i.e. 3/4 of them didn't vote for Reform. But let's not try and win them back, 3/4 of them are just a lost cause.
Scotland was part of their base too, let's look at how the pivot to racism appeals to the people of Glasgow.
For those who don't pay attention to Scotland: the SNP has basically been suicide bombing itself since 2022. Sturgeon ran a PR-focused government that queued up a lot of problems for a short term headline, then ran off just before the police turned up at her doorstep. Her successor (or really, one of his McSweeneyesque advisors) had the genius idea of blowing up his coalition with the greens, nearly bringing down the government. His successor is the guy who lead the SNP to their worst ever Holyrood election result.
In 2024, this culminated in Labour winning the highest vote share in Scotland for the first time since 2015 (35%.) Immediately, this Labour government set about reminding people why they stopped voting Labour between 2007 and 2015. The SNP's been saved not by itself (The former party chief is currently in court, charged with embezzlement, and their best idea is to un-cancel scrapping off peak rail fairs. It's not "the rocks will melt in the sun..." stuff.)

For almost any issue in this country, you should cross-check with Scotland to see if a rule holds. The SNP are not successful because of nationalism, they're successful because they sold inoffensive civic nationalism as the opportunity for a vague social democratic program. (And, historically, because they're the optimum party to tell Lab/Con to go fuck itself. A role filled by UKIP/Reform in England.)
The SNP are not moving right, and they're not losing votes to Reform or indeed to Labour. Labour are losing votes to Reform nationwide, and they're moving right. Each time they move right, their polling drops. Each time someone suggests Blue Labour ("economically left and socially right") the answer turns out to be more "socially right", not more "economically left". Weird, huh? Could it be that the people running Labour just like moving right? Could it be that people vote Reform not because it appeals ideologically, but because they (rightly) hate the Labour party? (Ironically, the kind of shared national feeling that proves Scotland really is part of the UK after all.)

I should say: My position is not particularly ideologically left-wing. I loathe this government because the people running it are mediocre and their messaging is ugly and self-defeating.
I am not necessarily advocating a move to the left. If I had to save these people from themselves, I'd tell them to ditch Starmer (unavoidably tainted) and have the new leader adopt the Sturgeon strategy: lots of short term progressive sounding headlines, zero delivery on any of it, and you can even keep all your lobbyist pals and freebies. For all their hard rhetoric, liberals and the left are fairly desperate to believe in something. If you truly believe anti-immigration sentiment correlates with immigration, rather than with press attention on immigration, you can even work in tight restrictions on immigration: just present them as an anodyne administrative reform while talking about how great immigrants are, rather than by paraphrasing Powell.
>> No. 101889 Anonymous
20th May 2025
Tuesday 2:29 pm
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>>101888
The reason governments love moving socially right more than they love moving economically left is because being socially right is free (it might even save money!) and requires no effort.
>> No. 101890 Anonymous
20th May 2025
Tuesday 4:25 pm
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Blimey! We were having trade talks with those sick bastards?
>> No. 101891 Anonymous
20th May 2025
Tuesday 5:37 pm
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>>101889

Same can be said for the opposite side of the coin, the online activists and Guardianista columnists love social liberalism because it doesn't require you to go out and actually fight for any real change or support any real cause.

At the end of the day it's always true- Just follow the money.
>> No. 101892 Anonymous
20th May 2025
Tuesday 5:49 pm
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>>101890
Now look at how many Israeli companies are listed on the London Stock Exchange. By buying a UK tracker you are investing in Israeli companies.

>>101891
But the money likes vaguely centrist-liberal policy?
>> No. 101893 Anonymous
20th May 2025
Tuesday 7:04 pm
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>>101892
>Now look at how many Israeli companies are listed on the London Stock Exchange. By buying a UK tracker you are investing in Israeli companies.
Yeah, don't sweat it, mate. I'm safe on that one.
>> No. 101894 Anonymous
20th May 2025
Tuesday 7:28 pm
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>>101888
>i.e. 3/4 of them didn't vote for Reform. But let's not try and win them back, 3/4 of them are just a lost cause.
Of the other 3/4:
* ~15% to the Conservatives: Most of these are likely reliable Conservative voters who switched for 2024 because ... [gestures towards 2024 Conservatives], and most of the rest will be people who have a local candidate that they like.
* ~10% to the Greens: Given the state of the country, most of these people were unlikely to be satisfied with anything that the government did with the options open to it.
* ~30% to the Lib Dems: This is mostly the middle-class "soft left" bloc.

The issue with the voters that Labour is losing to Reform is that many of these are classic traditional base Labour voters: economically-vulnerable working-class voters in former industrial heartlands. The real, hardcore Labour base are the sort of people that you could look at and say "Of course they're going to vote Labour, who else are they going to vote for?" Of all those switching, what sets Reform voters apart is that they're the only ones you'd really say that about. Those moving to the Lib Dems are likely people who have voted Lib Dem in the past. Those moving to the Greens were likely somewhat minded to do it anyway but were just waiting for Labour to piss them off enough to follow through on it.

>Each time they move right, their polling drops.

Except, that wasn't happening, was it? In the run up to the election, each time they moved right, people on here and elsewhere were saying "this is it, it's over, they're throwing the lead away" and then a new poll would come out showing pretty much no movement. I suspect >>101889 is a more likely explanation for Labour's current crab walk. Taking those steps to the right on social policy is free. Taking the corresponding steps to the left on economic policy involves having to confront what 10 years of pointless austerity followed by years of functionally not governing have left us with, and balancing that with the consequent attitude of the bond market towards a country that hasn't really successfully delivered anything meaningful since the crash.
>> No. 101895 Anonymous
20th May 2025
Tuesday 7:42 pm
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>>101891
In another place, I regularly see someone who is Very Left and Very Online, and anytime there's some news report about someone or something vaguely right wing their immediate response is a fully-unironic "So when are we smashing these fascists' heads in?" Meanwhile, there was a progressive demo right on their doorstep and their comment was "I would go but I'm too much of a coward."

Nobody likes a keyboard warrior.
>> No. 101896 Anonymous
21st May 2025
Wednesday 1:13 pm
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https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/52233-who-thinks-keir-starmer-is-anti-immigration
I'm not saying "I told you so", but I am saying "I told you so".
>>101889
It's an elegant theory, but I don't think it applies to the specific case. Talk is cheap regardless of what you say, so you have to wonder why they never say anything nice.
If you're a left-wing politician, talking like a right-wing politician should take effort. The reason it comes so effortlessly to the people running Labour is that they are instinctively anti-left, if not right wing. "Renationalise X" feels wrong to them in a way that "Deport X" doesn't.
The SNP and, when in coalition, Scottish Greens oversaw a basically centrist, status-quo management administration but they were very successful in rhetorically presenting it as left wing. Come up with a few cheap, flashy policies (look how many column inches Baby Boxes bought for £8m a year!) to pad out some future "oh, you think we did nothing do you?" graphic. A leader people can half tolerate and a good PR guy will go a long way.

This government has already passed what should be a big-ticket policy, the kind of thing that should have the left begrudgingly tolerating you for a decade: renationalising the railways. Instead of making a big play of that, they've basically overlooked it, and now everyone knows it's because they're keeping the biggest money pit (ROSCOs) in the private sector. That's a shortage of rhetoric and frankly, a shortage of talent, not a shortage of money.

>>101894
I'd maintain that with good presentation, this government could've kept Greens, Lib Dems, and even some Conservatives on side. With a competent leader and a good PR guy they could've created the impression that they were working hard changing things for the better, and every hiccup was the fault of the previous government. People feeling improvement in day-to-day life takes time, but creating the impression the government's working hard on the problem is much cheaper and much easier. Instead, they've given everyone the impression that they're continuing exactly where Sunak left off. That's why their approval rating is doing just that.

I'm skeptical that Reform's base is as hardcore-Labour as it's made out to be, but so far as that's the case, I don't think you win them over with policy, or even with delivery. They're not going to Savile because they love Savile so much as because they hate Labour - so get a Labour leader who isn't a charmless dud who clearly believes in nothing, a local MP who wasn't parachuted in because he's got the right factional allies and an open door policy to the gambling lobby, and at least try to give the impression Labour gives a fuck about the local area.
Labour's losses there aren't the result of people feeling a bit shit in the short term, they're a result of decades of slowly building resentment. You can get Lib Dems and Tories to shrug and vote for you if wages are growing slightly above inflation in 2029. You can't get people who hate you to suck it up on the same terms: Scotland first kicked Labour out at a time when living standards were improving.
(There's even polling on this: Reform voters know Labour is trying to court them, but none care! https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/52221-britons-think-labour-is-going-after-reform-uk-voters-but-are-they-interested )

But fixing decades of neglect (and a party apparatus stuffed with useless, unappealing people) is difficult, so let's ask a bleakly cynical question: Provided Labour can pick up voters elsewhere, why should it care if it loses the people who previously had nowhere else to go? If Labour can solidify itself as the party of the middle classes, it should walk future elections while Reform is stuck with a base of poor, late-middle-aged people with a comparatively low propensity to vote. About 60% of the population are social grade ABC1. A party of the ABC1s will have an easier time than a party of the C2DEs.
You could say something like "these are the people Labour was founded to represent!", which is a nice sentiment but meaningless in the face of the reality that they hate Labour, and Labour doesn't care about representing them or their interests.

Oh, and on the 2024 election: Polls show a slow and steady slide in Labour support from ~45% to ~38% from the start to the end of the campaign period, culminating in 33.7% of the actual vote. The polls, in aggregate, showed a very clear movement downwards during a campaign where Labour kept moving right. You can't prove causation, but the correlation certainly exists.
>> No. 101897 Anonymous
21st May 2025
Wednesday 1:38 pm
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>Starmer says he wants more pensioners to be eligible for winter fuel payment in policy U-turn

I see what he's trying to do here. Nobody is going to go back to a subsidy but equally I'm not sure what the plan is here besides confidence for the elderly, the problem is surely one of the admin involved and the level of payment?

Also that story on the Labour splits feels like a wet fart given the internal memo dates from before the Spring Statement. I was angry for having read the Telegraph exclusive it last night only for them to drop it halfway down the page.
>> No. 101898 Anonymous
21st May 2025
Wednesday 1:43 pm
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>>101897
Apparently the most common complaints Labour canvassers heard when campaigning for the recent local elections were about the cuts to PIP and winter fuel payments.
>> No. 101899 Anonymous
21st May 2025
Wednesday 7:54 pm
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>>101897
On multiple news channels on TV, the big opponents who are going on TV and cheering this U-turn are all Labour MPs like Diane Abbott and Richard Burgon. This feels deliberate somehow, but I can't tell if it's a brilliant plan to show that Labour are a big tent where you can vote for them no matter what you believe, or if everyone is secretly planning to oust Keir Starmer by the end of the week.
>> No. 101900 Anonymous
22nd May 2025
Thursday 12:34 am
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>>101896
>I'd maintain that with good presentation, this government could've kept Greens, Lib Dems, and even some Conservatives on side.
That's great, but besides the point. Those voters are, by and large, mostly not the current or historical Labour base.

>they could've created the impression that they were working hard changing things for the better, and every hiccup was the fault of the previous government.
I've definitely heard this one before, and I don't think it went down particularly well then either.

>I'm skeptical that Reform's base is as hardcore-Labour as it's made out to be
OK, but I'm not sure anyone suggested that. Reform's base, such that it exists given the influx of voters from elsewhere, are a mix of former Tories and former UKIP/Brexit types, most of whom were also former Tories.

>Reform voters know Labour is trying to court them, but none care!
Yes, that's Reform voters from 2024, who make up less than half of Reform's voters from 2025 and approximately none of their 2024 Labour defectors, who are the people they're trying to win back.

>Provided Labour can pick up voters elsewhere, why should it care if it loses the people who previously had nowhere else to go?
That's a bold assumption that they could pick up voters elsewhere, given how there are parties on that ground already who don't have the baggage of either a record to run on or a significant likelihood of having to deliver on anything they promise.

>The polls, in aggregate, showed a very clear movement downwards during a campaign where Labour kept moving right.
I'm not sure I'd call roughly half a point a month "clear movement". Doomsayers were reacting to every announcement as if any minute one of them was going to cause support to collapse and the Tories to surge. It didn't happen, and instead (thanks to the magic of FPTP) Labour won a triple-digit majority.
>> No. 101901 Anonymous
22nd May 2025
Thursday 1:28 pm
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>>101900
Why reply like this? It makes it impossible to respond coherently without duplicating the format and it makes it look like you're side-stepping half the points to feel like you've won an argument.

Anyway:
1. The electorate are volatile. Thinking in terms of historical Labour base isn't very helpful. The party needs votes. If my aim is to win an election, I would rather keep 75% of my 2024 voters than 25%, regardless of source.
2. I'd love to know where you've heard it before. I'd be happy to bet that it's from a government that outperformed this one. (My UK example is the SNP - who've got every self-imposed disadvantage in the book, and they're still going to trample Labour in seat count come 2026. Only an Edinburgh/Stirling type farce could see them in power.)
3. Reform isn't very old. I would say their base is whoever's voted for them. "Tories" includes many of the red wall voters who defected in 2019 but not 2017, which Labour still lost.
3.1 Anti-immigration voters think Labour is pro-immigration. Winning back anti-Immigration voters by saying Labour hates immigrants too isn't working, except to alienate pro-immigration voters. I stand by my argument that Lab > Ref defectors are motivated by long-building resentment that Labour have taken them for granted. Winning them back is difficult, and it isn't going to happen with policy pandering. (Would SNP-voters go for Anas Sarwar if he promised more devolution?)
4. It's an even bolder assumption that Labour can get back to power without picking up voters from anywhere. If Reform are gaining "nowhere else to go" Labour voters, then just like Greens, Lib Dems, Tories, and especially SNP voters, they've found somewhere else to go. If you can't tackle the Lib Dems or Greens because they've not got enough of a record to attack, tackling Reform will also be a nightmare.
Nevertheless, it's more a question of principle: Why, in principle, should Labour be wedded to these voters, neither particularly useful nor particularly valued until they became an excuse to be racist?
(If you want to be practical: It's hard to win anyone with a mix of nasty and useless people enacting a stupid strategy poorly, and it's a bit late to look at bringing in some new talent.)
5. Don't play Zeno's paradox with opinion polls. Corbyn "only" lost a quarter of a point a month between 2017 and 2019. Lose half a point a month every month from 2024 and in 5 years you don't have a Labour party anymore.
>> No. 101902 Anonymous
22nd May 2025
Thursday 2:30 pm
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I think the fundamental key to Reform’s success is that they are positioning themselves as the party of protest. Even people who don’t follow politics at all are eager to vote for a party outside of the two-party system these days, and Reform are picking up on that. I watched one of their Party Election broadcasts on TV a couple of months ago, and Ninja Barrage said something that really stuck with me: “We don’t care if you’re centre-left or centre-right, vote for us.” As a line, it’s great for distancing yourself from the far-right, denouncing whatever you think the far-left is, and most importantly, just inviting everyone to vote for you. Apart from the far-right (who will vote for you because they have nowhere else to go now) and the far-left, who were never going to vote for you anyway, of course.
>> No. 101903 Anonymous
22nd May 2025
Thursday 3:19 pm
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>>101902

I think you are pretty much right about that. It doesn't matter so much if they are left or right or if they are fundamentally even honest about their intentions (they are politicians, nobody expects them to keep their promises and that lack of trust is a huge part of the problem), people are willing to say fuck it and vote for them just to give the system a middle finger and throw a spanner in the works.

I maintain that behind all the rhetoric and debating back and forth, that was the fundamental driving force behind Brexit too, and Reform are just a continuation of that. Of course by now everyone has dug their heels in and has strong views that they have convinced themselves were the real reason they voted either way, but I think for the vast majority of people those justifications are completely retroactive. Underneath it all they just wanted to shake things up.

Same goes for Trump. It all just comes down to a complete lack of faith in the "mainstream" parties and establishment.
>> No. 101904 Anonymous
22nd May 2025
Thursday 3:38 pm
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>>101902
The Reform supporters I know, at least the ones in their thirties, say there's a lot of things about the party they disagree with but their main motivation is they're concerned with immigration (and integration). They're all big Nige fans.
>> No. 101905 Anonymous
22nd May 2025
Thursday 7:28 pm
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This is an exceptionally interesting article from the BBC:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cyvmmldmvq4o

>Net migration to the UK is down by almost 50%, according to figures released on Thursday by the Office for National Statistics. But politicians have long struggled to assuage public concern over immigration and even with Thursday's fall, the issue is still likely to dog the Labour government.

>In retrospect, 1968 looks like the decisive year. Until then, social class had been what determined the political allegiance of most voters: Labour drew its support from the still strong industrialised working class, while the Conservatives enjoyed the support of middle class and rural constituencies.

>But in 1968, two events launched a realignment, after which point Britons increasingly started to vote based on another, previously obscure, factor: attitudes to immigration and race.

>The first was the 1968 Race Relations Act, steered through Parliament by the Labour Home Secretary, James Callaghan. It strengthened legal protections for Britain's immigrant communities, banning racial discrimination, and sought to ensure that second generation immigrants "who have been born here" and were "going through our schools" would have access to quality education to ensure that they would get "the jobs for which they are qualified and the houses they can afford". Discrimination against anyone on the basis of racial identity - in housing, in hospitality, in the workplace - was now illegal.

>The second is the now notorious "Rivers of Blood" speech given by the Conservative politician Enoch Powell, in which he quoted a constituent, "a decent ordinary fellow Englishman", who told him that he wanted his three children to emigrate because "in this country in 15 or 20 years time, the black man will have the whip hand over the white man".

And it goes on like for many more paragraphs. It's exactly what this new BBC InDepth thing is meant to be. Most contentious, in my opinion, is this crazy assertion that goes against all economic orthodoxy that I am aware of:
>And fuelling that hostility is a lingering sense among some that migrants put pressure on public services, with extra competition for GP appointments, hospital beds, and school places. Stephen Webb of Policy Exchange thinks it is a perfectly fair concern. Data in the UK is not strong enough to make a conclusion, he says, but he points to studies from the Netherlands and Denmark suggesting that many recent migrants to those countries are a "fiscal drain" - meaning they receive more money via public services than they contribute in taxes.
If we've got immigrants who are actually costing us money, then firstly, I don't understand how this is possible when more people always equals a better economy, and secondly, it seems like the racists are suddenly actually right.
>> No. 101906 Anonymous
22nd May 2025
Thursday 8:15 pm
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>>101905
>more people always equals a better economy,
I'm kind of... not sure about that, I dunno.
>> No. 101907 Anonymous
22nd May 2025
Thursday 8:17 pm
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>>101905
You ain't seen nothing yet.

>The Inequality Myth: Western Societies Are Growing More Equal, Not Less
>Spend a few minutes browsing political commentary or scrolling social media and you will discover a seemingly settled truth: inequality in the West is soaring, the middle class is being hollowed out, and democracies stand on the brink of oligarchy. The idea is seductive because it fits everyday anxieties in many Western countries—housing has grown increasingly unaffordable, billionaire wealth mushrooms unfathomably, and the pandemic exposed yawning gaps in social safety nets. Yet the most influential claims about inequality rest on selective readings of history and partial measurements of living standards. When the full balance sheet of modern economies is tallied—including taxes, transfers, pension entitlements, homeownership, and the fact that people move through income brackets across their lives—the story looks markedly different. Western societies are not nearly as unequal as many believe them to be.

https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/inequality-myth-western-societies-more-equal-waldenstrom
https://archive.is/bhQlT

I guess this is what they mean by living through a period of historical flux where there is no consensus narrative anymore.
>> No. 101908 Anonymous
22nd May 2025
Thursday 8:23 pm
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>>101906
People think if overall GDP goes up that's a good thing, even when GDP per capita is going down.

Anyway, can we stop talking about migrants and start talking about the government wanting to castrate rapists and paedos?
>> No. 101909 Anonymous
22nd May 2025
Thursday 8:23 pm
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>>101905

>If we've got immigrants who are actually costing us money, then firstly, I don't understand how this is possible when more people always equals a better economy, and secondly, it seems like the racists are suddenly actually right.

Nearly half of the British population receive more in benefits and government services than they pay in taxes. Obviously this means that the economic benefits and costs of migration depend enormously on precisely who we're letting in to the country.

Giving a visa to a young software developer or financial analyst is a very obvious win, because they'll pay shitloads of tax over their career. Bringing in a care worker is a net loss in pure economic terms, but it's arguable that they're filling a gap in a sector with significant social value. Other low-skilled immigrants are a clear net loss, however you slice it; that's especially true if they come from cultures with a high fertility rate, because the earning potential of children is very strongly correlated with the income of their parents.

Personally, I think there has been a conspicuous effort by supporters of immigration to deliberately conflate the diverse range of people who come to this country into one homogeneous group. Migration is just too complicated to categorise as "good" or "bad". Overall, migrants are a net benefit to the economy, because most of the legal routes are highly selective; that doesn't mean that all migrants are good for the economy, or that making it easier to come to the UK would be beneficial.

https://fullfact.org/economy/are-half-british-households-burden-state/

https://migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk/resources/briefings/the-fiscal-impact-of-immigration-in-the-uk/
>> No. 101910 Anonymous
22nd May 2025
Thursday 11:31 pm
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>>101908

No, we can't, because why would you possibly have a problem with that? Are you a rapist or a pedo? And even if you're not you obviously have longstanding issues.

My question, however, is that you can chemically castrate a male sex rapist, all well and good, but what do you do with a female sex rapist. Presumably they will just have to get life sentences, right? They must be twice as dangerous to be a sex pirate when they haven't even got bollocks to start with.
>> No. 101911 Anonymous
22nd May 2025
Thursday 11:41 pm
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>>101905

I mean the BBC of all institutions is just woefully ill-equipped to address the issue at all. I was listening to two cunts on Radio 4 bleat on about it on my way home tonight from Rochdale no less and they honestly sounded like Martians trying to understand ice cream or something. They are so detached from reality that they genuinely can't perceive anti-migration sentiments as anything but some bizarre collective delusion held only by the poor and stupid people in Northern shitholes, who only need to be shown the light.

The thing that always strikes me about these sorts is that they've probably never even met any met real life immigrants, much less lived in a community that gradually becomes more and more saturated with immigrants over the course of 30 years. Their only experience of immigrants is the nice middle class ones who went to university here that they occasionally interview on their little radio shows, not mental Polish bricklayers who live on speed and black market ciggies.

Their idea of an immigrant is a racist caricature every bit as much as the Nige crew's is.
>> No. 101912 Anonymous
23rd May 2025
Friday 12:11 am
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>>101908
Call me /boo/ but I'm a little uncomfortable with the government opening up all our medical records to feed into mass data analysis and then disregarding bodily sovereignty. Also I'm pretty sure those boffins tell us it's not just a sex thing but a power thing combined with risk taking - which doesn't exactly bode well to me.

>Anyway, can we stop talking about migrants

We should castrate migrants before they get citizenship, what better way to speed up integration into British society than having them cold and dead inside?
>> No. 101913 Anonymous
23rd May 2025
Friday 12:15 am
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I'm just going to throw in again that a perfectly valid option for Labour would be to adopt an incredibly tough immigration policy while talking about immigration exclusively in positive terms. I'd go so far as to say that if it's a real issue, that's the only viable way ahead: You can't make yourself look more anti immigration than Reform, but you can lower the salience of the issue by pushing the overton window towards liberalism with one hand, while shutting the door with the other.

With 400 odd MPs, if you were really organisationally skilled, you could even rig it up so that some MPs can play up their personal independence and local focus by breaking with that stance, while the leadership can reinforce the progressive appearance of the party by rebuking them.
(Appallingly cynical, yes, but nothing compared to some of the things the people running the party have already done. Hell, you could possibly get away with telling journalists that this was the plan.)
>> No. 101914 Anonymous
23rd May 2025
Friday 3:10 am
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>>101913
Talking about immigration in exclusively positive terms and ignoring the bad parts is why shit like Brexit happened.

I think it'd be better if politicians openly acknowledged the fact when people say they're concerned with immigration they really mean there's too many Asians and Africans, and how it's perfectly valid not to want the entire country to look like Bradford.
>> No. 101915 Anonymous
23rd May 2025
Friday 12:14 pm
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>>101914
Politicians are idiots who did the exact opposite of what I'm suggesting. Blair threw the borders open to Europe earlier than required while at the same time co-ordinating headlines about immigration crackdowns with The Sun. The much loved (Australian style) points based immigration system was a pledge in the 2005 Labour manifesto. (And the 2010 one!) Gordon Brown kept the same situation as Blair but went off about "British jobs for British workers". Cameron made a promise to slash net migration to a figure that he probably couldn't achieve outside the EU, and certainly couldn't achieve inside it. All of them added to and endorsed anti-immigration sentiment, even if they did it in a half-hearted way that let people who opposed immigration feel persecuted. That they occasionally threw in a vague remark about immigration being good for Britain as a whole to burnish their "not a racist" credentials doesn't diminish that they all played in to the idea that immigration was bad and they were going to control it. (Sometimes with spectacular incompetence.)

Nobody wants to live in a country with high immigration and strong anti immigration sentiment, but I think a few people would like to live in a country with low immigration and very positive attitudes towards immigration. (Sadly, you can't get in to that country. You'd be very welcome, of course, but the visas are very complicated...)
>> No. 101917 Anonymous
28th May 2025
Wednesday 12:53 pm
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>Britain’s most senior police officer has criticised ministers for failing to assess the impact on forces of its plans to release prisoners early.

>Sir Mark Rowley said the scheme to free thousands of offenders early to ease overcrowded prisons would “generate a lot of work for police”. The Metropolitan police commissioner added: “Every time you put an offender into the community, a proportion of them will commit crime [and] will need chasing down by the police.”

>He said the decision had been made “without any analysis of the impact on policing whatsoever”. Police forces were still waiting for government information on the type of offenders due for early release, he added. Speaking to BBC Radio 4’s Today programme, he said: “We’ve asked the Ministry of Justice for the data so that we can understand the exact detail of the types of offenders who will in the future be in communities, so we can work through what the consequence of that are.”

https://www.theguardian.com/society/2025/may/28/early-release-puts-public-safety-at-risk-without-funding-say-police-and-mi5-report

Why do they keep launching things without doing an impact assessment first? It's exactly what they did with the winter fuel allowance cuts before they backtracked.
>> No. 101918 Anonymous
28th May 2025
Wednesday 1:56 pm
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>>101917
On Winter Fuel you have a point (although I'd assume they did focus group the issue and just got it wrong). On prisons they had no choice. You inevitably have a constant stream of convicts being sentenced and if there's literally no prison space left, your hands are tied. The Tories painted them into a corner.
>> No. 101919 Anonymous
28th May 2025
Wednesday 2:07 pm
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>>101917
>>101918

I would also imagine that a large part of the problem is that for every permutation of every variant of every decision they do try and make, there's some cunt popping up to tell them why you can't possibly do that and if you do try it the entire world will implode and time itself will invert and the laws of physics break.

Politicians don't know anything about anything, so the only thing they can go on is what these advisors and focus groups tell them, but the focus groups and advisors will tell them anything depending on what day of the week it is, what they've had for breakfast, and what scary headlines they read that day. So really they are as good as just firing blindly. They have too much information and it's as bad as having no information.

You can see why that bloke got caught just asking ChatGPT what to do and frankly I don't think he can truly have been said to be any worse informed for doing so.
>> No. 101920 Anonymous
28th May 2025
Wednesday 2:41 pm
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>>101918
>On prisons they had no choice.
They keep saying that they have to release prisoners early, or the prisons would be full and they would be forced to…release prisoners early. I think they could handle the messaging here a bit better through a touch more cynicism. It’s like they blame the previous government for forcing them to choose to do this completely of their own volition. And this makes them just sound like fools. There must be a better way to frame this story.
>> No. 101921 Anonymous
28th May 2025
Wednesday 4:14 pm
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>>101920

The alternatives are a) not sending any newly-sentenced criminals to prison or b) chaotic, ad-hoc releases on a one-in, one-out basis. The former is pretty obviously a bad idea and the latter massively increases the risk of accidentally releasing someone who really shouldn't be let out. Releasing people at very short notice is also really bad for them, because they're vastly more likely to become homeless if there hasn't been the opportunity to do a proper discharge plan.
>> No. 101922 Anonymous
29th May 2025
Thursday 6:44 pm
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Does nobody ever stop and think how deranged it is that "AI will fix it" is the government's plan to fix public services without spending any money or doing any tough thinking?

I mean really, stop and think about that for a moment and tell me it's not perhaps the craziest bet a leader has ever made. Truss's stupid economic policy was at least a bet on a common right-wing economic theory. "What if we bet everything on a new, unproven technology, which has never given any suggestion of being capable of delivering the kind of results we're looking for" is absolutely mad - at least Concorde, generally considered one of the worst investments of all time - delivered a pretty airplane that did what it was supposed to do, even if it turned out that's not what airlines wanted to buy.
But this isn't a complicated forecast like "what will airlines want to buy in 25 years?", you can sit and play with off the shelf AI solutions today - go play with ChatGPT and tell me with a straight face that it would completely revolutionise how you do your job. Now explain to me how it's supposed to revolutionise the entire public sector. Tens of billions of pounds, centerpiece of the economic plan level revolutionise.
>> No. 101923 Anonymous
29th May 2025
Thursday 7:29 pm
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>>101917
What makes you think there's a magic bullet solution? The police will complain about this because they have an interest in locking every single one of us behind bars, meanwhile prison officers will celebrate an attempt to end overcrowding.

>>101919
>Politicians don't know anything about anything, so the only thing they can go on is what these advisors and focus groups tell them, but the focus groups and advisors will tell them anything depending on what day of the week it is, what they've had for breakfast, and what scary headlines they read that day. So really they are as good as just firing blindly. They have too much information and it's as bad as having no information.

Literally a politicians job is to make decisions with imperfect information. That's the point. And I don't mind a Minister using AI just to see if it gives him something different.

>>101922
>go play with ChatGPT and tell me with a straight face that it would completely revolutionise how you do your job

It has and to address your point, AI algorithms have been running all across the public sector since at least the 00s.

I don't know what rock you've been living under but the ability to analyse enormous amounts of data, provide any necessary computation and then regurgitate answers is as revolutionary as it was when we were using room size computers. It's gotten relatively sophisticated already but 'use technology to power the new economy and services' has been the ambition since Wilson and we can plainly see the impact of the IT sector in the growth divide between the US and Europe since the millennium:
https://ai.gov.uk/projects/redbox/
>> No. 101925 Anonymous
29th May 2025
Thursday 8:15 pm
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>>101922
It's quite simple: most jobs are pointless busywork, so nobody will care if AI does them instead. You'll still need to hire people to check the work isn't complete bollocks, but people can do that for £20,000 a year and you can sack all the £60,000 people who actually did it manually. AI will completely obliterate wage growth and the skills-based economy, and we will all be entirely replaceable at a moment's notice.

Obviously if you sack everyone full stop, you will need to pay them benefits, so that won't work. Just keep them employed for a derisory pittance for their entire lives, and think how much that will save. Don't think about decreased tax receipts from wage suppression because we've already got that problem now and it's fine.
>> No. 101928 Anonymous
30th May 2025
Friday 1:13 am
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>>101922

>go play with ChatGPT and tell me with a straight face that it would completely revolutionise how you do your job

I left the software industry last year, because I saw the writing on the wall. Hiring of junior engineers has collapsed far below pre-pandemic levels, because LLMs are now better software developers than most new graduates in computer science. The ladder is being pulled up, because the sort of routine tasks that you'd previously hand off to an inexperienced dev are now easily handled in seconds by Claude or Gemini. The impact of AI on employment isn't a hypothetical in that industry, but a mundane reality.

Three years ago, a state-of-the-art LLM could write about 20 lines of code with about a 50/50 chance of that code actually working. Today, it can review tens of thousands of lines of code and make fixes and improvements with accuracy of around 90%. LLMs can do real work on real codebases with more than sufficient accuracy to make them an essential tool of the job. If you're a software developer today and you don't delegate most of your routine work to an LLM, you are now regarded as either a deluded luddite or a maverick genius.

LLMs can't replace a good senior developer yet, but it doesn't take a genius to extrapolate a straight line on a graph. The proportion of software development work that LLMs can handle has been continually growing and there's no reason to believe that this trend will abate; the impact on employment in the long term is utterly obvious. Most of the smart developers I know are talking about pursuing an up-or-out strategy within the next few years - either they're planning on moving into management or they're planning on leaving the industry, because they don't expect their current job to still exist in five years time.
>> No. 101929 Anonymous
30th May 2025
Friday 5:20 am
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I still struggle to reconcile "AI is coming to take your job" with "AI can't even run a fucking vending machine without shitting the bed". In the near term, most people are less likely to lose their job to AI than they are to lose it to their boss being convinced by some grifter's hype that AI can do your job.
>> No. 101930 Anonymous
30th May 2025
Friday 8:51 am
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>>101929

You'll note that I didn't use the term "AI" in the previous post. I don't like the term and I think it's a magnet for grifty bullshit and irrelevant philosophical debates. What's important to recognise is that we now have software techniques that can do stuff that was simply impossible a few years ago. Engineering problems that were previously impossible can be substantially solved with sheer brute force of computation, which substantially expands the envelope of tasks that are easy for computers. It's not magic, but computers aren't magic and they had a really big impact on how we live and work over the course of several decades. We're past the point of machine learning techniques being the future; they're causing real impacts on the labour market, it just isn't evenly distributed yet.

To take an example, Elon Musk has been saying that self-driving Teslas are coming next year for about eight years now. He's clearly selling a bill of goods, because Teslas just don't have the hardware to safely operate in full self-driving mode in real environments. It's total hype from a notorious shyster.

Meanwhile, Waymo autonomous taxis are operating in five major US cities, they're racking up a million miles a week and they're doubling their number of riders about every nine months. If you get in a Waymo car, it isn't unusual to see 200,000 miles on the odometer. Despite the hype, a real thing is happening that is really putting Uber drivers in Austin and LA out of work. For people in Waymo's service area, self-driving taxis are now just a mundane part of daily life. Waymo's growth is now no longer bottlenecked by the technology, but by legislation and regulation. Their robocars do occasionally do stupid things like driving around in circles in a car park or getting stuck behind a traffic cone, but they're also demonstrably much safer than human taxi drivers.

Voice actors in the video games industry have been on strike for nearly a year now, specifically because of "AI". Real people are on real picket lines because machine learning systems are taking their jobs. Text-to-speech systems like Elevenlabs are capable of providing outputs that are basically indistinguishable from humans, in any language and at near-zero cost. A few years ago, you would have seemed mad if you'd said that voice actors, illustrators and journalists would be the first people to go when the robots take over; that's a really important indicator of how counter-intuitive the impacts of these technologies are.
>> No. 101931 Anonymous
30th May 2025
Friday 10:05 am
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>>101930

That's all great but have you considered that nothing ever happens?
>> No. 101933 Anonymous
30th May 2025
Friday 11:04 am
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>>101929

It's almost as if the truth (presently) is somewhere in the middle, isn't it.

Like otherlad says the impact of AI has been wildly different from how anyone ever expected it would be, and it caught a lot of people with their pants down. A lot of people who were arrogantly confident that automation would only be a problem for poor smelly manual labourers saw the writing on the wall far too late, and they are generally the ones who you will see coping that AI is rubbish and calling everything "AI slop". I find it very hard to feel sorry at all for these people, because their class position and general political outlook was one that routinely threw working class people under the bus so long as it provided them with some small new convenience, and they never imagined themselves in the firing line.

It will do them good in the long run to realise that in the end, they were just as replaceable as anyone else, and recognise capital for the uncaring monster that it is and always has been.

But it has to be acknowledged, the impact is real. It's very much not a "nothing ever happens" situation. It's going to have real effects on the economy, big disruptive ones, and in an economy that's already quite fragile we can't afford to just ignore it. Going on strike is a fools errand because they already have the most effective scab in history, what do you think is going to happen? It's just a forlorn hope that the government will bring in some rules and regulations to keep humans in jobs because we don't know what to do with them otherwise.

I just feel grateful myself, that while they might be able to get AI to drive my van for me one day*, the part they can't replace as easily is my human ability to park said van at any address and navigate whatever obstacles might be between the van and the customer's door. Those are the things that will completely trip any AI system up, because there's so little uniformity to this country's layout, and even finding some people's address takes a fair bit of intuition. That and, at the end of the day, I think the majority of customers (in my business at least) will always prefer a human to do it than some terrifying I Robot drone running Gemini Hivemind 3.0.

A lot of what we take for granted nowadays in effect already relies on the kind of thing "AI" does but people still have jobs, indeed there's a lot of jobs that likely wouldn't exist at all if it wasn't for the fact there's the computer processing ability to enable normal people, instead of highly trained genius specialists, to do it. That's the other side of the AI coin that we perhaps haven't seen enough of. It might still come with a fall off in wages, but imagine a world where we can all be be game developers out of our bedrooms just by tapping a few queries into an AI assistant, instead of paying thirty grand to go to uni first. I think there's still plenty to be said for that potentially democratising power of AI.

* I really doubt it will happen any time soon on British roads, especially not the more rural parts, but I accept the reality that eventually they probably will; in effect about 80% of the logisitcal chain before the goods get to the depot to be loaded onto my van is already automated, and the routes have been computer planned for decades, because if humans had to do it there would be almost no viability in the business model.
>> No. 101934 Anonymous
30th May 2025
Friday 11:13 am
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>>101929
I think it's the difference in value. Who's putting top of the range AI in vending machines, even if it's an entire fleet(?) of them across the globe? Talking compeltely out of my arse, it'll hit high value industries first - the ones that can actually pay for it and the ones that regular people aren't even aware of - that's why there's so much contention amoung us plebs because we simply don't know.
>> No. 101935 Anonymous
30th May 2025
Friday 11:38 am
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>>101923
If you're talking about "AI Algorithms" from 2000, you run into the opposite problem: If we're just doing something that Blair was doing, why should we expect a revolution in the public sector. Was Cameron a secret luddite who turned them all off?

My original post wasn't very well written, but the Concorde thing was actually about Wilson. That's what worries me about this: It's like a particularly contentless version of Britain's historic love for expensive, risky, high-tech projects. The idea that if we just build Concorde, the Advanced Gas-Cooled Reactor, the Advanced Passenger Train, etc, etc, etc, then in one fell swoop we'll get rid of our malaise and take up a position as a world leader. That instead of doing the hard work of sitting down on something difficult, like coordinating a long-term industrial strategy making something boring like Tractors for the third world (the less remembered, boring bit of Wilson's speech, the sort of thing Japan did) we'll bet it all on something cool and new and unproven, and that'll save us.
You note the growth of the US tech industry, but a good chunk of the stuff they do is inherently monopolistic thanks to network effects: You can't just make a British youtube, a British facebook, a British Apple. ("British Apple", as you'll remember, is Acorn. In the more optimistic case for what British high-technology does: make something great used absolutely everywhere, onshoring the princely sum of just about nothing for the trouble.)

Your link fills me with a mix of unease and calm: On the one hand, they really are just giving ministers a private ChatGPT. On the other, Ministers give the appearance of hallucinating enough that an LLM can't be much worse.

>>101925
Well, that's the other thing. Let's say it does work: What's the point of AI? To substitute labour. There's a bunch of "1000 new AI jobs with Data Center" headlines out there, and you just have to wonder: what are they talking about? The average datacenter doesn't hire anywhere near that number. Hell, OpenAI itself - to take one example - only employs 2000 people. Where are all the jobs going to come from? (You can go "oh, the market always fixes it" if you're an optimist, but if the government's promising all these new AI jobs, and what they really mean is "they'll fire you and you'll be re-hired elsewhere on half the pay", that's not really a new job for someone currently on the dole - is it?)

>>101928
I'm not saying AI is totally useless, but I don't think you can extrapolate the results from software development to elsewhere so easily. Programming is by and large boilerplate text re-arranged, it's possibly the single easiest thing to partially automate after spam e-mail. What it adds to the average job seems to range from "well nothing, obviously" (truck driver), to "iterating on something we already do" (logistics), to "boring but dystopian" (office e-mail job, but now you neither write nor read the e-mails, you coach someone else to do it. the volume of e-mails expands while even less is said.)

>>101930
When you zoom out a bit, the impact of computers feels if anything fairly small. Can you point to a massive spike in growth caused by the mass adoption of IT since the 1990s? (You can point, obviously, to the growth of US tech companies, though even US growth has hardly been impressive.) There are all sorts of radical changes in the sense that we're having this conversation now - but if you plot that on a GDP chart, there's no difference between this and us writing a book. If anything, it probably generates less economic activity than when we'd have cunt-offs in the newspaper letters section.

But that's a tangent: Did Blair gamble his entire government - the economic strategy and the fix-the-public-sector strategy on the internet and the IT sector? It certainly engaged with the changes that were happening (thank you National Program for IT in the NHS, £10bn we'll never get back) but they didn't bet everything on it. Is betting on the IT sector really the right level at which to be betting? (As IT or AI touch every sector, surely what you want is a conventional economic strategy that focuses on our sectoral strengths, rather than haphazardly pivoting to the notion - perhaps not serious - that Britain can compete with China and America.)

I mean ask yourself: When this government says "AI", when it talks about wanting us to be an "AI superpower", expecting that we'll have "national champion" AI firms, when MPs talk about 1000 new AI jobs in a former coal mining region, do you think it's sensibly sitting there going "expect more UC claims from Taxi drivers" and "if we publicly funded some game development like many EU countries do, AI would enable a single developer to make a much larger project, possibly paying for itself in the long run" or do you think they're sitting having some grifter whispering into their ears about how there's a magical opportunity to become a world leader in the infinite money industry, but only if they hand over billions of pounds and everyone's NHS records right now?
>> No. 101936 Anonymous
30th May 2025
Friday 11:54 am
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>>101935

>Can you point to a massive spike in growth caused by the mass adoption of IT since the 1990s?

It seems likely to me that while you can't see a massive spike in growth, that the adoption of IT across all industries is one of the things that enabled growth to continue at a pace more or less consistent with what it had been, and that it might have plateaued otherwise. Which goes hand in hand with it being a double edged sword that actually removed a lot of economic activity that would have been ongoing without computers, and are now simply outdated practices.

It's easy to slip into a very luddite perspective when you really dig into all this. But I think on the whole that yes, computers did make us batter off.
>> No. 101937 Anonymous
30th May 2025
Friday 12:30 pm
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>>101936

It's a very well-known problem in economics that has been the subject of an immense amount of study.

The leading hypothesis is that GDP doesn't really reflect the benefits of computers, because it doesn't capture quality. If you spend £1000 on a computer, you get vastly more for your money today than you did ten or twenty years ago, but the impact on GDP is the same. I vastly prefer online shopping and Uber to traipsing around the shops and ringing for a minicab, but that improvement in my quality of life has no impact at all on GDP.

Some economists do think that computers haven't actually improved productivity in any meaningful way, but they're very much a maverick fringe.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Productivity_paradox
>> No. 101938 Anonymous
30th May 2025
Friday 3:21 pm
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>>101933
>in effect about 80% of the logisitcal chain before the goods get to the depot to be loaded onto my van is already automated, and the routes have been computer planned for decades, because if humans had to do it there would be almost no viability in the business model.

So which bit is bruising my bananas and crushing my bread then? Is it you?!

>>101935
You're underselling just how good public services in Britain are. We've had cockups but you only have to look across the continent at the enduring hold of fax machines on Germany or conversely how Estonia put its neighbours to shame.

>"British Apple", as you'll remember, is Acorn.

ARM. We're incredibly good at making unicorns but we struggle to keep them here because of valuations.

>That instead of doing the hard work of sitting down on something difficult, like coordinating a long-term industrial strategy making something boring like Tractors for the third world (the less remembered, boring bit of Wilson's speech, the sort of thing Japan did) we'll bet it all on something cool and new and unproven, and that'll save us.

It's a good thing that the government is literally writing a new industrial strategy then? But I'm very sceptical on reverting to some Soviet-style industrial strategy because our chief rival in such an effort would be China which leads the world in automation and robotics including massive autonomous shipping terminals where the human element is a bloke manning the gate while we're banging rocks together with people on pushbikes delivering my takeaway.
>> No. 101940 Anonymous
30th May 2025
Friday 3:59 pm
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>>101938

The robots.
>> No. 101941 Anonymous
30th May 2025
Friday 8:01 pm
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>>101940
The supermarket warehouses of various stripes I deliver to daily definitely don't look anything like that. The only robots I've seen are a couple of Aldis that have Roombas mowing the grass.
>> No. 101942 Anonymous
30th May 2025
Friday 8:35 pm
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>>101941

It's Ocado's proprietary platform. There's only two or three big CFCs full of these robots, that pack every customer order over the whole country centrally; then the HGV fleet delivers them to the 16 or so delivery spokes, where they get loaded onto vans. It's a more direct supply chain to the customer, which is why it's actually profitable for them, whereas pretty much every other supermarket loses money on its home delivery.

The company bigwigs think they are a tech company and that this platform is what they are selling. But in 20 odd years it seems they haven't figured out how to stop the robots dropping two litre bottles on top of bread and eggs.
>> No. 101943 Anonymous
30th May 2025
Friday 8:46 pm
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>>101942
I've delivered to at least seven Ocados, so they can't be doing everything centrally.
>> No. 101944 Anonymous
30th May 2025
Friday 9:03 pm
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>>101943

Presumably there's separate inventory warehouses that feed into the CFCs, because otherwise they'd have to be far bigger than they are. But those are where it all gets packed up to send on to customers.
>> No. 101945 Anonymous
31st May 2025
Saturday 10:52 am
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>>101938
Our own government undersells how good our public services are: that they're widely reviled, on the verge of collapse, and can only be saved with AI and private sector involvement is the government's line. We're always being told how great fax-machine loving Germany's health system is, how we could have what they've got at no extra cost if we'd only embrace the latest zany scheme to "reform" the NHS. (Pay no attention to the ~£2000 higher per-head spending in Germany behind the curtain.)

And there's nothing soviet-style about industrial strategy - the most "soviet style" bit of recent planning is the reversion to trying to create dirigiste "national champion" industries in our AI strategy. A good industrial strategy doesn't have to involve micromanagement. Our problem is that we can't come up with a good one. It's already becoming a cliche to note that we've had 11 different industrial strategies since 2010. It's very much an area where quality matters more than quantity.
>> No. 101946 Anonymous
2nd June 2025
Monday 5:46 pm
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I had to suffer this, so you have to as well.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=adpGwn_5UQ8
>> No. 101947 Anonymous
2nd June 2025
Monday 7:45 pm
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>>101946
I saw this guy live at my university comedy night, repeatedly! He was funnier back in 2006 than he is in this video. He also sounds like he's moved quite a long way to the right, politically. This must be what happens when you're a decent-ish comedian who doesn't wind up on panel shows. And yes, that's his real speaking voice.
>> No. 101948 Anonymous
2nd June 2025
Monday 8:26 pm
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>>101946
Right-wing "comedians" are always like "why am I banned, why won't they put me on the telly?!", and then their "comedy" is just "I fucking love voting for the anti-migration party, haha". Or, in this example I found, "everyone should fucking die except me".

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MibdLgjzInU

Eddie Murphy's "Bush Bitch" bit was more respectful to Africans than this cunt is.
>> No. 101949 Anonymous
2nd June 2025
Monday 8:45 pm
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>>101947>>101948
I think if you're going to say something that many people will find offensive, you've got to make sure it's going to land.
>> No. 101950 Anonymous
2nd June 2025
Monday 9:40 pm
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>>101948
Isn't that the "Just ignore me" guy from Ideal?
>> No. 101951 Anonymous
2nd June 2025
Monday 9:42 pm
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>>101948

This might sound daft, but Andrew Lawrence did a Linehan - he effectively self-radicalised and became a "right-wing political comedian" because he refused to follow the zeitgeist and denounce things that used to be perfectly acceptable.

He had several series on Radio 4 and was on all the panel shows, saying many of the sort of things he said in that clip. We've memory-holed it, but it used to be perfectly acceptable for ostensibly left-wing comedians to rip the piss out of feckless dole scum. Jokes about Polish builders being better than lazy Brits were overdone cliches. The BBC were perfectly happy to let Matt Lucas black up in 2005, or Harry Enfield in 2008.

There was a massive shift in the early 2010s, probably as a reaction to the Cameron government and the rising fortunes of Savile. That reaction wasn't to move to the left in any meaningful way - the media is still overwhelmingly run by the privately educated and intergenerationally wealthy - but simply a taboo on all sorts of topics. Don't talk about class, don't talk about poverty, don't talk about immigration. Look back at the most popular comedy programmes of the late 00s and you'll find that a large proportion are unbroadcastable today.

By 2015, Lawrence was faced with a choice - accept the new rules, or throw his lot in with UKIP. He was one of very few people in the media who chose the latter, but history has shown that the general public went in a different direction.
>> No. 101953 Anonymous
2nd June 2025
Monday 10:59 pm
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Riddle me this: Why was the centrepiece of the new 'Euro-Atlantic' focused defence strategy focused on expanding a fleet of attack submarines?

Yes that makes me very arm-chair but expanding the undersea fleet was something being talked about by Sunak and it's not particularly useful against Ivan whose fleet is going undersea in an entirely different way or can otherwise be countered by cheaper surface ships. But submarines are terribly good in Pacific wargames so is it still a global strategy?

>>101951
>There was a massive shift in the early 2010s, probably as a reaction to the Cameron government and the rising fortunes of Savile

I don't think we can pretend we're special on this, it's the entire world that went mental in 2012. The Mayans were right.
>> No. 101954 Anonymous
2nd June 2025
Monday 11:00 pm
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>>101951

>We've memory-holed it, but it used to be perfectly acceptable for ostensibly left-wing comedians to rip the piss out of feckless dole scum

I mean, I agree with the sentiment, you do get people who will swear up and down that nothing changed and anyone who even points this out is some kind of mega chud alt right frog meme and also an incel. They always go straight for the "you are part of [heathen group] therefore you are wrong" as their go-to thought termination cliche.

But by the same token, I think the fact that ostensibly left wing (because the word ostensibly is doing all the heavy lifting there) comedians can't take the piss out of dolies any more etc, is actually just a result of how the gradually shifting political climate shone a light on the fact a lot of them were never actually that left wing at all. They were middle class liberals, and what this wedge showed up is that being a middle class liberal can really go either way. It was like shining a UV light on a bedsheet in a Travelodge, and showed up just how nasty those right on middle class types can actually be when you look closer; and the fact that they are basically still the exclusive class of our media and journalists and so on has a lot to answer for.

I don't want to just harp on the LIBERAL ISN'T THE SAME AS LEFT thing constantly but I think that's really something that just needs to be understood to contextualise an awful lot of this stuff- Margaret Thatcher was a liberal, as was bumder marriage enthusiast David Cameron. I would go so far as to say it's the most fundamental thing people get wrong that leads to a snowball of other misapprehensions and mistaken assumptions about current day politics.
>> No. 101955 Anonymous
2nd June 2025
Monday 11:31 pm
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>>101953

The American defence establishment is absolutely convinced that China will invade Taiwan in 2027. I have no idea how credible that assessment is.

Unless we've got something very secret up our sleeve, then China's anti-ship missile system is capable of destroying any surface vessel within a thousand miles of their coastline. How do you stop China from invading Taiwan if you can't get your own ships anywhere near it? A submarine fleet isn't the worst solution to that problem.

Alternatively, it might just be a boondoggle.
>> No. 101956 Anonymous
3rd June 2025
Tuesday 12:08 am
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>>101955
Well yeah this is what I'm getting at. Submarines have consistently been the MVP in Pacific wargaming because of survivability and their ability to massacre slow moving transport ships trying to cross the Taiwan strait.

But the major thing the UK has needed to do for decades is work out the kind of power it wants to be. In the 00s it was a global power with shallow capabilities that was policing waters with carriers (that we couldn't build the fleet to protect) and now there's the argument that we need to make a choice to fight in Europe. But that renders the carriers useless and for us to be ready to fight more of a land war, or at least focus on catching Russian subs. So the big announcement today of a 'Euro-Atlantic' strategy makes no fucking sense, it's not.
>> No. 101957 Anonymous
3rd June 2025
Tuesday 2:47 pm
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>>101928
What field did you move into?
>> No. 101958 Anonymous
4th June 2025
Wednesday 6:32 pm
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Humour me, I'm no pacifist, but what are we actually getting out of all this?
Most countries in the world will just sit around and let America, China and Russia have it out. Why should we care who's in charge when we could just be an irrelevant vassal of the winner. Is it just that America are kind enough to send us orders in Simplified English?

What stake do I have in who controls the ruins of Taiwan?
>> No. 101959 Anonymous
4th June 2025
Wednesday 7:58 pm
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>>101958
It could be a desire to play world police again. But also, different countries have different rankings for who they like best. If America dominates, we're going to be top-five in the friendship club. China, however, would rather make deals with Vietnam and the Philippines than us, so we'd have to queue up with Gambia and Paraguay like a bunch of Venezuelas.

I am also looking forward to the economic boost that comes when you spend money on warfare. If we can invest loads into cyberwarfare and train everyone up to be 1337 haxx0rz, that would have tremendous benefits for everyone. However, this is not an official opinion that anyone ever mentions.
>> No. 101960 Anonymous
4th June 2025
Wednesday 8:03 pm
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>>101959
>If we can invest loads into cyberwarfare and train everyone up to be 1337 haxx0rz, that would have tremendous benefits for everyone.
What benefits?
>> No. 101961 Anonymous
4th June 2025
Wednesday 8:20 pm
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>>101957

I started a business doing CCTV, networking and smart home installation. Electricians don't know how to diagnose a DHCP configuration problem, nerds haven't heard of SDS-Plus and robots can't carry a toolbag up a ladder (yet). I'm not yet earning as much as I did in IT, but I'm working shorter hours and I don't have to sit in Teams meetings with knobheads.

>>101958

>What stake do I have in who controls the ruins of Taiwan?

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company make two-thirds of the world's computer chips. They make over 90% of the leading-edge chips used in smartphones.

Remember how during the pandemic there was a shortage of new cars because there was a shortage chips? If a handful of factories in Taiwan get blown up, then several industries will shut down overnight. Building a silicon fabrication factory costs about $15bn and takes a minimum of three years.

Biden has chucked several billion at TSMC to scale up chip manufacturing in the US, but their facility in Arizona accounts for less than 1% of their total production and is only expected to reach about 2% by 2027.

We don't especially care who controls the ruins of Taiwan, but if a full-scale war breaks out there, then we're looking at an economic shock on the scale of the 2008 financial crisis or the pandemic.
>> No. 101962 Anonymous
4th June 2025
Wednesday 8:22 pm
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>>101960
You can conscript and train up anyone; they don't need a basic level of physical fitness so you can conscript fatties and old people. The skills are massively in demand, so if there's no war, they can go out and get good jobs instead. Anyone you bring in to do it can work from home subsequently, and even teach the tricks to other people. Conscientious objectors are less likely to object, you don't have to spend money on guns and fighter planes, and good hackers can even steal data from the enemy and then you can save money on spies as well. And after the war, all those companies that complain that they can't hire qualified cybersecurity experts, while at the same time refusing to spend money to train any, will be able to hire these ex-spooks and they might finally shut the bloody fuck up with their whining.
>> No. 101963 Anonymous
4th June 2025
Wednesday 8:34 pm
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>>101958
>>101959

You don't have to be world police but you do have to be taken seriously as a state that can actually put up a fight if push comes to shove, otherwise we really do just have no choice but to take it up the bum from the current hegemonic power.

For the last four or five decades that has unquestionably been America, and guess what, we have utterly taken it up the bum from them- They have fucked us over on so many things it's hard to even list. Europe as a whole sold away its future for the trade off of American security, and it's only really now, with American tech giants leeching our economies dry from within like some sort of invasive economic fungus, anyone is waking up to ask if that was really a good idea.

At the dawn of a new and more multi-polar era, which is where we currently stand, it can't be a bad idea to beef ourselves up a bit. America isn't going to be there to stand up for us (not that they ever were), but Russia or China aren't immediately going to take the crown over night and start bullying everyone else. We've also got the whole rest of the BRICS lot to think about, who will be bigger players soon. We are looking at a global situation that's gradually becoming more of a level playing field, not that it's one that will be any fairer, but just one where it's not as easy for one or two big boys to push everyone else around.

That's why the globalist dream is coming apart, really it relied on Western economies having loads of fat lazy consumers while all the poor smelly browns built everything for us. It seems incredible to me that nobody had any real plan for what happens when they start growing their wages and gentrifying too. But that's where we are.

TL;DR We are all just cavemen sitting on our pile of shiny rocks, and if we don't want to be like Grug over there who got beaten up by Ugg and lost all of his, we will have to sharpen our pointy stick and brandish it at least somewhat convincingly.
>> No. 101964 Anonymous
4th June 2025
Wednesday 10:21 pm
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>>101961
>We don't especially care who controls the ruins of Taiwan

I care. I know otherlad is just trying to get everyone's goat but we should stick with our friends and that goes double if they're liberal democracies.

Also we're actually (in theory) building a defence against the barbarians to the more immediate East who are absolute and unequivocal rotters.

>>101963
>with American tech giants leeching our economies dry from within like some sort of invasive economic fungus, anyone is waking up to ask if that was really a good idea.

It's not the fault of the US that tech didn't boom in Europe. Let's not get silly now. And I should add that the comparison is between the US and China is like choosing your kids new nanny from between Jimmy Savile and Jimmy Savile even with how much of an arsehole Trump is.
>> No. 101965 Anonymous
4th June 2025
Wednesday 11:13 pm
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>>101964

Get America's cock out of your mouth for two minutes jesus. We don't have to "get silly" when we already live in the reality where the US has lobbied, interfered, and outright manipulated Eupoean politics and economic decision making for decades.
>> No. 101966 Anonymous
4th June 2025
Wednesday 11:47 pm
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>>101965
Could you give some examples of any of those?
>> No. 101967 Anonymous
5th June 2025
Thursday 1:25 am
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>>101966

Are you asking our of curiosity to know more, or to try and catch me out like a rudgewicker?

There's entire Wikipedia articles about US involvement in regime change, electoral intervention, influence on public opinion, etc etc. If they can't even keep controlled sources like Wikipedia clean, you know they are much deeper in it in reality. If you keep up with European politics there's plenty of stuff I've read over the years about how right wing candidates have turned out to be bankrolled by American NGOs and so on.

That's without even getting into the shady CIA shit we know about going down in the 60s.
>> No. 101968 Anonymous
5th June 2025
Thursday 2:45 pm
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>>101964
It absolutely is partially the fault of the US that tech didn't boom elsewhere. Look up BTRON for what happens when you threaten US monopoly power in the sector, and remember it every time you're frustrated that Windows is falling apart and Linux is written by elitist weirdos without any concern for UX.
>> No. 101970 Anonymous
5th June 2025
Thursday 10:07 pm
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>>101965
No, Europe cannot absolve itself of blame for not investing in tech because we can plainly see the results from those countries that did invest like Estonia. There was a time when the US and Europe had rough parity and it was completely fucked up and there doesn't need a sinister conspiracy for that to have happened, it actually gets even more silly when you consider how China was able to nurture its own IT sector through radical measure such as investing in education and infrastructure while taking risks in supporting new players.

>>101968
>It absolutely is partially the fault

Your example is that the Europe failed to nurture a tech sector because of trade friction in the 1980s with Japan.
>> No. 101971 Anonymous
5th June 2025
Thursday 10:20 pm
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>>101970

I bet you are the kind of person who goes on at length about all that soft power stuff ion other contexts, but in this context you are totally unwilling to acknowledge it exists.
>> No. 101974 Anonymous
5th June 2025
Thursday 10:30 pm
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>>101971
But you weren't talking about soft power; you were talking about election interference.
>> No. 101975 Anonymous
5th June 2025
Thursday 10:50 pm
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>>101974

I also mentioned lobbying, influencing public opinion, and other forms of general interference.
>> No. 101976 Anonymous
5th June 2025
Thursday 11:05 pm
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>>101971
>>101975
Literally the direct quote of Nye who developed the term soft-power is:
>You can coerce them with threats; you can induce them with payments; or you can attract and co-opt them to want what you want.

The concept in international relations is distinct from carrots and sticks. Soft-power makes the bribes and election interference cheaper or even not necessary.
>> No. 101977 Anonymous
6th June 2025
Friday 12:02 am
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Reminder that if you ever start focussing a discussion into what somebody did or didn't say or the precise definitions of the terms, you have more than likely lost the substance of the argument already.

I can't remember the term for it. Garden pathing or something?
>> No. 101979 Anonymous
6th June 2025
Friday 12:10 am
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>>101977
>I bet you are the kind of person who goes on at length about all that soft power stuff ion other contexts, but in this context you are totally unwilling to acknowledge it exists
>> No. 101980 Anonymous
6th June 2025
Friday 12:19 am
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>>101979

Yeah you're still doing it lad. You know what was meant, you're just being a weasely little pedantic prick because you don't have anything of substance to come back with. I've argued with enough cunts on the internet in my time to recognise it. That's all you're doing.
>> No. 101981 Anonymous
6th June 2025
Friday 12:25 am
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>>101980
>You know what was meant

Are you going to address any of my points on differing industrial policy? I've left you the example of Estonia's growth.
>> No. 101983 Anonymous
6th June 2025
Friday 1:43 pm
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If you want proof this country has imploded do you really need more than the fact our resident sensible pro-US voice of reason is suggesting that our only way forward is to crib industrial policy from Estonia?
>> No. 101984 Anonymous
6th June 2025
Friday 2:23 pm
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>>101983
They’re doing pretty well, to be fair. Nowhere on the planet has improved as much since 1990 as they have, with the possible exception of China. And Estonia is much freer than China, and their improvements are entirely down to technology rather than putting together fluorescent lights and radios.
>> No. 101985 Anonymous
7th June 2025
Saturday 12:22 am
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>>101984

It's another useless comparison in reality though because they're one of those daft micro-states with a population that barely scrapes above 1m. I notice that tends to be a pattern whenever people say some variation on "why doesn't the UK act a bit more like [country]", it's always a tiny country with much healthier demographics and ten times lower population density, which means they can approach things in a radically different way.
>> No. 101986 Anonymous
7th June 2025
Saturday 1:50 am
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>>101985
No, Estonia is a good example because it has direct comparators with the other Baltic states which allows each to operate as a policy lab. Ultimately it shows though that Europe COULD have embraced the IT sector but it failed to, just as Japan failed to embrace the software revolution. Estonia wasn't crashed by the American conspiracy just as Sweden wasn't.

>they're one of those daft micro-states with a population that barely scrapes above 1m

States aren't uniform entities, they all engage in some form of localism that allows for experimentation and if you wanted me on a soapbox, it's something we've traditionally got wrong in Britain. It was a key part of China's economic growth boom that local government was allowed to experiment and what worked was then adopted at the grander scale, the US does a similar thing with states and cities, everyone copies homework and experiments. I know you want to scoff but I'd ask you to put the fucking Mao-suit away and look at how policy works and is evaluated in a thread about fucking government.

>>101983
How very catty.
>> No. 101988 Anonymous
7th June 2025
Saturday 11:02 am
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Why does nobody in Britain seem to talk about the company Maurice Glasman, Mr. Blue Labour, likes to keep?

There's a New Yorker profile about Curtis Yarvin ("Moldbug") and his circle of weirdos and a little side anecdote in it features Moldbug showing Glasman that he managed to get the Claude AI to say the N word. This seems like the sort of thing you'd think a journalist might ask him about next time he says Labour need to become conservative populists. Next time Blue Labour say they're "proud of our multiracial democracy" but need us to root out DEI, ask him why their guy's hanging out with a childish racist who writes essay after essay about how democracy failed and what we need is Elon Musk as an absolute monarch. I won't hold my breath, mind - we have stenographers, not journalists.

https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2025/06/09/curtis-yarvin-profile
>> No. 101989 Anonymous
7th June 2025
Saturday 12:06 pm
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>>101988
I have never heard of Maurice Glasman, and from reading his Wikipedia page, I suspect Labour are keeping him hidden on purpose. He sounds awful.
>Glasman coined the term Blue Labour in 2008, defining it as "a deeply conservative socialism that places family, faith and work at the heart of a new politics of reciprocity, mutuality and solidarity".[19]
So he's some right-wing grifter who joined the wrong party?
>In April 2011, Glasman called on the Labour Party to establish a dialogue with sympathisers of the far-right English Defence League (EDL) in order to challenge their views and "to build a party that brokers a common good, that involves those people who support the EDL within our party. Not dominant in the party, not setting the tone of the party, but just a reconnection with those people that we can represent a better life for them, because that's what they want".[23]
I guess that could theoretically be a good thing, but we all know it wouldn't be in practice.
>He plays the trumpet and smokes rolled-up cigarettes.[35]
Okay, so maybe he's not all bad.
>> No. 101990 Anonymous
7th June 2025
Saturday 1:00 pm
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>>101988
>Why does nobody in Britain seem to talk about the company Maurice Glasman, Mr. Blue Labour, likes to keep?

How many people do you genuinely think have this much of an interest in politics?
>> No. 101991 Anonymous
7th June 2025
Saturday 1:06 pm
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>>101990
I'd hope any columnist breathlessly reporting on how Blue Labour offer a way to defeat Reform might care about little details like "who founded Blue Labour and what does he believe?"
I'd go so far as to say such curiousity is the difference between journalism and ad copy.
>> No. 101992 Anonymous
8th June 2025
Sunday 12:00 am
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>>101989
>So he's some right-wing grifter who joined the wrong party?
From just that line, he no more joined the wrong party than the traditional working-class Labour base are in the wrong party.

You sound a bit like the student debating society types who vacillate between voting Lib Dem and Green but insist that somehow they are Labour's base ackchually.

Nothing of this is to suggest that Glasman isn't an utter cunt, which he absofuckinglutely is.
>> No. 101993 Anonymous
8th June 2025
Sunday 12:30 am
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>>101992
Labour's "traditional" working class base was dead by 1970 socially and certainly by 2024 physically. Today, Labour's average voter is a woman you'd resent every moment you spent talking to. Worse still, she is the average worker.
A party of the working class and a party of the "traditional" working class will look very different - all well and good to let coal miners have a party, all very tragic for the working class that miners lost in 1985, but the consequence of that loss is that there's now about 350 miners in the country, they all work in open cast mines, and they're getting very close to the 45p rate of income tax.

I don't mean to be harsh on you but I find it fascinating that one thing that Labour and much of the far left - Greens and Corbyn excluded - is contempt for the working class we actually have in our low-wage service economy. A woman working at Tesco with a meme degree, concern about poverty, social issues, and the environment, is imagined as some middle class distraction from the heroic-if-racist male miners and factory workers who'll dutifully vote Labour (Labour) or overthrow capitalism as soon as you get newspapers into their hands (Assorted socialists/Communists), even though we had a very well documented process of destroying those people as a class under Thatcher. Frankly, we have a complex about thinking you can undo Thatcher, rather than just overcoming what she did.

I mean take faith as the really obvious sign this is all nostalgic LARP: half the country are atheists. I'd bet more than half again think they're Christian because their parents were married in a church. Faith has died a death in this country, and it would've died just as surely if Benn had been prime minister and our main exports were coal and motorbikes.
>> No. 101994 Anonymous
8th June 2025
Sunday 4:19 am
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101994101994101994
There are precisely two public figures in this country who actually understand voters and their relationship to political parties - Morgan McSweeney and Dominic Cummings. Everyone else is operating in a parallel universe that has no connection to reality. If you are offended by either of those sentences, I would urge you to ignore the news completely for the foreseeable future and instead meditate on this graph.

https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/49978-how-britain-voted-in-the-2024-general-election
>> No. 101995 Anonymous
8th June 2025
Sunday 7:55 am
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>>101994
Is a household income of more than £70k meant to be high? Isn't that pretty much a couple both on an average salary?
>> No. 101996 Anonymous
8th June 2025
Sunday 8:28 am
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>>101995
71k disposable household income (ONS) is top 20%.

YouGov don't provide a glossary in their results so it's hard to say what they mean by income.
>> No. 101997 Anonymous
8th June 2025
Sunday 10:57 am
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>>101993

>I don't mean to be harsh on you but I find it fascinating that one thing that Labour and much of the far left - Greens and Corbyn excluded - is contempt for the working class

As I say, as I've said many times, the biggest hindrance to the left in this country, and most western countries, is that they are basically subjugated by middle class managerial tossers filling up all the leadership roles, who see the proles as a herd of animals to be shepherded, too stupid for their own good, too docile to know their own best interest. It is absolutely lost on them how they have no understanding of the reality of actual working class people's lives, who they are, what their everyday existence looks and feels like.

Some people are more cynical and view it as elements of the managerial class essentially defecting in order to try and wield the working class base as a kind of personal army in order to advance their own interests. But I don't think that is true on the whole, and I don't credit it with that kind of grand conspiracism, I think most of them have good intentions. They are just too wrapped up in that kind of uniquely self-assured "I know what's best for everyone" mindset you only get when you were raised wanting for nothing and mummy and daddy told you you are special.

The Owen Joneses of the world, you know? Decent people, but just don't get it, and there's no way they can get it. They've never lived in Hunslet and spent five years straight standing behind a till every day of the week.

I would say the defining aspect the left needs to grasp is that the working class people they are after don't care what they are "supposed to think", and resent being effectively told "this is your value, support this idea", in a way that the middle classes automatically understand as part of their class signalling. They don't understand that the working class rabble don't toe the party line and pretend to support nonsense that they know isn't quite right but fits the current electoral calculus. That's what Reform are making mincemeat of the other parties with, that's why populism works- It's not some genius strategy, it's just that they're not indulging the same kayfabe bollocks as the other parties expect, and have so ingrained into their detached, pocket dimension culture that they can't imagine stepping away from it.
>> No. 101998 Anonymous
8th June 2025
Sunday 10:51 pm
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>>101997
>As I say, as I've said many times, the biggest hindrance to the left in this country, and most western countries, is that they are basically subjugated by middle class managerial tossers filling up all the leadership roles, who see the proles as a herd of animals to be shepherded, too stupid for their own good, too docile to know their own best interest. It is absolutely lost on them how they have no understanding of the reality of actual working class people's lives, who they are, what their everyday existence looks and feels like.

I am reminded of Steinbeck's "temporarily embarrassed capitalists" from that bit that constantly gets misquoted to mean the exact opposite of what he actually wrote.
>> No. 102005 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 11:00 am
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>>101997
I'm quite bored now of politicians grand-standing about their background and the anal focus on this probably says more about you than it does about them. We shouldn't decide our leaders based on Four Yorkshiremen and it probably wouldn't deliver the results you expect.

>They are just too wrapped up in that kind of uniquely self-assured "I know what's best for everyone" mindset

It's the Labour party.
>> No. 102006 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 11:16 am
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>>101994

And how is McSweeney's genius working out for him now?
>> No. 102010 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 12:03 pm
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>>102005

Imagine you're constipated and haven't had a shit in three weeks. Then you tell the doctor "look I'm bored of talking about the massive brick of shit wedged in my colon, that's not the problem."
>> No. 102014 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 12:21 pm
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>>102010
But you are now claiming to speak for these overlooked silent voters as well. What evidence do you have that they are all clueless racists?
>> No. 102015 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 12:35 pm
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>>102014

Where did I say they were?
>> No. 102020 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 1:45 pm
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What's really interesting is that the mainstream (press/MP/etc, not public) conception of democracy in Britain leaves no room for a class-based democratic party. It imagines that parties should be professional organisations for supporting MPs, and that members having a meaningful say in how the party is run is actually undemocratic because it means parties might have unpopular leaders, cheating the voting public. Instead, parties should be run basically like a business - do some market research and let professionals in comfy jobs figure it out. Public engagement is faintly embarrassing, very student-y, not grown up politics. I mean, can you imagine any party opening Liberal/Conservative/Labour clubs nowadays? (And if they did, who'd go to one? What would be the point?)

We focus on whether a Labour MP is working class or not because the idea a working class person might actually join their party and vote to deselect an MP who hurts working class people is completely and utterly unacceptable, it's seen as actively undemocratic. A working class person climbing the ladder into an upper class job is fine, but a working class person making a newly-minted upper class person unemployed for being bad at that job? Yeah, and let's let them dig up St. George's hill while you're at it.
>> No. 102026 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 2:29 pm
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>>102020

At what point in their lives did the current Prime Minister and Deputy Prime Minister stop being working class?
>> No. 102029 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 2:58 pm
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>>102026
I've never cared for Zeno's paradox. "When" doesn't matter.
Do you ever notice this leniency isn't applied to plebs? If some girl from a council estate goes off to study sociology at an ex-poly before winding up in Tesco anyway, she's turned into a middle class rotter because she tweeted about privilege once or twice, and Labour can do without her sort. But Oxford Alumni, former human rights lawyer, DPP, and current Prime minister Sir Keir Rodney Starmer KCB KC MP? A man of impeccable working class credentials, don't dare suggest he might have less than zero class solidarity with the C2DEs of the world.
>> No. 102030 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 3:04 pm
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>>102029

I feel like you are really conflating a few different stereotypes and dynamics here.

Like you want to redefine the working classes interests to just be whatever some millenial girl knows about from twitter, that doesn't change the material interests of people's socioeconomic positions; and you ignore the fact that quite a lot of those types of girls are deeply ambivalent of things like trans rights or whatever because they're on the JK Rowling side or because the mysoginy of shamanism or any number of complications. It's not as simple as you want it to be. You're talking about how part of the left has a "contempt" for the "real" working class at the same time as trying to twist it so that it's actually aligned with the average Guardian reader? Meanwhile you are suggesting that people are standing up for SIR Kier Starmer as a bastion of real, coalface, hard working salt of the earth roots?

I don't know lad. I don't actually understand at all where you are coming from.
>> No. 102031 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 3:06 pm
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>>102010
Yes if you're constipated then the issue isn't actually the turd, which is the symptom of a wider digestive issue that won't go away after you take some laxative. It's like complaining about the blister instead of the shoe. Take note of this lesson, it will be an important one throughout your life.
>> No. 102033 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 3:10 pm
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>>102029
You will always be the class you were born as, but that can be different from the class your parents are. Otherwise, class is just another term for income, which renders it pointless. Or, it is a purely cultural pastime and you can opt into any class depending on which type of rugby you prefer.
>> No. 102034 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 3:15 pm
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>>102033
What a convenient dichotomy for your argument. Gosh.
>> No. 102036 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 3:17 pm
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>>102030
The material interest of the girl working at Tesco is, glibly, a bigger pay packet and functional public services. Same as the reform voting racist. Keir Starmer doesn't give a fuck whether that happens - he's got more important people to listen to. The idea that he should be accountable to her, if she was a member of the labour party, is considered farcical.

My point regarding her sociology degree and social justice politics is that these appear as middle class social markers, but have no real relationship to her material or social position. We've pushed a bunch of people into pointless degrees, but we still pretend having one makes you middle class. Social justice views correlate to age, not to class. Her background and her income haven't changed much. Keir Starmer being prime minister and an actual knight, on the other hand, elevates him quite a bit above the average pleb no matter what his childhood home looked like.

She's the kind of person who'd join Labour under Corbyn naively believing that the little people might have a say in how Labour is run, only to ultimately find that she's got none, she wants the wrong things (an overhyped rehash of the 2017 manifesto), she's stupid and unserious. Keir Starmer is the kind of person who's manipulated into the leadership by lying to her, then changes the rules so she can't pick the leader again. It all ties back to the earlier point about how we imagine parties should work in a democracy.
>> No. 102037 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 3:30 pm
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>>102036
Are you seriously suggesting that people are rational actors who vote based on rational calculations of self-interest?
>> No. 102038 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 3:30 pm
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It's almost as if people just slip willy nilly between an economic and cultural definition of class depending on how well it suits their argument.

The reason class is more important to understand is the difference between cutting a log across the grain, versus along it. A gay trans black woman who works at Tesco has more shared material interest with a straight white cis man who works at Tesco, than either of them have with the CEO, regardless what flavour of LGBT BIPOC the CEO is.

People are rejecting the divisive politics that have obscured this fact for the last several decades. They are lost and confused and they are going to fumble in the dark at ideas and ideologies and politicians that do not serve their interests, but I don't think the cat is going back in the bag on this, not when real economic hardship is there to stoke the flames.

If nobody is offering a credible solution, then people will simply vote to fuck things up as much as they can, in the hopes one will emerge.
>> No. 102039 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 3:37 pm
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>>102036

Yes, the part I think I differ from you on is that the way I see it, Baz in the high vis vest down the pub is every bit as displeased that Kier is just another plate of the same re-heated muck the last lot was trying to serve us. Where he gets divided from Stacey who has a mickey mouse degree is merely in aesthetics, the false consciousness the media peddles to her as well as to Baz to make them think they are part of distinct categories.

When they are not.
>> No. 102040 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 3:41 pm
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>>102037
No, and I'm not sure where you're getting that from. My point is that none of the parties serve her interest and the conception of democracy we have in our MPs, press, etc, believe it would be illegitimate for her as a party member to be able to influence that. Her only permissible input is to throw her vote away in a safe Labour seat. (And even then they'll be very upset if by some act of god an independent does unseat the rightful MP) Even impotently protesting is becoming increasingly illegal.

>>102038
My point would be something like: Keir Starmer is neither culturally nor economically working class, most of our cultural signifiers are outdated. I'm not swapping definition so much as trying to draw the two together: our imaginary social justice Tesco worker probably still loves her reform voting parents after all.

On the whole I agree with you, mind. I'd just say parties neither understand cultural nor economic class.
>> No. 102041 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 3:49 pm
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>>102038

>If nobody is offering a credible solution

We already tax the rich at higher rates than any of the Nordic countries. Public spending is at record levels. What exactly is the problem that we're trying to solve and how would a "working class" party do a better job of solving it?
>> No. 102042 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 4:01 pm
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>Transformative £86 billion boost to science and tech to turbocharge economy, with regions backed to take cutting-edge research into own hands. Funding package worth more than £22.5 billion a year in 2029 will boost Britain's world-leading status in research and innovation.
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/transformative-86-billion-boost-to-science-and-tech-to-turbocharge-economy-with-regions-backed-to-take-cutting-edge-research-into-own-hands

The target back in 2020 was 22 billion spent on R&D in FY 2024/2025. That's not accounting for inflation or the change as a percent of GDP that is to 2029. I guess you won, luddite lad. We've given up on running a high-tech economy and given this area was supposed to get the kid's glove treatment then we can expect stinging cuts elsewhere on Wednesday.

I'm looking forward to seeing where that £1.25bn is now going to come from to fund the winter fuel allowance for pensioners with £35,000 income a year. It's always worth seeing people who earn more than the average household income in this country get there's while we fail to invest in our future. £1.3bn was what we cut late last year for supercomputers and AI in this country.

>>102040
>My point is that none of the parties serve her interest

Interesting how you seem to know what's best for her. She might be a Tory for all you know.

>My point is that none of the parties serve her interest and the conception of democracy we have in our MPs, press, etc, believe it would be illegitimate for her as a party member to be able to influence that

Its perfectly possible for her to influence party politics and we have plenty of examples of people rising up from lowly positions to national prominence. John Major for example. The issue you seem to have is that she would have to play the game and that you're still bumsore that Corbyn was a disaster for the Labour party.
>> No. 102043 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 4:04 pm
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>>102041

(Apologies for using this format but it is easier.)

>We already tax the rich at higher rates than any of the Nordic countries

Once again it's not a useful comparison, stop pretending it is.

>What exactly is the problem that we're trying to solve

Oh you know just things like how you have to wait about 3 weeks for a GP appointment and dentists are all but mythical if you don't go private, rents taking up more than half of people's take home pay, the bin collections getting less frequent every year, and the impending collapse of the social care system? Things like that?

>Public spending is at record levels.

So is our population. Public spending needs to go up when the population grows because there are more people who will need to make use of public services. Shocking I know.

>and how would a "working class" party do a better job of solving it

I am not arguing that a working class party would solve it, but I am arguing that a party which excludes the working class, does not understand the working class, nor has any real interest in understanding the working class, never will. Instead they will just put us right in the hands of Savile and his bunch of nutters. Do I need to draw you a picture to join up the dots?

In a broader sense "the problem", looked at from a more conservative point of view, is that we ever gave anyone the expectation that they can have all these services in the first place, and then spent several decades actually having them, so people knew we could. Now we're asking them to accept that actually we can't afford any of that, actually we're skint, and things have to go back to the Edwardian era and you're just stupid if you think the fact we did do it and could afford it, means we still can and still should.

"Oh but but remember that time there were some power cuts in the 70s"
>> No. 102044 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 4:13 pm
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>>102043

I will also elaborate a bit so there's some actual discussion and not just bickering- If I was in charge and there was one single thing I would do to sort the issue, it would be to tackle housing costs and utility bills.

Housing is the number one thing strangling our economy as I see it. The rents are gobbling up the portion of the pie that people should be spending on beer and nights to the cinema and fancy nails and whatever else. That's crippling a lot of businesses, It's eating into the amount we can tax people. It's like a tumour. We need to sort out the housing issue, in order to give us the leverage to tax everyone a bit more, to address the pressure on services, and enable people to go out and spend to actually get the economy moving again.

I think a government that actually serves the interests of ordinary people would prioritise that, and not the interests of our largely rentier based upper classes.
>> No. 102045 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 4:18 pm
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>>102039
Naming your hypotheticals after English stereotypes isn't exactly helping your rhetotic.
>> No. 102046 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 4:40 pm
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>>102041
>We already tax the rich at higher rates than any of the Nordic countries
Are these Nordic countries with lower tax rates on the rich in the room with us right now?
>> No. 102047 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 4:47 pm
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>>102042
Our problem isn't taxing the rich as such, it's our level of inequality. If our wealth distribution matched a Nordic country we'd take in substantially more tax revenue while facing substantially lower costs from massive poverty.

Too often we see it as a problem of redistributing the effects of our current economic structure rather than a problem of designing a new structure that doesn't create that problem in the first place. A party run by-and-for the people who actually work the average job might be more inclined to alter the current low-wage, high-inequality structure than a party dependent for funding on some bloke who made mega bucks and run by people who like it when billionaires buy them treats and hate it when plebs don't defer to their betters.
>> No. 102053 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 5:32 pm
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>>102043

On a per-capita basis, public spending has increased by more than 50% since 2005, even after accounting for inflation. That feels like it can't possibly be true, which is the entire point.

https://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/SN04033/SN04033.pdf

>how you have to wait about 3 weeks for a GP appointment

GPs carried out 353 million appointments last year - a per-capita record of more than five per person. Across all services (GP, hospital, ambulance etc), the number of patient interactions per person has increased by 113% over the last 20 years. The NHS is delivering unprecedented amounts of care, it has record funding, but it still can't keep up with the growth in demand.

https://www.kingsfund.org.uk/insight-and-analysis/data-and-charts/NHS-activity-nutshell

>>102046

https://taxfoundation.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/International-Tax-Competitiveness-Index-2024-FV.pdf
>> No. 102055 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 5:54 pm
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>>102053

All of which points to >>102047

being on the money, I would say. When we have such an imbalance of poor to rich people, it's costing us more and more to take care of their needs because they can't afford it themselves; and indeed because poverty itself leads to a less healthy lifestyle, which leaves them more likely to require NHS treatment, and all the rest of it.

We've been taking the easy way out of shipping in more and more taxpayers to plug the gap, but that's just a cycle of debt, because those workers are in themselves, poor people who need more spending on them than they bring in. That's probably the core error of the mass immigration policy and the argument that "we need them"- We do need them, but only if they are going to bring in more tax revenue than it costs us to support them, which doesn't happen if they are all just minimum wage care home bum wipers.

What do you say about >>102044?

I really do think that's the only way out of it. We have to build a fuckload more housing, ideally at least half of it being social housing. The idea being that we rebalance the scale not by just forcing pay rises all over the shop, but reducing people's relative living expenses. To be fair, we would probably have to induce a pretty insane amount of inflation in order to stop existing homeowners ending up with a crash in value on their hands; but as long as the balance changes that's not inherently a problem.
>> No. 102056 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 6:51 pm
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>>102055

Our level of income inequality is marginally higher than the Nordics, but about the same as Germany and lower than Australia. Inequality is lower today than at any point during the Blair government.

I don't think it's all that complicated - our expectations for what the state should provide have grown, our ageing population places ever greater demands on public services, but the economy hasn't grown meaningfully since 2008.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_income_inequality

>What do you say about >>102044?

The people opposed to housebuilding aren't an elite class of rentiers, but ordinary homeowners. I've sat in dozens planning hearings and the people speaking in opposition are never representatives of big business; more often than not, it's a big business that is desperately trying to get planning permission for new housing. The people vehemently opposing development are ordinary people, invariably with grey hair, complaining about how new houses will affect the traffic or the view from the end of their garden or bring in the wrong sort of people.

Whether we recognise it or not, we have pursued an anti-growth agenda. The voices of people who don't want us to build houses and factories and roads are dominant in British politics. We haven't merely failed to invest, but been actively hostile to investment. Some lobby group or other always has a plausible reason why we shouldn't widen that motorway or extend that train line or build those pylons, but we all bear the costs of that stasis.
>> No. 102057 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 7:04 pm
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>>102056

So apart from nitpicking about who exactly the people responsible are, you seem to agree that it would go a long way to solving the problem.

My dad used to always tell me I'd be able to make the rules when I was paying the bills. I think he was right in principle. As such when I am prime minister, I will take the right to vote away from pensioners.

In the meantime, what else do you propose we do if not raising spending to reverse this lack of investment.
>> No. 102058 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 8:02 pm
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>>102057
>when I am prime minister, I will take the right to vote away from pensioners.
You could also just engineer it so they all conveniently die before they get a chance to vote you out. Remove the winter fuel allowance as one of your first policies, and they will have to survive four more winters without it. They're old already by definition; many will not make it. Now that's what I call progressive politics.
>> No. 102059 Anonymous
9th June 2025
Monday 8:33 pm
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>>102042
You're really reaching back to pluck out John Major, why not working class hero Kier Starmer? You're right though: I don't like that she'd have to "play the game" when the game is rigged so that you wind up with a leader like Keir Starmer, a charmless dud who lied about pretty much every element of his platform and got away with it because we don't believe in parties having internal democracy.

Corbyn was not a good leader, nor a good candidate for leader. You therefore have to wonder, why was he the only person members could pick as an alternative to a candidate slate that ran from "austerity lite man" to "austerity lite woman" with a pinch of "token Blairism 2.0 woman, campaign lead by talented winner Morgan McSweeney (5%)"? Why was there no competent leader standing on an anti-Austerity platform? (Remember: by 2016 the prime minister would be declaring Austerity dead, I'm not asking for Das Kapital here!)
Why did members have to pick the token left joke option as the next best thing? Why did Labour, with this utterly inadequate leader, suddenly become the largest mass-membership party in Europe? Could it be that semi-ordinary people are actually perfectly happy to become politically engaged if it seems like it might change things, if it's not an obvious exercise in making you go out thanklessly canvassing for some carpetbagging lobbyist?

Academic, really. That's the approved function of a party member: go out canvassing like a good little boy, play the game. It's not to have a meaningful say in what party policy is or who should get to be an MP representing the party. That's too much power in the hands of a pleb. If we didn't have power centralised with a handful of well-to-do people, we'd have total anarchy.
It's a shame that it's not just Labour: The SNP are a much better example. Post-2014 they had a membership surge thanks to people being engaged by the referendum, and instead of really seizing on it, Sturgeon stripped all the democratic oversight from the party. Again, basically without any reporting, because an institutional belief of this country is that parties don't have to be democratic - they're just supporters clubs for existing MPs.
>> No. 102060 Anonymous
10th June 2025
Tuesday 1:50 am
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>>102059

>Why was there no competent leader standing on an anti-Austerity platform?

Why can't I find a competent doctor who believes that I can live forever if I inject bleach into my veins?

It doesn't matter anyway. The announcement of the U-turn on Winter Fuel Allowance was Britain's suicide note. We've given up on having a future, because Jim and Margaret want a new conservatory. Austerity for some, the triple- lock for others.
>> No. 102061 Anonymous
10th June 2025
Tuesday 2:55 am
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>>102060
Again: if an anti-austerity platform was the equivalent of a doctor who'll sign off on injecting bleach into your veins, why has every subsequent prime minister pretended they're ending it, including electoral super-genius Morgan McSweeney's pet, Keir Starmer? The purpose of a party, we're told, is to win elections. (Members are a pesky hindrance to that aim, we're assured) Well, nobody's won on a pro-austerity platform since 2015. Imagine Labour putting up a guy with the charm of 90s Tony Blair and in 2017 and tell me it wouldn't have swung at least 30 seats. Instead we got Corbyn and a gaggle of losers so loser-y that they lost to Corbyn. There's a problem there and it's not the membership.

Frankly, the winter fuel allowance thing is bollocks. A competent Labour-right government would be making much bigger changes much faster, not pissing about at the margins. As suicide notes go, I prefer The New Hope for Britain, at least it was imaginative.
>> No. 102062 Anonymous
10th June 2025
Tuesday 9:52 am
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>>102061
>a guy with the charm of 90s Tony Blair
Labour had Chuka Umunna, the British Obama no that’s not racist it’s fine shut up. He was exceptionally charismatic and competent, and journalists (from right-wing newspapers, coincidentally) followed his kids to school and hounded him so hard, hoping for an interview with the next Prime Minister of this country, that he panicked and pulled out of the leadership race. That’s the real reason everyone voted for Corbyn as next Labour leader.
>> No. 102063 Anonymous
10th June 2025
Tuesday 11:50 am
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>>102062

'Exceptionally charismatic and competent', the guy who edited his own Wikipedia page to call himself the British Obama, joined 'Change UK', then the Lib Dems, then failed to win a seat?

Cause and effect seem to work peculiarly in your head. Perhaps you are also Chuka Umunna.
>> No. 102064 Anonymous
10th June 2025
Tuesday 12:16 pm
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>>102063

Must be the same lad who thought Kamala ran on an anti-woke platform. Completely parallel dimension.
>> No. 102065 Anonymous
10th June 2025
Tuesday 1:59 pm
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>>102062
The vile and talentless Jeremy Corbyn hardly got an easy time from the press and he held on for longer than every post-Cameron PM. (And even as a mere MP they still doorstep him to ask if he condemns Hamas)
Why is Labour breeding such softies? Our press are deranged, but not insurmountable and "Are you braver than allotment grandad?" shouldn't be a high barrier to pass if you want to be the one signing letters of last resort.
>> No. 102071 Anonymous
10th June 2025
Tuesday 8:33 pm
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>>102065

Chukka Umunna was a corporate lawyer for a Silver Circle firm before getting into politics and is now a senior executive at an investment bank. Jeremy Corbyn got two Es at A-level and dropped out of polytechnic after failing his first year; aside from a very brief stint at a local newspaper, he has only ever worked as an activist for the TUC and the Labour Party.

Walking away from politics is a lot more attractive if you've got other options.
>> No. 102072 Anonymous
10th June 2025
Tuesday 8:59 pm
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>>102071
You've boosted Umunna's CV and disparaged Corbyn, but not really answered the question. The question was about his failure to cope with the press in 2015, not his 2019 decision to throw away his seat in parliament as part of a quixotic SDP roleplay.
>> No. 102073 Anonymous
10th June 2025
Tuesday 9:19 pm
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Are you lads seriously back to Corbyn again? Like a broken bloody record...
>> No. 102074 Anonymous
10th June 2025
Tuesday 9:51 pm
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>>102073
Honestly, it's the .gs equivalent of Godwin's Law.
>> No. 102075 Anonymous
10th June 2025
Tuesday 10:20 pm
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>>102071

So what? His role at JPMC appears to be an ESG non-job, and his law career seemed to be much less distinguished than former-DPP Sir Keir Starmer. This does not make either of them good politicians.
>> No. 102076 Anonymous
10th June 2025
Tuesday 10:24 pm
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>>102075
If a member of the nobility and former banker joined the ranks of the Labour party and through hard graft and participating in a lot of Labour tribalism he became PM, would he be a bad politician? Just curious x
>> No. 102077 Anonymous
10th June 2025
Tuesday 11:02 pm
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>>102076

I don't think someone's background and commitment to climbing the greasy pole of the Labour Party are of much pertinence in judging their strength as a politician.
>> No. 102078 Anonymous
10th June 2025
Tuesday 11:05 pm
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>>102077
Seems like they'd have to use an awful lot of politics to get where they need to be. Not least as they'd need to hold the party together and keep their faction dominant while they're playing hard mode start for the party.
>> No. 102079 Anonymous
10th June 2025
Tuesday 11:19 pm
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>>102078

Jeremy Corbyn was leader of the Labour Party. Keir Starmer is leader of the Labour Party. Becoming leader of the Labour Party does not require you to be a strong politician, this is the problem.
>> No. 102080 Anonymous
11th June 2025
Wednesday 12:16 am
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>>102079
This is one of the ironies of not having internal democracy: party members can't get rid of you for being a charmless seat-filling waste of space, so you don't have to be that good at anything to get into parliament off the back of your party, and once you're in you're quite hard to get rid of. If it was a constant factional battle-royale to keep your nomination every year, sure, it'd be a little messier, but you wouldn't have half as many useless MPs. They'd have to at least be talented at winning reselection battles.
>> No. 102081 Anonymous
11th June 2025
Wednesday 12:59 am
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>>102079
It inherently does require you to be a strong politician barring some astonishing luck. You must have a very utopian impression of life if you think people don't go around employing politics all over the place like some kind of socialised ape.

>>102080
Again. Parties do have internal politics, just look at our friends in Beijing where politics and the job of being a politician didn't end in a one-party state.

>If it was a constant factional battle-royale to keep your nomination every year, sure, it'd be a little messier, but you wouldn't have half as many useless MPs. They'd have to at least be talented at winning reselection battles.

No the party would soon be hijacked by the militants who will make it their full-time job to takeover the party and band together as mates. These militants would definately not be representative of normal people. Parties have internal constitutions for a reason.
>> No. 102082 Anonymous
11th June 2025
Wednesday 1:15 am
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>>102081
A party that can be hijacked by militants is a party without a social base from which to draw good-faith members to resist those militants, and therefore deserves what it gets. Nobody cares that UKIP was taken over by YouTube weirdos once Savile fucked off to do something else, since the whole point of the thing was Savile. If Labour-as-Labour can't appeal to more people than Labour-as-SWP or whatever, that's a sign that Labour-as-Labour is past its sell-by date. If Labour's merit really is in its super-strong MPs and not in the brand, the current mob would have no trouble being re-elected under a new label. (And remember, they'd have a chance - if you're deselected by Labour you can always run as an independent and see whether constituents like you, or like Labour...)

The internal politics of the Labour party clearly fail as a selection mechanism for people you'd want running the country. You can reject my solution if you like, but I'd be astounded if you really believe this is the outcome of a good system working properly.
I'd offer the SNP pre-2015 as evidence for my case: It sounds mad to give power to the members when you describe it in Labour terms because it gets mixed up with left/right factionalism, but the SNP clearly worked best when they were a party that had democratic policy debates internally and then tried to legislate that policy as a minority government.
Entryism basically wasn't a problem because pro-independence sentiment and "things can be slightly better" social democracy engaged enough people to give it a committed membership base. What ultimately killed them - as with Labour - was MSPs and MPs realising they had all the power and changing the rules to make themselves immune to scrutiny.
>> No. 102083 Anonymous
11th June 2025
Wednesday 2:28 am
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>>102082

>A party that can be hijacked by militants is a party without a social base from which to draw good-faith members

No, the militants just bully all the good-faith members out of the party. I'm old enough to remember both rounds of "democracy" in the Labour party; at least the Corbynites just called people paedos on social media rather than kicking their heads in. Labour still haven't finished the job of purging the Liverpool branches of literal gangsters, decades after Militant ostensibly folded. I want to emphasise that I'm not saying that rhetorically - the Labour party in Liverpool was an organised crime syndicate until 2020 and is still riddled with crooks masquerading as socialists.
>> No. 102084 Anonymous
11th June 2025
Wednesday 3:32 am
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>>102083
I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but every Labour branch is riddled with crooks pretending to be socialists. Take away democracy and you just get rid of a mechanism for getting rid of them - as Liverpool's continued problems would surely show.

I'm notletting you drop the SNP point, though: Do you think Labour's DPRK-tier-majority councils in western Scotland were a nice, law-abiding lot? Well, all the crookedness in the world couldn't ultimately save them from the SNP. (Until the SNP de-democratised and became crooked.)
>> No. 102087 Anonymous
11th June 2025
Wednesday 12:56 pm
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Sorry to interrupt, but ouch, my brain. We've got fuck all money for anything, except far-fetched bollocks like this. Sorry, Earth.
>> No. 102089 Anonymous
11th June 2025
Wednesday 3:21 pm
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>>102087
Look, just because it's never worked and is scientifically very unlikely to work doesn't make it impossible that we could be the ones to make it work. If we just invest in this speculative technological gamble this one time, and it pays off, we'll reclaim all of our lost ground against Europe and America and take our place as the leading producer of supersonic airplanes. I mean reactors. I mean AI. I mean, uhh, whatever this Esso guy just passed me.
An above inflation rent increase for council and housing association povvos is a small price to pay for that.
>> No. 102090 Anonymous
11th June 2025
Wednesday 8:17 pm
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>>102089

It's simply untrue that CCS has never worked. The Alberta Carbon Trunk Line has been in operation for five years and is currently capturing and storing 1.6 million tonnes of CO2 per year. Sucking CO2 out of the air is an unsolved problem, but capturing carbon emissions at source from a major industrial site is really quite straightforward.

Viking and Acorn are clever projects that could be extremely cost-effective. They're re-using old natural gas infrastructure in reverse, so instead of pumping gas out of the north sea, they're pumping CO2 down. An exhausted north sea gas field is pretty much purpose-built for carbon storage; you've already got a vast impermeable reservoir with a pipeline running to it, you just need to plumb it up to a power station, an oil refinery or a cement works.
>> No. 102095 Anonymous
11th June 2025
Wednesday 10:22 pm
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Why is everything "Great" British now? Great British Energy, Great British Nuclear, Great British Railways, Great British Fuck Off With This Patronising Shit.

When we had real institutions they never did this insecure nonsense: half were British Thing (Rail, Steel, Aerospace) the other half were the National Thing Organisation (Health Service, Coal Board), a bold, confident, sometimes a bold statement of nation-building intent in a country made up of multiple nations.
>> No. 102097 Anonymous
11th June 2025
Wednesday 10:25 pm
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>>102095

Making Britain Great Again aren't they.

I still think they should have gone with "big hard" instead. Imagine that. Big Hard British Railways.
>> No. 102099 Anonymous
11th June 2025
Wednesday 11:02 pm
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>>102095
Whenever you are the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, you should always be asking yourself: what would America do? I say this facetiously but actually I'm worried it might be entirely 100% accurate.
>> No. 102100 Anonymous
11th June 2025
Wednesday 11:41 pm
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>Pentagon launches review of US-UK-Australia Aukus security alliance
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/jun/11/pentagon-review-aukus-security-alliance

Looking forward to the Strategy Defence Review 2026.
>> No. 102105 Anonymous
12th June 2025
Thursday 6:48 pm
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>>102100

Excuse my ignorance, but I've never quite understood why the UK needed to be involved in AUKUS. I guess AUS would make for a confusing acronym.
>> No. 102106 Anonymous
12th June 2025
Thursday 6:59 pm
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>>102105

Come to think of it, I don't really understand why Australia of all countries, which doesn't even allow itself to have a civil nuclear programme, needs nuclear submarines, for that matter.
>> No. 102108 Anonymous
12th June 2025
Thursday 11:01 pm
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>>102105
You mean besides cutting edge nuclear technology, thousands of jobs in advanced shipbuilding, a replacement for our own aging submarine fleet, sharing across other advanced capabilities like quantum, access to challenge funding for British companies, changes to ITAR for defence exports, expanding the place of BAE and Rolls-Royce in nuclear reactor technology and setting a clear message on our commitment to Pacific security?

>>102106
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/clydv58l57do

China is steadily expanding its influence in Australia's backyard.
>> No. 102109 Anonymous
13th June 2025
Friday 12:33 am
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>>102106
They're nuclear powered hunter-killer submarines. They won't be doing any city obliterating.
>> No. 102111 Anonymous
13th June 2025
Friday 11:51 am
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>>102108
Is quantum some kind of acronym or are you doing that thing management people and civil servants do where they cut an adjective into a standalone phrase? ("quantum computing" > "quantum", "digital services/technology" > "digital")
I ask mostly because I want to know why they do this. How did it start?

To make it vaguely political: I don't see why a country in the North Atlantic with only one Pacific territory that most people couldn't name (35 people on Pitcairn island, a historical joke conclusion to the mutiny on the Bounty that stopped being funny in 2004 when a third of the male population were arrested for noncing) needs a "clear message on our commitment to Pacific security" at a time when, as we're always reminded, there is no money.
>> No. 102112 Anonymous
13th June 2025
Friday 12:00 pm
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>>102111

>a "clear message on our commitment to Pacific security" at a time when, as we're always reminded, there is no money.

We're skint, but hey, at least we still own a place in the Pacific, and get to sit at that table.
>> No. 102114 Anonymous
13th June 2025
Friday 4:55 pm
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>>102109
In my defence you can use torpedoes for nuclear delivery so long as you limit yourself in coastal targets.

>>102111
>I ask mostly because I want to know why they do this. How did it start?

It's how AUKUS treaty refers to it.

Quantum refers to an umbrella of capabilities based on exploiting one or more of the same core, non-intuitive quantum phenomena to achieve their purpose. Like how AI, cyber and smart technologies are all broad terms for various things or you might go to the supermarket with a shopping list to buy apples and oranges.

>I don't see why a country in the North Atlantic with only one Pacific territory that most people couldn't name (35 people on Pitcairn island, a historical joke conclusion to the mutiny on the Bounty that stopped being funny in 2004 when a third of the male population were arrested for noncing) needs a "clear message on our commitment to Pacific security" at a time when, as we're always reminded, there is no money.

Because we do a lot of trade with the Pacific, the region is going to become even more important in future, with have a lot of friends in the region and we'd rather not see a China invade Taiwan. Plus we might have some pensioners sailing yachts in the Pacific who could lose out on their winter fuel payments and end up voting Reform.
>> No. 102115 Anonymous
15th June 2025
Sunday 12:58 am
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In hindsight it's probably no surprise that Savile would do so well with ex-Corbyn voters.
https://www.tiktok.com/@itvpeston/video/7515395929558600982
>> No. 102116 Anonymous
15th June 2025
Sunday 1:20 am
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>>102115

Post something other than a fucking TikTok link and I might entertain taking the bait.
>> No. 102117 Anonymous
15th June 2025
Sunday 2:14 am
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>>102116
Here you go then: https://www.youtube.com/shorts/UFGoT9m9R9A
>> No. 102171 Anonymous
21st June 2025
Saturday 9:32 pm
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>Reform with Ipsos record 9-point lead over Labour, as public satisfaction with government nears lowest point recorded under a modern Labour administration
>Labour’s 25% voting intention is the lowest share Ipsos has recorded for Labour since October 2019.
>The Conservatives’ 15% is the lowest share Ipsos has ever recorded.
>Keir Starmer and the government’s satisfaction ratings have fallen significantly since last year, with around three in four (73% and 76% respectively) now dissatisfied.
https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/reform-ipsos-record-9-point-lead-over-labour-public-satisfaction-government-nears-lowest-point

I have a feeling that things are going to get a lot worse before they get better.
>> No. 102180 Anonymous
23rd June 2025
Monday 12:06 am
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>The number of London homes for sale at £5 million ($6.8 million) or more rose to the highest on record last month, as the nation contends with the departure of wealthy foreigners looking to escape tax hikes.
>There was a 22% year-on-year jump in these homes on the market at the end of May, according to data from researcher LonRes. However, there were 15% fewer deals compared with the same month last year, hinting that the UK’s decision to abolish tax breaks for non-domiciled residents has weakened demand. “There are many motivated vendors out there, with high numbers of new instructions and price reductions,” said Nick Gregori, head of research at LonRes. “But it seems the available stock is not necessarily what buyers are looking for — and even when it is, it might not be at a price they want to pay.”

>A number of wealthy individuals are leaving the UK after it scrapped a two-century-old tax break for about 74,000 people with non-domiciled status in April. A Bloomberg analysis of 5 million company filings shows a big spike in departing business leaders over recent months, with more than 4,400 disclosing an overseas move in about the last year. But those looking to sell their luxury London homes are facing a slump in demand driven by the same pressures that have prompted them to consider leaving the UK. There were 45% more price reductions on £5 million-plus properties between January and May than the same period last year, as vendors resorted to discounts in a bid to attract interest, LonRes data show.

>Still, reports that Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves is considering reversing a decision to charge inheritance tax on the overseas assets of non-doms could ease the strain on London’s luxury housing market. Property adviser Becky Fatemi said the inheritance tax changes were “the nail in the coffin” that “tipped many non-doms over the edge,” adding that a U-turn could convince some wealthy individuals to stay in the UK and even tempt a few to come back. “It won’t reverse the exodus overnight, but it could stop the bleeding,” said Fatemi, executive partner at UK Sotheby’s International Realty. “We’ve seen clients go to extraordinary lengths — restructuring, relocating, spending significant time and money — simply to avoid a punitive future for their estates.”

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-18/non-doms-are-trying-to-sell-london-homes-but-no-one-wants-them
https://archive.is/dDcsL

Rotters the lot of you. Those poor non-doms can't even sell their multi-million pound homes and after all they've done for this country!
>> No. 102184 Anonymous
24th June 2025
Tuesday 2:24 pm
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It's been going on since the start, but it's really starting to annoy me watching the government talk about PIP like it's an out of work benefit. It shows a ridiculous level of contempt for the public. Once or twice and you could assume it's just that the person involved has no idea what they're talking about, but it's still going on, there's no way it's not purposeful mendacity.

For those who don't care about our welfare system: PIP is there to meet the extra costs you face because you have a disability. It has no relationship to income or to employment status. Cutting it is as likely to drive disabled people who are working into unemployment (because they can no longer meet the extra costs they face) as it is to starve the people on ESA (out-of-work disability benefit) into work out of desperation.
>> No. 102185 Anonymous
24th June 2025
Tuesday 11:24 pm
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>>102184

I think the fact that nobody knows what it is or how it works is precisely why they are targeting it. It gives them the flexibility to do as much or as little to the actual finding as they see fit, while still giving the anti-scrounger crowd some blood (in the headlines, at least.)

I think what this government is going for is just anything that gets their own backbenchers angry, because that then plays well with the kind of person they actually need to keep on side. Ask yourself- Will this policy result in Dianne Abbot going on Radio 4 and breathlessly telling Nick Robinson why she personally can't support it? Then it's exactly what they want to do.
>> No. 102186 Anonymous
25th June 2025
Wednesday 1:43 pm
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>Class no longer main dividing line in UK politics, survey shows

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/jun/25/class-age-education-dividing-lines-uk-politics-electoral-reform

Don't tell otherlad.
>> No. 102187 Anonymous
25th June 2025
Wednesday 7:13 pm
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>>102186

"Class distinctions do not die, they merely learn new ways of expressing themselves... Each decade we swiftly declare we have buried class; each decade the coffin stays empty."
>> No. 102188 Anonymous
25th June 2025
Wednesday 11:43 pm
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>>102186

You know how sharks can see magnetic fields, or how bats use echolocation? It's my superpower, I will see through whatever smokescreen you try to use, because my vision is like a class reductionist T-800.
>> No. 102189 Anonymous
26th June 2025
Thursday 12:38 am
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>>102187
>>102188
No one's saying class doesn't exist. Well, John Curtice isn't saying that. However, in an age of total individualism, where mass participation is deader than dinosaurs, and political parties exist as a blurry simulacrum of actual political organisations, these findings make complete sense to me.

>The survey found record levels of support for electoral reform. For the first time, a majority of supporters of all parties favour electoral reform
Everyone wants change in an era where absolutely no one in power has any idea on how to delivery it. In total fairness I'm not sure anyone out of power knows how to deliver it either, which seems to be how you wind up like the Labour Party.
>> No. 102190 Anonymous
26th June 2025
Thursday 12:49 am
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>>102189

>in an age of total individualism, where mass participation is deader than dinosaurs, and political parties exist as a blurry simulacrum of actual political organisations

Indeed, but the refrain Classlad is trying to enlighten us all with is that that's part of the problem, and that although you can rationalise things in other terms and people are increasingly confused and mixed up as to their own class position, doesn't mean it's not a huge, arguably the biggest, influence on things.

Whenever somebody starts with "we're not saying class isn't important, but..." it always turns out to be the same old motte and bailey attempt to sideline class because they would prefer to just use all the same ephemeral values and identity distinctions instead, and push their JJ McCullough enlightened centrist worldview. For instance, with electoral reform, there's a huge reason that working class people should support it, in that their votes are typically more "wasted" under FPTP. Plus a lot of supposedly non-class markers like education do also cut directly across class.

They always want an excuse to look past or sidestep class, because it's just so inconvenient to them.
>> No. 102191 Anonymous
26th June 2025
Thursday 1:56 am
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>>102190
>Indeed, but the refrain Classlad is trying to enlighten us all with is that that's part of the problem
Well, yes. Did you think I wrote that list of terrible consequences to highlight all the positives we've accrued since the middle of the 20th century? Obviously I was stating the problems we face.

The thing is, these stats are true. It isn't really a question of outright class solidarity anymore. You can't rely on masses of workers walking out in a general strike, or rallying around the welfare state. Class is of course still a factor, but a very big problem is the complete and total lack of new ideas. No one, least of all those in power, has much of a clue on how to sort out anything. This is why I've come to think of electoral reform as a bit of a red herring. We'd just end up with a coalition lead by the exact same kind of do-nothings we have now. So what is the solution? Colour revolutions? AI driven planned economies? Matrix pods?

I'm being facetious, but I am genuinely desperate for an answer. There is tremendous uncertainty in the world of politics right now, because of my now very belaboured point about no one in politics knowing what to do. The best recent example of this is Reform attempting to tack to the left. You would think an insurgent party that's not infrequently topping national polls would be more gung-ho, but no. Instead, when presented with what could well be an opportunity to seize real political power, the whold party panics and scatters in a hundred different directions. It's all because none of them have any idea how to fix anything, and in this I have the slightest amount of sympathy for Reform, because the problems facing Britain and the world now seem so insurmountably large that panic is almost inevitable. Political power, such that it is, increasingly resembles the Wish Granter from the STALKER games. It mutates or zombifies every living thing around it into a cruel abomination of it's former self, and once you get within touching distance, it kills you dead with an ironic curse (see Labour cutting the most egalitarian of benefits, PIP).

Anyway, if I was going to ask you, and anyone else who gives a fuck, an actual question, it would be this: now that you recognise that there's a working class, what are you actually going to do about it?
>> No. 102192 Anonymous
26th June 2025
Thursday 8:32 am
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I can't wait for Labour to announce more cuts, especially for disabled people. That's bound to turn things around.
>> No. 102193 Anonymous
26th June 2025
Thursday 9:16 am
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I don't know but I hope Wes Streeting dies peacefully in his sleep of natural causes sooner rather than later.
>> No. 102194 Anonymous
26th June 2025
Thursday 9:44 am
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>>102191
I'm not convinced there is a solution. I think we're a post-democracy and that the government spinning around wildly like this is just one of the features of such a situation. It's just a random grab-bag of administrators who help keep the machine ticking along, voters giving them a kicking every few years serves as a slight outlet for public discontent, and you can justify beating up protestors by telling them they should've voted instead, smugly knowing that their votes would do nothing. As a reward for their service you can bus them off to a non-job in a firm who wants access to their hand-picked successors when their turn comes around. The press are all chums with everyone else involved and arguably the most important factor in deciding which gang of useless people is getting a kicking this time, which irrelevant distraction politicians are to talk about instead of dealing with public concerns, and so on. I don't think this is due to any conspiracy (despite one or two actual conspiracies having occurred), it's just the natural outcome of the way the system we had before has evolved, a thousand little causes interacting in a thousand little ways. It's happened almost everywhere to some extent, though I think Britain is particularly egregious.

The system is its own point, like a monarchy and the monarch's court it keeps on ticking regardless of what you or I want, rather than being any kind of participative exercise. (You could join a party and hand out leaflets, of course, but Russians are allowed to volunteer for United Russia and it doesn't mean much.) Even now, as we talk about how Labour can win back voters, we tend to find that press discourse is really just playing stenographer for Morgan McSweeney and his plan to further alienate the Labour left.
So what I think, really, is that I wish I'd never cared for politics, because my final conclusion winds up being the same as everyone else: they're all the same, it doesn't matter what I do anyhow, my vote is useless, i don't like politics, and i'd be much happier just watching a film or something than paying attention to this bleak, boring nonsense.
>> No. 102195 Anonymous
26th June 2025
Thursday 9:59 am
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>>102194

It's not that complicated. I've said this repeatedly and at length, but what voters want is impossible, which is why nobody can offer a "solution". We've got a rapidly ageing population and the triple-lock, which inevitably means some combination of higher taxes and spending cuts in other areas to keep pace with the vast growth in pension expenditure. We want economic growth, but we consistently veto the things that actually deliver growth - building roads and pylons and factories and houses. We want better public services, but we don't want to pay higher taxes.

Frankly, the electorate needs to grow up, because we're getting the political class that we deserve.
>> No. 102196 Anonymous
26th June 2025
Thursday 11:18 am
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>>102195

I don't quite agree. I don't think you are wrong, exactly, but I don't think it's a dead end.

This only holds true if you are committed to looking at politics, the electorate, and the idea of democracy as a process where we take the 70 million people who live here, and we flatten out every data point and average out every figure until we arrive at some magical consensus point precisely triangulated in the square centre of every possible overlap in the Venn diagram. That's the part that I think is impossible, and I think the flaw in our system is that we are still going about business as though it's going to work. Because as you say, lots of those things are irreconcilable.

What we have to get used to and bring ourselves to confront is the fact that whatever solutions we decide upon, there will be winners and losers, there will be people who don't like it but will have to go along with it. The only problem is in deciding which side will have to like it and which side will have to lump it- Arguably our current system skews towards the wealthier older demographic, who have all of the voting power compared to the younger and less wealthy demographic. I think it is only rational for the health of an economy that we should flip that around and make it so that younger people have more of a stake, more opportunities to build wealth, get on the ladder, and overall just participate in society in the way their parent's generations did.

I am rapidly reaching the point of being in the latter rather than the former demographic, I own a home and I am starting to feel more comfortable, but I remember how much of a struggle it was to get here. I think the noble, even patriotic dare I say, thing would be for those with a more established and comfortable lifestyle to chip a bit more in and allow policies to be implemented that benefit the younger generation. It's for the good of the country. It's for their kids and our kid's futures. We need a democratic system that gives more representation to the people who it should rationally represent, the productive people who have years of work ahead of them.

Somebody needs to get the message through that we can do something, but only if you are prepared to accept that you might not be the one on the gravy train any more, and tell the people who object, look, stop being so bloody selfish, you've had your turn, let somebody else have a go.
>> No. 102197 Anonymous
26th June 2025
Thursday 11:37 am
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>>102195
Our government is as unpopular as can be, if it wanted to come in - Roger Douglas (New Zealand) style - and sweep away every little inefficiency we've got, forget who it hurts, forget the short term pain, it ought to be more than capable of doing that - and forget the voters too. They don't get a say until 2029. Voters aren't upset that this government has done the hard, necessary, radical things to set the country right: they're upset that this government has decided to keep a miserable status quo ticking over for another 4 years, their only nods towards change being a token rail nationalisation that passed almost without comment and, to counterbalance it, a series of attacks on the vulnerable designed more around yanking the left's chain than around long-term economic or even political strategy.
I mean, compare: By this point Blair had given the bank of England independence, signed the Good Friday agreement, the human rights act, held referendums on devolution for Scotland, Wales, and London, created the minimum wage, created the department for international development, completed the white paper on freedom of information, had Roy Jenkins draw up a quickly binned report on electoral reform, brought in tuition fees, and randomly bullied single mothers to meet an arbitrary fiscal target. That's just off the top of my head, and it's not like he was a spectacular exception - he was a tinkerer with a new status quo rather than a true radical.

I can't look at the 2024 election result and imagine that the electorate are the ones in the driving seat. A good chunk of our press knew Labour had no plan, but instead of hammering them on it, they let it slide and hoped they had a secret plan because they didn't want to alienate what was obviously our future governing party. Is that the electorate's fault? Should every single voter have sat down with Labour's manifesto, the OBR figures, and a copy of "how to lie with statistics" instead of relying on the press to do their jobs?
No. In my world, the government's captured by existing interests, not by voters. It's easy to ram through massive tax and planning reform against the will of the electorate, it's not easy to ram through such reform against the will of every tax-dodger and land-banker in Britain, particularly when the proprietors of our press are usually in one or both of those categories. Voter choice is mainly an output of the system, not an input to it.
>> No. 102198 Anonymous
26th June 2025
Thursday 2:45 pm
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>>102195
>We’ve got a rapidly ageing population
>Frankly, the electorate needs to grow up
…?
>> No. 102199 Anonymous
26th June 2025
Thursday 8:25 pm
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I've been thinking about it, and it's clear that none of us have the answer. Therefore I suggest we begin practicing necromancy and resurrect David Greaber. That's my best idea at fixing anything.
>> No. 102200 Anonymous
26th June 2025
Thursday 9:58 pm
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>>102199

It could be easier to ask Peter Gelderloos, if that's the route you're going down.
>> No. 102204 Anonymous
29th June 2025
Sunday 12:07 pm
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>These days Stewart has taken on some rather more provincial causes — like fixing the potholes on the road outside his house in Essex. In 2022 he was filmed with a hi-vis jacket and a shovel, getting stuck into the tarmac after one of his sports cars suffered a serious ding. “I took me Ferrari out. Nearly lost the f***ing wheel,” he moans, still sounding cross about it. “And before I did in the Ferrari I saw an ambulance that couldn’t move, the wheel stuck right in there. So I took me mates out, and we knew what to do because I had builders in the house. We filled in a considerable length of the road, actually.”

>There begins the political section of our interview. “It’s all over Britain,” Stewart says of the pothole crisis, looking suitably concerned. “As I travel in Italy, Germany, nowhere else is as bad. Starmer has promised to spend millions on it … We shall see.”

>Where does Stewart see Britain’s political future going? “It’s hard for me because I’m extremely wealthy, and I deserve to be, so a lot of it doesn’t really touch me. But that doesn’t mean I’m out of touch. For instance, I’ve read about Starmer cutting off the fishing in Scotland and giving it back to the EU. That hasn’t made him popular. We’re fed up with the Tories. We’ve got to give Savile a chance. He’s coming across well.” Jimmy? “What options have we got? I know some of his family, I know his brother, and I quite like him.”

https://www.thetimes.com/culture/music/article/rod-stewart-interview-pyramid-stage-glastonbury-festival-2025-dpfs7wq8p
>> No. 102206 Anonymous
29th June 2025
Sunday 4:47 pm
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>>102200
Don't trust him. I'm doing my thing.

>>102204
Doesn't sound like he'll be having his own "death, death, to the IDF" chant then.
>> No. 102210 Anonymous
30th June 2025
Monday 1:21 pm
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> Keir Starmer has told hospitals and universities to obey the law and ban evangelist christian korean youtuber women from female lavatories “as soon as possible”.

>The Prime Minister said public bodies must stop dragging their feet and comply with April’s Supreme Court ruling, which found that trans women are not legally women.

https://www.I need to find an archive link for this.co.uk/politics/2025/06/30/ban-trans-women-from-female-lavatories-starmer/

It feels like this is from the Tory playbook. Trying to focus on benefit cuts hasn't worked for Starmer so now he's back to talking about evangelist christian korean youtubers to try and distract from the terrible job the government are doing.
>> No. 102211 Anonymous
30th June 2025
Monday 2:42 pm
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>>102210
It took the Tories until 2023 to get desperate enough that they went all-in on a stupid culture war. Labour can't even make it 365 days. By 2026 they'll be promising to bring back national service.
>> No. 102212 Anonymous
30th June 2025
Monday 8:08 pm
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>Start having MORE children and start families sooner, minister for women and equality says

>Young women should be having more children and sooner, the minister for women and equalities has urged. Bridget Phillipson said too many young people have been put off from having families because of soaring costs for things like housing and childcare. She has warned there could be 'worrying repercussions' of a plummeting birth rate in Briton and that her childcare plans will encourage more people to have families when they may have previously rejected the idea. 'I want more young people to have children, if they so choose,' said Ms Phillipson in an article for The Daily Telegraph.

>'A generation of young people have been thinking twice about starting a family; worried not only about rising mortgage and rent repayments, wary not only of the price of fuel and food but also put off by a childcare system simultaneously lacking in places and ruinously expensive,' the MP said. She said Britain's falling birth rate represented a 'trend which has worrying repercussions for society in the future but tells a story, heartbreakingly, about the dashed dreams of many families'. Ms Phillipson revealed the government is set to go beyond it's target of 4,000 new school-based childcare places this September.

>Ms Phillipson's comments come as the fertility rate in England and Wales is down to 1.49 per woman - when 2.1 is the minimum needed to keep a population steady. A waning population could mean there are not enough workers to care for the ageing members of society and to pay taxes to keep funding public services. Last year, the Office for Budget Responsibility warned that Britain’s falling birth rate could see the national debt soar over the next 50 years. It said the country would have to become reliant on migration to boost the population as deaths will outnumber births in Britain from the middle of the next decade.

>Ms Phillipson's comments come after a number of European leaders urging their citizens to grow their families in order to bolster their economies. Last year, the French president Emmanuel Macron brought in free fertility checks for those aged 18 to 25. And Giorgia Meloni, Italy's Prime Minister, set a target of 500,000 births annually.
https://www.Please don't ban me.co.uk/news/article-14859255/children-families-sooner-minister-women-equality.html

Is this the real reason they're banning porn?

>>102211
>By 2026 they'll be promising to bring back national service

Aren't we already heading into that with his whole speech about a war coming and people being told to keep emergency provisions at home?
>> No. 102213 Anonymous
30th June 2025
Monday 8:12 pm
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>>102212
>plummeting birth rate in Briton
I don't think this country is worth saving anyway, with spelling like that. Sterilise the lot of us.
>> No. 102214 Anonymous
2nd July 2025
Wednesday 1:28 pm
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>Rachel Reeves was in tears at prime minister’s questions on Wednesday as the Tory leader, Kemi Badenoch, attacked the government over its U-turn on welfare cuts.

https://www.theguardian.com/society/2025/jul/02/reeves-in-tears-as-starmer-declines-to-confirm-she-will-remain-chancellor

Imagine crying because you've been stopped from taking more money off disabled people.
>> No. 102215 Anonymous
2nd July 2025
Wednesday 2:31 pm
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>>102214
I feel like in 2025 a politician would be more open about it if it was that and they'd do a speech rather than locking themselves up in their office or having their sister comforting them in Parliament. At least that's my conclusion given you're otherwise having to trust the political intuition of Kemi.

Wait until you find out where the £3bn bill is going to come from.
>> No. 102216 Anonymous
2nd July 2025
Wednesday 2:32 pm
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>>102214
By the leader of the Conservative Party, no less. It’s like being attacked by Johnny Rotten for selling out your punk credentials too much.

I think that the data analysis carried out by political parties all converges on one very specific point, and consequently whichever party you vote for will always ultimately wind up supporting those same ideologies, which politics cannot diverge from. Even when the people vote for something else, they wind up back at the same point in the end. And unfortunately, it’s shit.
>> No. 102217 Anonymous
2nd July 2025
Wednesday 3:30 pm
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The way the last lot scraped through the last five years from crisis to crisis, and this government is unfit to govern after one backbencher rebellion? The way the news are going on you'd have thought Labour has just lost a GE.

I dunno, isn't this how government is supposed to work? Isn't it a good thing the PM can't just force through anything he wants however unpopular it is?
>> No. 102218 Anonymous
2nd July 2025
Wednesday 4:14 pm
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>>102217
A competent government would know that there was a chance of a major backlash by MPs long before it was being litigated in the news, and if absolutely necessary to compromise it would've done so before announcing the changes so it looked like the compromise was always their plan. "Will you be able to pass this legislation?" is not a question that should arise in your first year in office with a gigantic majority unless you've fucked up somewhere. (Either by annoying your MPs, or by trying to pass terrible legislation, or both.)
Don't forget that the PLP is packed with people who were hand-picked by the current party leadership and foisted on local parties. If those people are rebelling, that means that the hand-picking was spectacularly incompetent, that the government has upset them, or that they see naked career advantage in biting the hand that fed.

For my money: They're doing a damn silly thing in a damn silly way.
>> No. 102219 Anonymous
2nd July 2025
Wednesday 4:41 pm
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>>102217
There is the press bias but the Tories mastered the art of not having any shame. There were so many occasions when there'd be bad news or missed forecasts and George Osborne would come out and repeat his mantra about the "long-term economic plan". It didn't matter what was going on in reality, he brazenly stuck with this message. That's without even getting on to the likes of Boris Johnson. Complete unwarranted confidence in their own abilities.

I don't think anyone senior in Labour has this level of balls. They're arrogant, but in a different way. They've overestimated how much influence they have in their own party. They've expected everyone to appreciate that the grown ups are now in charge and everything they're doing is completely sensible. This has been a slap of reality to the face, so it'll be interesting to see how they respond to it.
>> No. 102220 Anonymous
2nd July 2025
Wednesday 6:10 pm
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To set aside the politics for a moment, this week I learned that one-in-eight working-age people in my borough are on PIP. I can't get my head around that number. Are we really that sick, or is this a kind of Universal Basic Income by the back door? I'm inclined to agree with the lad who says that trying to push people off benefits and into work is largely pointless because there aren't enough jobs to go around, but what the fuck does that mean for the country in the long term? I'm just reeling from the scale of the issue.
>> No. 102221 Anonymous
2nd July 2025
Wednesday 6:31 pm
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>>102220
The basic welfare payment in this country is abysmal and are doctors are quick to sign people off work (due to being overworked). The problem will this system in particular is it incentivises people stay sick and you might go into a doctors office and be effectively asked how sick you want be.

>I'm inclined to agree with the lad who says that trying to push people off benefits and into work is largely pointless because there aren't enough jobs to go around

We know there are because our European comparators saw a spike in claimants in the pandemic that has no long since declined while ours has remained stubborn. There are other reasons for this like low skills and poor health (physical but we also a greater % with mental health issues) but it's not true to say that the UK lacks job vacancies.
>> No. 102222 Anonymous
2nd July 2025
Wednesday 6:32 pm
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>>102220
https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/cbp-9602/
Based on the numbers in here, about 1-in-4 of the population are disabled, so 1-in-8 being so disabled that they qualify for extra monetary help doesn't seem that far-fetched. Even when you account for not being eligible for PIP if you don't apply before retirement age, 23% of the working age population are disabled.
We're quite sick and we're getting older, which tends to make you sicker. It's not necessarily a uniquely British problem: a cursory check suggests ~21% of Australians, 27% of Canadians, 17% of New Zealanders, and 20% of Swedes are disabled.
>> No. 102223 Anonymous
2nd July 2025
Wednesday 7:37 pm
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>>102221

>it's not true to say that the UK lacks job vacancies

There's undoubtedly a massive shortage of entry-level vacancies in the places where they're needed most. Have a search on one of the job sites, set your location to Wigan or Wallsend and ask yourself "how many of these vacancies would be suitable for me if I was coming off long-term disability benefits?".
>> No. 102224 Anonymous
2nd July 2025
Wednesday 7:38 pm
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>>102221

>it's not true to say that the UK lacks job vacancies.

Yes, it is. It is demonstrably true. The thing you have just said is the one that's not true.
>> No. 102225 Anonymous
2nd July 2025
Wednesday 8:01 pm
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>>102221
>it incentivises people to stay sick and you might go into a doctor's office and be effectively asked how sick you want be.
My friend looked into PIP when her old-man boyfriend got mouth cancer. I will have told this story before, so you can skip it if you remember it. Firstly, with PIP, you need to answer questions based on how you feel at your worst, not how you feel when you're basically fine. So when he was getting radiotherapy and could barely move, he was an ideal candidate for PIP. And when my friend gets the sort of anxiety attacks that keep her off work for an entire week, that's what PIP is for as well. However, the rest of the time, the pair of them are absolutely fine and they don't deserve a fucking penny. She makes more than I do in her job, plus she shares all her bills with her boyfriend while I sit in my bachelor pad paying for everything myself and really not being as upset as I should be when some virgin teenager goes on a killing spree. For either of them to get the PIP money every month would be a complete insult to society. But if you're disabled all the time, it's not right to make you apply for PIP over and over again, in case your arms and legs have suddenly grown back or whatever. So if you can be disabled for a week, as many of us can, you can claim PIP for months and months. That's why the costs are so high, and you're absolutely right that it's a very easy system to game.
>> No. 102227 Anonymous
3rd July 2025
Thursday 12:41 am
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I'm going to bed so I won't be going into much detail, but I think Starmer is the worst politician I've ever seen. Liz Truss at least had to scrap through a field of other Tories to become High-Tory, and Rob Ford was addicted to crack, which makes just getting through the day impressive in some ways. Starmer's primary contribution to the Corbyn shadow cabinet was the second referendum, which only LibDems liked and no one voted for them in 2019. He then wins the leadership of the party by lying his arse off, wins an election by being the one holding the parcel when the music stops, and within a year of that he's alienated half the PLP. Many of those MPs he personally signed-off on their selection to stand in the first place. Plus he's made his Numero Dos cry in public, which is the kind of fuck up you wouldn't anticipate a junior shop manager pulling off, but somehow wasn't a bar Keir could clear. Oh, and he and McSweeney made up a narrative that all of 2024's cock ups were Sue Gray's fault, which seems rather unlikely given the how things have carried on since then. He also made Gray a baroness, presumably as an apology for throwing her under a bus at the first opporunity.

Something no one wants to talk about is that very few Muslims are going to vote Labour at the next election. Whether that's because it's uncomfortable to mention or there are just too many other rakes being stepped on I don't know. The percentage had already dropped a great deal at the previous GE, but it's going to be a lot worse next time. The candidates who will run on Gaza won't need to win, just eat into Labour majorities enough to cost them the seat and it could be disasterous.

You might find such naked politicing repellent and I wouldn't entirely disagree. However, that's also what Labour are doing when they try to appeal to their imaginary turbo centrists by doing things like refusing to criticise Israel, or constantly banging on about "difficult choices".

I'm leaving the first line of my post unchanged because proof reading it made me laugh.
>> No. 102228 Anonymous
3rd July 2025
Thursday 1:00 am
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>>102227
I’m coming round to the theory that this is just the end of our political system and nothing can be done. I am traditionally more of a “nothing ever happens” type, but Keir Starmer is the opposite of everyone who failed before him, and he’s failing too, so what more can we do? The UK tends to follow America politically, and at the time we all thought Boris Johnson was our Trump - the leader who would shake up the system by dicking around randomly and ruin all the career suits with his refreshing loopiness. But perhaps our Trump wasn’t Boris at all. Perhaps it’s going to be whichever swivel-eyed madman comes after Keir Starmer, starting trade wars at random while tweeting with obvious dementia. Reform UK are doing well in the polls; how clear a signal do we really need that the establishment is on the verge of collapse?
>> No. 102229 Anonymous
3rd July 2025
Thursday 1:44 am
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>>102223
You're pointing to the real problem here that we need to get the left-behinds off bennies and into gainful careers but as a country we're struggling to work out a system for how we achieve that or even break the inter-generational poverty aspect of it.

We have a lot of good paying sectors in this country that are screaming for workers but I've only ever heard of the 'Destination Nuclear' campaign achieving anything. A big problem isn't really anything to do with government so much as employers neglecting to invest and train in their own workforce which in turn creates a shortage of suitable applications and mid-career experts that creates a self-fulfilling prophecy as anyone who does gain the prerequisite skills will get poached quickly. And of course if you're really skilled then you might as well fuck off to America for a proper wage.

That's the real reason the Labour government feels a lot like an extension of the Tories - they're both hitting the same problems and there's not an easy answer. We need to simultaneously get people off long-term sick to stop bankrupting the country, get them learning the right skills, make sure there's the infrastructure to make business possible, fix the utilities and make sure workers can get the experiance to also move up the career ladder. I'd still send everyone to uni but if you don't like that then there's always the Tories apprenticeship policy.

>>102224
There are a lot of job vacancies across the UK in key sectors. Both unemployment and job vacancies can exist at the same time.

>>102228
I reckon things will settle down if we get the economy going again which seems to be Starmer's gamble too. And Rishi's before that. A lot of problems in this country could be fixed with a booming economy but we might be stuffed now that the US is actively trying to destroy the global economy.
>> No. 102230 Anonymous
3rd July 2025
Thursday 1:47 am
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>>102229
Forgot my pic of that time the government tried to get people into gainful careers and everyone got incredibly angry about it.
>> No. 102231 Anonymous
3rd July 2025
Thursday 1:48 am
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>>102228
Sir Keir, knight of the realm, really seems to have no personality or intellectual interests at all. He seems a bit like David Cameron without the Eton-imposed self confidence. He'd be good at some job that required running a well oiled machine, but not anything that required the slightest hint of creativity or grasp of how different complex scenarios might play out. I began writing this with the idea that it could lead to the suggestion that his lack of acumen was an exception rather than the rule, but you know what, you're right, I don't think anybody who's likely to become PM in this country has got the combination of competence and backbone required. So this post is a complete waste of our time, sorry about that.
>> No. 102232 Anonymous
3rd July 2025
Thursday 7:01 am
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>>102227
>Something no one wants to talk about is that very few Muslims are going to vote Labour at the next election.

20% of people who've defected from Labour to the Greens see Gaza as the biggest issue facing the UK right now. It's the third most common reason given for people defecting there.
>> No. 102233 Anonymous
3rd July 2025
Thursday 7:45 am
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>>102229
There may not be easy answers to getting people out of long-term unemployment and into work, but cutting PIP is a transparently incorrect answer. Not in a bleeding heart way: abolishing ESA for the people who're too sick to work would be a grotesque policy, but it would technically be a valid answer to the problem. Cutting PIP is just a categorical error: the principle behind PIP is that if you face extra costs because you're disabled, that should be offset so you've got a level playing field with everyone else. It has nothing to do with employment one way or the other.

Now you could say that's the wrong principle. If your goal is just to find money to cut somewhere, as the government's goal clearly is, you could coherently argue for a new principle or for tapered means testing. But they haven't done that, they've gone out and disingenuously argued like PIP is an in-work benefit and that cutting it is a solution to having so many sick people out of work. It's insulting nonsense. They're on the bridge of the RMS Titaniconcordia and the hardest problem they're thinking about is "where can I find £5bn to get my budget through the year?"

The phrase that sticks in my head is state capacity. I think we've hollowed ours out and it's going to be a hell of a job to fix it. We get the same results not because we've got the same problems, but because the state and our wider political system are incapable of imagining and implementing something else. It's the one thing that undercuts any confidence I have suggesting solutions nowadays: whatever you try, if it is even vaguely complicated it will collapse on contact with our system for implementing the policy.
>> No. 102234 Anonymous
3rd July 2025
Thursday 10:14 am
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>>102233

The theory behind PIP is that it compensates for the increased costs of being disabled, but I don't think that theory holds up particularly strongly. Only 20% of PIP claimants are in work, so for the majority of claimants it is effectively an out-of-work benefit. The rate of claims has massively increased post-pandemic and there's a sevenfold difference in claimant rates between the poorest and richest boroughs, which strongly suggests that the motivation for many claims has far more to do with the cost of living than any specific health and care needs.

It's completely understandable that people in poor health would have a lower employment rate, it's completely understandable that people struggling to survive on UC might be inclined to stretch the truth to pay their bills, but that doesn't make the status quo good. People aren't being supported to live dignified lives, they're being written off.

The welfare reform bill has been drastically watered down and no-one is likely to lose their PIP in the foreseeable future, but that doesn't alter the underlying problem - the true rate of unemployment is being vastly understated. I try to avoid doomerism, but I just can't shake the feeling of dread when I look at the British labour market.

https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/bulletins/jobsandvacanciesintheuk/latest

https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/universal-credit-statistics-29-april-2013-to-10-october-2024/universal-credit-statistics-29-april-2013-to-10-october-2024
>> No. 102235 Anonymous
3rd July 2025
Thursday 11:17 am
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>>102234
20% is nothing to sniff at with a system as broken as ours, where the structure of other benefits discourages you from showing you're capable of working with support because that means they'll withdraw your support. I can't accept that PIP is "effectively an out of work benefit" for the other 80% because it's a benefit they'd keep if they found work. It's like saying child benefit is an out of work benefit.

I also read the geographical distribution differently: ESA+PIP is still a pittance, so you can't afford to live in a desirable area if that's all you've got to support you. Then there's all the negative health effects of living in a shit area. Then, as a lesser factor, I doubt many disabled people with well paying jobs bother claiming PIP even though they're entitled to it, either out of pride or because there comes a point where an extra 5 grand a year isn't worth the hassle of dealing with the DWP.

I think the status quo is a complete disaster and an affront to the dignity of all involved, but between the status quo and the government butchering it further, I've got to side with the status quo. Even post-compromise, the welfare bill is nonsense. In what world is it desirable to have two identical cases, one eligible, one not, based purely on when they claimed? I see the practical benefit of not immediately hurting anybody, but it's logically incoherent - just like the case for cutting PIP in the first place, it's a reaction to an external event rather than an attempt to design a better system.
The government has no interest in helping disabled people (or anyone else, for that matter) live dignified lives, and no serious interest in fixing our woeful labour market. All it has is a set of arbitrary fiscal targets to meet and disingenuous rhetoric to mask presiding over continued decline.
>> No. 102236 Anonymous
3rd July 2025
Thursday 3:12 pm
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Bring back rule by Monarchy, I say. There's a reason the United Arab Emirates is impressive.
That's no doubt why Harry was split from William, so that US interests would have a claim to the throne.
>> No. 102237 Anonymous
3rd July 2025
Thursday 4:40 pm
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Rach and Kier are definitely shagging, though, aren't they.

You reckon?
>> No. 102238 Anonymous
3rd July 2025
Thursday 9:29 pm
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>>102237
I don't think either one of them has standards low enough that they would fuck the other one. They are professionally un-sexy, being charisma vacuums on purpose to imply that they must have got where they are through competence instead. And it works; I wouldn't touch either of them with someone else's second-hand barge pole.

Anyway:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cwyel9kgdvdo
>Suspended Labour MP Zarah Sultana has announced she is starting a new party with former Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn.
>Sultana, stripped of the Labour whip last year for backing a move to scrap the two-child benefit cap, said she was also resigning from the party after 14 years of membership.
>The MP for Coventry South said the new party would be formed with other independent MPs, campaigners and activists, aiming to challenge a "broken" Westminster system.
So they agree we need electoral reform too. So at least they will have good policies, despite being unbearably sanctimonious and profoundly unelectable.
>Corbyn has been contacted but has not confirmed his involvement to the BBC.
What a ringing endorsement. Keir Starmer must be delighted that they're disappearing forever.
>In a social media post, Sultana said the government is "an active participant in genocide" in Gaza - and highlighted growing poverty, the government's position on welfare, and the cost of living as reasons for establishing her new party.
Even Twitter isn't like this any more. This party is so doomed. I genuinely suspect that Zarah Sultana is setting up this new party as a move to show the country how centrist and sensible the Labour Party are now, so that people vote Labour again next election.
>> No. 102239 Anonymous
3rd July 2025
Thursday 9:47 pm
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>BRITAIN will be “fat free” within a decade, paving the way for tax cuts worth billions of pounds, Wes Streeting declared yesterday. The Health Secretary told The Sun he is on a mission to slash levies by giving more people access to drugs such as Ozempic and Mounjaro. Mr Streeting said: “The jabs are a route not just to lower weight, but lower taxes.”
https://www. Please ban me/news/35671855/wes-streeting-more-access-fab-jabs-economy/

By how much do you reckon the countries bust size will decrease?
>> No. 102240 Anonymous
3rd July 2025
Thursday 10:13 pm
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This must be a record. The new party of two has splintered already.
>> No. 102241 Anonymous
3rd July 2025
Thursday 10:28 pm
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>>102239
>> No. 102242 Anonymous
3rd July 2025
Thursday 11:26 pm
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>>102240
If you get kicked out of one party, perhaps it's your principles. If you get kicked out of two, maybe it's you.
>> No. 102243 Anonymous
3rd July 2025
Thursday 11:28 pm
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>>102238
>I wouldn't touch either of them with someone else's second-hand barge pole.

I'd fuck Rach, she has that combination some women have of no-nonsense sternness and vulnerability that makes my cock unbelievably hard.
>> No. 102244 Anonymous
3rd July 2025
Thursday 11:29 pm
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>>102243
But you know, now that I mention it, so does Starmer....
>> No. 102245 Anonymous
3rd July 2025
Thursday 11:49 pm
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>>102238
>Even Twitter isn't like this any more.
That's an incredible argument. Did you go to Oxbridge or were you born with the rhetorical skills of a Telegraph columnist?
>> No. 102246 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 9:59 am
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This really is thin gruel. Forget Blair, The SNP had achieved more in their first year in office than this, and that was at the height of the GFC, in a devolved administration, as a minority government with a 1 seat lead over the next largest party.
>> No. 102247 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 11:13 am
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>>102235
>>102234
I know of two people in my extended family that claim the highest rate of PIP, and they're proud of it.

There's nothing wrong with either of them.

Now I wonder how broadly that situation is replicated across the country.
>> No. 102249 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 11:14 am
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>>102246

>ninja swords outlawed

Well thank fuck, I feel so much safer. Don't you lads? Fucking state of it. I hate this shit. I am a committed lefty but I envy our American cousins in getting to own things without the state being an overbearing parent about it.

Ninja swords. You know that specific category of historical weaponry, the swords that ninjas use. Can you still buy viking swords, knight swords and pirate swords? They're not as cool but I reckon they are just as effective at intimidating rival unlicensed pharmaceutical retailers.
>> No. 102250 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 11:21 am
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>>102249

I wonder how far you could get in court arguing that your sword is in fact a samurai sword and not a ninja sword.
>> No. 102251 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 12:01 pm
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>>102246
>Pension triple lock guaranteed

I'm starting to lose my patience with the elderly.
>> No. 102252 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 12:16 pm
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>>102250

The sword ban saga is emblematic of our daft approach to legislation.

The Tories wanted to ban "samurai swords" and tabled legislation that would outlaw all curved swords, but they got complaints from the Cavalry (for obvious reasons) and the Japanese Embassy, because fine hand-made swords are a traditional ceremonial gift. They wrote in a couple of exceptions for historic and hand-made swords and declared victory over the gangs.

The Chinese are obviously smarter than that, so they just started making "ninja swords" that had a straight blade, hence the new legislation to ban those. The legislation will cover swords with a length between 14" and 24" and a tanto point, so I expect to see loads of cheap swords without a tanto point or measuring 24.1" on AliExpress. I don't expect the government to learn anything from the experience.

The "zombie knives" ban was even more daft. The Home Office decided to offer retailers and distributors compensation of £10 for every "zombie knife" or machete that was surrendered from destruction, so a lot of importers just put in a rush order for the cheapest possible machetes, got them into the country just before the ban took effect and made huge profits.
>> No. 102253 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 12:45 pm
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I went to my local Labour AGM last night. Firstly, thank fuck that one corner shop was open so I could get a drink and a sandwich, because I had to wait fifty minutes for a train home and I was already starved and parched once I got to the station.

Secondly, apparently the new intake of South East based Labour MPs were being a load of bastards to the MPs who were rebelling, or threatening to rebel, over the welfare bill. The word "cruel" was used. I don't know why exactly this dichotomy arose, but perhaps the Northern Independence Party is the way forward after all, and no one from Nottingham and beyond can be trusted.

Thirdly, there were some positive things that made me feel less depressed than I had done previously. Devolution is coming, there could be some changes in government attitudes after the PIP debacle (don't laugh), and it was generally a reminder that there are other avenues for change besides waiting for someone to ***** that cunt McSweeney.

>>102252
Everyone knows it's the cool looking blades that create knife crime, so it'll be worth all the hassle in the end.
>> No. 102254 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 12:46 pm
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>>102252

It's almost as if they didn't actually want to ban anything at all. It's an absurdly specific criteria. I just checked and my katana is 30 inches so that's fine. Near enough any traditional style sword will be fine because they don't have the tanto point either, that's a pretty modern term you only see regarding the "tactical" type of knives where the tip is ground perpendicular to the main cutting edge.

But of course the thing is the actual legislation probably doesn't matter much, if a rozzer comes round to your house for something unrelated, spots your collection of weeby display swords, confiscates them all and nicks you. You'll still probably never get your time nor your property back after eventually being let go because they couldn't prove your guilt. Know what I mean?

Waste of everyone's time ultimately.
>> No. 102255 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 12:46 pm
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>>102252
It's quite funny the way this country loves to have wide ranging catch all offenses, followed by specific named offenses for whatever headline they're trying to grab this week. Labour need to show they're tough on crime, so they're bringing forward legislation to make crime illegal...
I quite like the one where it's an offense to assault an emergency worker. It's weird that before 2018, they were (presumably) an exception to the general prohibition on assaulting anybody. Cameron got rid of the best one though: That time Blair criminalised "causing a nuclear explosion"
>> No. 102256 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 1:18 pm
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>>102253
>Everyone knows it's the cool looking blades that create knife crime, so it'll be worth all the hassle in the end.

I wonder if we could make a law that knives are legal so long as they look as gay as possible. I'm talking neon pink with MLP tassles and the handle being the shape of a penis - if the gangs want to carry weapons anyway then we should make them as surreal as possible.
>> No. 102257 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 2:21 pm
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>>102254

>I just checked and my katana is 30 inches so that's fine.

I'm afraid not. The criteria for a samurai sword is completely different to the criteria for a ninja sword. Your sword (or any curved sword with a length of greater than 51cm) is illegal to own even in a private place, unless any of the following defences apply:

The sword is completely blunt
The sword is "antique", "of historical interest" or "made by hand, by traditional methods"
You're a bona-fide fencer, historical re-enacter, theatrical armourer or martial artist
You're a practising Sikh

We're being ruled by morons.
>> No. 102258 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 2:58 pm
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>>102257
The important thing is the loopholes have been closed.
>> No. 102259 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 3:03 pm
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>>102257

>The criteria for a samurai sword is completely different to the criteria for a ninja sword

Oh, so they are different laws for both. That's incredible. Why didn't they just write a law that says "any article we deem to be illegal as and when we see fit depending on who you are and if we think you're a wrong 'un" and be done with it.

Of course, I'll naturally be off down the police station to hand it in later on today, to be in avoidance of any doubt.
>> No. 102260 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 3:19 pm
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>>102258

Fortunately, pikes are still perfectly legal.

>>102259

We've essentially had that law since the 1953 Prevention of Crime Act. Any object carried in a public place is an offensive weapon if it's carried with the intent of being used as a weapon.

Those women who say they put their keys between their fingers when walking home at night, in the misguided belief that it'll help them fight off an attacker? They could (in theory) get four years in prison, merely for having keys in their handbag.

(A good day to you Sir!)
>> No. 102261 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 3:39 pm
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>>102260
Please don't post AI shit.
>> No. 102262 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 4:10 pm
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>>102261
It takes people a minute to generate images these days for often throwaway jokes. I don't think this is a battle you can win no matter how much you whinge about it.

Not him.

(A good day to you Sir!)
>> No. 102263 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 4:25 pm
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>>102261

I'm so, so sorry for posting a mildly amusing image on an imageboard.

(A good day to you Sir!)
>> No. 102265 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 5:01 pm
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>>102262
>>102263
All the, rightful, kvetching on here over the years about the enshittification of the web sometimes makes me forget that large portion of the userbase are basically just Facebook boomers who payed attention in their ICT lessons.
>> No. 102266 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 5:23 pm
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>>102265

That ship sailed when the phone became the primary internet access method, lad. I could suggest you lead by example and post more funny photoshops yourself, but this place has never really done that anyway. If there were a great deal of original content that AI is drowning out here, you might have an argument, but as it is you are the one "kvetching".
>> No. 102268 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 6:34 pm
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>>102266
>That ship sailed when the phone became the primary internet access method, lad
No one posts on here via their phone unless they're having a severe mental health crisis.

>If there were a great deal of original content that AI is drowning out here
Not sure why there's a need to post repellent AI generated stuff then.

>but as it is you are the one "kvetching".
Gladly. As I said, we're right to do so when it comes to the worsening state of the net. Whatever, just like surveillance culture it's another thing I get to be right about while no one else gives a shit and everything gets more and more wank.
>> No. 102269 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 6:44 pm
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>>102268

Bollocks.

We can have a little bit of AI, if we're good. Otherlad's use of it in this context was absolutely fine, the ideal standard of what AI is good for. He gave us an image in place of where previously, there would have been no image. It is an absolutely neutral contribution at worst; it did not replace a better quality thing with a worse quality thing, it contributed a thing in place of a situation there would have been no thing.

You have the worst kind of autism, that of flatly applied standards with no nuance. No semblance of understanding of context and situational distinction.
>> No. 102270 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 7:18 pm
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Right, if otherlad can post AI images I want us to be able to post reaction images without the mods having a teary.

(A good day to you Sir!)
>> No. 102271 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 8:59 pm
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>>102269
The image was there all along, in that wet lump between our ears. It only required a few short words to make the same joke about roadmen in a pike square a reality. It's this that offends me about generative AI the most, the abandonment of our own imaginations to a collection of half-baked algorithms.

Also, fuck off with calling people "autistic" because they disagree with you. It's not "autistic" to think something's shite. Apart from calling you a "Facebook boomer", I've tried to be reasonable, but it's clear you're just a bit of a twat so whatever.
>> No. 102272 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 9:13 pm
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>>102271
>I slung the first stone but I will still get bumsore when you fling them back

Dry your eyes lad.

It's funny that I find myself keeping having this same conversation where people go on and on about creativity but almost every time I am the only half of that dialogue who actually is a creative who makes music and art and videogame shite, while the other person is just a passive internet gawper with a big gob, who's never made anything. And yet I'm the one who isn't reflexively anti-AI.

I'm not making that assumption about you, to be clear, but it seems to be the case most times.
>> No. 102273 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 9:57 pm
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>>102271

I initially thought about saying "Fortunately, pikes are still legal, so I look forward to seeing Macedonian phalanxes of roadmen clashing outside of Boots", but I thought that an image would make for a better punchline. The description invites the reader to imagine the image, but the image invites the reader to imagine a world in which that image exists. The imaginative gap between setup and punchline in the latter case isn't the image of a load of pike-wielding roadmen, but the circumstances in which they decided to organise themselves into premodern battle order. I might be wrong in that assessment, but I did actually think things through.

I hate dissecting the frog, but I just feel duty-bound to make the case that the use of AI isn't inherently mindless. You can decry it as slop, but it serves a perfectly valid creative purpose in exactly these circumstances. If you continue to get reflexively annoyed by anything AI-generated, then the rest of your life is going to be increasingly miserable.

Bonus pedantry: The AI decided to generate a medieval European formation rather than a classical phalanx, but that's probably because I said "pike" rather than "sarissa" in the prompt; I felt that it wasn't worth iterating over for the sake of a throwaway joke on an obscure shed-based imageboard.
>> No. 102274 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 10:09 pm
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Jesus Christ.
>> No. 102275 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 10:21 pm
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>Texts show Team Corbyn opposed new party minutes after launch

https://www.thetimes.com/article/86da4843-43ce-4cf6-b827-0b05596f8344
>> No. 102276 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 11:04 pm
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>>102272
>I slung the first stone but I will still get bumsore when you fling them back
>>102262 and >>102263 preceded anything personal I said, you lying fucking cunt. It's literally right there, are you stupid or demented?

>>102273
The pair of you can fuck off and die for all I care. You probably own a Ring doorbell as well.
>> No. 102277 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 11:12 pm
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>>102275

Jeremy Corbyn being politically outmanoeuvred? I don't believe it.
>> No. 102278 Anonymous
5th July 2025
Saturday 11:27 pm
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>>102276

... Yes, and neither of those said anything mean or nasty (nor were either of them my posts). You then came in with the snide facebook boomers remark, besides just being generally condescending. You shot first. Don't give if you can't take.

Nothing personal here mate just don't go and act like I was a cunt to you for absolutely nothing and play the victim. Especially if your angle is that the internet was better in the old days, I remember we used to be far more uncivilised than this.
>> No. 102279 Anonymous
6th July 2025
Sunday 12:34 am
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>>102278
Oh, it's another person who seems to think "Anonymous" is their own unique user ID. And when was I condescending? I guess it's actually really polite to say someone's an angry clown and autistic when you disagree with them. I guess they teach this at the debate club in dickhead university.
>> No. 102280 Anonymous
6th July 2025
Sunday 12:36 am
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>>102279

The way you are going on I don't think it was an unfair assessment.
>> No. 102281 Anonymous
6th July 2025
Sunday 12:43 am
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>>102280
I believe the rule is "don't give it if you can't take it".
>> No. 102282 Anonymous
6th July 2025
Sunday 9:40 am
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>>102277
The thing about Corbyn - and weirdly, something that gets him more hated despite showing that on this at least, he's quite a sensible bloke - is that he doesn't want to be a leader and he knows he's not a good choice for a leader. He's just in the unenviable position of always being the least-bad option on the table for the left.
He had to become party leader because the alternative were a bunch of charmless seat-fillers who abstained on welfare cuts and wanted either continued austerity-lite, or in Liz "5%" Kendall's case, austerity-full. He had to stay party leader because the alternative was a bought-and-paid-for pharmaceutical lobbyist who went on TV to say he wanted to negotiate with ISIS.
Now he's being called to lead a new left party because the Greens are unlikely to attract Labour defectors, and he's got the highest public profile of any lefty. For a new left party to have even a marginal chance of success, it needs a high profile leader. Corbyn doesn't want to do it - he didn't want to do it in 2015 either - so if he's going to do it, he'll have to be bounced into it.

That speaks to the lack of leadership talent on the left - but then there's a lack of national-level leadership talent everywhere. Lefties, Centrists, Conservatives, Scottish Nationalists, it doesn't matter, they're all spent. (How this came to happen is a fascinating question, more institutional than political)
All that's left are power hungry weirdos running things into the ground, except this one bloke - one who somehow gets the most personal ire - who is a weirdo but not power hungry.
>> No. 102283 Anonymous
6th July 2025
Sunday 1:28 pm
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>>102282
I think another thing about Corbyn is that he's 76. Sure he seems to be a nimble 70-something right now but I wouldn't pin the hopes of a new upstart party on the leadership and charisma of someone who is going to be 80 at the next general election and is a trip on the pavement away from retirement.
>> No. 102284 Anonymous
6th July 2025
Sunday 4:55 pm
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>>102282
First off, I either never knew or had completely forgotten that Owen Smith wanted to "get ISIS round the table". What a beautiful mind.

I reckon there are different reasons for why all those factions have a total dearth AAA-tier leaders who a significant number of voters would back. However, within Labour it's quite obvious that anyone who's too independently minded is unlikely to get anywhere near a leadership role right now. But of course, you need to be at least somewhat independently minded to be a leader. Just look what happened to Jamie Driscoll. Working class background, non-Oxbridge uni, didn't study law or PPE, exactly the kind of normal human being politics desperately needs. But, uh-oh, he wasn't loyal enough to the non-ideology at the heart of New New Labour so he got shitcanned by the Labour NEC. He was also in the same room as Ken Loach once.

This is a double problem. Because if all you vet for is loyalty, you're liable to, I don't know, just speaking hypothetically, try to ram callous and unpopular welfare reforms through parliament inspite of such things being ostensibly antithetical to your party's raison d'etre. So you have no new ideas and a lax attitude to bad ones, which is how you end up polling lower than dirt after barely a year in government.
>> No. 102285 Anonymous
6th July 2025
Sunday 5:03 pm
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I reckon it's Wes Streeting. He's the next PM.

Just look at his beady little eyes. Just listen to his impeccably slick interviews, with precision, laser guided "I-I-aaah-I" stammers on difficult questions. He's good at it. Far too good at it.

He's not a man. He's the prototype next gen political robot. They've finally got over the uncanny valley. He should terrify all of us.
>> No. 102286 Anonymous
6th July 2025
Sunday 5:29 pm
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>>102284

What kind of fuckhead would want to be an MP?
>> No. 102287 Anonymous
6th July 2025
Sunday 6:06 pm
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>>102284
You're forgetting that Starmer is himself a new intake as were the two previous PMs. I think the problem that both major parties have is actually the opposite, that they don't have people who have survived the cut-throat tribal politics under the big tent nor really had experiance running a major department - you might want an idealist leader but if they can't play the PLP then they're not getting anywhere.

Admittedly Theresa May wasn't an amazing success but even at the time I think everyone saw that she was ruined by circumstance and chancing it with the elderly voters.
>> No. 102288 Anonymous
6th July 2025
Sunday 7:05 pm
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>>102287
I don't know why you think I want an "idealist" leader. Having ideas and a coherent ideology isn't idealism, it's how popular politics was conducted until about three decades ago. While having to hack and slash your way through a jungle of bastards on a daily basis could be, for want of a better phrase, character building, I think it's more likely to produce one of those hollow, soulless, freaks leftover from the New Labour era who still wants to pretend Iraq was a belter of a time and believes dissent is a sin. For my money I think we've seen what a party full of cut-throat schemers will do during Corbyn's tenure. They brief against the party constantly, mount limp-dick leadership challenges, break away to join opposition parties or form new ones, and stake the party's wellbeing on a single insane policy (2nd referendum) that has all the broad appeal of a Take That-Tupac Shakur tribute album. I think I've had enough half-baked Machiavelli types for one lifetime, thanks.

I don't really know what Starmer being part of a relatively new intake of MPs means either, that wasn't something I brought up because it's not something I consider an issue one way or another. If you're completely inoculated against any kind of new thinking, that's the problem. Starmer's problem, in my mind, is his stupid fucking voice that he manages to be simultaneously an ideology free zone, and incredibly doctrinaire. He's like one of those Roman senators in the late 300s or early 400s AD who doesn't realise how impotent they are, but doesn't appear to care either. His politics has no power, and his has no real will to exert power. If opposition to this status quo is "idealistic" then, to borrow an Americanism, stick a fork in us, we're done.

>>102286
I don't know, but we need the right kind of fuckhead. I mean, I'd do it, but I've got all the charm of a public urinal and only half the education.
>> No. 102289 Anonymous
6th July 2025
Sunday 9:48 pm
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>>102282
It should be noted that if the Greens are going to struggle to attract more Labour defectors, it's going to be because their current leadership candidate is a two-horse race between a pantomime horse where both halves are massive NIMBYs and a guy who claimed he could hypnotise women into getting bigger boobs. It's tough to imagine a leadership contest with two options that were quite so deeply unserious. Corbyn v Smith comes to mind. And probably also Badenoch v Jenrick.
>> No. 102291 Anonymous
6th July 2025
Sunday 10:29 pm
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>>102288
You're forgetting that even Blair was getting through some radical positions both at large and within the Labour party and he had to do it with politics and leadership. He even wrote his newest book 'On Leadership' about this problem - and he actually got elected while Corbyn couldn't win an election even with the elderly boycotting the Tories AND he failed to even win over his frontbench.

As for Starmer, he came into the Labour leadership as a caretaker to save the party from political oblivion and now he's ended up as PM. I don't see what the big issue is really, he's mending ties with Europe, made financial stability his central pledge to the level where we're now seen as an island of stability, continues to tell Putin to eat a dick, is throwing everything into AI and green energy and he's trying to balance the budget. Reform pandering aside it could be a lot worse.

>>102289
>a guy who claimed he could hypnotise women into getting bigger boobs

Great men are often ridiculed in their time.
>> No. 102292 Anonymous
6th July 2025
Sunday 11:32 pm
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>>102291
I'll be honest this increasingly feels like you've got a load of prepared talking points and aren't interested in what I'm saying. Which you don't have to be, it's just that you keep replying in a manner that strongly implies you are so it gets a little confusing.

I'm entirely in agreement that Blair got some very good things through Parliament. "Radical" probably isn't how I'd describe them, but nevertheless there were positive changes to the UK under his prime minstership. The problem with Blair, apart from his hard-on for wars and everything he's done and said since leaving Westminster, is that he made a faustian pact to get elected in the first place. One that solidified Thatcherite mythology of the power of the individual, demonised mass participation in politics and, ultimately, shut the door to any actually radical change taking place after he'd buggered off, at least in the short to medium term*. Saying "well, at least he won elections, unlike Corbyn!" doesn't really make sense to me, because the mid-nineties and the mid-to-late-twenty-tens are such wholly different periods that it's a pointless comparison. A fresh Blair, unburdened by reality's own Blair's baggage, would not have won an election in the later period either, because he would not have been advocating for the kind of change New Labour had promised. The New Labour steady state had already been delivered, but it had proven completely unable to defend itself from hostile forces, whether from the right, the markets, or the increasingly dissilusioned populace. Blair 2.0 would have been dead on arrival trying to defend that system.

Since COVID-19 and the Year of the Three PMs this might seem an awfully long time ago, but we did have a long period of "stability" under the Conservatives and it got us nowhere. Stability and balanced budgets aren't going to provide meaningful change, and they certainly aren't a counterweight to the hard-right's ceaseless jam tomorrowing. It might be daft and hard to take seriously, but so is two-time president of the United States Donald J. Trump. Although Reform's inability to govern a few county councils is actually quite astonishing, and they've just lost another MP because he's a fraudster and a wife abuser, so maybe they aren't all they're cracked up to be. Nevertheless complacency is another big reason the US Democratic Party lost last November, and why Labour lost in 2019, so let's not make that mistake ever again. Additionally, it isn't just the right Labour should be concerned about. I know one of you is tremendously excited about Wes Streeting becoming PM, but he was a few hundred votes from losing his seat to a British-Palestinian woman, who only left Labour in 2023 after Starmer said it was okay to commit warcrimes against Gazans. So it's safe to say the left is a concern for turbo-centrist Labour as well.


*For context I consider "medium term" to be up to half-a-century.
>> No. 102293 Anonymous
7th July 2025
Monday 7:40 am
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Since Wilson in 1974, has a PM ever won an election without being endorsed by a majority of the papers? I don't think people really vote in accordance with what papers tell them to, but it's a good indication of where institutional power wants votes to go, and it's a good indication of how biased the BBC is likely to be because the BBC's easiest route to showing itself as neutral is to go "well, we averaged out The Guardian and The Daily Mail, we must be doing something right!!" while incompetently relaying nonsense.

Any arguments about the merits of individual leaders start to seem a lot shakier if you imagine that what's really happening is that they're being propped up by the media ecosystem and the various things that feed into that. Johnson winning a big majority and then completely blowing it is hard to explain if you imagine his victory was down to leadership skill, but it makes a lot of sense if you just look at the numbers: Johnson was endorsed by 5 major papers (same as Blair), Labour was endorsed by 2. (Well, so says The i, but they've got the Guardian down as Labour while their actual 2019 endorsement is more like a vague "uhh, not the Tories.")
Similarly, Starmer is a transparent dud, a sort of unlovable substitute teacher or annoying boss, but in terms of press endorsement he beat Blair: 5 Labour, 3 Tory. (Blair was 5:4)

I think if you were to simulate 2017 over and over, you'd see that most results have Labour doing worse because the media basically blundered in the real one. They underestimated how much they'd have to attack Labour: Just report that Corbyn's giving a speech on nationalising the trains and the voters will see that he's offering deranged 1983 Michael Foot donkey jacket long suicide note nonsense, then cap that off with his head in a light bulb on the front page of The Sun, and people will vote against him in droves. All your Labour MP mates are briefing you that this is going to be a fucking disaster, and they've got inside info. He'll lose in a landslide and fuck off and we can put this regrettable interlude behind us. Oh, oh dear...
They didn't make that mistake in 2019 or in 2024, and dutifully the correct result was delivered.
>> No. 102294 Anonymous
7th July 2025
Monday 4:16 pm
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Apparently they can do some good things, when they want to.

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/ban-replacing-sacked-staff-agency-35510667

>Bad bosses will be banned from using agency staff to replace sacked employees as ministers close a loophole in workers' rights reforms.

>The Employment Rights Bill, which is going through the House of Lords, seeks to ban fire and rehire tactics, where workers are forced onto worse terms to keep their jobs.


>A new amendment will be laid this week to beef up the legislation to stop firms from firing workers and replacing them with agency staff.
>> No. 102295 Anonymous
7th July 2025
Monday 7:59 pm
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>>102294
There were definitely some rights like that already in place. My work's marketing lady quit because they wouldn't let her work from home any more, and she said she might come back to do consulting work (from home) and I was told this was actually illegal because it counted as fire-and-rehire, so she wouldn't be able to do it for at least six months. It was all purely hypothetical, since she was leaving because she hated the fuckers who bought our company, but I don't know how new these rights actually are.
>> No. 102296 Anonymous
7th July 2025
Monday 9:48 pm
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>>102295
It almost certainly wasn't a rule against fire-and-rehire but either a non-compete clause or something to do with IR35.
>> No. 102297 Anonymous
8th July 2025
Tuesday 9:18 pm
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The cost of the state pension triple lock is forecast to be three times higher by the end of the decade than its original estimate, according to the government's official forecaster.

The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) said the annual cost of the triple lock policy is estimated to reach £15.5bn by 2030.

In response to the report, the government said it was "committed" to the current policy.


https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cy7nv3pdgr4o
>> No. 102298 Anonymous
9th July 2025
Wednesday 12:00 am
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>>102297
For the love of god, get rid of the 2.5% leg, that's just a straight up transfer payment.
>> No. 102299 Anonymous
9th July 2025
Wednesday 12:27 am
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>>102298

The much bigger problem is basing the adjustment on the higher of inflation or wage growth. Pay rises tend to lag behind inflation, so a one-off spike in inflation like we saw in 2022 will usually be followed by a year or two of pay growth. The state pension increased by 10.1% in 2023 based on inflation, then increased by 8.5% in 2024 based on the pay increases people were getting to compensate for that inflation - that compounds to a 19.4% increase in just two years.

When the triple lock was introduced, we were in a period of exceptionally low and stable inflation and stagnant wages, so the 2.5% floor was relevant. If unstable inflation becomes the new normal (highly likely, given the geopolitical situation), then the cost of the triple lock will become utterly crippling.
>> No. 102300 Anonymous
9th July 2025
Wednesday 11:29 am
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Meanwhile, pensioners are starting to go batshit that the state pension potentially increasing above the personal allowance means they'll pay income tax on it.

https://www.change.org/p/stop-the-state-pension-being-taxed-raise-tax-threshold-support-colette
>> No. 102301 Anonymous
9th July 2025
Wednesday 11:34 am
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It does make you wonder why even the hardest libertarians seem so oddly quiet when it comes to pensioner bennies. And before anyone gets smug, why even the hardest of the left have no problem with rich old people shafting the young. When they say 'eat the rich' they're thinking about 40-somethings in suits rather than mutton getting their burglar alarms serviced.

I don't think there's a single party in the world that explicitly sticks up for the under-66s and if you tried to set up a protest one I bet you'd be found hung in your cell after you also ran yourself over with a steamroller that you snuck in.

>>102299
>The state pension increased by 10.1% in 2023 based on inflation, then increased by 8.5% in 2024 based on the pay increases people were getting to compensate for that inflation - that compounds to a 19.4% increase in just two years.

Why didn't we just get born a few decades before to a comfortable middle class family? It seems like we only have ourselves to blame for this poor financial planning.
>> No. 102302 Anonymous
9th July 2025
Wednesday 1:05 pm
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It's worth remembering that the UK state pension is dire. I half think we're encouraged to see it as a generational warfare thing because the people who matter - the well off - will be absolutely fine if you gut the basic state pension - the bulk of their income comes from somewhere else, the rest is just a nice-to-have. The idea that we should scrap the triple lock comes up fairly regularly - means testing the state pension, only rarely, and specifically smacking rich pensioners with a "fuck you, you don't do anything, you don't need more than (X) grand a year" tax? not at all. Something like >>102300 comes up as a case of whinging old people living it large at the expense of the young, as though anyone's living large on 12 grand a year.

I'd like to see how it'd go for Labour to play it as generational warfare, mind you - scrap the triple lock and throw the money at a surprise abolition of tuition fees or something.
>> No. 102303 Anonymous
9th July 2025
Wednesday 1:17 pm
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>>102302
>It's worth remembering that the UK state pension is dire

I'm going to challenge that, the full state pension is £230.25 a week. It's less if you retired before 2016 but this is still before the other benefits and private pension while everyone else has seen their living standards decline.
>> No. 102305 Anonymous
9th July 2025
Wednesday 1:45 pm
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>>102302

The British state pension is higher than Australia or Canada's. More to the point, if people retiring now wanted a better state pension, they should have voted to pay more tax and fund the system properly. The vast majority of people will receive more in state pension than they ever paid in NICs, which is obviously unsustainable in a country with more pensioners than children.

>>102301

There is one think tank that actually takes the issue seriously, but they're fighting an uphill battle.

https://www.if.org.uk/
>> No. 102306 Anonymous
9th July 2025
Wednesday 2:17 pm
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>>102301
>And before anyone gets smug, why even the hardest of the left have no problem with rich old people shafting the young. When they say 'eat the rich' they're thinking about 40-somethings in suits rather than mutton getting their burglar alarms serviced.

Not true, reminder that the Classlad Manifesto expressly involves revoking pensioner's right to vote.
>> No. 102307 Anonymous
9th July 2025
Wednesday 3:03 pm
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I wrote a big post arguing that since young people are being bled dry by shareholders (because firms hold down wages and pass the gains on to their shareholders) and shareholders are largely pension funds, it would be unfair to rob them again by hiking taxes to make them fund the state pension - better to fund the state pension by hiking taxes on people doing well out of private pensions. That way you keep it a transfer within the elderly, rather than from young to old. Then there was a big digression about how really, money's just an IOU and you're still doing a transfer of goods and services from young to old, and on, and on, and on...

But apparently the premise is flawed: A fairly small part of our shares are owned by pension funds (about 4%), but about 60% of our share market is foreign owned. Isn't that fun? I suppose you've got to plug a permanent current account deficit somehow.
>> No. 102308 Anonymous
9th July 2025
Wednesday 7:08 pm
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>>102307

Lots of people like the idea of taxing wealth. If you look at the data, two forms of wealth completely dominate the UK's balance sheet - pensions and housing. Hardly anyone likes the idea of taxing pensions or housing.

We could tax those foreign investors by taxing dividends at source, because that's the only mechanism companies have to transfer profits to shareholders. The problem with that is threefold. Firstly, all the dividend payments by all UK companies amounted to about £80bn last year, against a total tax take of £857bn; a 10% tax surcharge on all dividends would increase our tax take by less than 1%. Secondly, there's a strong likelihood that such a tax would be a net loss, because it'd make UK companies less attractive for foreign investors and incentivise UK-based multinationals to move their headquarters abroad. Thirdly, we've signed double tax agreements with all of our major investment and trading partners - by law, any foreign investor who was subject to that tax would be entitled to claim it back from HMRC if they could demonstrate that dividend income is taxed in their home jurisdiction, which is basically all of them.

It's just an inescapable fact that if we want European levels of public services, then we need European levels of taxes. Britain already has an unusually skewed tax base, with disproportionately high taxes on the highest earners and disproportionately low taxes on average earners. "Tax the rich" is a seductive slogan, but we're already doing that to a greater extent than any comparable country and there's no more juice left to squeeze; if we want to make a real impact on public finances, then ordinary people with ordinary levels of income and assets are going to have to put their hand in their pocket.
>> No. 102309 Anonymous
9th July 2025
Wednesday 7:49 pm
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>>102308
>if they could demonstrate that dividend income is taxed in their home jurisdiction, which is basically all of them.
If taxing dividends works for them, why wouldn't it work for us? If we're the only place that doesn't tax dividends, then we wouldn't be turning into a country where the taxes are a lot worse; we'd just stop being a tax haven compared to everywhere else.
>> No. 102310 Anonymous
9th July 2025
Wednesday 8:09 pm
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>>102308

>Hardly anyone likes the idea of taxing pensions or housing.

I do. I think council tax needs scrapping and replacing with something based purely on property value or size, and with pensions, it should be a similar principle to capital gains. People think of it as "being taxed twice", but it's not; it's not like you just put that money in a savings account, you put it in a magic financial fancy box that made it earn a profit.

Both of these if implemented would need to be done so very progressively, though, and that's another bug bear of mine. We use a lot of regressive taxes here and people use the flat rate idea of "fairness" as a deflection away from taxing the people who actually have the wealth.

You keep making the same argument over and over again and it's just a semantics thing honestly. "Tax the rich" just means tax the people who currently getting off lightly, and when you say "middle income" earners, that only holds true because your definition of middle income just isn't actually middle income. It's demonstrably, objectively, high earners; it's just that the only reason those people are high earners for these purposes is because everybody else earns fuck all.

So that brings me back around to what I was originally going to say- The best way to increase our tax take is to increase everyone's wages. That's the thing that's burning the UK from both ends- We have spent so long suppressing wages that the people who should be earning generous paycheques and contributing fat wads to the treasury's coffers are on the same 25-30k as everyone else, and thus paying the same fuck all tax as everyone else.
>> No. 102311 Anonymous
9th July 2025
Wednesday 8:12 pm
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>>102310
>The best way to increase our tax take is to increase everyone's wages.
They keep putting up the minimum wage and expecting it to spread, but it isn't doing. What else can the government do?
>> No. 102312 Anonymous
9th July 2025
Wednesday 8:47 pm
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>>102311
Abolish landlords.
>> No. 102313 Anonymous
9th July 2025
Wednesday 9:12 pm
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>>102309

We do tax dividend income, but those taxes only apply when the recipient of those dividends is a UK taxpayer. A foreign investor who owns shares in a UK company will pay dividends in their own jurisdiction. There are some potential wheezes to redirect some of that tax to HMRC rather than a foreign government, but none of them are straightforward and they wouldn't raise a huge amount of money anyway.

>>102310

> I think council tax needs scrapping and replacing with something based purely on property value or size

That has been repeatedly proposed, often quite seriously, but the Tory tabloids kill it every time. You'd inevitably end up with pensioners sitting on incredibly valuable properties who are forced to sell up because they can't afford the taxes, which (though highly desirable in terms of freeing up larger properties for families with kids) is politically toxic. I very much believe that we should have a modern system of property taxes based on the actual market value of the property, but the electorate violently disagrees.

>your definition of middle income just isn't actually middle income

No, my definition of middle income is middle income - a median full-time earner with a salary of £37,800, or a median household with an income of £36,700. Those people are paying much less tax than their peers in similar countries. Nobody is willing to believe it, but it's just a fact that Britain has one of the most progressive tax systems in the world. The people getting off lightly are ordinary people earning ordinary wages - it's the high earners that are getting hammered.

https://taxpolicy.org.uk/wp-content/assets/tax_wedge_2025.html

>So that brings me back around to what I was originally going to say- The best way to increase our tax take is to increase everyone's wages.

Inflation would just neutralise that effect - we'd have more money but the same amount of stuff, so the value of money would go down. Pretty much everyone in the UK is now familiar with the experience of getting a big pay increase but being no better off. To increase real wages, we have to increase productivity. All of the policies that would meaningfully increase productivity are either deeply unpopular, or require a level of long-term strategic planning that seems to be beyond the ken of our government.
>> No. 102314 Anonymous
9th July 2025
Wednesday 10:55 pm
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>>102313

>No, my definition of middle income is middle income - a median full-time earner with a salary of £37,800, or a median household with an income of £36,700. Those people are paying much less tax than their peers in similar countries

Because that median income is ten to twenty grand less than their peers in similar countries. The median income in this country is low. A full 50% of the country earns less than that, and the tax free allowance is £12k. Put this together with all the other stuff you are saying lad.

It's not that Britain has a radically progressive tax system, it's that we have fucking ridiculously unequal wealth distribution.

>Inflation would just neutralise that effect

No it wouldn't. Wages have been decoupled from productivity since the late 1970s. Wage increases are not automatically inflationary. We have had an extended period of wage stagnation, wage growth would mean economic growth.
>> No. 102315 Anonymous
9th July 2025
Wednesday 11:25 pm
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>>102314
>Wages have been decoupled from productivity since the late 1970s
So that I can make this argument myself without having to cite "otherlad" when I do so, can you show me where you read this?
>> No. 102316 Anonymous
9th July 2025
Wednesday 11:56 pm
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>>102315

Here's The Graph. I knew I had posted it before.

>>95450

That one is specific to the US I think, but it's the same story in the UK and EU. I had an ONS one saved somewhere I was fairly sure, but I can't find it. Either way, it seems to be a common feature to countries that pivoted to a service based economy and off-shored manufacturing right around that time. There's a lot of theories I've read about exactly why, but to me, it seems reasonably straightforward to conclude that more of the value generated by our work is just being siphoned off by private equity firms and the like.

So we're not only getting less of a share in our pockets on payday, but in turn, considering that PAY-E is basically the most effective way to capture tax revenue, so is HMRC.
>> No. 102317 Anonymous
10th July 2025
Thursday 12:03 am
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>>102315

Median wage growth has been about 25% lower than productivity growth, but that's explained by two factors - increasing inequality in per-worker productivity and increasing levels of non-wage productivity. Nearly all of our productivity growth is concentrated in a few sectors concentrated in London and the South East, while productivity in the rest of the economy is stagnant.

The output of an investment banker in London or a biotech researcher has significantly increased over the last few decades, but the output of a forklift driver in Middlesborough or a care worker in Sheffield is basically unchanged. The UK has unusually high levels of low-skilled, low-productivity work, in large part because of our over-reliance on immigration; the textbook example is the fact that we have fewer automatic car washes than we did 20 years ago, because it's cheaper to pay Albanians than buy machines.

Since 2019, wages have actually grown faster than productivity. The fundamental diagnosis isn't that British workers are being ripped off, but that too many British workers are lagging behind; in most of the country, our levels of output and productivity are closer to Eastern Europe than Western Europe. The tax and benefits system in the UK is increasingly redistributive, but that's unsustainable in the long-term, because we're making the most productive parts of our economy less competitive to prop up the living standards of less productive workers (and unproductive non-workers); if we want to fix our current malaise, we absolutely need to fix the fundamental problems driving low productivity.

https://www.lse.ac.uk/News/Latest-news-from-LSE/2021/k-November-21/Wages-of-typical-UK-employee-have-become-decoupled-from-productivity

https://backup.ons.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/sites/3/2023/10/Productivity-overview-UK-April-to-June-2023.pdf

https://www.productivity.ac.uk/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/PIP018-The-UKs-productivity-challenge-FINAL-Nov-2023.pdf
>> No. 102318 Anonymous
10th July 2025
Thursday 12:07 am
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>>102317

Amazing how you have a way to turn everything around into the same status quo fairy tale.

>imagine i posted a load of bollocks links you're not going to look at here to make it seem like I know what I am on about
>> No. 102319 Anonymous
10th July 2025
Thursday 12:08 am
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>>102316

The Graph is wrong, or at least highly misleading - it simply isn't the case that there has been a large shift from wages to profits.

https://cep.lse.ac.uk/pubs/download/cp401.pdf
>> No. 102320 Anonymous
10th July 2025
Thursday 12:18 am
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>>102319

I have read the paper you link there before and I find it interesting how much of what they talk about basically agrees with the premise, but then just handwaves it and says it must be something else. Passages like this bit

>Looking at particular sectors of the economy, three are striking in terms of
decoupling. First, non-market services (public services, such as administration,
education, health and defence, as well as private education, health and social work and real estate activities) observed a surprising degree of net decoupling between 1972 and 2007 (19%). But these are sectors where output is very hard to measure.

are amusing. Yeah, let's just put those at one side, the graph only looks bad if you look at the bad bits.

I am a scientist not an economist, so to me reading stuff like that always smacks of the the classic making your results fit your hypothesis. Same shit you see in psychology and sociology all the time because they adopt the cover of scientific research, but are not scientific about any of it. Of course you can level the same claim at lots of lefty economic puff, but nevertheless. I can't imagine the people paid to write all this shit for the LSE have any biases there, can you?

But anyway.

>>102317

>if we want to fix our current malaise, we absolutely need to fix the fundamental problems driving low productivity.

If you have any suggestions then do feel free to put them out there.
>> No. 102321 Anonymous
10th July 2025
Thursday 12:54 am
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I've had a wild and offensive thought about how to potentially fix our economy. YouTuber Gary Stevenson says we should look at who's getting richer while we're getting poorer, because that will show where our money is going. And he very reasonably points to the increasing numbers of billionaires and the skyrocketing share of GDP under their personal control.

But do you know who else has got astronomically richer over the past 15 years? Poland. Their economy is doing great, as large numbers of Polish people come to this country, earn our money totally legitimately, and then send it out of this country back to their families in Poland. Many other countries are also getting richer as we get poorer at the same time. The Philippines actually classes money sent there by overseas workers as one of its top sources of GDP. All over the world, poor countries are getting richer as rich countries get poorer, in one enormous global redistribution of wealth.

So maybe, instead of denouncing immigration because they terk er jerbs, perhaps we should take steps to stop them sending our money out of the country, and make them spend it here instead. They can still come here; they just can't use Western Union to send £100 a month to Lyudmila and Indira that then won't be spent in our restaurants and cinemas. This way, our restaurants and cinemas will be saved.

Would this work?
>> No. 102322 Anonymous
10th July 2025
Thursday 1:10 am
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>>102321

While I am not altogether against the idea of Sending Them Back, given that while "took err jerbs" is reductive, they indeed did contribute massively to the suppression of wages. This is probably the only area me and Thatcherlad significantly agree on.

But my suggestion is an outside the box one- If we just jack up the minimum wage by a significant enough amount, our net migration would reduce substantially. But, you might reasonably as: Surely they would want to come here even more to get paid 20 quid an hour to work at a hand car wash? No, no they wouldn't, because the hand car washes would all go out of business, and lacking the ability to speak English or prove any qualifications of GCSE equivalent, there would be no work here to attract them.

Of course it's a terrible crying shame for owners of giant unnecessary not-actually-4x4 cars that they'd have to wash it themselves, and indeed owners of barely viable businesses everywhere, but it would rebalance in the end. Pubs wouldn't go out of business because they have to pay bar staff more, because people would be able to afford to actually go and drink in the pub again.

The thing about the economy is it's all a big cycle, and it's the direction of the flow that matters. Not the absolute numbers involves. It's like electricity. Voltage isn't how many electrons you are pumping into a lightbulb, it's how fast those electrons are moving. A healthy economy has a good flow.
>> No. 102323 Anonymous
10th July 2025
Thursday 7:31 am
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I'm just going to recommend everyone read David Edgerton's "The Rise and Fall of the British Nation" again.
While generally a fun mythbusting exercise on all sides, the pertinent point (and the title justifying one) would be that the reason our national economy sucks is that we don't have one anymore. Britain as a little island economy existed from the 1940s to the 1980s, then it was dismantled and sold for parts. What's left is two big financial hubs (one per viable successor state) and a series of bizarre regulatory grifts.

It's more Adam Curtis' latest than Edgerton, but look at something like ROSCOs or the water companies and tell me we're not stuck in some kind of 90s-Russia tier scam-regime. Who needs productivity when all the important people get money for nothing and their MPs for free? Who needs the government to fix things for ordinary people when all of the people they can vote for will just keep the scams going?
>> No. 102324 Anonymous
10th July 2025
Thursday 11:20 am
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>>102323
This is the impression I got from watching The Spider's Web documentary. All the financial crimes are horrible financial crimes but by the looks of it, they're the only thing left bringing in enough cash to keep this country in the first world.
>> No. 102325 Anonymous
10th July 2025
Thursday 7:13 pm
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>>102322

> they indeed did contribute massively to the suppression of wages

Another way of looking at it is that they've kept labour cost low and thus the price of goods and services. Yes, inflation has robbed us blind the last few years, but maybe the wage/profit price spiral would have been even worse if companies had to employ whiny Brits who'll complain to the job centre about the most trivial things and stop coming to work the next day.


>Pubs wouldn't go out of business because they have to pay bar staff more, because people would be able to afford to actually go and drink in the pub again.

As demand-site economic policy goes, it does sound a bit weird. You're proposing to price businesses out of the market on the labour cost side so that they are going to fail and take the typical jobs with them that immigrants do.

Demand side isn't as dead as it once was, when 80s Thatcherism declared supply side the de facto religion. But the latent problem with demand side is always that that money has to come from somewhere. Yes, you can mandate a 20 quid minimum wage, but given halfway free market forces, you'll always end up with underemployment. And that doesn't even address the fact that not all the income obtained on the demand side of the economy goes straight into the pockets of the supply side. At least not right away. Which means that even if workers get more money, it doesn't mean they'll spend it all at your pub so the landlord can pay his staff better.

I'd have to get into it much deeper than that, but dinner's ready and I can't be arsed.
>> No. 102326 Anonymous
10th July 2025
Thursday 7:31 pm
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>>102325

>Another way of looking at it is that they've kept labour cost low and thus the price of goods and services.

They haven't though. We get all of our good from China anyway. They've kept the cost of labour low but that hasn't significantly benefited the consumer. If we've got all these cheap Polish tradies to work twice as hard for half the money then how come we still can't build half a train line on time and for anything less than half the budget? How come we haven't taken advantage of it to build all the extra housing and infrastructure we need?

You know the answer.

>You're proposing to price businesses out of the market on the labour cost side so that they are going to fail and take the typical jobs with them that immigrants do.

Remember when they did trials in some states of the US a while ago to test this out? They found that no, this is horseshit. Businesses eat the initial cost of raising wages, while consumers have more to spend, and the forces of market competition limit the amount they can pass on the hike. It resulted in businesses making more money through increased turnover, despite the initial bite taken out of profits.

And all that is to ignore the very many businesses out there that are making record profits over the last few years. They can afford to pay their staff more, and it is flat out dishonesty or ignorance to say they can't, or wring your hands about how the poor shareholders would feel.

Either way, I wasn't proposing a flat steroid injection to the minimum wage as a cure to all the economy's ills, of course not. I was using it to offer an other perspective on the topic, and how all these things join together. But regardless either way, the wage price spiral is a myth, at least in our present circumstances- Our inflation over the last few years has been driven by energy and housing costs. It has had nothing to do with wage growth, because wages have barely grown, the only thing they have done is recover slightly from ten years of absolutely flat-lining.

>you'll always end up with underemployment

We already have it. I think this is the crux of my disagreement with you- We both understand how economics works, you're not thick, I can see that. But you are often speaking from the position that the way things are currently working is more or less "correct" and that all these other variables are a natural result of it, and we can only act within that frame of reference. But they're not, many of your economic premises and assumptions are in and of themselves the result of an economy that has had several vital organs ripped out and is bleeding to death.
>> No. 102329 Anonymous
10th July 2025
Thursday 9:59 pm
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>>102326

>And all that is to ignore the very many businesses out there that are making record profits over the last few years. They can afford to pay their staff more, and it is flat out dishonesty or ignorance to say they can't, or wring your hands about how the poor shareholders would feel.

Trickle-down economics have roundly been shown to not work in practice. It's a lie that pro-business politicians and corporate executives have been spoon feeding anybody who would or wouldn't listen literally for generations the world over, and the truth is, fuck that. We're no closer to achieving any measurable signs of it than we were when the idea first gained traction. You could argue that there was a time around the mid-20th century where participation in wealth creation was edging closer to it, where corporations or employers were making good money and paying most of their staff decent wages, but look where we are now, in the last few decades. American corporations alone paid out a record $650bn before tax to shareholders in the 2024 fiscal year. While real wages adjusted for inflation have stagnated and, in the low-wage sector, they have even declined. Shareholders have been laughing all the way to the bank while the guy frying up chips in the back of McDonald's probably has to move back in with his mum because his rent is now more than his monthly pay working full time with overtime.

It's not that the theory of trickle down itself is inherently wrong. Yes, if you make it easier for companies to increase profit, then a company physically has more money. At first. And in theory, they could then use some of that money to better pay their workers and employees. But what happens, anywhere you look, is that companies, and major corporations in particular, always find ways to not hold up their part of the deal. Whether it's lobbying against labour or tax laws or minimum wages, or flat out bribing parties and politicians with donations so they'll look the other way the next time a sixth of the workforce is terminated to boost yearly projections.


>But you are often speaking from the position that the way things are currently working is more or less "correct" and that all these other variables are a natural result of it, and we can only act within that frame of reference.

No, no, the system is very much fucked, and it's the result of those in power bending the rules for their own gain. There's nothing to applaud or shruggingly accept as going "the right way".


>you are often speaking from the position that the way things are currently working is more or less "correct" and that all these other variables are a natural result of it, and we can only act within that frame of reference. But they're not, many of your economic premises and assumptions are in and of themselves the result of an economy that has had several vital organs ripped out and is bleeding to death.

Economics is essentially an 18th to 19th century science that was founded at a time of great discovery in natural sciences, especially but not solely physics and engineering, which inspired a sense in many academics and scholars that the entire Universe could be described using various sets of maths equations. You just had to find or develop the right ones, and you could literally eplain everything. Or so they thought. And this then led many early economists to believe that the same was also true for economic sciences. Which is one reason why economics students still today are really studying 70 percent applied maths. Where you are made to calculate the Nash equilibrium or the Cournot point in your exams.

It isn't lost on a single student, and most professors, that you can't actually really explain the real world with that. But what it does teach you is an understanding of action and reaction, and of the behaviour of interdependent variables between each other. Some of what I write here in these debates may sound very axiomatic, and I guess it is, but for all their flaws, economic models still offer a way of explaining reality. Even when that reality is as utterly shit as ours.
>> No. 102330 Anonymous
10th July 2025
Thursday 10:28 pm
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>>102329

The profit margins of UK companies have declined significantly over the past decade, from nearly 13% in 2014 to under 9% today.

https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/nationalaccounts/uksectoraccounts/bulletins/profitabilityofukcompanies/apriltojune2024
>> No. 102331 Anonymous
10th July 2025
Thursday 11:05 pm
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>>102330

So russianapologistlad was right all along and we should have just left Putin to it, is basically what I am concluding from this.
>> No. 102332 Anonymous
10th July 2025
Thursday 11:20 pm
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>>102330

Which is of course very definitely entirely unrelated to Brexit.
>> No. 102333 Anonymous
11th July 2025
Friday 11:25 am
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Chancellor Rachel Reeves has called the latest figures on the economy "disappointing" after the UK economy shrank unexpectedly in May.

The economy contracted by 0.1%, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said, after also shrinking in April.

The fall in economic output, which confounded analysts who had expected to see slight growth, was mainly driven by a drop in manufacturing, the ONS said, while retail sales were "very weak".


https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cq6mvem8neno
>> No. 102334 Anonymous
11th July 2025
Friday 11:37 am
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>>102333
Can't wait for more cuts. That's bound to stimulate growth.
>> No. 102335 Anonymous
11th July 2025
Friday 11:57 am
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Is there actually a time people have felt positive about the British economy? It feels like it is always either just treading water or drowning. Where every situation feels like it is pulling us back down after having only just recovered from the last crisis.

Are we actually undeveloping like Argentina or is this just the under reporting of when there is good news.
>> No. 102336 Anonymous
11th July 2025
Friday 12:19 pm
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>>102335

The years since Brexit have been a bit shit, and the fact that it's been like that for close to ten years now, exacerbated by covid and the aftermath, is probaly skewing people's perception of the recent past as a whole.

The GDP growth rate for the UK has always fluctuated a bit, and what's true enough is that on the whole, we're just not seeing the kind of growth rates anymore that we used to see a few decades ago. But that is kind of a trend in most developed industrialised nations. Similarly, the U.S. is on a shallow long-term downtrend with regards to annual GDP growth, same as the EU. Don't confuse that with the actual GDP of an economy, which has risen considerably both in the UK and elsewhere. It's just the annual amount that is added to it that's been on the decline. But again, that's nothing unusual for a mature, developed economy.

One thing that's kind of unprecedented when you look at about the last 20 years is that we've pretty much stumbled from crisis to crisis. The sheer amount of geopolitical and economic problems in short succession for decades now is probably something we've not seen before. Boom and bust cycles from within the economy itself have always existed, but I guess what I'm really saying is that the number and the force of external shocks is at unprecedented levels, making the world's economies much more fragile and volatile than they once were.
>> No. 102337 Anonymous
11th July 2025
Friday 1:41 pm
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>>102335

Yeah, you're probably just too young to remember it. As >>102336 says, boom and bust used to be the norm; the post-2008 permacrisis is historically unusual. A lot of the political malaise we're currently experiencing is because people just can't remember the last time we had a decent run of form and are starting to feel - as I suspect you do - that we're permanently trapped.

Incidentally, Argentina is now firmly in economic recovery. Their economy is growing strongly, inflation is back under control and the government is running a budget surplus. Things are still tough, but they're moving rapidly in the right direction.

>>102336

>Don't confuse that with the actual GDP of an economy, which has risen considerably both in the UK and elsewhere.

By the same token, don't confuse GDP with GDP per capita. 75% of our GDP growth over the last decade years has been driven by increasing the population rather than improving productivity - we aren't that much better off individually, there's just more of us.
>> No. 102338 Anonymous
11th July 2025
Friday 1:46 pm
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>>102337

>Their economy is growing strongly, inflation is back under control and the government is running a budget surplus. Things are still tough, but they're moving rapidly in the right direction.

Sounds like we could ask them for a few pointers. What did they do right? I hope it wasn't ultra-liberal privatisation and deregulation. Isn't Argentina the one with president David Dickinson? Must have had a few bobby dazzlers.
>> No. 102339 Anonymous
11th July 2025
Friday 4:50 pm
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>>102338
Their president, Javier Milei, is indeed mental and attitudes towards him seem to be suspiciously based on how you feel about his policies. He’s got inflation down below 50%; some people think this is a massive improvement while others point out that it is still catastrophic. I don’t think his policies would work here.
>> No. 102340 Anonymous
12th July 2025
Saturday 4:32 am
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>>102339
Things are improving mostly by accident rather than anything in particular that he's done. It turns out that if the people running the country are not brazenly corrupt and institutions vaguely attempt to actually do their jobs, things tend to work out reasonably well.
>> No. 102341 Anonymous
12th July 2025
Saturday 12:29 pm
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>The chancellor has shelved any immediate plans to make changes to cash Individual Savings Accounts (Isas), the BBC understands.
>Savers can put up to £20,000 a year in Isas in savings and investments, to protect the returns from being taxed. But Rachel Reeves was thought to be considering reducing the allowance for tax-free cash savings, in a bid to encourage people to put money into stocks and shares instead and boost the economy.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cqjq9yxkkrvo

I've not been convinced on the cash ISA debate at all, imagine having 20k a year to put away and you get help from the government to leave it in cash to burn away with inflation. It's madness when we have UK companies being starved of investment. The proposal wasn't even to scrap it but to slightly reduce that figure to nudge people to consider a stocks and shares ISA but people came out frothing at the mouth about it.

I'm sure the banks are very happy with this turnout.

>>102336
>One thing that's kind of unprecedented when you look at about the last 20 years is that we've pretty much stumbled from crisis to crisis. The sheer amount of geopolitical and economic problems in short succession for decades now is probably something we've not seen before. Boom and bust cycles from within the economy itself have always existed, but I guess what I'm really saying is that the number and the force of external shocks is at unprecedented levels, making the world's economies much more fragile and volatile than they once were.

It's surprising that we've not already gone bust if you think about it. The only time the UK has managed to bring spending under control (and that's excluding debt for investment) was 2019 just before covid so we have this big pretend debate about borrowing to invest but its a lie, both sides agree on doing it, we'll die if we don't and a lot of policies just continue over across governments under new names for that reason. Our level of debt and the interest rate on that debt puts us outside the OECD norms so the next big crisis will probably ruin us (according to the OBR no less) - assuming the unfunded 5% defence commitment, Trump pushing the world into a deep recession or just us simply being a sicker and older country doesn't do it.

It'll probably still be alright in the end but I do wonder how much pain is coming down the track before this mess gets sorted. I'm not looking forward to the Autumn tax rises and the inevitable shitstorm when the entire country complains that they assumed that someone else would be paying for everything.
>> No. 102342 Anonymous
12th July 2025
Saturday 12:46 pm
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>>102341
>It's madness when we have UK companies being starved of investment

Yet the government decided to obliterate investment in AIM with their changes to business relief, which was a completely boneheaded decision.
>> No. 102343 Anonymous
12th July 2025
Saturday 4:30 pm
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Money needs to have an expiry date. It really is that simple. I'm not being remotely facetious.

It would fix everything and I can't see a single flaw with it that isn't "noooo but I want to be Jeff Benzos".
>> No. 102344 Anonymous
12th July 2025
Saturday 4:59 pm
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>>102343
If they bring in a 10-year expiry date tomorrow, think of all the inflation that will happen in 9 1/2 years when everyone realises they have to spend their entire life savings.

The expiry date would need to be extremely long, because it can take decades now to save to buy a house.

You're describing something pretty similar to negative interest rates, which I think were tried somewhere else and turned out not to be as good as everyone expected.

You have to give the voters what they want, or you'll get voted out and replaced by someone who does, and while many people are poor, there are also enough rich people that you can't just campaign on going after the rich people or they will all unite against you.

That's just off the top of my head. There are probably more problems, because it certainly does seem true that none of those problems would actually be any worse than the current plan to do nothing.
>> No. 102345 Anonymous
12th July 2025
Saturday 5:03 pm
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>>102343

I'm not sure if you're completely thick, or you've got a sophisticated position on the use of demurrage currency that you've decided to phrase in the thickest possible way.

For the avoidance of doubt: rich people don't have cash in the bank, they have assets. Jeff Bezos is rich because he owns a large chunk of Amazon. Putting an expiry date on money would have literally no affect on his wealth or his behaviour. His wealth isn't a number on a computer screen, it's warehouses and forklift trucks and aircraft and millions of servers. He owns a large part of a company that owns the world's most sophisticated logistics system and the world's largest computer infrastructure system, both of which are incredibly useful and productive.

Money with an expiry date has been tried repeatedly in various forms; the only real impact is marginally increasing the velocity of money and therefore pushing up inflation. That's occasionally useful in a classical depression, but is obviously counterproductive in a situation like ours that broadly resembles stagflation.
>> No. 102347 Anonymous
12th July 2025
Saturday 5:10 pm
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>>102344

>think of all the inflation that will happen in 9 1/2 years when everyone realises they have to spend their entire life savings.

It's inflation but it's also stimulus. Besides, people are not that thick- Especially not the rich cunts. You know what they would do with it? Invest it.

>The expiry date would need to be extremely long

Yes. It would.

>You have to give the voters what they want, or you'll get voted out and replaced by someone who does

And look where that's got us.

>>102345

>I'm not sure if you're completely thick, or you've got a sophisticated position on the use of demurrage currency that you've decided to phrase in the thickest possible way.

Not to be a cunt but I am probably considerably more intelligent than you.

>Money with an expiry date has been tried repeatedly in various forms

Genuinely asking, not trying to be one of those "CiTe SoUrcEs Or It DiDN't hAPPeN" types of twat- Where? When?
>> No. 102348 Anonymous
12th July 2025
Saturday 5:20 pm
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>>102345
>Money with an expiry date has been tried repeatedly in various forms; the only real impact is marginally increasing the velocity of money and therefore pushing up inflation. That's occasionally useful in a classical depression, but is obviously counterproductive in a situation like ours that broadly resembles stagflation.

I'd argue that it's a tool if you want to direct behaviour towards disinflationary means though - assuming the unwashed masses also start buying shares or at least moving money into savings accounts with banks that hopefully mean investment money flows into productivity improvements. It's a stretch and probably not very efficient but it sounds like an improvement on our current system.
>> No. 102349 Anonymous
12th July 2025
Saturday 5:20 pm
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>>102347

>Genuinely asking, not trying to be one of those "CiTe SoUrcEs Or It DiDN't hAPPeN" types of twat- Where? When?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demurrage_currency#History
>> No. 102351 Anonymous
12th July 2025
Saturday 5:35 pm
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The best "what if?" tried but not really policy is Swedish employee funds. In 1982 their Social Democrats tried the most interesting route to socialism ever attempted: just mandate companies put a % of their profits into a "wage-earner fund" which will then be used to buy shares in listed companies, with the ultimate aim being to hand those firms over to their employees. No mad orgy of revolutionary violence, no sudden market-terrifying, coup-inviting nationalisation without compensation, just a little extra tax and a very clever plan.

Unlike (say) the 1964 or 74 Labour manifestos where the party talked the talk but didn't walk the walk, the Swedes actually legislated for this in 1982 and the policy operated until 1991. Despite the government having a Thatcherite finance minister who loathed and detested the idea (and the welfare state as a whole), the funds were only abolished when the Social Democrats lost the 1991 election. By then it was the 1990s and Social Democrats everywhere had given up on social democracy, so when re-elected in 1994 they didn't bring the funds back and we'll never know how it would've turned out.
>> No. 102352 Anonymous
12th July 2025
Saturday 5:37 pm
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>>102349

What's fascinating is that many of those times it was implemented, it actually worked at exactly what it was meant to do. And then once the economy in question was back on it's feet the banks went "now now let's not be silly, what about interest?" and scrapped it.

Makes you think.
>> No. 102353 Anonymous
12th July 2025
Saturday 5:44 pm
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>>102351

Even in my most outright commie early 20s phase, I was always sceptical of direct worker ownership of the companies (the means of production as wankers like to say), because who's to say the average worker is any less greedy than the CEO who's currently filling their boots? That's the big leap devout Marxists always make, where they have most of it right but then when it comes to the problem of making sure the workers all share the same understanding that working together is in their best interests, they just wave their hands and say we'll make them read more books.

I wonder what would happen though, if the government just picked a handful of the best performing companies (and all the utilities etc) and bought a majority stake in them. Or not even a majority, just a huge whack of shares in them. Why do we bother with all the tax, why not just make the government (and therefore the people) a direct stakeholder, and receive the profits directly as dividends that way?
>> No. 102354 Anonymous
12th July 2025
Saturday 6:21 pm
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>>102352

The problem that it fixes - deflation - really isn't a thing in modern economies with fiat currencies and high debt levels. Modern monetary policy gives us much more nuanced tools, which is why developed economies don't really experience the kind of monetary crises that were historically commonplace. Implementing demurrage in a modern economy would be massively complex because most "cash" is deposited rather than being literally held in physical form, but it doesn't offer any clear advantages over something like a negative interest rate.

>>102353

On the first point, it's worth noting that Waitrose and John Lewis are worker-owned cooperatives.

On the second point, you're basically describing a sovereign investment fund. It's a very good idea if you are e.g. Qatar and you have shitloads of oil money but a dwindling supply of oil. If you're a country like Britain with a pile of debt, it only does any good if a) Rachel Reeves is a particularly savvy investor who can beat the markets and b) she can convince lenders of that. We're expecting to pay £105bn in government debt interest this year, so even tiny changes in market confidence can have massive fiscal impacts. The markets don't really trust us to build a motorway, let alone running Amazon.

The Labour government set up something broadly similar in the 70s, but it was a predictable flop - rather than trying to pick winners, political pressure meant that most of the money went towards propping up failing companies with large workforces at risk of redundancy. We're still paying for some related fuck-ups today, most notably in the Horizon scandal.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Enterprise_Board

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Computers_Limited#ICL_Pathway_and_the_Horizon_system
>> No. 102355 Anonymous
12th July 2025
Saturday 6:58 pm
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>>102354
I once saw a brilliant quote to the effect that the NEB was supposed to be a socialist maternity ward but was turned into a capitalist palliative care unit, but I've never been able to find it again. It drives me mad.
Though as a devil's advocate, I think we're too harsh on the bailouts: Everyone remembers the blundering attempts to save British Leyland, nobody remembers the successful effort to save Rolls Royce, and we somehow celebrate what came next as if it was any better: voluntary deindustrialisation and blowing the once-in-all-history windfall of North Sea oil on tax cuts, dole payments, and a brief hit of £1 buying you $2.40.
>> No. 102356 Anonymous
13th July 2025
Sunday 12:25 am
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>>102354

>On the first point, it's worth noting that Waitrose and John Lewis are worker-owned cooperatives.

On paper maybe, I'd be tempted to say they are really not in the way that a proper Marxist would mean that, though. They are ordinary companies where workers get a good share package.
>> No. 102357 Anonymous
13th July 2025
Sunday 9:10 pm
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>>102355

Rolls Royce came good, but I do suspect that it was more luck than design - the company was strategically important and a symbol of national pride, but by some miracle the RB211 came good and saved the fortunes of the company. Also the government was complicit in staggering levels of corruption.

Pissing the North Sea windfall up the wall is really an era-defining error; the frustrating part is that Wilson, Heath and Thatcher pretty much share the blame equally. Thatcher is remembered for killing British industry, but to a large extent she just finished off the job. The British car industry died in 1974 when George Turnbull et al went to South Korea, we just kept the corpse warm until '86 by burning money.
>> No. 102358 Anonymous
13th July 2025
Sunday 10:37 pm
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>>102357

Could they have done anything to save it rather than just keep it on the life glug? You know like undoing whatever it was that they did to kill it.
>> No. 102359 Anonymous
14th July 2025
Monday 12:45 pm
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>>102341

>I've not been convinced on the cash ISA debate at all, imagine having 20k a year to put away and you get help from the government to leave it in cash to burn away with inflation. It's madness when we have UK companies being starved of investment. The proposal wasn't even to scrap it but to slightly reduce that figure to nudge people to consider a stocks and shares ISA but people came out frothing at the mouth about it.

What I don't understand is why the debate so often treats cash ISAs as though it's literally cash under the mattress. ISAs provide banks with a cheap source of longer-term funding, which they could presumably use to support investment in cash-starved companies. The problem though is that investing in businesses offers a lower return on equity than lending against property, so of course there is little incentive for banks to do this if their mission is simply to maximise shareholder value.

What is the actual evidence that nudging people towards investing in stocks and shares will result in real productive capital formation? Presumably most of the stocks and shares ISA money goes towards buying up FTSE-listed shares on the secondary market, which doesn't directly fund new investment, if it even goes to the UK at all. Just seems like a way to make the wealthy owners of shares, as well as financial intermediaries, even richer.

If the goal is to increase 'productive' investment, rather than pushing people towards stocks and shares ISAs, I would introduce a new product that provides funding for a national development bank (say the British Business Bank or the new National Wealth Fund) to invest in SMEs and social housing. Kind of like Livret A deposits in France, which seem to be quite popular.
>> No. 102360 Anonymous
14th July 2025
Monday 6:49 pm
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>>102358

Mostly, just getting out of the way of the industry. We kept making decisions that prioritised the short-term interests of workers over the long-term sustainability of the industry. We forced successive mergers with the sole purpose of propping up failing businesses, ultimately creating the too-big-to-fail behemoth that was BL. We used the Industrial Development Certificate system to force manufacturers to open factories in economically deprived areas, which was just disastrous - they ended up with a completely inexperienced workforce located hundreds of miles from their main suppliers, while we ended up with the liability of the major employer in an area with high unemployment that couldn't survive without state support.Rather than reinvesting profits in the most productive parts of their business, we forced companies to use those profits to prop up inefficient factories or buy out failing rivals.

Successive governments did everything in their power to actively make the industry uncompetitive, because the threat of redundancies today worried them more than the threat of foreign competition tomorrow. The unions had a purely zero-sum, bosses-versus-workers mindset that flatly denied the notion that the purpose of a car company was to make cars and sell them at a profit.

In a pattern that seems quite familiar today, there just wasn't the vision and the courage to do things that were necessary but unpopular. Something broadly similar played out in the coal industry - we could have had a slow and manageable decline rather than the tumultuous collapse of the late 80s, but the unions were adamant that loss-making mines had to be kept open, regardless of the cost to the industry or the public purse. There could have been a collaborative effort to gracefully transition away from coal and create alternative employment one pit at a time, but politics turned it into an all-or-nothing fight that the miners ultimately lost.

>>102359

What confuses me about the Livret A is that the rate of return is absolutely pitiful - currently 2.4%. Obviously that's better than leaving money in your current account, but it's totally uncompetitive with even a mediocre savings account. I can only assume that it's some kind of national pride thing?

In the UK, I fear that such a product would just turn into a bunfight. I can see the headlines in the Express or the Telegraph about the National Wealth Fund ripping off little old (white) ladies to build council houses for boat people, or headlines in The Guardian about the British Business Bank being complicit in genocide because it invested in BAE.
>> No. 102361 Anonymous
14th July 2025
Monday 7:00 pm
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>>102360
IIRC the NUM backed a report that basically recommended the slow-winding-down strategy, using the NCB accounts to show that coal broke even on the costs of mining and bled money on pensions and compensation for land damage - two expenses that the government had to pay regardless. Then on top of that, you can subtract the cost of having an entire community on the dole from the cost of keeping people in work.

I'm partial to the view that Thatcher smashed the miners as class warfare - the subsequent destitution was the point. Prompting Heath's self-implosion had to be punished. The UDM pits got bugger all despite avoiding the direct confrontation of the NUM because at the end of the day they were still the enemy.
>> No. 102363 Anonymous
14th July 2025
Monday 8:17 pm
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>>102360

>We kept making decisions that prioritised the short-term interests of workers over the long-term sustainability of the industry.

Right, because if we "got out of the way" they certainly wouldn't have made short term decisions that benefited the shareholders over the long-term sustainability of the industry, would they? Would it be better or worse if "getting out of the way" just meant all those industries went tits up even earlier on because we weren't competing on the global stage against a Europe that was still being pumped up with post-war American reconstruction money, and a China rapidly on the rise?

I asked if there was anything we could have done, not for another round of your tedious "Mrs Thatcher did nothing wrong she just inherited a bad situation" nonsense. Because likewise, Kier Starmer isn't doing nothing wrong, he just inherited a bad situation, right?
>> No. 102364 Anonymous
14th July 2025
Monday 9:31 pm
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>>102361

>IIRC the NUM backed a report that basically recommended the slow-winding-down strategy

The industry started being wound down in the late '50s; the majority of pit closures and job losses happened before the '72 strike. The rate of job losses after the '84 strike followed the historical trend - the aberration from the norm was the period after the '72 strike when the NUM managed to effectively halt pit closures.

The turbulent end of the industry wasn't solely the fault of the NUM, but it's undeniable that relations between the NUM and the government fundamentally changed for the worse after McGahey's election, and the domination of the union by card-carrying communists who cared more about their ideological struggle than the welfare of their members. Thatcher undoubtedly didn't give a shit about the miners and it's at least arguable that she was actively trying to punish them, but the militants who had taken over the NUM led them like lambs to the slaughter.

>>102363

>Right, because if we "got out of the way" they certainly wouldn't have made short term decisions that benefited the shareholders over the long-term sustainability of the industry, would they?

As previously mentioned, the third biggest car company in the world was built by British Leyland management, under private ownership, at exactly the time when the British car industry was falling apart. They proved beyond any doubt that they were capable of running a world-class car company, they just weren't allowed to do it.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_Turnbull_(businessman)
>> No. 102365 Anonymous
14th July 2025
Monday 10:08 pm
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>>102364

>one group of managers were really good

So every company should have been run by the same group of people? Like in Soviet Russia.
>> No. 102366 Anonymous
14th July 2025
Monday 10:18 pm
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>>102361
>Prompting Heath's self-implosion had to be punished

I have a feeling Thatcher was quite glad to see the demise of Heath and his politics, even if they didn't personally hate each other as has sometimes been claimed.
>> No. 102368 Anonymous
14th July 2025
Monday 11:56 pm
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>>102360

>What confuses me about the Livret A is that the rate of return is absolutely pitiful - currently 2.4%. Obviously that's better than leaving money in your current account, but it's totally uncompetitive with even a mediocre savings account. I can only assume that it's some kind of national pride thing?

I think the main appeal of Livret A accounts is that they're instant access, as well as being tax free.
>> No. 102369 Anonymous
15th July 2025
Tuesday 6:22 am
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>>102365

We did in fact merge most of the British car industry into one state-owned enterprise, like in Soviet Russia. The rest was operating under strict government control; for example Rootes wanted to make the Hillman Imp in Coventry where all their other factories were, but the Board of Trade refused them permission to build a factory anywhere in the UK except for Linwood, Scotland. Nobody in Linwood knew anything about car manufacturing, the logistics of running an assembly line 300 miles away from the parts suppliers were farcical, quality and productivity were atrocious and the project ultimately brought down the company.

You might not like my conclusion, but it's one shared by basically every industrial historian - there was no problem that British industry had that government couldn't make worse.
>> No. 102370 Anonymous
15th July 2025
Tuesday 8:28 am
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>>102364
Companies aren't just run by managers. The fact that a British manager can run a good car company in South Korea is one thing - South Koreans can do that too. Take a South Korean and try to have him set up a good car company in Britain and I bet you any money you want he fails. It's an institutional problem - not just the state, not just the unions, the whole lot.

>>102369
For all we argue about nationalisation or privatisation, I've always felt Britain's real problem is a love for centralisation of power. It's recognised in the public sector, but I don't find the private sector much better - why decide something on the spot when you could relay it upwards? Why trust individual judgement when we could have a meeting?

South Korea's car industry is a pretty fascinating case study in how you get good at making a product: Very briefly, a dictatorship set targets for how many cars to export, and then left the industry to it. When you're starting out, you'll make shit cars that you have to sell at a huge loss to meet your targets, but your incentives are then set up to (a) keep your manufacturing costs low, and (b) make a decent car that foreign people will actually pay for. So you wind up iteratively improving because that stops you losing money, then starts making you money, then gives you a pretty powerful car industry. Britain just doesn't really go for this kind of leave-them-to-it approach.
>> No. 102371 Anonymous
15th July 2025
Tuesday 9:31 am
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>>102370
Your description of the South Korean car industry sounds to me like what they really did was make one set of rules, and then not completely change those rules two years later, nor then change them again multiple times until nobody knew what they were aiming for. I suspect this is the issue that we have in this country, rather than some lack of Reaganite libertarianism.
>> No. 102372 Anonymous
15th July 2025
Tuesday 10:30 am
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>>102371
Partially consistent rules, partially having rules oriented around a single goal, partially having that goal be determined by external forces. The purpose of the car industry was to export cars, not (directly) to create jobs, or to provide domestic cars, or, indeed, to enrich the owners of the car industry. If it achieved those things, fine, but there was a fairly clear single purpose rather than a muddle of competing goals. Because the goal was determined by external forces, they couldn't just bribe the regulators to go easy on them and sit around rent-seeking while making a shit product, which frankly seems to be rampant in Britain today.
Again, I think it comes back to centralisation: why have unions worry about wages, local authorities worry about attracting investment, and car companies worry about selling cars when you can decide it all in London? And let's say you're in Water rather than cars - well, life's so much easier when all the people you need to buy nice shirts for if you're to continue collecting millions of pounds for filling the water with shit are inside the M25.

I don't want to be misconstrued as arguing for libertarianism: Park Chung Hee had major businessmen arrested, marched a chunk of them through Seoul wearing dunce caps and holding placards telling everyone they were "corrupt swine", he threatened to seize all their property unless they agreed to support national reconstruction and invest into export industry instead of sitting around rent-seeking, then he promised them better treatment if they met their targets. Basically, he let them know the era of sitting around living off do-nothing corruption was over - they could be rich, they could even be corrupt, but only if they got the country rich off the back of it. If Keir Starmer's looking for ways to revive the economy and his polling numbers, he could do much worse...
>> No. 102373 Anonymous
15th July 2025
Tuesday 1:22 pm
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>Secondary school pupils in England are to be taught about “incel” culture and the links between pornography and misogyny as part of long-awaited statutory government guidance due to be published on Tuesday. It will include a new focus on positive role models for boys and challenge “myths about women and relationships that are spread online in the ‘manosphere’”, but will warn schools against “stigmatising boys for being boys”.

>The updated guidance comes hard on the heels of the Netflix drama Adolescence, which triggered a national outcry from parents, educators and policymakers with its portrayal of a 13-year-old boy who is arrested for the murder of a female classmate. It also coincides with new data to be published by the Department for Education (DfE), which it says shows misogynistic attitudes at secondary school are at an “epidemic scale”. According to the DfE, more than half of pupils (54%) aged 11-19 who took part in the survey said they had heard comments they would describe as misogynistic in the last week alone, while more than a third (37%) had heard comments that made them concerned about the safety of girls.

>The education secretary, Bridget Phillipson, said: “Children today are bombarded by content – whether it’s Instagram influencers with impossible expectations for how we should look, or algorithms that trap young people in a vortex of vices from gambling to drugs. Our new relationships, sex and health education (RSHE) curriculum will equip kids to develop positive attitudes from the get-go, building their resilience to harmful content in an age-appropriate way, right from the start of school.”
https://www.theguardian.com/education/2025/jul/15/secondary-schools-england-to-tackle-incel-culture-relationships-sex-education

What do you think will be the first outrage story that emerges when some underpaid teacher tries to turn boys into men.

>>102370
>>102372
It's just Deliverology. In this case setting tight SMART targets and making sure that they were adhered to.
>> No. 102374 Anonymous
15th July 2025
Tuesday 3:53 pm
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>>102371

>I suspect this is the issue that we have in this country, rather than some lack of Reaganite libertarianism.

Managerialism in general has a lot to answer for. Too many people work at a level completely abstracted from what they are actually doing, what the company's purpose is supposed to be. The chain of command becomes more and more ineffectual with each step removed, like Chinese whispers. Everyone at every stage has the best of intentions, but they don't get to see how their ideas actually work out once they are filtered down to the grunts on the front line, often ending up ineffective at best, outright counter-productive at worst.

Thatcherlad touched on it earlier with mentioning how a care worker or a forklift driver doesn't see a gain in productivity, because of course they haven't- A care worker wipes 50 arses a day, and if that's all the arses you can wipe in an 8 hour shift where exactly do you squeeze out more productivity? If a forklift driver can move 150 pallets onto a truck in an 8 hour shift, that's his productivity pretty much maximised- You can fiddle the numbers around by making the average value of what's on those pallets higher, or other such spreadsheet tweaking, but that's not real actual productivity, it's the same amount of work being done. But the spreadsheet is all. Our business culture in this country is spreadsheets uber alles.

In reality it's the spreadsheet fiddlers themselves who are really adding nothing of value, it's make work. Forklift lad and careworker lass know how to do their job, and with the exception of professional shirkers (who exist in all jobs) they don't need some tosser in a tie measuring every second of their day in order to get on with it. But we have an entire category of employee whose purpose is basically just that, and nothing but that.

I was initially put off listening to David Graeber because he is often described as an anarchist, but this is one of the things he's spot on about. His analysis of debt and its origins is also pretty interesting. If you follow his workings there then it's hard not to feel like a huge swathe of modern mainstream economics is built on a mistaken assumption. If you imagine where modern physics would be if scientists had never realised they were wrong about phlogiston in the 1800s, that's about where modern day economists are.
>> No. 102375 Anonymous
15th July 2025
Tuesday 4:14 pm
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>>102373

I can really only imagine this will have precisely and exactly the opposite effect.
>> No. 102376 Anonymous
15th July 2025
Tuesday 6:12 pm
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>>102373
Ask the boys what advice and life guidance they actually want, and this idea cannot fail.

This idea is going to fail.
>> No. 102377 Anonymous
15th July 2025
Tuesday 10:30 pm
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>>102376
I wouldn't be so cynical, just look at how good schools have been in educating us in multiculturis-oh.

>Grade A student Courtney Wright, 12, wore a Union Flag dress and wrote a piece about history and traditions as part of the celebrations at the school on Friday.

>But her dad, Stuart, collected his daughter after she was told to stay in the school’s reception. Stuart said: “Courtney was so embarrassed and couldn’t understand what she’d done wrong. She was told she wasn’t allowed in school with the dress on because she gets to celebrate her culture every day.”

https://www.warwickshireworld.com/community/rugby-schoolgirl-punished-for-wearing-union-flag-dress-and-celebrating-british-heritage-at-schools-cultural-day-5223621
>> No. 102378 Anonymous
16th July 2025
Wednesday 7:08 am
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>>102377
My pedantic opinion is that the school was right because one of their flyers said you should reflect your national heritage and that would be English, not British. Charitably, I'd let her re-write the speech because confusing the two and forgetting there are 3.5 other nations is part of English culture.
My more serious one is that there's something suspicious about this rage bait becoming a national level story even in supposedly liberal papers. Not in the sense that someone's been paid off, but I'm the sense it requires some kind of editorial groupthink. At best it's clickbait that "actually happened" as though that stops it from being unbecoming. Maybe I'm just upset that nobody ever rang up my old school to ask them about all the petty indignities we had to put up with. I instinctively think that getting you used to arbitrary authority figures making stupid decisions is basically the point of school, not a national news story.
>> No. 102379 Anonymous
16th July 2025
Wednesday 11:26 am
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>>102378
>My pedantic opinion is that the school was right because one of their flyers said you should reflect your national heritage and that would be English, not British. Charitably, I'd let her re-write the speech because confusing the two and forgetting there are 3.5 other nations is part of English culture.

British can also be a national identity as a lived, felt, and chosen identity with its own distinct characteristics. It's a shame that the news story didn't lead to a debate on this because it is something where we do need a national debate after devolution.

But let's be real that for the last census a majority referred to themselves as British-only. That's reflected mostly by England and Wales due to the politics of Scotland and Northern Ireland and is normally twisted into some civic-nationalism monster but it still feels as valid as American, Canadian or German. There are things you can consider British like the lass dressing as a Spice Girl which references that whole 'cool Britannia' moment, bulldogs and nice cups of tea - or you can go the ideology route of NHS, (apparently) law and democracy and self-depreciation.

>I instinctively think that getting you used to arbitrary authority figures making stupid decisions is basically the point of school, not a national news story

I reckon it just taps into some undercurrent of our society that is universal across the spectrum that we see expressed in last year's riots, a lot of the Brexit vote and the broader international moment.
>> No. 102380 Anonymous
16th July 2025
Wednesday 11:56 am
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>>102379
I'm caught off guard by that, truthfully. My expectation would be that "British" would only be the top identity because people were picking two, with most of the people picking it also picking "English"
But apparently between 2011 and 2021's censuses, there has indeed been a big swing: 54% say they're British, compared to 19% in 2011, 15% say they're English, down from 58% in 2011. The ONS explain it by saying that it's probably not due to a massive change in identity, but more down to "British" being moved to the top of the questionnaire (in England only) for 2021. But that's fascinating too, because it suggests "British" and "English" are so close that people would tick them interchangeably. I don't think that's true in Wales or Scotland - it's a shame they didn't put "British" above "Welsh" in Wales too, then we'd know for sure.

Without being a smartarse, I'd like to know how one would distinguish between Britishness and Englishness in England, other than as a class sort of thing where we love union jack kitsch but think it's a bit weird to fly St. George's cross in your garden, or as a racial thing where Britishness is a little more ethnically flexible.
>> No. 102381 Anonymous
16th July 2025
Wednesday 12:56 pm
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>>102380
Americans on the Internet love to describe us all as “British” rather than English, and if you spend a lot of time online, I could see that catching on over here if that’s what PewDiePie calls you.
>> No. 102382 Anonymous
16th July 2025
Wednesday 2:06 pm
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>>102377

What annoys me is it would be so easy and cost absolutely nothing for lefties to detoxify themselves of the anti-British perceptions, and the tiresome identity politics own-goals they are mired in, and just say "yeah we don't agree with that either" whenever something like this happens. It would harm nobody, and only benefit them to say it.

But instead they do all the backflips and acrobatics they can to talk about why it didn't really happen, and if it did it didn't happen how it's being reported, and if it did it doesn't actually mean what you think it means, and if it does, it doesn't. When instead they could just say "yeah we think that's bullshit too" and look like normal people.

Because it's quite obvious this kind of story gets pushed precisely to exploit that weakness.
>> No. 102383 Anonymous
16th July 2025
Wednesday 2:31 pm
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>>102382
The real optimum strategy would be to not engage at all and to produce their own similarly incendiary stories, setting up similar traps and dilemmas for the right. If you're responding, you're losing.
Keir Starmer may crop up to condemn the school and show he's not like those other lefties, but anyone who hears the story is going to be nudged towards Reform regardless of what Starmer says. He's just not the most credible response to "the problem." He does everything he can to wrap himself in the flag and yet the association just doesn't stick.
>> No. 102384 Anonymous
16th July 2025
Wednesday 3:12 pm
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>>102380
>Without being a smartarse, I'd like to know how one would distinguish between Britishness and Englishness in England, other than as a class sort of thing where we love union jack kitsch but think it's a bit weird to fly St. George's cross in your garden, or as a racial thing where Britishness is a little more ethnically flexible.

I think these things are just inherently difficult as it gets into subjective feelings and no true Scotsmans. To me it feels like English is more a heritage from the Middle Ages whereas British is empire onwards (e.g. coronation chicken, punks, defeating France at Waterloo thanks to the invention of wellingtons), there's probably a class element too with working class consciousness being most at home in the North West in England.

>>102383
I reckon that falls into another trap though of viewing everything through the culture warrior prism instead of actually fixing the problem. In this case the symptom is the kid getting excluded for the crime of being British on a Friday but the cause is obviously deeper institutional issues with how the school approaches multiculturalism and how it appraises what is and isn't a valid identity which I can't imagine are unique to one school.

To loop this back to incel lesson; there's no way we're not going to get a shitstorm from it and it will be for the same reason that a teacher thought it acceptable to tell a 12 year old girl that she can't dress as a Spice Girl because she gets to celebrate being British everyday even after she'd wanted to do it hard enough that she wrote an essay.
>> No. 102385 Anonymous
16th July 2025
Wednesday 4:37 pm
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>>102380

Historically, "British" and "English" were more-or-less synonymous; the distinction only became widely acknowledged as politically charged after the establishment of the Irish Free State and the subsequent rise of Scottish and Welsh nationalism.

England football fans only really started waving the St George's Cross in the 90s, because the Union Jack had become toxic due to associations with the far right. I think we're in the middle of a swing in the opposite direction, as groups like the EDL have adopted the idea of "English nationalism"; the Union Jack used to be associated with skinheads and football hooligans and the St George's Cross was twee, but now a lot of people see it the other way around.

I think that Brexit has undoubtedly increased the salience of Britishness - like it or not, the Scottish and Welsh are now much more tied to the fate of Britain than when we were in the EU. Blue passports are a slightly silly symbol of a very meaningful recalibration of our place in the world. Obviously that's most strongly evident in Northern Ireland, where the complexities of national identity are most acute. The great genius of the Good Friday Agreement was creating a kind of liminal space in which people could freely choose to be British, Irish, both or neither; Brexit blew that up in ways that were unanticipated by both Brexiteers and remainers, and that are likely to have repercussions for generations to come.
>> No. 102386 Anonymous
16th July 2025
Wednesday 8:03 pm
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>Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer has suspended four MPs from Labour over repeated breaches of party discipline.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c5y7zqdwzqyo

>Neil Duncan-Jordan, Brian Leishman, Chris Hinchliff and Rachael Maskell have had the party whip removed, meaning the MPs will sit as independents in the House of Commons.

>Three other Labour MPs - Rosena Allin Khan, Bell Ribeiro-Addy and Mohammed Yasin - have been stripped of their trade envoy roles.

>It comes after all four of the suspended MPs and the former trade envoys voted against the government's welfare reform bill earlier this month.

>The rebellion undermined Sir Keir's authority, which was weakened after a series of policy reversals, such as restoring the winter fuel allowance to millions of pensioners.

>In a debate in the Commons, Maskell called the bill an "omnishambles" and described the benefits changes as "Dickensian cuts belong to a different era and a different party".
>Maskell told the BBC she had been elected to Parliament to speak up for her constituents.
>"I don't see myself as a rebel," Maskell said. "But I'm not afraid to speak up about whatever is in my constituents' interests."

Wouldn't it have made more sense to kick them out of the party before you U-turned on the policy they were protesting against?
>> No. 102387 Anonymous
16th July 2025
Wednesday 8:19 pm
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I hope Starmer is raped to death by elephants, minutes after receiving a diagnosis for eye cancer.

t. Labour member.
>> No. 102388 Anonymous
16th July 2025
Wednesday 8:32 pm
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>>102386

I'm starting to think Kier is our guy after all. He's devoted his career to this, rising to the top just so he can sabotage Blairite Labour from the inside. He's laying the foundations for a second coming.

Ok but really. I doubt the JC party will get much further than Reform, they can't (well, they could, but you know they wouldn't) rely on the kind of cheap and easy populist easy votes Reform are all about. But just imagine if both Labour and the Conservatives are pulled to their respective left/right by a third party threatening to split the vote.

We can return to a politics that actually has a left and a right, and not just this fucking endless worst-of-both-worlds centrist quagmire.
>> No. 102389 Anonymous
16th July 2025
Wednesday 11:49 pm
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>>102387
That's a bit of a tall order, in what situation might that happen?
>> No. 102390 Anonymous
17th July 2025
Thursday 7:27 am
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>>102388
The problem is that both Labour and the Tories are controlled by people who would rather see the party destroyed than see it fall into the hands of somebody else. It's a textbook case of the iron law of institutions.
In the case of the Labour right it's matched with an outright pathological loathing of the left. The sort of thing that needs a sociologist or psychiatrist rather than a political analysis.

Given the general state of things, I think whatever comes next is going to make us nostalgic for neoliberalism. We'll keep all the worst bits and bring in some new bad things too, for good measure. Whether it's delivered by a new Lab/Ref party system, by the old Lab/Con one, or by some kind of long-lasting Reform regime against an incompetent opposition eastern-Europe style, I can't say.
>> No. 102391 Anonymous
17th July 2025
Thursday 9:17 am
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>>102388

FPTP is a cruel mistress.
>> No. 102392 Anonymous
17th July 2025
Thursday 10:29 am
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>>102388
>>102391
I don't get how someone would vote for Reform or the Sultana party. People are just thick for sure but they're such obviously bad ideas I don't get how it works, I had assumed that the NHS, Trussism and climate change were settled issues in the UK.

It really does seem like either living standards will be growing at a good speed in 2029 or we'll just implode as a country.
>> No. 102393 Anonymous
17th July 2025
Thursday 10:48 am
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>>102391
Who is the Dominic Cummings or Morgan McSweeney of Reform UK? Do they even have one? If I was Keir Starmer, I’d just hire him or her.
>> No. 102394 Anonymous
17th July 2025
Thursday 10:56 am
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>>102393
>> No. 102395 Anonymous
17th July 2025
Thursday 11:10 am
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>>102392
It’s a protest vote. Under first-past-the-post, you’re basically guaranteed one or other of the two main parties, so on polling day you can vote for literally whoever you want and it won’t matter in most cases. I feel very strongly that what we are seeing here is a total loss of faith in the political establishment; we’ve realised the Conservatives are shit but now Labour are having the exact same problems and nothing is being fixed. So it’s time to vote for a nutter, to send a message that you do not endorse the status quo.

The fact that everyone feels this way means there is a genuine danger of nutters gaining power, just like how so many people voted for Brexit that it actually happened. But the main parties can’t turn into nutters and pick up the protest votes for themselves, because it’s not about the policies any more - people are just voting against the current system.
>> No. 102396 Anonymous
17th July 2025
Thursday 11:12 am
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>>102392
Put yourself in the mindset of someone who only picks up bits and pieces of the news from our already dire press, i.e. most sane people. Your living standards are disappointing, the PM is a cunt, the Tories have basically no media presence, and Jimmy Savile crops up to say that the PM is a cunt with surprising regularity.

The NHS will stick about, but hand all your data to Palantir. Climate change is a settled issue so far as it's real, but we're not seriously interested in doing anything about it. Trussism would be a change, but quite easy if you'll make public spending cuts to pay for the tax cuts - cull the disabled and find a way to split the unemployed depending on who they vote for, starve the half who don't vote for you.

I flip between the idea that the institutions of this country will crush any attempt at change and any Reform administration would show the same kind of continuity with Starmer as Starmer has with Sunak, or that they're so crooked or broken that it's a foregone conclusion we're going to wind up like Hungary.
>> No. 102397 Anonymous
17th July 2025
Thursday 12:06 pm
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I don't know how I feel about the Elections Bill. Aside from the headline of lowering the voting age (a bad idea) it seems a bit absurd to have voter ID but then make a bank card a valid identity document just because it has your name on it.

I'm also pretty sure that auto-enrolment on the electoral register is how you get started with compulsory voting.

>>102396
>i.e. most sane people

I'd suggest we need another lockdown then but I'm pretty sure that the core of Reform is lockdown protesters.
>> No. 102409 Anonymous
20th July 2025
Sunday 9:33 pm
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So I notice the thread de-railed into identity politics again before anyone took a bite out of this post.

>>102374

I thought economicslad might have something to say about the ideas, considering his usual spiel that Britain has a productivity problem. What if we don't have a productivity problem, and our workers are actually very productive and efficient; but that their productivity is in effect diluted because it has to do all the work holding up a bloated management caste who spend all day sat around forwarding emails and holding meetings about fuck all?
>> No. 102410 Anonymous
20th July 2025
Sunday 9:46 pm
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>>102409
>bloated management caste who spend all day sat around forwarding emails and holding meetings about fuck all?
Where do you think the charity shop I work for would be if Stuart hadn't sent an email last week, asking one of the employees to come in early and do a "Wow" window display? That's right, it would have raped to death by ghosts. The shop itself would have been raped to death by ghosts if it wasn't for that idea.
>> No. 102413 Anonymous
20th July 2025
Sunday 10:57 pm
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>>102409
>What if we don't have a productivity problem

We do and we know this because we can compare like-for-like industries and use common sense. Our farms output lags compared to peers because they have low-levels of mechanisation and historically lack investment in new machinery which limits productivity etc. There's also nonsense involved for sure but a lot of that is for things we want like animal welfare and not dumping less shit in our rivers which ARE BOYS up against the coal face might miss or otherwise not care about. Similarly we KNOW that the North of England is less productive because we have the data and that data explains the impact of things like poor infrastructure and Northerners being a species of sentient bushes inhabiting skinsuits.

There's always challenges with data conforming to reality but you also need data to make big decisions and understand the world. To be a Ode to Joy singing Europhile about this, subsidiarity is normally understood downwards as delegating to the lowest possible floor but that also means that certain decisions like steering the ship or cross-cutting issues need to be made further up and that requires mass data. As for care workers wiping arses, it's the wrong metric and you would instead measure things like home visits which make a better proxy of arses wiped (given some turds need more wipes than others) and that information is actually useful if handled with the right managerial expertise.

I didn't bother to respond to otherlad (I'm not sure what lad I am anymore) because it's a tedious argument, yes the New Public Management has been bad for the NHS but I don't believe economists or analysts deserve a kicking when we know they can also deliver essential functions. Same with HR which is often treated as a scapegoat. The problem the British workforce might have is people who are all breadth and no depth (wider knowledge but lacking technical depth) but the inverse is also a problem and management (and leadership) are extremely underrated skillsets where by definition a manager will never have the micro view of subordinates.
>> No. 102414 Anonymous
21st July 2025
Monday 3:00 am
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>>102413

This is exactly the answer I would expect from a manager who adds no value, and knows they don't.
>> No. 102415 Anonymous
21st July 2025
Monday 11:20 am
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https://robinmcalpine.org/scotland-has-no-controlling-intellect/
On the subject of managing things, I thought this was interesting. It's about Scotland, but I can't imagine England is much different.
>> No. 102446 Anonymous
25th July 2025
Friday 2:22 pm
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In other news, Jeremy Corbyn has now confirmed that he’s setting up a new party with Zarah Sultana. If nobody here has posted about it yet, I am not confident for their abilities to capture headlines.
>> No. 102447 Anonymous
25th July 2025
Friday 2:42 pm
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>>102446

I couldn't be arsed writing a joke about Your Party. My opinion of Corbyn and Sultana is so low that I genuinely can't be bothered to satirise them.
>> No. 102458 Anonymous
25th July 2025
Friday 10:41 pm
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It's a shame Corbyn's just a random nice-if-dithering bloke and not the mental Stalinist he's made out to be. He'd be polling second place if he'd picked a party name and announced he'd lock Keir Starmer up for war crimes.
>> No. 102489 Anonymous
28th July 2025
Monday 9:27 am
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>They are the real reason many of us love visiting National Trust houses. Fresh scones topped with cream and jam are often the highlight of any visit to a historic house, once their fine architecture, old rooms and beautifully tended gardens have been taken in.

>But the traditional, homemade favourites are now set to be replaced with bought-in alternatives at some properties amid job cuts. The National Trust is cutting 550 jobs as a higher minimum wage and the impact of Rachel Reeves’s national insurance raid on employers has caused costs to balloon.

>It said costs had grown more quickly than visitor numbers to its historic houses, castles, parks and gardens and that it had no choice but to cut back. Chefs and catering staff at the least profitable cafes are set to lose their jobs, and food will instead be bought in.

https://www.I need to find an archive link for this.co.uk/news/2025/07/28/homemade-scones-off-menu-some-national-trust-houses/

>National Trust scones (with clotted cream and jam, of course) are so popular they have inspired a bestselling book and have a dedicated web page. One woman even visited every National Trust café to taste their scones and rate them out of five. Yet this Great British food institution is under threat. Job losses at the National Trust mean that some venues will stop baking their own scones, The Times has learnt. Instead they will be shipped in from a central source, raising fears they will lose the home-baked freshness that makes them so popular.

>The problem stems from the National Trust’s decision this month to shed 550 jobs in an effort to cut its wage bill. The conservation charity, which employs nearly 8,500 people, said recent rises in the minimum wage and Labour’s decision to increase employer national insurance contributions had cost it more than £10 million. It explained that these rising costs had outstripped an increase in income from visitors to its 500 historic houses, castles, parks and gardens and that it had to cut back.

>Concerns had already been raised about the quality of scones at some National Trust properties. In 2023, after Sarah Merker finished her ten-year odyssey of the charity’s 244 cafés, she completed an analysis of her reviews, finding that the least popular properties had the worst scones. Merker discovered that the venues with more than 50,000 visitors a year had an average scone rating of 4.4 out of 5 while properties with fewer visitors scored an average of only 3.7. This week Merker did not respond when asked to comment on the latest development.

https://www.thetimes.com/life-style/food-drink/article/national-trust-job-cuts-threaten-homemade-scones-clxk0jrkq

RACHEL REEVES IS AFTER YOUR NATIONAL TRUST SCONES.
>> No. 102490 Anonymous
28th July 2025
Monday 9:52 am
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>>102489

Morrisons do the best scones (skɒns). Think I'm off to Morrisons after I've had breakfast.
>> No. 102502 Anonymous
28th July 2025
Monday 10:54 pm
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>>102489
I know I'm probably going to get flamed for this but I've found that the best scones are often found at cafes nearby to historic landmarks rather than attached to them. I'd guess because it's life-or-death for some of them to get good reviews online.

For example while I know Kew Gardens aren't NT he Kew Greenhouse Cafe on the way to the station is miles better than anything that you'll find inside the place and it has a cat.
>> No. 102526 Anonymous
30th July 2025
Wednesday 12:09 am
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So Queer's going to have to recognise Palestine now. Because we know it's not like Israel will actually change anything.
>> No. 102528 Anonymous
30th July 2025
Wednesday 1:34 pm
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>The population of England and Wales has grown by more than 700,000 in the year to June 2024 - the second-largest increase in over 75 years.

>The change was largely fuelled by international migration, with natural change - the difference between births and deaths - accounting for only a small proportion. According to the Office for National Statistics, there were an estimated 61.8 million people in England and Wales in mid-2024, up from 61.1 million the year before.

>It is the second-largest numerical jump since at least 1949, when comparable data began. And it is behind only the rise of 821,210 that took place in the preceding 12 months from mid-2022 to mid-2023. Net international migration - the difference between people moving to the country and leaving - accounted for 690,147 of the estimated population increase of 706,881 people, or 98% of the total.

https://news.sky.com/story/second-largest-population-increase-in-england-and-wales-in-over-75-years-mainly-fuelled-by-migration-13403904

Are Nige really is going to become PM, isn't he?
>> No. 102529 Anonymous
30th July 2025
Wednesday 3:03 pm
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>>102528
I've been thinking a lot about the "Australian style points based immigration system" lately. It's actually pretty funny. The press and the public got very upset about immigration numbers so Blair promised a points system in 2005, Brown made it Australian style in 2010, Savile demanded it in 2015, Brexit made it possible in 2016 and Johnson made it happen after 2019, and the result is: more immigration than under free movement with Europe.

Which is an outcome anyone even remotely familiar with Australia could've predicted. Their population has grown by 10 million since 1990 (of 26 million total), and most of that immigration is non-European. It's hilariously bonkers that imitating them was ever an anti-migration proposal, like if anti-privatisation campaigners argued for an "America style" healthcare system.
>> No. 102530 Anonymous
30th July 2025
Wednesday 3:59 pm
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Can't wank, can't support Palestine, can't even transition until you're about forty and have had the approval of a council of wizards. Apparently you can be a female archbishop though, well, I can't (not for another ten years), but some can.
>> No. 102531 Anonymous
30th July 2025
Wednesday 7:11 pm
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Giving 16 year olds the vote and then making it difficult for them to access porn seems like it could end up being a massive own goal.
>> No. 102532 Anonymous
30th July 2025
Wednesday 9:11 pm
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>>102531
School leavers are hardly going to vote Reform, are they? It barely matters what they do beyond that.
>> No. 102533 Anonymous
30th July 2025
Wednesday 11:46 pm
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>>102532
Young men are becoming increasingly right-wing.
>> No. 102534 Anonymous
30th July 2025
Wednesday 11:54 pm
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>>102532
>School leavers are hardly going to vote Reform, are they?


>> No. 102535 Anonymous
30th July 2025
Wednesday 11:55 pm
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>>102533

When the bars for men and women are so close together, and show identical trend across the groups, compared with the gulf between the generations, I find it can only be called misrepresentation to say "young men" and not just "gen z/millennials" are becoming increasingly right wing.

To frame it as a gender thing strikes me as that kind of technically true according to the statistics (but only because you are focussing on one thing and therefore missing the context that totally changes the perspective) kind of lying our media just loves to do. Like the one they are currently doing about vaping where they say a third of teens who vape are likely to smoke, and saying that's "the same rate" as the 70s- But it takes the wind out of that assertion when you point out the comparison is that in the 70s a third of ALL teens, not just a third of teens who vape, were likely to smoke.

So take your graph and fuck off back to the Telegraph you journalist.
>> No. 102536 Anonymous
31st July 2025
Thursday 7:58 am
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>>102533
I feel like this is less a result of young people radicalising and more a result of the conventional political system falling apart.
No baby boomers voted far-right because your options across Europe were: Communist Party, Social Democratic Party, Union of Christian Democrats, and "Whoa!" - Liberal League 57!.

Generation X get a little bit in as the early phases of disillusionment cause a slight the rise in support for the Nazi Democrats, the Alliance for Fascism, the Ruud Hartholt Death List, etc, while most voters are still supporting the old system. Depending on your country, the trend really takes off around the 2000s, particularly after the recession, which killed a good chunk of Social Democratic parties. Millennials continue the basic trend, and Gen Z pick up where they left off. Older voters will have a little lag, and boomers may not go in for it at all, but what's really happening is that the entire electorate is more open to voting for the far right than before, rather than younger people being substantially more radical than slightly older people.

Britain here is a good example: Jim'll Fix It's vote share gets higher the older you go, but young people have "moved right" because ~10% of them would vote Reform now, which didn't exist as an option in 2019. No older people could possibly have voted for Reform when they were young because Reform did not exist. (And if you lump together Reform, UKIP, etc, you'd probably see a similar curve.)
>> No. 102568 Anonymous
1st August 2025
Friday 11:31 am
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>Jeremy Corbyn has ruled out an alliance between his new political party and the Greens. The independent MP claimed the Green party was locked in an “eternal, riven debate” over what they stood for and suggested the party was not Left-wing enough to formally join forces with. However, the former leader of the Labour Party said he would be willing to work with the Greens on specific issues.

> Mr Corbyn told the commentator Owen Jones in an interview posted on YouTube that “we’re not forming an alliance” with the Greens. He said: “Would we work with them? Yes, on issues. Generally we would agree on environmental issues, we would agree on social justice issues. They are not a socialist organisation and they seem to me into an eternal, riven debate between trying to appeal to a sort of semi-conservative voting suburban electorate as opposed to a committed, environmentally conscious electorate. So yes, we work with them in Parliament and yes, we would co-operate, but we’re not forming an alliance with them. They don’t want to form an alliance with us. But we do recognise each other’s positions and I think we will come to some good positions and good agreements in the future.”

https://www.I need to find an archive link for this.co.uk/news/2025/07/31/greens-not-left-wing-enough-for-corbyn-alliance/

Glad to see he's calling out the Greens for being Tories on bikes.
>> No. 102569 Anonymous
1st August 2025
Friday 1:05 pm
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>>102568
I thought the current Green leaders were alright until boobman challenged them. I'd have expected them to do the Starmer thing of lying to their members and promising that they can have their moderate, agreeable leader as the face of radical policies, but they're not doing it that way - they're running basically the campaign Starmer would've won if he wasn't a pathological liar, arguing that the Greens have to win over moderate voters, that having policies or campaigning at all would scare the horses, and that Starmer's been right to throw LGBT people under the bus. In short, outing themselves as bike Tories in disposition even if you could quibble about policy detail. There've even been idiotic moments like someone mostly notable for an environmental protest delivering rehearsed lines about the Greens being a party of power, not protest...
It'll be fun whatever happens: Either they're losing control of that party, or they'll keep the party only for Corbyn's gang to eat their lunch...
>> No. 102581 Anonymous
1st August 2025
Friday 5:24 pm
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https://mainlymacro.blogspot.com/2025/07/delusions-on-left-and-labour-right.html
>In the summer of 2019 I was writing a regular monthly article for the online New Statesman. Within hours of publishing my latest piece, where I suggested Corbyn would do less harm as Prime Minister than Boris Johnson, they withdrew it. I was told I could continue writing for them only if I stuck to economics and did not mention to anyone what they had just done. I didn’t accept the latter condition, and have never been invited to write for them again.
Does this strike you as something that happens in a normal country?
Look, I'm as bored of arguing the merits of Corbyn as anyone - but I feel like I'm going crazy. Over time I've come to believe more-and-more that he'd have done a terrible job as PM, but that the measures taken to make sure that didn't happen would constitute a scandal in any sane country.
It's one thing to be dropped by The Sun for being a lefty, that's obvious and in line with what The Sun does as a right wing tabloid. It's quite another for an ostensibly center left paper to act in such a way.
>> No. 102583 Anonymous
1st August 2025
Friday 6:57 pm
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>>102581
Bernie Sanders got a lot of grief in America from people who should have supported him, and while this is admittedly a right-wing example rather than a left-wing one, I really don't think France should have banned Marine Le Pen from running in their elections. These things happen.
>> No. 102584 Anonymous
1st August 2025
Friday 10:45 pm
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>>102583
They didn't just ban her from running for shits and giggles. They (rather sensibly IMO) have a law that says that if you're convicted of certain offences of dishonesty, you can't be in Parliament or run for President. It's not particularly unusual to have rules about who is or isn't allowed to be in government. It's common to have rules that say you can't be in office if you're a crook, or if you're bankrupt, and so on.
>> No. 102588 Anonymous
2nd August 2025
Saturday 10:05 am
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>>102584
>It's common to have rules that say you can't be in office if you're a crook

mirth
>> No. 102589 Anonymous
2nd August 2025
Saturday 10:53 am
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>>102583

> I really don't think France should have banned Marine Le Pen from running in their elections

The problem with extremists is that they often come to power through what most people would call entirely democratic elections.

If you are serious about maintaining democracy in your country, then you can't just let the people elect leaders who will do away with it or at least turn it into something that nobody would recognise anymore as a free democracy. As we've seen in the last 25 years or so with examples from all kinds of countries, from Russia to Turkey, Hungary, and now as some would argue even in the U.S., democracy isn't always self sustaining and self perpetuating. It tends to be vulnerable to takeovers by those who seek to undo and exploit it for their own gain.
>> No. 102590 Anonymous
2nd August 2025
Saturday 1:01 pm
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>>102589
For the past several decades, we have all learned what Franklin meant when he described the result of the Constitutional Convention as "a republic, if you can keep it".
>> No. 102594 Anonymous
2nd August 2025
Saturday 4:47 pm
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>>102590

The strength of a liberal democracy is also at the same time its weakness. While it's a very good thing that we're guaranteed freedom of speech, expression and opinion as well as free and fair elections and some other similar rights, this plurality also implicity gives you, and anybody the right to express opinions that are against the system itself. So the system often runs the risk of being unstable from within.

Maybe not unlike free markets, which also don't tend to function well, at least not for long, without certain guardrails.
>> No. 102596 Anonymous
2nd August 2025
Saturday 11:21 pm
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Are things really as bad as this crypto ad is trying to make out and more importantly is the rest of the world the same if not worse?

>>102594
>While it's a very good thing that we're guaranteed freedom of speech, expression and opinion as well as free and fair elections and some other similar rights

Can we keep the discussion about the UK?
>> No. 102597 Anonymous
3rd August 2025
Sunday 12:14 am
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>>102596
Obviously the crypto ad isn't a realistic depiction of the UK.

I'd been thinking not long ago about how some people here like to wallow in how shite it is. They think every highstreet is full of phone snatchers and empty shop fronts, that contacting an NHS professional requires a telegraph and a spiritual medium, and that every meal is from the darkest recesses of the Footy Scran Twitter account. And I'm not saying it's not kind of shite, but there is an element of self-fulfilling prophecy to going around and making out like you're living in Cormac McCarthy's The Road.

So what exactly is the cynical, right-wing, bastard's cabal that is Coinbase saying? You can't afford the weekly shop, or your rent, but you can afford to invest in crypto? That seems unlikely. Plus look at how it wants you to view other Britons. They're pathetic, docile, literally covered in shit and they're all too thick to realise it, some might even be happy about it. Not you though. You're different. At least Leni Riefenstahl had some class, because this anti-social nonsense makes the Ludovico technique look subtle.

And what are you supposed to do if you strike it lucky? "We're off to Dubai", sings the only man with hair I've ever seen in a convertable. Yeah, well, good. If we shipped off every prick who longs for Dubai we'd become a society so advanced that within a year we could clone Thatcher endlessly just so we could immediately launch her, screaming, into the Sun, as we'd have no further unmet needs or wants.

I'm not saying we're living a golden age and people are just too dour to see it. I'm not saying that by a longshot. However, Coinbase and their zero-regulation, Trump World Order are just trying to heard us into company towns where only their shitty financial system rules. Where Amazon is pround to partner with Coinbase on their newly developed vending machines, that sell you everything from condoms to bran flakes. But they'll cut you off if you buy too much of either, because fucking without getting someone pregnant is bad for productivity, and it's bad for your team's workflow if you have to shit too often.

Umm, anyway. I'd too tired after all that to even go off about Aardman doing their last run of ads. Fuck Coinbase.
>> No. 102598 Anonymous
3rd August 2025
Sunday 12:56 am
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>>102596
It's a parody, although the start of the video probably is applicable to some people. Maybe all of it is true somewhere, but none of it will be true for everyone.

I am confident that the rest of the developed world is similar, and poorer countries are definitely worse.

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